GBPUSD I Bearish flag and potential downside Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Gbpusdanalysis
GBPUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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GBPUSDOn the monthly charts we have a long term bearish scenario. After a break of structure, the price hit the demand zone and corrected for the better part of 2023.
Moving down to the weekly charts, we see a mitigation of a previous supply, thereafter there was a reaction to the downside creating a bearish order flow.
On the daily charts, we have correction that seems to have come to an end. We have a bearish bias with no confirmation. We are awaiting for a break of key price levels to confirm our bearish outlook. If that happens, we are targeting the demand at 1.21656.
Should the market break higher, we are awaiting for it to settle at 1.20-1.30 price levels.
GBP/USD Dynamics: Exploring the Impact of BoE's CPI ResistanceGBP/USD Dynamics: Exploring the Impact of BoE's CPI Resistance
The Pound Sterling (GBP) swiftly rebounds, fueled by persistent UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, postponing expectations of early Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts. Anticipated upside for the GBP/USD pair intensifies as investors speculate on potential early interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
From a technical standpoint, our steadfast analysis suggests a GBP uptrend with an initial target set at 1.27500.
BoE policymakers remain vigilant amid a vulnerable UK economic outlook and stubborn price pressures. Future movements of the Pound Sterling hinge on the upcoming Retail Sales data for December, poised to be unveiled on Friday. Favorable consumer spending figures would further dispel notions of an imminent BoE rate cut.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.25350 with targets at 1.2750 & 1.2850 in extension
Our Previous Idea / entry :
GBPUSD: The dollar hit a one-month high amid interest rate cut sThe US dollar rose to a one-month high on Wednesday on shifting market expectations for interest rate cuts and weak economic data from China. The dollar index, which measures the dollar's value against a basket of currencies, rose to 103.58, its highest since December 13th. This increase follows Tuesday's 0.67% rise.
The dollar's rise was fueled in part by comments from U.S. Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller. He noted that the U.S. is close to the Fed's 2% inflation target, but advised against cutting rates early until he is confident that the decline in inflation is sustainable. Following Waller's comments, the probability of a rate cut in March, as measured by CME's FedWatch tool, fell from 75% to about 60%. At the same time, yields on U.S. government bonds rose.
In contrast to other currencies, the pound rose 0.1% against the dollar to $1.2646, supported by rising UK inflation data. This has fueled expectations that the Bank of England may cut interest rates more slowly than other central banks.
The Potential Strong Bull on the Horizon...In terms of trading analysis, I am a strong advocate for taking a long-term approach and striving to gain the best possible insight into where the market may be heading in the coming quarters (and in some cases even further ahead) .
Identifying the overall direction of the market is a critical factor not just in positioning oneself for high-percentage gains but also in increasing profits while reducing trade frequency.
I have already shared my EUR/USD outlook in a previous video, but I would also like to share my ideas here regarding both the GBP/USD and AUD/USD pairs.
While my main focus is typically on the EUR/USD, I do occasionally explore other pairs if there are promising opportunities.
The GBP/USD setup is a large falling wedge which typically calls for a move to the upside. Coupled with a up trending MACD which further gives this further strength of a possible bullish move.
The AUD/USD setup is a large falling Descending triangle which typically calls for a move to the upside. Coupled with a up trending MACD which gives this further strength of a possible bullish move.
Projected target on the GBP/USD is 1.4000.
Projected target on the AUD/USD is 0.7700 (possibly extended to 0.8000..
GBPUSD M30 / LOND TRADE OPPORUNITY 💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GBOUSD M30. I see a small retracement and I expect an increase until the OB marked above.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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GBPUSD London Session Buy Recap 70+ pipsPrice broke below the KL but the next 30 minute candle closed back above, indicating a small liquidity grab for price to move back up. CPI was to follow and as the next hourly candle broke the previous high, buys were entered with us anticipating CPI to drive price back up to the next KL. Secured some profits there, and left a runner to target the KL at 1.26900.
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD daily chart suggests a confirmed downside break of market structure. While a healthy retracement is ongoing, the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone offers a possible shorting opportunity if price action confirms on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15m / 5m). Targets lie at the current candle low and prior daily lows (refer to snapshot).
Please note: This is an informative analysis, not a trade recommendation. Conduct your own due diligence and risk management before taking any trading decisions.
GbpUsd could reach 1.25 by Friday.Like EurUsd, also GbpUsd failed to break above resistance and reversed.
Yesterday's drop cleared the ascending trend-line and now the pair is exactly in support.
A break under looks imminent and continuation to 1.25 is the most probable scenario.
In extension, swing traders could look at 1.2350 support as the target.
Sell rallies, ideally around 1.2650-1.2670 should be a great entry (I don't think it will rise there though)
GBP/USD Gave Today +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , Important Update !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBP/USD Best 2 Places To Sell It To Get 100 Pips At Least !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPUSD: Dollar slides lower after CPI data; Sterling is supporteThe dollar steadied in early European trade on Friday as investors focused on mixed U.S. consumer inflation data and the potential impact of the FBI's interest rate cut. Future Federal Reserve System.
As of 4:25 p.m. ET (9:25 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index against a basket of six other currencies was trading steady at 102.022, down from Thursday's high of 102.76 (a five-month low). Although it has fallen from a certain point of 100.61, it is still above it.
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, according to data released Thursday. The annual rate of increase was 3.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.2% and 3.2% increases, respectively. increase. However, the dollar received little support from this, as the "core" CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell again, suggesting underlying inflation remained subdued.
Federal Reserve officials have sought to downplay the possibility of early rate cuts, with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester saying Thursday that the latest CPI numbers indicate it may be too early for the central bank to cut rates. Major interest rate cuts in March.
But most traders still expect the Fed to start cutting rates as early as March.
"A rate cut in March is still priced in by more than 60%, and we still see near-term vulnerability in risk assets from this move," ING analysts said in a note. The new decision is too restrictive. ”
All eyes are now on the US producer price index, which will be released in late trading, with the index expected to rise 0.1% in December, bringing the annual rate of increase to just 1.3%.
In Europe, the pound/dollar pair rose 0.1% to 1.2775 after data released on Friday showed the British economy grew slightly more than expected in November. The country's GDP rose 0.3% this month, beating expectations for a 0.2% increase.
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast January 12GBPUSD hit resistance around 1.2780 but there is no sell signal yet. If so, everyone can consider trading. The upward momentum weakens when approaching this resistance area, so you can sell it.
But if in case the price increases strongly and breaks the resistance, it is possible that the peak area will also be broken, then the trend will return to an uptrend, our trading strategy at that time will also switch to buying up.
💡 GBPUSD: Waiting for new signalAlthough down, last Friday's D1 GBPUSD bar has the form of a bullish pinbar pattern, showing buying pressure from below. Right in front is also a bullish pinbar. Although it is moving sideways and accumulating in the inside bar model, GBPUSD D1 is putting pressure on the upper border, easily leading to a break to the upside.
The accumulation structure with upward sloping price bottoms and sideways price peaks creates upward price pressure for GBPUSD H1, which is the reason for continuing to choose buying ideas for GBPUSD today.
GBPUSD → Two Sell Signal Bars! Time to Short? Let's Answer.GBPUSD gave us more upward price action to finish last week and thus far has failed to break the neckline. The Weekly chart shows two wicks over the 200EMA, but not a clean break. Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We do not yet have the justification to short for several reasons. Most important, we're lacking a confirmation bar below the 200EMA. We have the two sell bars, but notice the last Daily candle from last week, it's a strong buy bar near a resistance line. A buy bar at a resistance line is not a buy signal because the context doesn't support a buy here. Buy bars this late in the game are often indicative of a potential reversal. The bulls tried to buy after a quick dip in price but failed to close above the 200EMA. This is a sign of potential weakness, key word: *potential*. That weakness needs to be confirmed with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low.
Such a dip will likely bring us to the 30EMA where I would expect some support. My preference would be to wait for that price action to either close below the 30EMA, or come back up to the Resistance Zone (as depicted) and fail again to confirm the short entry.
Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the required price action.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $2,225
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,510
✅ Take Profit: $1,940
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two Sell Signals at Resistance Zone
2. Failed to break 200EMA
3. Watch for Bear Close Below 200EMA and a re-test of Resistance Zone.
4. Look for Strong Bear Signal at Resistance to Short.
5. RSI near 58.00 above Moving Average, Contradicts Short Bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
A buy bar in isolation (bull candle with a large wick on the bottom) is a bullish bar. But bars in isolation are irrelevant when it comes to addressing a chart. Context is everything and when a buy bar appears near a Resistance Zone at what is possibly the end of a trend, it should not be considered a buy signal, but potentially a sign of weakness before the bears take over.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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GBPUSD DOUBLE BUTTOM 15 MINS BUYGBPUSD has made a double buttom around pyschological level of 1.27500 show that market might continue moving up. Look at overall chart we can see that whole trend is up so that there is higher probability that price will go up. So it expected to buy at buttom of the the candle set stoploss below the buttom and target a profit at pyschological level of 1.28000