NATURAL GAS - 2025 IS THE LAST YEAR IT WILL BE CHEAP !📣 Hello everyone!
I believe that with a high degree of probability, a long-term reversal model "Inverted head and shoulders" is being formed on the price chart of natural gas.
If the above is true, then in 2025 the right shoulder will be formed and this is the last year when natural gas will cost so cheap $$ !
From my point of view, after the "Inverted head and shoulders" model finds its confirmation, or if the high 9.1560$ is broken even earlier, WE CAN CONDITIONALLY SAY THAT THE PRICE OF GAS WILL NEVER DROP <1.5$ AGAIN - IN MY UNDERSTANDING, THIS PROBABILITY IS >90%
Oil will also form a bottom next year and from the end of 2025 - the beginning of 2026, I expect the beginning of a long-term bull market!
That's all for today, I wish you good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit. Please analyze the information received from me, always think only with your head!
Goodbye! ✊
Gasnatural
Natural Gas Faces Key Resistance at 3.000 – Bearish SetupNatural Gas futures are currently at a critical juncture, with various technical indicators pointing to a potential bearish trend. Traders and analysts are closely watching the price action as it hovers near a significant resistance level, and the upcoming week could provide further clarity on the direction of the market. While technical signals suggest a downside, broader market dynamics such as supply-demand factors and geopolitical tensions could influence price movements.
Based on a comprehensive technical analysis of Natural Gas futures, the commodity is facing a significant resistance level around 3.000, aligning with a strong downward trendline. This suggests a potential bearish movement in the upcoming week, with a key target of 2.527 in sight.
A critical observation on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) front indicates further bearish pressure. The multiple RSI analysis, particularly focusing on the 7-period RSI, reveals that it is extending a large distance from other RSI levels, reinforcing a downward bias. This divergence in the RSI suggests that momentum is clearly favoring the bears, pointing to a potential price decline.
Additionally, the weekly chart provides further evidence of a bearish setup. A well-established trendline highlights continued resistance to upward movement. Furthermore, the formation of a double-top pattern on the weekly chart adds to the bearish sentiment, as this is typically a reversal pattern that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish conditions.
In conclusion, technical indicators, including the downward trendline, RSI divergence, and the double-top pattern, all suggest that Natural Gas may see further downside, with a target of 2.527 looking increasingly likely. However, supply and demand dynamics and geopolitical events, such as Middle East tensions, could influence the market and potentially alter this technical outlook. Traders should closely monitor these factors, as any disruption in supply chains or changes in demand may trigger a shift in price direction.
European Gas Volatility: Causes, Impacts, and Future OutlookThis analysis examines the recent volatility in European natural gas prices triggered by supply disruptions in Norway. Unforeseen outages at the Sleipner gas field and the Nyhamna processing plant resulted in a substantial reduction in gas flows, leading to a price surge of up to 13%. This episode underscores Europe's susceptibility to external gas suppliers and emphasizes the need for a multi-pronged strategy to bolster energy security.
Key takeaways:
Unplanned infrastructure shutdowns in Norway significantly impacted European gas supplies.
The incident exposes Europe's reliance on imported gas, highlighting vulnerability.
Rising gas prices have the potential to escalate production costs for industries and household energy bills.
Price volatility can contribute to economic deceleration, public dissatisfaction, and political pressure.
Effective policy interventions and long-term investments in renewable energy are paramount for ensuring long-term stability.
NATGAS LONG TERM TRADE analysHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NATURUAL GAS Buy/LongAnalysis for NATURAL GAS on the daily direction has shown an upswing for a bullish trend that has respected the support levels. Since September 7th, 2023, we have seen a nice back and forth movement pattern that continues to respect the channels support range and resistance making this a prime target for us to be able to profit off on. Please enter with proper caution and capital risk management. Below is the signals inputs for the trading session. I hope you all enjoy.
NATRUAL GAS
Buy/Long
Entry: 3.2361
Stop Loss: 3.0203
Target:
TP: 3.9035
DAY TRADE/SWING TRADE
Risk: 2-5% of Capital
Natural Gas in INR 1WNatural Gas will consolidate util mid January 2024 between 239 and 298.
In the second half of January 2024 the last part of consolidation will take place eventually followed by a breakout happening no later than March 2024.
The time of breakout (and its retest) will be dictated by how price action tackles the level of 274.
After breakout (and retest) price might run to the range of 396-466.
BUY zone: 239-274
SELL zone: 396-466
💡 Don't miss the great Buy opportunity in NG1!(Gas)Hi everyone
It seems that we have to wait for an increase in gas prices in the coming months. If there are no special problems, I think we can predict the price of 3.6 dollars for gas.
Do you agree with my opinion? Please support me with likes and comments.
Natural gas-head and shoulders patternClear bearish head and shoulders pattern for natural gas. The head and shoulders is a reversal pattern that can indicate a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. The pattern consists of three peaks, with the central peak being higher than the other two, resembling the shape of a head and two shoulders.
In the context of natural gas trading, the head and shoulders pattern typically forms during a prolonged uptrend, indicating a potential exhaustion of buying pressure and a shift towards selling pressure. The first peak represents the left shoulder and is formed as the price reaches a local high. This is followed by a retracement or pullback, where the price temporarily declines.
Natural Gas prints an RSI bullish divergence As you can see in the chart, natural gas had a big downside movement for the last months. Now It looks like the bottom is printed so I will consider entering a long here with targets 3.11$ and 4.69$ .
You can see apart from the Bullish Divergence that It is starting to show a lot of strength, you can observe a gap-up between 2.314$ and 2.415$.
For the buy setup I will enter now and set an stop loss order under the gap. If the position goes well, I will keep locking profits manually trailing the stop under key areas.
Don't forget to share your thoughts on the comments and happy emotionless trading.
NGAS:H2Important levels are drawn on the chart
.The price is at a resistance level
.We are looking for a SELL position
.As each trend breaks, the target will be the next trend
.📢 Please follow your strategy, , this is just my idea
.🙌Please do not forget the ' like' button & Share it with your friends
.✍ I will be glad to see your ideas in this post
.🧲Follow me to see more analysis
US natural gas: Bearish clouds ahead?Henry Hub ( US natural gas ) prices have fallen 25% from their peak of $9.64 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) hit in June, as the fire at Freeport LNG’s natural gas liquefaction plant reduced U.S. export capacity by an estimated 2.0 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) or approximately 15% of annual volumes.
The major driver behind the spectacular rise in US natural gas prices had been a rise in price-premium gas shipments to Europe, which was suffering from a drop in Russian supply.
As a complete cutoff of Russian gas supply to Europe looms, this should theoretically put upward pressure on US natural gas prices. In practise, however, the US Freeport LNG’s facility is not scheduled to resume at full capacity until 2023, thus pricing pressures owing to greater exports to Europe can no longer occur as they did previously. And the market has already factored this in. On top of this, there is also the risk of recession in the US looming on gas prices.
US Natural Gas Technical analysis
From a technical perspective, US natural gas prices may have entered a trend reversal phase following the RSI bearish divergence in June, when oscillator values fell from overbought levels as prices reached new highs.
This suggested that the bulls’ strength had progressively diminished, allowing the bears to take over.
In the last three trading sessions, the 50-day moving average level of $7.5 has acted as a strong resistance for US gas prices. This might pave the way for a price pullback towards the $6.5 support level.
A bullish breakout over $7.5 would invalidate the thesis and trigger a test of the psychological $8 mark.
Brent & Natural Gas PricesBrent Crude is around $111.36, as investors grew concerned about a potential global recession and the tight supply of crude. Data from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting OPEC Countries showed that its output fell by about 100,000 barrels per day in June.
Libya's oil exports have dropped to between 365 and 409 thousand barrels per day, which is about 865 thousand barrels below the level that was normal. Also, a planned strike in Norway will reduce the country's oil production by about 130 thousand barrels per day. Despite the recent rise in oil prices, the market is still expected to remain weak in the coming months due to the global economy and the lack of supply.
Natural gas prices in Europe started July at around 150, which is a level not seen since early March. The rising prices are expected to continue due to the tight supply of gas. A strike by workers in Norway this week is also expected to reduce the country's gas output by around 292,000 barrels per day. This could threaten the European Union's efforts to increase its storage capacity.
Due to the reduction in Russian gas flows through the Nord Stream pipeline, Germany, which is the EU's largest economy, has enacted the second phase of its emergency gas plan. It involves increasing the monitoring of the market and the restart of coal-fired power plants.
Gas prices to rise 5-10%Due to the lack of supply from the OPEC and the US' production slowdown and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the prices of gas have increased significantly.
In the next couple of weeks, the prices of gas are expected to increase by 5-10%. This will continue to increase throughout the summer of 2022. China's demand for crude oil is expected to rise as the Covid Lockdowns come to an end.
Crude Oil Prices are likely to remain above $115 for the rest of the year.
Quick deal on natural gas 16% profit for 5.5% Stop Loss "3:1"simple analysis
Trend lines have been relied upon
and volume analysis
and moving averages
⁉️ GAS Weekly Analysis ✅ Here we are in a bullish market structure so I am looking for a long position if the price takes out the liquidity below (previous weekly low) and rejects from the daily bullish orderblock + mid figure 6.50.
Natural Gas: still a long way to go; see measured moveNatgas may still have a very big upside considering Russia will be doing everything to win the war before
May 9.
It is very probable that Natgas will be able to reach the 1.618 FIBO level 8.255 in June 2022.
Very Interestingly, 8.255 is also the measured move from the triangle.(see chart)
Not trading advice
USDGAS LONGS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on this assset as price get out of the range, making higher lows and higher highs meaning that bulls are in power in this area. Price could retrace back into 4.0 as psychological area + discount market area fiboncai that sets perfect long opportunities.
What do you think ? Comment below..