SPY - A GAPTacular 2024And leaves a tiny one on today's open up top...Oops.
Couple of those lower ones were on a different time, but lots of these on the daily chart forgotten behind.
Someday...my SPY crash will come...
Gaps
Price Gap Examples - Bitcoin FuturesSharing for educational purposes only.
█ Three Types of Gaps
There are three general types of gaps:
Breakaway Gap
Runaway (or Measuring) Gap
Exhaustion Gap
█ 1 — The Breakaway Gap
The breakaway gap usually occurs:
At the completion of an important price pattern.
At the beginning of a significant market move
Examples:
After a market completes a major basing pattern, the breaking of resistance often involves a breakaway gap.
Breaking major trendlines signaling a reversal of trend may also involve this type of gap
Key Characteristics:
Heavy volume often accompanies breakaway gaps.
They are typically not filled (or only partially filled).
In an uptrend, upside gaps act as support areas on subsequent corrections.
A close below the gap is a sign of weakness.
█ 2 — The Runaway or Measuring Gap
The runaway gap forms:
Midway through a trend (uptrend or downtrend).
Indicates the market is moving effortlessly, usually on moderate volume.
Key Characteristics:
In an uptrend, it signals strength.
In a downtrend, it signals weakness.
Acts as support or resistance during subsequent corrections.
Why "Measuring" Gap?
It often occurs at the halfway point of a trend.
By measuring the distance the trend has already traveled, the probable extent of the remaining move can be estimated by doubling the amount already achieved.
█ 3 — The Exhaustion Gap
The exhaustion gap appears:
Near the end of a market move.
Key Characteristics:
Occurs after objectives have been achieved and other gap types (breakaway and runaway) have been identified.
In an uptrend, prices leap forward in a final push but quickly fade.
Within a couple of days or a week, prices turn lower.
█ Conclusion
By understanding the types of gaps and their characteristics, traders can better interpret market signals and anticipate potential trends or reversals.
█ Source:
Murphy, John J. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance, 1999. Chapter 4, "Price Gaps," pp. 94-98.
Bitcoin Week 48When looking at BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P you can clearly see that BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P closed above the previous week high while BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P didn't what indicate us as a bearish SMT.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P reached to a 1D gap from previous Q1 week which will be a resistance area.
This is why I would be bearish to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P this week.
I would like to target the previous gaps marked in the chart above
ES1 Week 48Seems like this week CME_MINI:ES1! closed above the high of the previous Tertiary Quarter while CME_MINI:NQ1! didn't which indicate as bear SMT.
What supports this idea is the fact that CME_MINI:NQ1! is between two daily gaps of previous weeks in the same month Q1.
This make me believe that we are looking to retrace to previous gaps and I'm bearish this week.
Do You Trade Gaps? Here's What You Need to Know!📈 Trading gaps can provide some of the most reliable opportunities in the market—if you know how to handle them.
🔍 What is a gap?
A gap occurs when the price "jumps" between two levels, leaving an empty space on the chart. Gaps usually reflect strong market sentiment, news, or low liquidity during off-hours.
💡 Key points to consider:
1️⃣ Types of Gaps:
Breakaway Gap: Signals a new trend.
Continuation Gap: Often occurs mid-trend.
Exhaustion Gap: Marks the end of a trend.
2️⃣ How to Trade Them:
Identify if the gap is likely to fill or expand.
Use support and resistance around the gap.
Always keep an eye on volume—low volume could mean a false move.
3️⃣ Risk Management:
Gaps can be volatile! Use tight stop-losses and wait for confirmation before entering.
What’s your favorite strategy for trading gaps? Let’s discuss below! 👇
Crypto Week 47 AnalysisIt seems like that all Major 3 Crypto Coins are in Premium.
All of them are above True Week Open, True Month Open and True Year Open except for BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P Which is below True Year Open.
We are using a gap from previous Year Q4 that merge with a weekly gap. and we have a PSP in a weekly graph right about it.
Near True Year Open BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P there is a Gap from previous Monday in 3h graph.
I think I would like to see BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P getting into the 3h gap and targeting the True Year Open.
Current target in BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is True year Open
After touching it I'll be bearish since the price is in a major Premium.
Futures Week 47 Monday AnalysisAs I see it the close target of both ES and NQ is the True Month Open.
On both of the True Month Open there is a gap from previous Monday in 6h chart.
The bullish movement that we had this week is supported by SMT between CME_MINI:ES1! , CME_MINI:NQ1! and CBOT_MINI:YM1! and 6h gap from previous Tuesday (Q2).
I don't see any relevant higher time frame gaps that the price can encounter until the True Month Open so my current target is that.
In my opinion CME_MINI:ES1! will get to the True Month Open first and will liquidate it, at the same time CME_MINI:NQ1! will get to a 90 minutes gap at AM session (Q3) and won't liquidate the True Month Open and we'll get a bearish SMT
Update on Tesla This is my update on Tesla stock.
A huge gap that was created today and looking to not go inside the gap.
Not seeing anything to show why this will continue going up without going back to the first GAP mentioned in the last post. Which was in October.
The GAP is showing a whopping 4% rise.
Update on teslaHi, quick update.
i do want to update some bearish technical scenerios that align with liquidity concepts. (neither bullish or bearish idea is 100% to occur and its important to prepare to all scenerios)
The latest test on demand was not what i was hoping to see. with prices making bad lows (confirm on TPO) and creating a liquidity pool, showing a lack of strength (market moves on the path of least resistance) from buyers(volume is low market shows uncertainty around current price).
We have a gap down (green rectangle) and bad lows, the last imbalances on the chart at 199.48 (if we dont consider the aug 5 bad lows duo to the japanese sell off)
These will hit stop losses and reset highly leveraged positions and most importantly will provide wallstreet a premium price on tsla shares.
That price aligns with targets from both bearish and bullish sides. as of now we are holding the daily 100 ema
the 200 EMA is 201 and the yearly VWAP is also confluencing with that EMA. SHOCKING!
If we are at the parliamentary supply a selling climax will follow.. and the target for it would close the imbalance and the gap would provide us a good low to buy from and grab upside liquidity if not break resistance finally.
in terms of RSI a sell off to that area will give us an oversold RSI on the daily and hit the orderblocks down there!
I am still bullish on tesla but acknowledging these bearish scenerios will help up understand what is happening if they happening. I closed my CFD position in tiny profit but i am still keeping my value investment on and havent sold a bit.
I will happily go further down and give myself a nice CFD trade on tesla from these price targets.!
This is not a financial advice but simply me sharing my ideas and journaling my investments and trading. I hope you all have a great day
I AM STILL BULLISH
THERES A REASON WHY THEY ARE CALLED SHORTS (SHORT TERM) AND LONGS (LONG TERM)
$AMZN: Fast Rebounds Reveal Fundamental Support LevelThe new technologies that Amazon is embracing, including robots/robotics, and a brilliant CEO keep this huge company moving forward.
The HFT-driven gap down in August was massive but the rebound was fast. This isn't the first time the stock has moved right back up to its prior quarter's fundamental support range, aka Dark Pool Buy Zone.
Now, NASDAQ:AMZN is slightly above that range to challenge the July high. A stock to watch ahead of its earnings report October 24th.
Dark Pool Buy Zone Stages More Gap Up PotentialNYSE:NKE gapped again with a breakaway gap jumping over resistance. These rarely fill and if the gap fills, it will be minimal. Volume was above average. This kind of gap up sequence can happen easily when a classic Shift of Sentiment pattern forms in Accumulation/Distribution indicators as a stock bottoms. But price remains well below the previous gap down. It may gap again as the stock challenges that resistance.
NAS Ideas This is just levels that I will be looking at for potential reversals or continuations ONLY.
Learning Price Action Through ObservationLearning Happens when you're open and curious and making observations from what you see. From there, you must be mentally balanced to take action on your observations.
In this post, I focus on the price action that happens in the pivot portion of a swing cycle. If you make observations of this area you will see a certain kind of repeating behavior that can help you understand and design methods for trading swings. You will notice that the market likes to wash everybody out of their positions before pivoting to continue its swing.
I have a look at two of the ways this shows up in the price action of a pivot. The first is an engulfing bar that expands and swallows at least 3 of the previous bars. The second is a Gap Swap where there will be a WRB Gap making an effort in one direction just to be followed by another WRB GAP that reverses that effort and direction and shows that the balance of power has shifted.
This is just a small part of what makes up a swing but it factors into my overall methods and trade plan. You can make observations yourself on pivots and see what you can learn.
Shane
FUBO Elliow WXY Double CorrectionFUBO started its rally from $0.96 in March 2023 and reached $3.87 in August 2023. Since August 2023, it has been declining with the Elliot WXY correction wave.
I think this correction will continue until the gap at $ 1.18 is filled. My guess is that this correction will continue until around $ 1.12-1.2. Unless it goes above $1.9, I am short FUBO.
NKE 93.39The stock is moving in a descending channel.
In recent days, the stock is producing an invert head and shoulders pattern.
The stock is trying to get back above the 20MA.
Breaking the neckline of the pattern in the area of 95.50, can start the momentum in the stock which have some gaps to close.
targets on the chart.
1sttarget: 100.00
2nd target: 110.00
3rd target: 120.00-122.00
QUICK AND EASY WAY TO MAKE A CHART (GAPS) - PLTRIF your an advanced trader and good at charting, you likely won't find this information useful. In the future, I'll have more educational posts that go in depth, but this one is for the newbies.
STEP 1 - Find your gaps (circled in blue) ONLY MARK GAPS THAT HAVE YET TO CLOSE
STEP 2 - MARK your GAPS with a Horizontal Line (alt + h)
STEP 3 - DUPLICATE your Horizontal lines (CTRL + CLICK each line while holding ctrl to multi select lines, CTRL + SHIFT + CLICK AND DRAG to duplicate)
STEP 4 - These are now your long term trading zones (COLOR Lines accordingly, TIP - Try not to pick colors that blend together) red and green do not mean buy/sell, they mean top of the gap, and bottom of the gap, 4.22% or so... It doesn't need to be exact.
STEP 5 - Line thickness (IF multiple lines stack up, you can create a thick line to simplify chart. KEEP IT SIMPLE, REMEMBER, this is not to be exact, this is to create zones to prepare you for future movements based on past gaps)
Why is this useful? Well, if you know a price gap is statistically likely to close, then you can be pretty certain that at some point in the future, that gap will close, meaning price will return to @ or above the price gap.
With this in mind, you can plan ahead and start to realize when your emotions are getting the best of you.
This is also great because you can do this on any time frame with candles.
Why ISNT this useful? Well, this gives you no indication of timing. Past results don't guarantee future results. AND this gives you no indication of current price action. In other words, a GAP could form and close 2 years later, and the entire time before it closes, price keeps going lower and lower.
Good luck, and remember, this is just a quick and easy way for newer users to identify potential price targets, while limiting emotion in decision making.
Tracking The Footprints of WRB GapsThis is the first in a series of posts on Gaps. Gaps are a sudden supply/demand imbalance that shows up in the price bars of a chart, It's the expansion that comes after a contraction. Gaps will show us a significant area of buyers/sellers that take control and when they lose that control.
In the video, I discuss and define a Wide Range Bar (WRB) Gap and show how to mark it out on a chart. A WRB Gap is a bar larger than the last 3 bars with a space between the previous bar and the subsequent bar. We will be marking the base of the gap. If it's an up Gap, mark out the bottom 1/3 of the bar, if it's a down gap, mark out the upper 1/3 of the bar.
We can then make observations about how price interacts with the base of this gap when or if it gets there. Then begin to notice where in the swing process the Gap is happening. Don't make conclusions, just observe and learn.
There are many ways to trade Gaps but first, we must first lay out some foundations and then come up with objective ways to see them. For now, simply look for the biggest ugliest bars on your chart and mark them out and observe. These are footprints that we can follow and track.
Shane
GAP - HOW TO TRADE...This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Gaps and How Markets Move In Contraction and ExpansionThere are several ways to trade gaps but first, there should be a solid understanding of what Gaps are and how they show up. Markets aren't that hard to read if we have some simple ways to see them that adhere to the principles of movement.
All markets move in contraction and expansion. A Gap is the sudden supply/demand imbalance that comes out of the contraction and shows up as the expansion. These expansions can even be used to measure how far the next expansion will go.
Start with a simple bar chart and erase everything else off the chart. Look and simply see the dense areas of contraction (Range). Then see the expansion (Gap), followed by another contraction.
Look for same-size contractions and expansion and you will start to see how organized price flow can be. It's no different than swings in that minor contractions and expansions make up the major contractions and expansions.
Shane
Sustainability Stocks: ESAB ExampleNYSE:ESAB has been around for many years although it only went public on the NYSE as a Swedish-American company in 2022.
ESAB Corporation is focusing on sustainability and connected fabrication technology, which is an area headed for more growth.
The stock is 90% held by institutions. ALL of the giant Buy-Side and ETF developers are near the top of the Institutional holdings list.
The stock as been trending upward since its IPO bottom completion, which completed very quickly at $50. The company's revenues have been steady. Earnings have been up and down quarter over quarter. The recent gap up is a breakaway gap, which seldom fill.
The Gap Between What Is and What Will BeThere are 5 basic ways to trade a Gap or any line. In this video, I discuss two ways to enter the market using a Gap before I make the trade plan. The Gap entry techniques by themselves are of little use, but if we make a few distinctions in market structure and the process of a swing cycle, they can become functional.
Swing cycles have a process that they go through. As long as we understand that process we can view Gaps in the light of where they happen in that process. I'm going to focus these two Gap entry techniques in the lower portion of the reaction leg at the bottom pivot of a swing. The Gaps are what make up the pivot portion of the swing.
If you observe markets and swings you will often see this distinct pivot portion of a swing, it looks like a U at the bottom of a reaction leg as the buyers wrestle control back from the sellers.
Shane
next level in stock1) runway gap in chart
2) 435 to 530 range of the stock trading from last 94 session
3) stock enter new stage
4) stop loss of 525 or below this level and target of 820 but one sentimental resistance in stock 600 level
5) SMA 20 495 , SMA 50 489, SMA 200 346
6) no recommendation for the stock buy or sell
Market Gaps: Strategies, Types, Fills and Crypto.Greetings, traders!
If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
In stock trading, gaps can significantly impact market dynamics. They occur when a stock's price makes a sudden leap between two candlesticks, often due to substantial news breaking after market hours.
These gaps can be upward (gap up) or downward (gap down), signifying abrupt shifts in market sentiment.
Understanding Gap Types:
Common Gaps: These gaps appear without any specific underlying event and are often encountered in stocks with low trading volumes.
Breakaway Gaps: Breakaway gaps are akin to a breakout, occurring when a stock price surges above a resistance level or plunges below a support level, breaking established market norms.
Continuation Gaps: These gaps arise in the direction of an existing trend, typically propelled by increased buying or selling activity.
Exhaustion Gaps: Exhaustion gaps signal a potential reversal of the trend, but they usually occur on low trading volumes.
Unpacking the Gap Fill Phenomenon:
Gap "fill" occurs when the stock price retraces to pre-gap levels, offering traders opportunities to benefit from the market's oscillations. However, not all gaps experience this reversion, especially breakaway gaps, as broken support or resistance might hinder the fill.
Trading Gap Fills:
Strategies and Considerations: To navigate the complex landscape of gaps and gap fills, traders should consider several key factors:
Tailored Strategies: Crafting strategies based on the gap type, the prevailing market trends, and trading volumes.
Volume Analysis: High trading volume often indicates a continuation of the gap, while low volume may suggest a potential gap fill.
Patience is Key: Traders should exercise patience, waiting for a confirmed trend to emerge before making trading decisions.
Breakaway Gaps: While many gaps in trading tend to fill over time, breakaway gaps possess unique characteristics that often result in them remaining open.
Breakaway gaps typically stand out due to:
Robust Momentum: These gaps are typically backed by powerful market momentum, making it difficult for prices to retreat quickly.
New Market Perception: They often signal a significant shift in how the market views a stock's value, establishing a new price reality.
Lack of Immediate Resistance: Occurring where trading activity is limited, breakaway gaps find little resistance to their newfound position.
Market-Wide Acceptance: When breakaway gaps respond to widely accepted news or events, the market solidifies the new price level, resisting attempts to fill the gap.
Altered Investor Psychology: These gaps can initiate shifts in investor psychology, leading to sustained buying or selling pressure, reinforcing the gap's persistence.
Navigating Risk and Opportunity in Unfilled Gaps:
Unfilled gaps can present challenges, but they also offer unique opportunities. Traders who understand the enduring nature of breakaway gaps can develop strategies that harness the momentum and trend shifts linked to these gaps. By aligning trades with prevailing market sentiment, traders can leverage the complexities of unfilled gaps to their advantage.
Cryptocurrency Market: An Exception to the Gap Rule:
It's important to note that the cryptocurrency market operates differently from traditional stock markets. Gaps are relatively rare in the crypto realm, primarily due to its 24/7 trading structure. The continuous trading activity minimizes the possibility of significant price gaps.
However, rapid and substantial price changes can result in occasional "gap-like" phenomena. For instance, a sudden surge in buying or selling activity can lead to notable price shifts. Understanding these distinctions is crucial when trading cryptocurrencies.
Recognizing gap types, considering market context, and aligning strategies with prevailing market sentiment can empower traders to navigate the intricacies of gaps and leverage them effectively. In the cryptocurrency market, it's essential to comprehend the unique dynamics that affect gap occurrences.
