Get started

Gann Square

SPX - chatGPT does Gann# **SPX Forecast and Advisory Report** ### **Date**: December 8, 2024 ### **SPX Close**: 6090.28 **Prepared by**: --- ## **Introduction: Navigating the Path Ahead** As of December 8, 2024, the SPX stands at 6090.28, reflecting remarkable resilience amidst evolving economic conditions. This forecast report, grounded in Gann's legendary methodologies and refined through advanced analytical techniques, projects SPX price and time cycles through 2047. By leveraging historical low/high/low sequences (seven distinct sets of pivots), this report offers investors a clear and actionable roadmap for navigating the years ahead. --- ## **Price and Time Predictions (2024–2047)** ### **2024–2027: Optimism with Strategic Caution** - **2025**: - **Price Target**: ~6900 by mid-year, marking a strong continuation of the current uptrend. - **Time**: Potential short-term correction in **Q4 2025**; use this as a buying opportunity. - **2026**: - **Peak**: ~7200 in **late Q1 2026**, followed by a cyclical correction. - **Bottom**: ~6400 projected for **Q3 2026**, likely driven by macroeconomic pressures. - **2027**: - **Rebound**: Market recovery to ~7600 by **Q4 2027**, fueled by renewed growth and easing monetary policy. ### **2028–2032: A Pivotal Era of Growth and Volatility** - **2028**: - **High**: ~8000 in **Q2 2028**, with volatility increasing toward year-end. - **Correction**: Expect a pullback to ~7200 in **Q4 2028**, presenting an accumulation phase. - **2029–2030**: - **Breakout**: A new cycle high of ~8500 by **mid-2029**, with intermediate resistance near 8200. - **Correction**: A multi-quarter decline to ~7500 in **late 2030**, as geopolitical tensions weigh on sentiment. - **2031–2032**: - **Climactic Rally**: Surge to ~9000 by **mid-2032**, driven by structural economic shifts. - **Warning**: Early signs of a long-term cyclical peak emerging; expect heightened volatility into **Q4 2032**. ### **2033–2037: Approaching the Supercycle Top** - **2033**: - **Correction**: A significant pullback to ~8100 in **Q2 2033**, followed by a rebound to ~8600 by year-end. - **2034–2035**: - **Rally**: Renewed bullish momentum pushes SPX to ~9500 in **mid-2035**. - **Volatility Spike**: A sharp correction back to ~8800 by **early 2036**. - **2036–2037**: - **Supercycle Warning**: Major cyclical low at ~8300 projected for **mid-2037**, with signs of exhaustion in the multi-decade bull market. ### **2038–2042: The Generational Top** - **2038–2039**: - **Parabolic Advance**: SPX soars to ~11,000 by **late 2039**, as the final leg of the secular bull market unfolds. - **2040–2042**: - **The Ultimate Top**: Market likely peaks near ~12,500 in **early 2042**, signaling the culmination of the supercycle that began in 1932. - **Structural Shift**: Expect increased volatility and distribution patterns throughout 2042. ### **2043–2047: The Reset Phase** - **2043–2045**: - **Bear Market**: Significant declines to ~8500 by **2045**, reflecting the end of the supercycle. - **Opportunities**: Investors should focus on defensive strategies and prepare for a long-term market reset. - **2046–2047**: - **Bottom Formation**: The market stabilizes near ~7500 in **late 2047**, setting the stage for a new secular cycle. --- ## **Investment Strategies Based on Forecasts** ### **2025–2027: Growth with Tactical Adjustments** 1. Focus on growth sectors (technology, healthcare). 2. Use corrections in 2026 as buying opportunities, targeting recovery into 2027. 3. Diversify globally to mitigate geopolitical risks. ### **2028–2035: Exploit Bull Market Peaks** 1. Ride the bullish wave into 2035, but tighten risk management as volatility increases. 2. Reduce leverage and shift to value-oriented investments by 2033. ### **2036–2042: Prepare for the Supercycle Top** 1. Anticipate major market shifts after 2039; position portfolios defensively by 2041. 2. Consider allocating to commodities and alternative assets as hedges. ### **2043–2047: Seizing Opportunities in a Bear Market** 1. Accumulate high-quality assets during the anticipated bear market of 2043–2047. 2. Stay liquid to capitalize on undervalued opportunities during the market reset. --- ## **Conclusion** This report combines the wisdom of Gann’s methodologies with modern market dynamics to forecast SPX price and time cycles through 2047. Investors are advised to approach the market with both optimism and caution, capitalizing on growth while preparing for inevitable corrections and long-term structural shifts. --- This version keeps explanations concise while emphasizing actionable insights and predictions. It’s ready for your TradingView audience!
SP:SPXLong
by moleman340
GANN TRADING LESSON: TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICEGANN TRADING LESSON: TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE – THE CORE OF W.D. GANN’S METHODOLOGY William Delbert Gann, one of the most enigmatic figures in trading history, built his legendary status on a profound understanding of market movements. Among his many revolutionary insights, none resonate more than his assertion: “TIME is more important than PRICE.” Gann's studies reveal that markets are governed by cyclical laws where TIME dictates market behavior, and PRICE merely reflects the outcomes. This article delves deeply into Gann’s philosophy, integrating examples, methodologies, and references from his works, to illuminate why mastering TIME can give traders a significant edge. Understanding the Superiority of TIME in Trading 1. The Foundation of Gann’s Philosophy: - In his book “The Tunnel Thru the Air”, Gann states, “The future is but a repetition of the past; cycles can be studied and predicted with mathematical precision.” - This emphasizes that TIME controls market events. Price, on the other hand, is secondary—a mere result of the unfolding TIME cycles. 2. Why TIME is More Important Than PRICE: - PRICE is Reactive: Price changes happen as a result of events, but those events themselves are determined by TIME cycles. Without the correct timing, price predictions are speculative at best. - TIME is Predictive: Understanding TIME cycles allows traders to foresee when significant price movements are likely to occur, providing a roadmap for market behavior. 3. The Illusion of PRICE: - Traders often fall into the trap of chasing prices—buying highs or selling lows—without realizing that markets move within predetermined TIME windows. Gann showed that price breakouts or breakdowns are unsustainable if they occur outside critical TIME cycles. Key Concepts from Gann’s Methodology on TIME 1. The Law of Vibration: Gann believed that every market has its unique vibration, influenced by TIME cycles. In “The Law of Vibration”, Gann explains that market movements align with natural and cosmic vibrations, which repeat over TIME. 2. Cyclicality of Markets: Markets move in cycles determined by TIME. Gann’s studies revealed major cycles such as: - The 20-Year Cycle: Markets often exhibit significant highs or lows every 20 years. - The 60-Year Cycle: This aligns with major economic booms and depressions. - Planetary Cycles: Gann tied TIME cycles to planetary movements, including the 11.86-year Jupiter cycle and Saturn’s 29.5-year orbit. 3.The Square of Nine and TIME Projections: Gann’s Square of Nine is one of his most famous tools. While often used to predict price levels, it is equally powerful for determining TIME turning points. Example: The Square of Nine can map out important dates when markets are likely to reverse, based on the angle of price and TIME. 4. Geometry in TIME: In “The Geometry of Stock Market Profits”, Gann emphasized the relationship between price and TIME through angles. A 1x1 angle (45 degrees) represents the ideal balance between price and TIME. Any deviation from this angle signals acceleration or deceleration in the trend. 5. Astrological Influence on TIME: Gann’s work integrates astrology to predict TIME cycles. He studied planetary aspects, transits, and lunar phases to determine when markets would experience significant changes. Example: Gann highlighted the importance of eclipses, retrogrades, and planetary conjunctions in marking market highs and lows. Practical Applications of TIME in Trading 1. Time-Price Symmetry: Gann believed that price movements often mirror TIME durations. Example: If a market drops 100 points over 10 days, it is likely to recover 100 points over a similar TIME interval. 2. Repetition of Historical Cycles: Gann showed that the 1929 crash followed a similar TIME pattern to earlier financial crises. By studying historical TIME intervals, traders can predict future market events. Timing Highs and Lows: 3. Use Fibonacci TIME zones to identify when markets are likely to peak or bottom. Combine this with Gann’s techniques, such as using the Square of Nine, for precise predictions. Seasonality and TIME Cycles: 4. Markets are influenced by seasonal and cyclical TIME patterns. Gann demonstrated that major market reversals often coincide with solstices, equinoxes, and other seasonal turning points. Examples of TIME’s Importance in Gann’s Predictions 1. The 1929 Stock Market Crash: Gann predicted the crash using TIME cycles, noting that it occurred 60 years after the Panic of 1869 and 30 years after the 1899 bear market. 2. The 1987 Crash: Gann’s methods, when applied to long-term TIME cycles, also align with the 1987 crash. It occurred exactly 58 years after the 1929 collapse, reflecting the repetitive nature of TIME cycles. The Interplay Between TIME and PRICE While PRICE is easier to track and analyze, Gann believed that the greatest trading success comes from aligning PRICE movements with TIME predictions. He illustrated this in his “Master Forecasting Course”, where he taught students to: - Map out major TIME cycles. - Identify the angles and relationships between TIME and PRICE. - Use TIME as a framework to validate PRICE movements. Steps to Master Gann’s TIME Methodology Study Historical Cycles: - Identify significant market events and analyze the TIME intervals between them. Use Tools Like the Square of Nine: - Plot critical TIME intervals to predict market reversals. Combine TIME Analysis with Price Patterns: - Validate price movements with TIME projections to confirm trends or reversals. Incorporate Natural and Planetary Cycles: - Use planetary ephemerides and lunar calendars to enhance TIME forecasts. Conclusion: Why TIME is the Ultimate Edge Gann’s timeless wisdom teaches us that focusing solely on PRICE is like chasing shadows. TIME is the true master, dictating when markets turn, rally, or crash. By mastering TIME, traders can move from being reactive to predictive, seizing opportunities before they manifest. As Gann said, “When TIME is up, price will reverse.” This simple yet profound truth encapsulates the essence of his methodology. Focus on TIME, and the illusion of PRICE will reveal its secrets. Join the Discussion: Do you agree with Gann that TIME is the most critical factor in trading? Share your thoughts and experiences below!
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
How I Execute Trades Using Gann’s Square of 9Here in this example, I have used the Square of 9 method to predict a potential market reversal and executions. W.D. Gann, a legendary trader and analyst, is renowned for his pioneering techniques in financial markets. Among his tools, the Square of 9 stands out as a remarkable system to predict market turning points with precision. In this blog, we’ll explore the fundamentals of the Square of 9, how it works, and how we can use it to improve timing and decision-making in the markets. What is the Square of 9? The Square of 9 is a spiral-based numerical grid where numbers are arranged in a square, starting from 1 at the center and spiraling outward. Each number on the grid has angular relationships with other numbers, which Gann believed could forecast significant market movements. For instance: Numbers at the same angles (e.g., 39, 67, 105, 150) share a relationship that can signify potential turning points in the market. By marking these numbers and aligning them with trading days, we can identify key dates for potential price reversals. Core Assumptions in Price Dynamics Gann’s methods rely on two key assumptions: Repetition in Price and Time: Price tends to follow specific patterns or laws over defined intervals of time. Structured Alternation: The up-and-down movements of price are not random; they alternate in a structured, periodic manner. These assumptions form the foundation for analyzing price action through tools like the Square of 9. How to Use the Square of 9 Step 1: Identify Key Market Extremes Begin by locating significant highs or lows on a price chart. These extremums act as the starting point for your calculations. Step 2: Calculate Calendar Days Count the number of calendar days between: Two highs, Two lows, or A high and a low. Step 3: Locate the Number on the Square of 9 Find the calculated number (e.g., 39) on the Square of 9. Then, mark other numbers that lie on the same angle or corner, such as 67, 105, or 150. Step 4: Predict Turning Points Mark these numbers as potential future dates. On these dates, observe the market closely for signs of reversals or continuations. Practical Example Now let's Analyse GOLD. In this example we will take a daily candle that is making an all time high. From that high we will count the very next extreme high or low. How many trading days it takes to reach that price point and make a reversal? - 40 Trading days. Now we will look for the number 40 in Gann square of 9 table. and the very next probable execution or reversal we will get after 70 days according to the table. We see sharp price movement after 70th day and then at 180th day where we can place our order and execute with other confirmations. Benefits of Using the Square of 9 Enhanced Timing: Pinpoint potential reversal dates, helping traders refine entry and exit strategies. Objective Forecasting: Use a structured approach to reduce emotional decision-making. Improved Accuracy: Combine the Square of 9 with other technical tools for more reliable predictions. Conclusion The Square of 9 is a powerful tool for traders who seek to integrate time and price analysis into their strategies. By understanding its mechanics and applying its principles, you can anticipate market turns with greater confidence. As with any trading tool, practice and observation are essential. Study past market movements using the Square of 9 to develop your intuition and skill. With dedication, you’ll unlock the potential of this fascinating method and take your trading to the next level.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
1
How to calculate upcoming HIGH/LOW in market with time ?OANDA:XAUUSD This Gann Astro Trading Lesson demonstrates one of the most revolutionary trading concepts introduced by W.D. Gann: "When Time and Price Become Equal, the Market Must Reverse." Through the integration of advanced astrological principles, mathematical precision, and deep market understanding, this method highlights the supremacy of time over price in market forecasting. What Happened in the Chart? 1. Identification of the Low (27th November, 20:35) Using a combination of Gann’s astrological tools and mathematical calculations, a significant market low was identified. The Ascendant (ASC) value, 123.09, became a key parameter to project the forthcoming reversal point. This low acted as the starting point for determining when time would align with price. 2. Projection of the Market High (28th November, 7:05 AM) By applying precise calculations, the upcoming high was forecasted with remarkable accuracy. The market began to consolidate at this point, respecting the time projection and halting further upward movement. 3. The Role of New York Open (28th November, 9:30 AM) The market did not break the predicted high before 9:30 AM. This delay was attributed to the presence of high-frequency trading algorithms (HFTs) that dominate price action during key market opens. As anticipated, once the New York market opened, the price reversed sharply, demonstrating the dominance of time cycles over simple price observations. Why the Market Reversed? Time and Price Equality: The calculated time of 7:05 AM aligned perfectly with the earlier low, signaling a reversal point in the market. This alignment of time and price creates a "vibrational balance," a critical moment when market energy resets. Algorithmic Impact at Market Open: The consolidation near the projected high was not random—it reflected the preparation of institutional algorithms that execute trades in large volumes at the New York open. As anticipated, once the market opened, price reversed sharply, driven by these high-frequency trades. Why TIME Is Superior to PRICE in Trading Markets Follow Time Cycles: Most retail traders focus on price patterns, trend lines, or indicators, but fail to recognize that price moves in accordance with time cycles. Price is merely a result, while time acts as the governing factor behind market reversals, trends, and consolidations. Retail Traders’ Common Mistake: Without an understanding of time cycles, retail traders view markets as random or speculative. They often chase price, buy during rallies, and sell during declines—moves that are counter to natural time-based market rhythms. Gann’s Teachings on Time: Gann taught that markets are ruled by universal laws of vibration, heavily influenced by planetary movements and time-based intervals. When time becomes equal to price, markets undergo a significant shift. Failing to understand this makes retail traders vulnerable to losses. Lessons for Traders Time Is the Key to Consistency: Understanding time-based market mechanics removes randomness from trading. It enables traders to predict movements with high precision, often down to the minute, as shown in this example. Avoid the Pitfalls of Price Chasing: Retail traders lose money because they rely solely on price-based strategies. Without incorporating time, they are reacting rather than anticipating, leading to poor decision-making and losses. Mastering Gann’s Principles: W.D. Gann’s work proves that markets operate under natural laws. By mastering time cycles, one can forecast market highs and lows well in advance, achieving a level of precision that transforms trading from speculation to science. If you're tired of inconsistent results, losing money, and treating the market like a gamble, it’s time to unlock the ultimate trading methodology. This is your opportunity to dive into the most advanced, precise trading techniques that blend W.D. Gann's principles, astrology, and advanced mathematics to decode the market’s hidden structure. You will learn to calculate time and price equality for any market, forecast highs and lows down to the last minute, and identify market reversals with unmatched precision. This approach proves that the market is not random—it follows a disciplined, predictable order rooted in time, making it the ultimate edge over traditional trading strategies. By mastering these techniques, you will break free from the common retail trader mistakes and gain the ability to anticipate market moves with accuracy, long before they occur. This is not gambling or speculation—it is the science of understanding market dynamics through time’s supreme influence over price. If you are ready to transform your trading, achieve consistency, and trade with absolute confidence, contact me today to learn this decoded and proven system that will change the way you see the markets forever. The secrets to mastering market timing and precision await you!
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
GANN TRADING LESSON - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICETIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE: The Astrological Perspective Behind Gann’s Methodology When William Delbert Gann emphasized that TIME is more important than PRICE, he was tapping into something much deeper than conventional market analysis. While many traders focus on price movements alone, Gann understood that the market operates in astronomical cycles, where TIME governs much more than just price fluctuations. Astrology—particularly the positions and movements of celestial bodies—played a pivotal role in shaping his market predictions. In this lesson, I’ll explain how TIME, as influenced by astrology, is crucial to understanding market movements. These cycles, when understood properly, offer predictive power far beyond just analysing price levels. Astrological Influence on Time: 1. Planetary Cycles and Market Behavior: Gann didn’t just rely on conventional time intervals or geometric patterns. He utilized planetary alignments and aspects (the angular relationship between planets) to time his market entries and exits. Astrology is a tool that provides insights into the cycles of energy that influence all aspects of life, including financial markets. - Saturn’s Influence: Saturn governs structure, discipline, and long-term cycles. Gann recognized Saturn’s influence in the market's periodic retracements and consolidations. Understanding the Saturn cycle (approximately 29.5 years) can offer insight into long-term market trends and reversals. - Jupiter’s Influence: Jupiter represents expansion and growth. Its cycles (around 12 years) highlight moments of market optimism and bullish phases. A conjunction or favorable aspect of Jupiter can signal market rallies. - Mars and Venus: The positions and aspects of Mars (action, aggression) and Venus (value, attraction) provide insights into the market’s volatility and emotional impulses. These planetary movements help explain rapid market changes, both bullish and bearish. 2.Timing the Market with Planetary Transits: A planetary transit occurs when a planet moves over significant points in a chart, influencing market behavior. Gann was able to calculate how these planetary transits affected market cycles, and he applied this knowledge to forecast market turning points. - Mercury Retrograde: Gann was particularly attentive to Mercury retrograde periods, as these can disrupt market communication and create confusion. Traders often see slowdowns or reversals during these phases. Gann applied Mercury’s influence to identify market retracements and reversals. - Lunar Cycles: The Moon, with its 28-day cycle, affects emotions and market sentiment. Gann considered the lunar phases—new moons and full moons—as critical turning points in the market. The waxing and waning of the Moon corresponds to periods of growth and decline. 3. Astrological Timing in Market Cycles: One of the most powerful tools in Gann’s approach was understanding the relationship between planetary positions and market movements. By using astrological charts, Gann identified perfect alignments of planets that coincided with price action on the market. For example, a planetary conjunction could signal the start of a new market cycle, while a planetary opposition might indicate a peak or bottom. - Planetary Aspects: Key aspects between planets, such as conjunctions, squares, and oppositions, signal moments of market tension or harmony. These moments coincide with sharp price movements, either breakouts or reversals. - The 360-Degree Cycle: Gann's deep study of planetary harmonics showed that the 360-degree cycle used in astrology is mirrored in the market. He mapped out specific points in the market based on the planetary cycles and their corresponding aspects to price levels. Astrology in Practice: How Time and Celestial Events Shape Market Movements: 1. Astrological Alignment with Market Events: - I look for planetary alignments that occur near key market highs and lows. These alignments give me an exact timing window for potential market changes. For example, Mars square Pluto often brings about periods of intense volatility, which could signal a sharp price movement in either direction. 2. Using Lunar Phases for Predictive Power: - During new moons or full moons, I adjust my timing strategies. These phases, when aligned with market cycles, help me anticipate turning points. I make trade decisions based on these phases, particularly when a new moon or full moon coincides with significant planetary aspects. 3. Timing Market Entries Based on Planetary Cycles: - I don’t focus solely on price levels but rather on timing. For example, during a Jupiter-Saturn aspect, I may take a longer-term position as this phase suggests growth after a period of contraction. Conversely, when planets like Saturn or Pluto are forming harsh angles, I may expect a correction or a trend reversal. 4. Calculating Time Cycles Based on Astrology: - The math and geometry behind Gann’s teachings are intricately linked to the celestial bodies. Using astrological charts, I can pinpoint exact time frames when market changes are most likely to happen. The orbital periods of the planets are key to this predictive analysis. Conclusion: Integrating Time and Astrology for Precision in Trading: By understanding time cycles through an astrological lens, I’ve unlocked a deeper level of market prediction. The key takeaway is that the market doesn’t move randomly — it’s influenced by celestial cycles, and timing these cycles accurately can provide you with a predictive edge. Gann’s methods of combining advanced mathematics, sacred geometry, and astrology allow us to predict market highs, lows, and turning points with precision. Once you master the art of reading astrological cycles and apply them to your trading, you can move from being a reactive trader to a predictive one, capturing market movements before they happen. This is where the true power of TIME comes into play, as it becomes the ultimate tool for successful trading.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
9
BTCUSDT: Short-Term Analysis for 13/11/2024Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Always consult multiple sources and conduct thorough research before making trading decisions. Time Frame: 1-hour Market Analysis: The market has taken inducement and currently the market is experiencing a pullback to fill the gap. The additional support point of control is at 82146.00. Key Levels: Support: 83999.00-82773.00 (Daily Point of Control) Last Support:82146.00 Resistance: 92.00-94924.00 (Confluence of Fib Channel and Gan Box) Local High: 90,070.00 EMAs: 50/100/200 EMA (Bullish alignment) Trading Bias: Moderately Bullish Main Reason: If price pierce the last support at 82146.00, the trend may reverse to bearish momentum. However, if the price breaks the local high else bounces back after filling the gap, then the price could reach the above-given resistance 91699.00-94121.00 to form new all time high. The above resistance is in confluence with the Fib channel and Gann square.
by avatarfreak
Silver Major Price Levels and Trend InsightsWelcome to my latest Silver (XAG/USD) technical analysis using Gann grid lines! If you're new to Gann analysis, don’t worry—I'll break it down in simple terms. What Is Gann Analysis? Gann analysis is a method developed by legendary trader W.D. Gann. It combines geometry, time, and price to identify key levels in the market where price action is likely to react. In essence, Gann theory suggests that markets move in predictable cycles and that certain price levels are more significant than others. How Does This Gann Chart Work? In the chart you see above, I've applied Gann grid lines, which create a web of horizontal, vertical, and diagonal lines across the chart. These lines represent price-time relationships and help identify critical levels where Silver’s price might find support or resistance. Each horizontal line corresponds to specific price levels (in US dollars), while the diagonal lines help capture the trend and potential pivot points. Key Price Levels Here’s a breakdown of the most significant levels that you can see marked on the chart: Resistance Levels: 427.5° = $33.49 (Strong overhead resistance). 405° = $32.05. 382.5° = $30.66. 360° = $29.29. Support Levels: 337.5° = $27.95 (Current level, a key area to watch). 315° = $26.64. 292.5° = $25.37. 270° = $24.13 (Major support zone). The numbers next to these levels represent angles or "degrees" in Gann theory, which are important for measuring cycles of price and time. What Do These Levels Mean for Silver? Currently, Silver is trading around the 337.5° level ($27.95). This level could act as strong support, and we could see a potential bounce if buyers step in. However, if the price breaks below this, the next significant support level is at 315° ($26.64). If Silver holds the 337.5° level: We might see a move back up towards $29.29 (360°), followed by $30.66 (382.5°) if the bullish momentum continues. If Silver fails to hold 337.5°: The price could drop towards $26.64 (315°), which is another strong support zone. Diagonal Trendlines and Time Cycles The diagonal lines crossing the chart represent Gann angles, which help forecast turning points in the trend. For example, when price interacts with these lines, it often leads to shifts in direction or momentum. These angles can give clues as to when a price change might occur in relation to both price and time. Conclusion In summary, Silver is at a key inflection point. A bounce from current levels could take the price higher toward $29 and beyond, while a break below $27.95 might lead to further downside. Using Gann analysis helps traders understand not only key price levels but also the timing of potential moves, giving a more complete picture of market dynamics.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Magic_xD
Option Chain Before Earnings - $NVDA huge CALL skewThis week, keep an eye on NASDAQ:NVDA , which will release its quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Here are this week’s earnings releases implemented by the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator for Tradingview: 08/28 Wednesday after market close: NVDA , CRWD , CRM 08/29 Thursday after market close: MRVL The Options Overlay indicates that NVDA's call skew is above 55% at 54DTE, meaning that CALL options are priced 55% higher than PUT options for the binary expected move distance . This suggests that the market is pricing in a strong upward move. The yellow curve represents the binary expected move, while the blue curve shows the 16-delta OTM options. The green rectangle highlights the area where you can potentially profit from the butterfly trade if the earnings report meets bullish market expectations. Upward price levels: 7/8 - 138 8/8 - 150 Downward price levels: 6/8 - 125 5/8 - 112 If you agree with the market’s bullish sentiment, one of the best R:R trades might be a directional NVDA call butterfly. You can buy it for $109 with the nearest Friday expiration, with a maximum (theoretical) profit of nearly $900. It’s worth executing this trade before the earnings announcement. Note that the green dashed line is theoretical; while it's not a traditional trendline according to classic TA, the long-term upward trend is still quite clear Expiry: Aug 30 Legs: 1x140C -2x150C + 1x160C Net debit: ~$100 Max profit: $890
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TanukiTrade
$GLD Breakout and Option Strategy Spotlight with Overlay It looks like GLD 0.44%↑ finally broke out of its sideways-upward channel on Friday. Time to explore some opportunities using our Options Overlay indicator on TradingView. The current IVR is at 84, while the 62 DTE average IVx is only 19.9, making this IVx level exceptionally high for gold over the past year. On the daily chart, the Gold ETF is trading between the 6/8 and 7/8 levels. The options chain shows that calls 62 DTE are about 130% more expensive, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market. Examining the standard expected move (STD1), even at 4 DTE, the upside target is 237 (7/8), with the downside at 6/8. The delta curve shows the 16 delta OTM call trending upwards toward the 8/8 level, which aligns with the 250 level. Given this, I would caution against buying single-leg calls at such inflated prices. A pullback could dramatically reduce their value, and time decay will work against you. If you're determined to go bullish, a simple CALL butterfly offers a better risk-reward ratio! GLD Bullish strategy - if we are expecting rising IV Assuming further IV increases (IVx rose by 2% over the last 5 days despite a drop in VIX and a rise in the underlying), a CALL calendar spread presents a solid R:R setup. The Options Overlay quickly highlights the optimal expiry dates to target: Sep 20-27. I noticed a 4% volatility skew between these dates. The standard expected move (STD1) and delta16 suggest an upward probability range capped at 245, meaning there's an 86% chance that AMEX:GLD stays below this level by Sep 20. Here's my setup in this case: GLD Sep 20th - Sep 27th 245 Calendar Call Spread. This spread, spotted in under a minute on TradingView, offers nearly 8x risk-reward, but it's beneficial only if you're betting on continued IV increases.
AMEX:GLDLong
by TanukiTrade
BTC Ramped Move to $96KWith wars raging in the middle and eastern Europe, Governments are constantly devaluing their civilians' purchasing power. The King of Crypto, with gold, seems to be a place of refuge from the increasing inflation. We have seen a sideways acclamation over the past 144 days, with a stop run below 52,500 handle to shake out the weak hands. Price rejected these prices and moved strongly back into the range. I believe this to be a wave 4 move, with wave about the develop. The RSI holding above 40 which is the bottom of a bullish trend. 144 days is significant timing for those Gann traders. My target is 96K calculated using fib extension and confirmed by Gann square of nine. The CBIdx indicator is holding above 40 with a small bullish divergence appearing. We Should see ramped movement to the upside in the coming week.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TRADER-RI
MVIS All time GANN chartIn this chart you can see that MVIS has generally respected the curved lines and middle downtrend line (45 degree) angle. Bouncing off of them and on break throughs dropping to the next level. The last time we dropped to .15 MVIS bounced off of the curved green line all the way back up to the next one (and back down). At .82 MVIS was sitting on that curved line again. Thus far has bounce a small percent off of it. Looking for a continuation / repetition here.
NASDAQ:MVISLong
by CommissionGlum
MAHLOG- Analysis - Bottom Fishing Trade MAHLOG- Analysis Buy zone 370 to CMP or 389 Targets 451, 491, 538, if goes above this we can target for 632 also Stop loss - 346 for swing traders Stop loss - 328 for long term investor Important Dates to monitor :- 18th Dec 2023 23rd Dec 2023 (+/- 1 day) 10th Feb 2024 9th March 2024 - Very important date Hope this information will assist you in your trading / investment. Disclaimer -  I AM NOT A SEBI REGISTERED ANALYST OR ADVISOR. I DOES NOT REPRESENT OR ENDORSE THE ACCURACY OR RELIABILITY OF ANY INFORMATION, CONVERSATION, OR CONTENT. STOCK TRADING IS INHERENTLY RISKY AND THE USERS AGREE TO ASSUME COMPLETE AND FULL RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE OUTCOMES OF ALL TRADING DECISIONS THAT THEY MAKE, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO LOSS OF CAPITAL. NONE OF THESE COMMUNICATIONS SHOULD BE CONSTRUED AS AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES, NOR ADVICE TO DO SO. THE USERS UNDERSTANDS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THAT THERE IS A VERY HIGH RISK INVOLVED IN TRADING SECURITIES. BY USING THIS INFORMATION, THE USER AGREES THAT USE OF THIS INFORMATION IS ENTIRELY AT THEIR OWN RISK. Thank you.
NSE:MAHLOGLong
by PrashantTaralkar