LONG MOSYSeems like following Hedge Funds is a good strategy to make a quick return. I was skeptical, but with the pump of HSDT, I am somewhat convinced.
Due to the regulatory requirements of having to disclose a position greater than 5% within 10 days of the event, tracking HF ownership stakes in low cap stocks is fairly easy.
Couple that with proven past history demonstrating "pump and dump" in certain HF's, these type of trades seems reasonable. And when all this ties in with near all time lows and seemingly real company with a good vision, I feel better betting a few dollars. I'm willing to wager that some HF know more than the general public.
With multiple hedge funds having material ownership stakes in this company, I think it's a safe bet.
Gambling
WYNN testing it's luck WYNN is one of the stocks that has been beaten down the most with the outbreak of the COVID19.
We are now testing a previously held support.
In the chart, I have drawn resistance and support levels; risk reward ratio is attractive, but momentum is not on WYNN's side.
Keeping on a watchlist for a bounce play.
NETFLIX NEEDS TO BUY ViacomCBS (VIAC) - GREAT COMBINATION! The mega deal, CBS / Viacom, is finally done but now we have ViacomCBS sitting at just 5x earnings.
Netflix could gobble up ViacomCBS without hesitation.
If Netflix bought ViacomCBS (VIAC), it would create a mega media mogul. With the purchase of ViacomCBS, Netflix would cut it's royalties / expenses because it would then own a mega selection of content.
Also, with ViacomCBS in the sport betting industry, Netflix could open up sports betting in its app. which could generate billions in profits for Netflix.
National Amusements / The Redstone family are in full control of ViacomCBS and with that said, the family is always looking for the next mega deal!
Netflix has a market cap of around $162 Billion while ViacomCBS is sitting at around $21 Billion.
Netflix could swallow up ViacomCBS without a blink of the eye and create a media giant that almost no other could compete with.
A letter was recently sent to the Netflix board of directors asking the board to look at purchasing ViacomCBS and cut the cost / expense of royalties Netflix pays out for content.
Lets see what happens!
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VIAC ANNOUNCES SPORTS BETTING! UNDERVALUED STOCK, STRONG BUY!Today after the market closed, VIACOM announced a sports betting deal with William Hill - As many know, Sports Betting is becoming legal statewide & it's a multi-billion dollar industry.
Feb. 10, 2020 – LAS VEGAS – CBS Sports and William Hill, America’s leading sports book operator, today announced a strategic partnership that makes William Hill the Official Sports Book and Wagering Data Provider across all CBS Sports platforms. The deal will reimagine fan engagement through a unique integration of sports betting, media, product and technology. The partnership will tip off with initial integrations in March on CBS Sports digital platforms, with a full rollout planned for the fantasy football season.
The partnership extends CBS Sports’ digital leadership in the sports betting space, and allows for the creation of even more relevant content across its wide array of platforms. CBS Sports will utilize William Hill’s odds, experts and more than 140 sports books to bolster its current digital offerings, delivering deeper information and programming produced from William Hill sports books across the country, and further engaging sports bettors and fans. In addition, the partnership includes opportunities to feature William Hill data, odds and markets across CBS television programming.
William Hill will receive exclusive rights to promote its brand across CBS Sports’ broad range of digital platforms, including through CBS Sports Fantasy, one of the largest fantasy platforms in the world, resulting in highly efficient customer acquisition for the sports betting company.
“We’re thrilled to launch this momentous partnership, which will allow us to deepen our investment and further extend our leadership in delivering multiplatform sports wagering content, while providing William Hill with unprecedented reach for their market-leading betting platform as they continue to grow their industry-leading U.S. business,” said Jeffrey Gerttula, Executive Vice President and General Manager, CBS Sports Digital. “The power of our distribution, combined with the strength of our brands and the expertise of William Hill, has us well positioned to tap into the explosive growth of the legal sports betting industry in the U.S. Together, we will deliver even more value to this rapidly growing segment of sports fans.”
PRESS RELEASE: www.viacomcbspressexpress.com
We feel VIACOM is undervalued at current prices making it one of the most compelling stories / stocks for 2020
At less than 5 times earnings, the stock is dirt cheap!
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This website and our posts are for general information only. No information, forward looking statements, or estimations presented herein represent any final determination on investment performance. While the information presented in this website and our posts has been researched and is thought to be reasonable and accurate, any investment is speculative in nature. StockKid, and/or our agents cannot and do not guarantee any rate of return or investment timeline based on the information presented herein.
By reading and reviewing the information contained in this website and our posts, the user acknowledges and agrees that StockKid, and/or our agents do not assume and hereby disclaim any liability to any party for any loss or damage caused by the use of the information contained herein, or errors or omissions in the information contained in this website or our posts, to make any investment decision, whether such errors or omissions result from negligence, accident or any other cause.
Investors are required to conduct their own investigations, analysis, due diligence, draw their own conclusions, and make their own decisions. Any areas concerning taxes or specific legal or technical questions should be referred to lawyers, accountants, consultants, brokers, or other professionals licensed, qualified or authorized to render such advice.
In no event shall StockKid, and/or our agents be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages of any kind whatsoever arising out of the use of this website, our posts or any information contained herein. StockKid, and/or our agents specifically disclaim any guarantees, including, but not limited to, stated or implied potential profits, rates of return, or investment timelines discussed or referred to herein.
Bullish options activity in IGT ahead of earningsIGT, International Game Technology, has been getting some unusually bullish call options activity today. IGT blew away analyst estimates on its last earnings report, and options traders may be betting on a repeat performance. IGT has been seeing particularly strong growth in its global lottery division. Even if IGT misses on earnings, it could soon start to gain as it rolls out its new "CrystalBetting" sports betting terminal. In addition to its growth potential, IGT has an $.80 annual dividend.
BTC/USD - Chop chop chop chop chopKey support and resistance levels for BTC at present.
It's pretty simple as I see it.
ARGUMENT
Above 11.3k you can visit 'Topsville' and stay for about a week before being politely kicked out.
If we break 9.4k then you can take the elevator down to 8k (before a relief rally).
OPPORTUNITY
Honestly I sort of think that the support levels near the 9.4k area WILL be revisited at some point... that would be a nice place to put in a short or a long depending on your outlook.
A short at 9.5k would be delicious and likely profitable.
INVALIDATION
It would need to build some meaningful support at 10.8k. If it bounced hard at 9.4k perhaps that would also invalidate.. although every time this shite touches a support it becomes *weaker* not *stronger* ;)
EOS/BTC - Monitoring 1D ChartI don't know much about EOS. Looking at it, quite a curious one as it's ranged for quite a while (up to June 2019) when other alt scam coins were being slaughered in the so called "alt winter".
Price action shows a history of relatively short downtrends and uptrends.
Will be monitoring this closely.
+ Broke a crucial support level quite recently.
+ If it re-entered the range (indicated by a yellow box on the chart) it could stay there.
+ Otherwise, expect the bearish trend to continue until it hits one of the LOWER support levels.
LTC/BTC - Monitoring the 1D ChartLitecoin doesn't make a lot of sense to Bitcoin fans, and is seen as some kind of 'regular cola' imitation thing.
But it's friendly image, attractive price and pole position on Coinbase makes it popular with the dumb, unthinking first time gamblers who waddle in to the crypto casino.
For that reason I want to keep an eye on it while we wait for an (inevitable!) resurgence in altcoins.
Will update this regularly with thoughts on how it develops. Expect a relief bounce at one of the old support levels that are detailed with the blue lines.
High RisksBuy when everybody sells and sell when everybody buys.
We come along way without a proper healty correction, this is very alarming for me. The atmosphere is too good to be true. Some may have other plans as they did before. No one can really tell if the bitcoin will go sky high or to a bottom line. Who knows tomorrow BTC is not going to fall deep down to 1000 USD. Who can give a guarantee.
Evil happens at times like these where everything looks heavenly. When every body talks about more and more. Don't let your greeds fool you.
Disclaimer: Not for live trading. This is only my comment. Dont gamble, take your own risk.
When will the SHOP craze end?SHOP has been on a tear since the crash in December last year, currently up 160% in the last six months. It’s easy enough to cry ‘bubble’ at a glance, especially when zooming out reveals a jaw-dropping 1600%+ return in the last 3 ½ years. The stock is experiencing growth that surpasses even AMZN, and in most ways appears to exhibit the same exponential increase in earnings.
Comparing a bit, Shopify has not yet reached the revenue that Amazon was pulling in back in 2005, but at its current pace this will be overcome within a year. Prior to that period in the early 2000s Amazon saw similar increase in its stock price, followed by a long period of volatility and decline until half of those gains had been clawed back. It takes time for the gamblers to move on and for more stable investors to show up and provide a bottom. This is the growing pains of every wildly successful investment. Shopify is no exception to this principle.
Currently where it sits, Shopify is twice as expensive as Amazon was at a similar point, but this makes sense given that we’ve seen the outcome of Amazon already and expectations are increased. My reservations about SHOP are entirely due to the pace of this stock’s increase, not due to the fundamental reasoning being wrong.
I feel that referring to SHOP as a bubble is akin to calling Bitcoin a bubble. It may be experiencing a bubble for the moment, but it’s a natural event when logarithmic growth collides with linear systems. Events like this don’t end with the bubble bursting unless the timeframe of the evaluation is as short a duration as the hype and despair. The expected outcome for this stock is very different based on if we’re speaking of six months or six years from now.
I’ve marked a few spots on this graph that I think are worth watching. The top arrow represents the line of the current trend. Breaking this means we will likely drop to the second arrow for a small correction.
The pullback I’m referring to though is quite a bit larger. The 3rd and 4th arrow down are where I expect us to return to, and the point at which I would be willing to invest in SHOP for the long-term. The 3rd is the 200-day MA which would represent another solid leg up in the price, while the bottom is SHOP’s lowest trend-line which would come of frenzied selling.
Overall from the numbers SHOP seems an incredibly solid choice, but I cannot buy into hype. Every moment of excitement is counterbalanced with despair, and the tab is being run up very quickly here.
Wynn Macau Ltd HK 1128 Casino Top Pick Testing RangeWynn Macau Ltd
HKG: 1128
Fundamentals:
Since 2018. Wynn Macau is one of the one casino in Macau to capture most of high-roller gambling activity, consistently leading Macau on the VIP drop. Galaxy and Wynn contributed to close to 45% to the VIP volume.
Why VIP Volume? Investors place heavier emphasis on main revenue driver, revenue numbers, which are mostly generated from VIP segment.
Macau long term growth
Wynn recent upgrade to BUY RATING at Jefferies is giving it a boost with PT 23.80 after Goldman Sachs upgrade the stock in early April
Technicals:
Just Friday, 12 Apr, 50 DMA rose above 200 DMA and 50 EMA crossed 100 EMA.
Golden cross shows no sign of reversing for now while a long flag formation is formed.
Resistance : 22.0
Support : 20.70
Gambling Stock Looks Like a Sure Bet for 20% GainThis stock looks like a solid gamble for higher prices.
Weekly chart breaking will trigger powerful 2-3 week rally.
Bitcoin - how to lose your money - demonstration of FOMOThis is on BTCUSD on the Daily time frame. I get right into my own psychology and explain what I'm feeling terms of FOMO.
I point out how the FOMO mentality causes people to lose big money. I've put on a paper trade, to explain this.
Note that ESMA and the NCA's have pointed out that:
... trading across different EU jurisdictions shows that 74-89% of retail accounts typically lose money on their investments , with average losses per client ranging from €1,600 to €29,000.
Did you get that? if you're a new trader your chance of losing a substantial part of your account is up to 90%!!
We're talking about serious risks in all trading. But where is the risk coming from? It's about a majority of traders having a psychological framework that cannot cope with chaos and uncertainty.
Loads of traders are preoccupied with winning a single trade or not missing what they think is a good opportunity. They're largely influenced, as well by big media and 'forum talk'.
Profitability depends on a consistent approach, avoiding the lure of bandwagons heading in one direction, missing on what turns out to be 'good trades', but controlling loss (the only real control we have).
Just to be clear - I have pointed out the dangers. I have not said that people should not enter on Bitcoin. I actually said if they want to do so, it's better with a carefully managed risk on a much lower time frame. Nothing in here is advice, even if you think of it as such.
I predict nothing.
Today's Lesson (#4) : Adjusting the leverage to volatilityIn this educational content video I had to cover one the biggest noob trader mistake, trading with too much leverage.
That's basically what flushes out almost 80% of the noobs. Getting the margin call, putting more money into trading than you initially expexted.
All of this is well known as gambling problems. And the recent flow of beginners who went to the markets with hopes of easy gains, most are now feeling the painful experiment of what the market is doing to fools.
So I hope you'll learn something important today with that lesson. Cause if you don't, then you'll probably have to learn it the hard ways later...
Nice entry point for FUN/BTC!Looks like a very nice entry for FUN/BTC. FUN appears to be holding strong and creating a nice upward trading channel. Now is a nice entry point because it's touching the bottom of the upward trend line. In addition the blue box zone appears to be a very healthy area of horizontal support so your' chances of falling below this level are quite low.
FunFair just went live with their beta on the Ethereum Mainnet and they are targeting end of Q2 for the launch of their first of many casino operator on the FunFair platform.
FUN/BTC - Beautiful Bull Flag on 4 hour chart almost completeFUN/BTC is completing a nice Bull Flag on the 4 hour chart. Notice the beautiful falling wedge pattern that is almost complete. If we tag the length of the flag pole we can project the next target to be 707 sats. Also note that the histogram shows sellers are running out of steam and bulls will soon regain momentum up. And lastly, the RSI levels have cooled off allowing for another nice move up.
Recent News:
In last 24 hours FunFair was endorsed by Kyle Samani (Managing Partner of Multicoin Capital) as it relates to online gambling. He shared his thoughts on FunFair while speaking with Tim Draper and Jimmy Song. You can hear Kyle speak about his thoughts on FunFair and blockchain in this video posted yesterday:
www.youtube.com
FunFair just opened up applications for their closed beta and they are expected to go live with their first casino operator by end of June assuming beta goes well. They will be holding an AMA tomorrow with the engineering team to answer any questions from the community.
Related Links:
Website: funfair.io
Demo Casino Games: showcase.funfair.io
Signup for Beta Details: www.reddit.com
My longer term analysis for FUN:
POLITRICKS: Avoid it in your tradingI briefly mention the political situation in the world that affecting many stock markets.
I'm seeing wide swings on a daily time frame, whenever their is good or bad news.
Traders would be wise to avoid gambling in these sorts of volatile markets. Those with large accounts can of course take a position and ride out the volatility in following a trend.
Burning your account in volatile lower time frames?In this very first video I'm posting, I look at the 30 min time frame where some day traders tend to trade. I show 6 charts with high volatility and lots of spiking all over the place.
Yes there may be some visible and tradable pattern in these on careful analysis. However, the degree of volatility seen over the last two months may not 'respect' traditional forms of technical analysis - as they may have in the previous 6 months.
It is my observation that the last two months have shown more volatility across many forex pairs and indices. Those that were already prone to much volatility are even more volatile.
I don't mean to tell traders what to do or not do. I'm only thinking that new traders especially, with smaller account sizes may be more cautious so as not to burn their accounts. Avoid gambling.
Are you trading or gambling?Tradingview has opened up a brilliant section on ' Beyond Technical Analysis ', where there is much room for development.
I have a very big interest in trading psychology as I've come to realise that success in trading is determined by roughly 80% psychological self-management (and its many components). I've been exploring this topic elsewhere (link later). But for now let's just think about some of this stuff. At the outset I wish to say that I claim no 'guru' status. I do not do trainings or tips. I never - will never - offer anything to others for my personal financial gain.
An exploration of the similarities and differences between trading and gambling is very important. Many a new trader will not realise that they could be gambling instead of trading. I see the two as different, though I am aware that a majority of people may see them as one and the same.
This topic is of the utmost importance. You're in a game where the odds are naturally stacked against you . The markets of any type are chaotic environments that present patterns of various kinds which may be better seen by tools in technical analysis. A new trader could learn the mountain of tricks in technical analysis and still fail miserably. How? Because individual psychology is the big issue. Mark Douglas's book Trading in the Zone is for me the ultimate Bible about Trading Psychology and more. I say no trader should be trading at all if they haven't read it.
How does gambling come into this? Well, the human being is naturally driven by reward. A few big wins in a trading environment is highly rewarding. This can lure new traders especially, into taking more and more (or greater) chances or risks without the structure of a working trading strategy that is tried and tested. This is the same scenario essentially with people who visit casinos . In essence the punter knows in his own mind that doubling his bets and holding out is likely to bring a big win or win back losses. Reality is a different thing, and it is often times painful for those who engage in that sort of activity.
Taking chances or risks is not gambling. Seasoned traders will know that one has to be prepared to lose, in taking a risk or a chance. We all take risks from time to time in crossing a busy street but we are normally aware of what factors we need to control.
Controlling the size of a loss in trading is the very difficult issue that is affected by 'individual psychology'. How do we really know how to control the chance and risk in those scenarios? There are approximately 300 biases that affect the human mind, and another 300 or so logical errors in the mind - the majority of those control our logic quite imperceptibly. The permutations of the latter are extremely large numbers. Add emotional factors to the equation and some will better appreciate how decision-making on risk can be affected. Reward drives emotions and emotions influence thinking (decision-making).
Gambling is an activity which I see as (normally) driven mostly by emotions. For example that hunch that 'you're gonna win' the next time around. There are so-called 'expert gamblers' who make millions at casinos. These are exceptional people - but they weren't born that way. When you look at what they do, they aren't gambling even when they are in the casino (a place that is defined for gambling). They have a system, a process, they avoid emotional influences and they are highly controlled in their responses . Many of them are not even concerned with winning or their losses. This is much the same sort of mindset I pick up from a few truly successful traders. This is what true traders must achieve to avoid gambling.
Supplemental: What is gambling? - Managers of chaos - Luck & chance