XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Behavior , Prices are trading inside a demand zone—a price range where buying interest is expected to be strong, leading to potential price increases.
Today, prices have declined by 1.80%, signaling short-term weakness.
A potential decline is expected to continue toward the demand line at $2,685. This level serves as support, where buyers may step in to stop further declines.
If prices stabilize inside the demand zone or if a 4-hour candle opens above/inside the zone, this suggests a potential increase.
In this case, the target price levels are $2,750 and $2,757, implying a bullish rebound.
If prices break below the demand zone, this indicates further weakness.
In this case, prices are expected to decline further toward $2,685 and possibly $2,663, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Fvg
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/10/2024Last week was active for the Judas Swing strategy, with two positions on FX:GBPUSD resulting in wins (+4%), three positions on FX:EURUSD yielding one win and two losses (breaking even), three positions on FX:AUDUSD with one win and two losses (breaking even), and one position on OANDA:NZDUSD securing a win (+2%). Overall, this led to a 6% increase by the week's end. Encouraged by these results, we began the week with enthusiasm to discover what lay ahead. In keeping with our routine, we reached our trading desks at 08:25 EST and set up our trading zones.
Once we have demarcated our zones, we should wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, as this will assist us in determining our bias for the trading session. Twenty minutes later, the trading zone's low was swept, indicating that we should concentrate on looking for buying opportunities during this trading session.
Although we may have a bias for the trading session, we do not enter buy trades indiscriminately. Instead, we wait for a break of structure towards the buy side. During this break of structure, the price movement should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which will assist us in getting an entry point for the trade. Shortly after, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the buy side, which resulted in a Fair Value Gap (FVG) being left behind.
To fulfill all the entry criteria on our checklist, we must wait for price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has formed, and we can only execute the trade once the candlestick has closed. The next five-minute candle has entered the Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating that upon its closure, we may proceed with executing the trade.
It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, our position immediately showed a profit. However, it's crucial to stay composed and manage our expectations, as we do not control the markets and the situation could swiftly change.
After a few hours, we revisited the position and noticed it was still fluctuating around the same price point where we had previously left it. According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur.
Upon reviewing the position once more, we noticed it continued to consolidate in the same area. However, according to our rules, we must wait for the position to either reach the Take Profit (TP) or Stop Loss (SL) point.
Unfortunately, our patience did not yield the desired results this time, as the stop loss was triggered and we incurred a 1% loss of our trading account on this trade. However, this loss did not impact us significantly since we had already accepted the amount we were risking on the trade.
NAS100USD / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE / 1H NAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Prices Declined to Target ,As mentioned that the prices have already declined and reached a previously set target. This likely indicates that the price moved lower to a level anticipated by prior analysis.
Trading Above Demand Zone , Prices are currently above a “demand zone,” which is an area where buying interest is expected to be strong enough to support the price from declining further. Being above this zone indicates some stability and that the asset is holding its ground.
Stabilizing Above the Demand Zone , If prices stabilize above this zone, it could suggest an upward trend. This signals that the demand is strong enough to prevent further decline, encouraging buyers.
Targeting Supply Zone , The text suggests that if prices continue to remain above the demand zone, they may increase to reach the supply zone between 20,361 and 20,405. A supply zone is an area where selling pressure might start, potentially capping price gains. This range is likely a price target where sellers might step in.
Risk of Breaking the Demand Zone , If prices break below the demand zone, a decline could occur, with the next demand zone between 20,084 and 20,041 being the likely target. This suggests that the asset could continue its downtrend if buyers fail to defend the current demand zone.
Confirmation of Downtrend , The downtrend would be confirmed if the price breaks through the lower demand zone, meaning the asset could continue to fall if it fails to find support at these levels.
NAS100USD / AFTER EARNING Q3 / 1HNAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After the Q3 earnings report was released, prices showed volatility (declines and increases), suggesting market uncertainty or instability.
Current Price Level , Prices are currently below the supply line at 20,382, indicating downward pressure.
Downside Projection , If the decline continues, the price may reach the demand zone between 20,184 and 20,138. If it falls further, the next target range is between 20,084 and 20,041.
Upside Potential , If prices break above the supply line (20,382), the analysis suggests that prices could rise toward a supply zone between 20,460 and 20,523.
Range and Time Frame , The price movement is taking place within the range of 20,041 to 20,523 on a 1-hour time frame, which means this analysis is for short-term trading.
Supply Zone : 20,460 and 20,523.
Demand Zone : 20,184 and 20,138 , 20,084 and 20,041.
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend , The price of gold continues to rise and is approaching $2,750. Despite reaching the initial target, prices are still under upward pressure.
the price is attempting to break through the $2,750 level, which represents the next significant resistance. If prices remain below $2,750, a decline is expected.
If the price declines, it is likely to reach $2,730, with a further potential drop to the demand zone between $2,724 and $2,701.
Breakout Potential , A break above $2,750 could signal further increases in price.
Historical Context , The recent breakout above the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685 on September 26, 2024, has driven the current upward momentum, with the market now aiming for a new ATH at $2,750.
Overall Conclusion , Gold prices are in an upward trend, with critical resistance at $2,750. A failure to break this level could lead to a pullback, but breaking through may trigger further gains.
Demand Zone : $2,724 and $2,701.
Demand Line : $2,730.
USDJPY / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Accumulation Phase, After breaking out of a straight channel, the price of USD/JPY has entered an accumulation zone, meaning it’s trading in a range without a clear trend. The range is defined between 150.350 and 147.152 .
Range Breakout ,The direction of the next major move will be determined by whether the price breaks above 150.350 or below 147.152. Breaking out of this range on either side will signal the market’s direction.
Downward Pressure , The overall sentiment seems bearish, indicating the price is trading under downward pressure. However, it is still within an accumulation phase.
Fair Value Gap (FVG), The analysis suggests that the price might try to move towards the FVG, located between 150.979 and 152.746, before any potential decline. If the price breaks through this FVG zone, it will confirm an upward trend
Demand Zone, There’s a key demand zone between 146.786 and 145.982. If this zone is broken, it will confirm a downtrend and likely signal further bearish movement.
FVG : 150.979 and 152.746.
Demand Zone : 146.786 and 145.982.
Accumulation Zone : 150.350 and 147.152.
XAUUSD / UNDER MIDDLE EAST TENSION / 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After breaking the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685, gold prices have continued to rise. My next targets are set at $2,750 and $2,788. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East are a significant factor contributing to the upward momentum, making it likely that gold will reach these levels.
As long as gold remains stable above the demand zone between $2,714 and $2,701, bullish pressure is expected to persist, potentially driving prices to my target levels. However, if the demand zone is breached, it could signal a decline, with prices possibly revisiting the previous ATH of $2,685.
In conclusion, as long as tensions in the Middle East continue, the overall outlook for gold suggests sustained upward pressure.
Demand Zone : $2,714 and $2,701.
New Historical Zone : $2,750 and $2,788.
BITCOIN / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA / 1HBITCOIN / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Prices are trading near the demand zone, which is an area where buying interest is high enough to prevent the price from falling further. It suggests that if prices stabilize and remain above this zone, buyers are likely maintaining control.
If prices remain above the demand zone, the analysis forecasts a potential increase toward the supply zone, which is the range between 69,058 and 69,513. A supply zone is an area where sellers are likely to step in and create downward pressure on the price.
On the other hand, if prices break below the demand zone, it would confirm a downtrend. This means the selling pressure has overwhelmed buying, pushing the price downward. The analysis predicts the price could then fall to the next demand zone between 65,420 and 64,867.
Supply Zone : 69,058 and 69,513.
Demand Zone : 65,420 and 64,867.
ASII Buy Trade Setup1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 4830, also the break of previous downtrend, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 4790 - 4940.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 5100 ( Long Bullish Bar on 21 Oct 24)
SL: 4770 (FVG)
TP1: 5900
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2.4
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XAGUSD Potential BuyTime Frame:
- Daily: (FVG Identification)
- H4 Entry Signal
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 32.50 - 32.75 area, indicating a continuation in market sentiment.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the daily chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 32.00 - 33.45.
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NDX100 Long HIGH RISKScalping/Day Trading Setup – High Risk
GBEBROKERS:USTEC
Key Zones: FVA + FVG + Overlapping Defense + OTE 0.705
Trade Management: Planning to take partial profits ahead of the New York session shift to mitigate potential volatility. Once the first target is hit, I'll adjust the stop loss to break-even (BE) to secure the trade.
BNBUSD / OVERALL DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HBNBUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Status , Prices are attempting to stabilize above 585.4 ,If successful, the price is expected to rise towards a supply zone between 605.8 and 619.1.
Uptrend Confirmation , For an uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break above the supply zone between 605.8 and 619.1.
Downtrend Scenario , If prices break below 585.4, it indicates a likely decline towards a demand zone between 571.8 and 565.5 , To confirm a downtrend, prices would need to break below this demand zone.
Range & Direction , The price is currently fluctuating between the supply and demand zones. Breaking either side of this range will help determine the future direction.
General Market Sentiment, Despite the analysis of potential movement in both directions, the overall tendency suggests the prices are under downward pressure.
Supply Zone : 605.8 and 619.1.
Demand Zone : 571.8 and 565.5.
CHAINLINK SWING TRADINGSwing trading
BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Seeing that the structure has been respected, I decide to open a position now. These are my arguments:
Bullish arugments:
Monthly PCL being disrespected
Weekly PCL being disrespected
Daily swing low being disrespected
4H swing low being disrespected
So far I see no bearish arguments.
Trade management:
SL at $9.94 which that would indicate strong rejection and would power a search for liquidity at the lower end of the range. However, there does not seem to be so much weakness to look for a lower low than the September low.
TP, partials could be obtained. A partial TP would be on liquidity on the buy side at $13.90 and let profits run to ITH with SL on BE once the 1TP profit is taken.
XRPUSDT / TRADING FVG AREA / 4HXRPUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
FVG Area (0.55 - 0.54) , The price is currently trading and stabilizing within the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 0.55 and 0.54 , The FVG area refers to a zone where there’s an imbalance between buy and sell orders, often indicating where price might consolidate before making a significant move.
Potential Decline , The prices suggests that if the price continues to decline, it could reach the demand zone between 0.52 and 0.50. The demand zone is where buying interest is expected to be stronger, possibly halting the downward movement.
Potential Upside , If the price breaks above the FVG area with a 4-hour candle close, it’s expected to increase, targeting the supply zone between 0.59 and 0.60. A supply zone represents a price area where selling pressure may increase.
Confirmation of Trend , To confirm an uptrend, the price needs to break the supply zone (0.59 - 0.60) , To confirm a downtrend, the price must break the demand zone (0.50 - 0.52).
Overall Trend , Despite the short-term potential for upward movement, the text concludes that the price is under downward pressure.
Supply Zone : 0.59 - 0.60.
Demand Zone : 0.50 - 0.52.
FVG : 0.55 - 0.54.
USDJPY /BETWEEN FVG AREA / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price is attempting to reach a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 150.961 and 152.784. This suggests the price is in a critical area that could lead to potential buying or selling opportunities.
There’s a possibility of the price retesting 148.340 before starting to rise. This indicates that the author believes the price might dip before moving upwards.
The statement notes that the overall price is under bearish pressure, meaning there is a downward trend. The reference to remaining below the FVG indicates a struggle for the price to rise past this zone.
If the price does not break above the FVG, the analysis suggests it may decline further, targeting the FVG between 148.340 and 146.430. This is interpreted as a confirmation of a downtrend.
To confirm a downtrend, the price must break below the current FVG, aiming for a secondary FVG between 145.291 and 144.379. This indicates a bearish outlook if these levels are breached.
UPWARD FVG : 150.961 and 152.784.
DOWNWARD FVG : 148.340 and 146.430 , 145.291 and 144.379.
US30 / UNDER Q3 EARNING , AFTER BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The chart mentions a breakout from a price channel followed by the publication of Q3 earnings, suggesting that these two events contributed to the rise in the US30’s price, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of 43,323.
It notes that prices are currently trading below the ATH, implying a potential pullback or correction.
The analysis identifies a demand zone between 42,877 and 43,649. The text suggests that if prices stabilize within this zone, there is potential for a bullish reversal, with prices possibly rising back to the ATH and even reaching new historical peaks between 43,620 and 44,005.
For a bearish scenario to play out, the text suggests that prices would need to break below a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 42,404 and 42,238. Breaking this level could confirm a downtrend.
Despite the potential for a pullback, the overall tone of the analysis is bullish, as prices are said to be under upward pressure after breaking out of the channel.
ATH : 43323
Demand Zone : 42,877 and 43,649.
FVG : 42,404 and 42,238.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL AND ATH AT 2,685$ / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is experiencing upward momentum after breaking out of a channel, suggesting a bullish.
The price has broken its previous ATH at $2,685 and is currently attempting to reach a new ATH at $2,700. ATH levels are significant as they represent new highs in price, and breaking them often signals bullish strength.
The price is hovering around a fair value gap between $2,685 and $2,682. As long as it stabilizes above this range, it suggests further potential for upward movement towards $2,700 and even $2,720.
If the price breaks below this FVG, it may decline toward a demand zone between $2,676 and $2,670. Breaking this demand zone would indicate a further decline.
Demand Zone : 2,676$ and 2,670$.
FVG : 2,685$ and 2,682$.
NAS100USD / TRADING INSIDE FVG AREA / 1H NAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME
HEELO TRADERS
Price Movement and Supply Zone , After prices increased and reached a supply zone, they began to decline , A supply zone refers to a price area where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, causing the price to drop.
Current Trading Range (FVG) , The price is currently trading between 20,272 and 20,200, which is considered an FVG (Fair Value Gap) , FVG represents an imbalance between buyers and sellers, where prices move quickly and leave a gap that hasn’t been filled. The price is stabilizing within this zone.
Expected Price Movement , If prices hold within this FVG range, there’s an indication that they may increase and test the supply zone between 20,416 and 20,521 ,However, if the price breaks below this FVG area, a further decline is expected towards a demand zone between 20,138 and 20,068.
Demand Zone and Potential Rebound , The demand zone, where buying pressure is stronger than selling pressure, suggests a potential price increase if the price stabilizes in this zone , But if the price breaks below this demand zone, it signals confirmation of a downtrend.
Supply Zone : 20,416 and 20,521.
Demand Zone : 20,138 and 20,068.
FVG : 20,272 and 20,200.
EURUSD Scalping-day trading HIGH RISKSetup: OTE + FVA + FVG
FX:EURUSD
I'm using a tight stop-loss here because if it gets hit, I'm prepared to re-enter at a lower level. This approach allows me to better capture high-probability zones while keeping risk minimal at this stage.
📈 RR: 12.15 — A great risk/reward ratio that helps me optimize each trade and manage capital efficiently.
Always ready to adapt to market conditions and stick to the plan 👊. If this trade doesn't go as expected, I've already got the next step in mind.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/10/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas Swing strategy, with three consecutive losses and no wins, which heightened our anticipation for this week. Will we be able to break this losing streak? We'll soon find out. We typically arrive at our trading desks five minutes before the session starts to delineate our zones and settle into the trading rhythm.
After delineating our zones, the next step is to wait for a sweep of a high or low of the trading zone, which will assist us in establishing our bias for the trading session. Forty-five minutes later, price swept the liquidity at the high, indicating that we should look for selling opportunities during this trading session.
A few minutes after the high was swept, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side, which was encouraging as we avoid entering trades without analysis, even with a sell bias established for the session. Upon identifying the BOS, the next step is to find a Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the price leg that broke structure.
The final step in the entry checklist is to wait for price to pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and to execute the trade only after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. Shortly after, a candle entered the FVG, indicating that we could execute our trade following the close of the candle.
It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, we experienced a significant drawdown, which is a critical point for those who risk more than they can afford to lose.
After a patient wait, the trade has turned around and begun to move in our favor, which is thrilling. However, we must still keep our composure as the objective has not yet been achieved
According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 15 hours and 20 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our take profit (TP) target was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on a trade where we risked 1%.
Ethereum, patience is the key for longsEthereum is a different story.
It's more challenging to catch, but the bullish arguments are also strong on higher timeframes. However, if you're aiming for a solid long position, patience is key. Set alerts at crucial levels like the weekly bullish FVG and the two daily bullish FVGs. The price is currently moving to provide a fair value for supply.
For now, this is the main idea I have in mind.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
USDCAD Sell SetupTime Frame:
- Daily: (FVG Identification)
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character (CoC) by the break of the previous support at 1.360, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bearish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the daily chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.3810 and 1.3790. The price was rejected in the area, which marked as a potential reversal zone.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 1.3750
SL: 1.3810 (above Daily FVG)
TP1: 1.3435 (previous low)
TP2: 1.3120 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:10
5. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.