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Fundamental Analysis

GOLD just passed $2,700, pay attention to CPI dataWednesday (December 11) on the Asian market, OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased again in the short term. Gold price has just surpassed the important milestone of 2,700 USD/ounce, reaching the highest level of the day as of the time this article was completed at 2,703.65 USD/ounce. Attention is turning to the US consumer price index (CPI) today (Wednesday) and the producer price index (PPI) on Thursday, both data will be important in influencing the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. According to market surveys, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to increase 0.3% in November, with year-on-year increases expected to be 2.7% and 3.3%, respectively. %. Overall and core producer prices in the United States are expected to increase 0.2% month-on-month in November, with year-over-year increases of 2.6% and 3.2%, respectively. CPI data in line with expectations is unlikely to hinder interest rate cuts, but if the data shows inflation progress is slowing, the likelihood of a third consecutive rate cut by the Fed may decrease. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool" shows that the futures market expects an 86% chance that Fed Chairman Powell and his colleagues will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at their meeting on August 17-18. /12. In addition, gold prices also skyrocketed when the Chinese central bank resumed gold purchasing activities. Meanwhile, the geopolitical situation plays an important role and still has many potential risks after Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was overthrown. Gold is considered a safe investment during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty and tends to appreciate in low interest rate environments. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has initial conditions for a bullish outlook as it broke out of the falling price channel after a long period of sideways accumulation. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index also rose above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal for the future growth prospects as it will move towards the 75-100 area. With that, EMA21 which was the previous resistance has now become the most notable support. Gold prices are pushed above the original price level of 2,700 USD, keeping price activity above the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level will provide conditions for a new bull cycle with the target then around 2,730 USD where the Fibonacci retracement is located. 0.236%, more than the Volume Profile POC level. During the day, gold has all the technical conditions to increase in price and is temporarily limited by the original price of 2,700 USD. The notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,693 – 2,676 – 2,663USD Resistance: 2,700 – 2,730USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2721 - 2719⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2725 →Take Profit 1 2714 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2709 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2655 →Take Profit 1 2666 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2671
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GBPUSD (1W) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, UPTREND📈GBPUSD: A High-Risk Uptrend Retracement The GBPUSD pair is currently undergoing a high-timeframe downtrend. However, we’re observing a short-term retracement to the upside . While this may offer potential trading opportunities, it’s crucial to approach this market with caution. ⚠️ Holding a Long Position above 1.3559 is HIGH-RISK Key Levels to Watch: SLO2 @ 1.3652 ⏳ RESISTANCE @ 1.35874 SLO1 @ 1.3458 ⏳ TP4 @ 1.3359 TP3 @ 1.3005 TP2 @ 1.2776 TP1 @ 1.2445 BLO1 1.2107 ⏳ BLO2 1.1900 📈 Risk Warning: Holding a long position above 1.3559 is considered high-risk due to the underlying downtrend. Please exercise prudent risk management and consult with a financial advisor if necessary. Stay tuned for further updates as the market evolves.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
SOL 6H. Solana Heading to $400 in the Medium Term. 12/12/24The asset price is currently stabilizing within the $222-$204 range, which could serve as a critical support zone. Support is the level where the price tends to bounce back as buyers step in aggressively, holding the price at this level. In the short term, I’m considering a buy position targeting $260, which marks the upper boundary of the current range. For me, this is strictly a near-term goal. In the medium term, I anticipate Solana trading between $300 and $400. To put it clearly and concisely: I expect further growth for #SOL and do not foresee the price dropping below $204. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
POPCAT 1D. From Meme to Moon. 12/12/24The market went into the expected correction, but no one anticipated it would happen so quickly. As a result, the technical analysis of traders worldwide was effectively nullified. Those who thought otherwise simply guessed correctly—it's as simple as that. There's no point in justifying or looking for imaginary reasons for this drop. The expected shakeout of retail traders occurred, and we just need to accept it, forget it, and move forward. Given our targets for POPCAT, it's still not too late to invest in this asset. Moreover, your entry point could be better than most. A potential strategy is to invest 50% of your desired volume at the current price and place two additional limit orders of 25% each in the range of $1.0887 - $0.9877. The nearest target is $1.7550. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
WIF. A Hidden Gem Ready to Explode! 12/12/24Given the targets we have for WIF, it's still not too late to invest in this asset. Moreover, your entry point could be better than most. A potential strategy is to invest 50% of your desired volume at the current price and place two additional limit orders of 25% each in the range of $2.539 - $2.236. The nearest target is $4.3. Dogwifhat (WIF) is a meme coin on the Solana blockchain. The token is inspired by a photo of a Shiba Inu dog wearing a pink knitted hat. The token's name is a deliberately misspelled phrase "dog with hat." I’ve held onto these "dog coins" on spot for a long time, waiting for the moment when a new ATH would be set. There was a lot of doubt and criticism from other market participants about WIF until now, but not from me. In my opinion, we’re seeing the same scenario play out again, and the outcome will be the same—a new ATH. The correction is only temporary and will soon be forgotten as the unstoppable growth begins. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
TNSR 1D. The Next Big Governance Asset on Solana. 12/12/24Tensor Protocol is an autonomous protocol on Solana that NFT marketplaces can use to access deep liquidity and connect their users with other NFT traders. Tensor.trade, the leading NFT trading platform on Solana, is built on the Tensor Protocol. TNSR is the governance token of the Tensor Protocol. TNSR holders can vote on proposals related to protocol development, including the use of the community budget. Currently, the entire market is in correction, offering excellent opportunities to find new entry points. The project is quite promising, with significant growth potential. Even from the current levels, a 2x return is realistic. A potential strategy is to invest 50% of the desired volume at the current price and place two additional limit orders of 25% each in the range of $0.6269 - $0.5454. The nearest target is $1.3412. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
Gold Market Analysis 12/11The ideal target of 2687 has been achieved, and the price has now moved above 2690. Currently, the 2693-2704 region faces significant selling pressure, which is expected to cause a short-term pullback. However, from the 1D chart perspective, the overall trend remains bullish, indicating that this pullback is a release of pressure rather than a change in trend. Short-term support is at the 2678-2673 range, and if the price retraces to this level, it could attract renewed bullish momentum. Therefore, the recommended trading strategy is as follows: consider shorting above 2690 for a quick trade, and look to go long if the price drops below 2680, with targets remaining at higher levels. As always, ensure proper risk management and closely monitor market movements.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean
Maximize Your Portfolio with Baby Doge Coin for More GainHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Baby Doge Coin , 📚💣 The potential for Baby Doge Coin to experience significant growth is largely driven by its association with influential figures, notably Elon Musk. The strength and engagement of a coin's community directly impact its market interest and overall traction. Given recent trends in the coin’s chart and trading volume, I anticipate a price increase of at least 55% . 📚✌ Moreover, technical analysis indicates that the next support level, as identified by the Fibonacci retracement, suggests a strong foundation for continued upward momentum. This confluence of factors positions Baby Doge Coin for further growth. 📚🚀 The growing interest from both individual and institutional investors adds to its potential for long-term gains. As the market evolves, Baby Doge Coin appears well-positioned to capitalize on these dynamics. 📚🎇 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Baby Doge Coin's growth is driven by its connection to Elon Musk and a strong community, boosting market interest. With a projected 55% gain. Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
8
ECONOMIC FAMINE (PART 2)OVERVIEW The EUR/USD pair is locked in a strong downtrend, with major resistance at 1.13835 and critical support at 0.6155. A break below 0.8931 could signal severe economic implications. Technical indicators, including moving averages and oscillators, are predominantly bearish, with recent patterns hinting at a potential short-term bullish recovery above 1.0610, targeting levels like 1.0710, 1.0960, and 1.1320. Fundamentally, interest rate cuts by the ECB and Fed are key drivers of recent price action, keeping the pair in a narrow range. Long-term forecasts predict further euro weakness, making this a crucial time for traders to manage risk effectively. Position traders should watch for potential breakdowns below key support, while short-term traders may find opportunities in bullish momentum above resistance levels. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The EUR/USD pair is experiencing a pronounced downtrend on the monthly timeframe, marked by significant pivot points: Pivot High: 1.16164 Resistance Level (Major): 1.13835 Resistance Level (Minor): 1.0630 Support Levels: 0.6155 (critical) and 0.5633 (pivot low). A close below 0.8931 would confirm a larger, catastrophic economic downturn, with price movements potentially signaling a "Global Economic Famine." Oscillators Indicators such as RSI (42.91), Stochastic %K (34.56), and Commodity Channel Index (-167.50) remain neutral, suggesting low momentum for a strong reversal in the short term. Momentum (-0.030) and MACD Level (-0.00416) indicate sell signals, aligning with the bearish sentiment. Moving Averages All major EMAs and SMAs across periods (10 to 200) are aligned as sell signals, emphasizing the persistent bearish trend. The Ichimoku Base Line at 1.05029 is neutral, providing limited support for bullish recovery. TECHNICAL PATTERN OBSERVATIONS A double-top formation at 1.1200 in September signaled bearish control, supported by a death cross in EMAs. Recent inverse head-and-shoulders at 1.0333 suggests a potential bullish recovery if the price sustains above 1.0610, targeting 1.0710, 1.0960, and 1.1320 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Interest Rate Outlook: In 2024, expectations for central bank rate cuts influenced the EUR/USD trading range between 1.0600–1.1210. The European Central Bank (ECB) initiated a rate cut in June (4.50% to 4.25%), while the US Federal Reserve followed in September (5.50% to 5.0%). Forecasts & Risks: Long-term projections for 2026-2027 show the euro likely declining to 1.0250–1.0300, with adjustments possible based on macroeconomic shifts. If resistance at 1.0630 is broken, the EUR/USD may target the 1.0960–1.1260 range. However, failure to maintain these levels will reinforce the broader bearish trend. STRATEGIC TAKEAWAYS Position Traders: Watch the critical support at 0.8931—a breach signals significant economic risks. Short-Term Traders: Closely monitor the 1.0610 level. Bullish action above this may present buying opportunities toward 1.0710, 1.0960, and 1.1320 but bearish dominance remains strong.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
USD/JPY awaiting the FED!The USD/JPY exchange rate as of December 12, 2024, reflects an increase of approximately 0.4%, reaching 152.50, driven by November's U.S. inflation data and expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy. The published data shows a 0.3% monthly rise in headline CPI, slightly above the 0.2% consensus, while core CPI remained stable at 0.3%. On an annual basis, headline inflation rose to 2.7% from 2.6%, and core CPI was steady at 3.3%, in line with projections. These results reinforce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Fed at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with an estimated 84% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction. Markets interpret the data as a sign that inflation is under control, potentially allowing the Fed to adopt a more accommodative policy to support economic growth. The 10-year Treasury yield, stable at 4.226%, indicates relative calm in bond markets, which may help limit volatility in the U.S. dollar. USD/JPY continues to benefit from the yield differential between U.S. and Japanese assets, supporting dollar strength. However, upcoming economic data, such as the PPI and initial jobless claims, will be crucial in confirming or adjusting market expectations. The 152.50 level represents a critical zone: a break above 152.80 could signal further bullish momentum toward 2024 highs, while a pullback might bring the pair to key support at 151.50. The current scenario suggests a consolidative phase, but incoming data and the Fed's decision will be pivotal in shaping future direction.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Massive -17% flash crash! Stop loss hunting, liquidity grab!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 experienced a historic flash crash that impacted all altcoins, with most losing up to 25% within minutes before bouncing back. This coordinated crash likely affected many cautious holders who had placed stop-loss orders at -10% to -20%, waking up to the unpleasant realization that they lost significant positions during the event. This incident highlights the brutal nature of unregulated markets. Additionally, numerous leveraged longs were likely liquidated, particularly in the altcoin sector. The $100 billion drop has undoubtedly caused widespread pain but could also inject liquidity into the market, potentially fueling a future upward move. Leverage remains inherently risky, and stop-loss orders must be carefully monitored to avoid falling victim to these liquidity-grab tactics orchestrated by market makers. In this market, it’s not just trading—it’s a battlefield. Stay vigilant.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by CryptoNikkoid
2