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Fundamental Analysis

Possible 1000pip Projection For 2025Following up on our previous analysis of USDJPY, we’re now active on this trade. As the market unfolds, we’ll be looking for opportunities to scale in with additional positions. Always remember, the market has the final say—it’s not about being right but about staying adaptable. Ensure you’re applying proper risk management and stay optimistic. Keep an open mind and trust the process. Stay tuned here for regular updates as we let patience lead the way. Ieios!
by Ieios
4
Cocoa short at 11,400 for a thousand dollarsThere is a potential short entry between the 11,200–11,400 zone, which aligns with a strong supply area causing a break of structure (BOS). This supply zone has shown significant resistance in the past, suggesting it could act as a reversal point. The target for this short trade is around the 9,600–9,200 level, where buyers are expected to come back. This setup depends on price reaching the identified supply zone and rejecting it aggressively. Monitor price action for confirmation signals before entering the trade. if you are a beginner you can follow me and you will see when I enter and exit the trade.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by zito82
5
MercadoLibre setting up for good buy opportunityHello, MercadoLibre, Inc. engages in the development of an online commerce platform with a focus on e-commerce and related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, and Other Countries. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist 1. Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below 2. Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock is currently correcting & forming a bullish expanding triangle. 3. Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- 0 crossover about to happen 4. Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown below 5. Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target point as shown From 2018 to 2023, the company experienced significant growth in its financial metrics. Total revenue rose from $1.44 billion in 2018 to $14.47 billion in 2023. Gross profit increased from $655.55 million in 2018 to $6.95 billion in 2023. Net income shifted from a loss of $36.59 million in 2018 to a profit of $987 million in 2023. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) improved from -$0.82 in 2018 to $19.35 in 2023. Total assets grew from $2.24 billion in 2018 to $17.65 billion in 2023, while total liabilities increased from $1.90 billion in 2018 to $14.58 billion in 2023. Highlights of the Nine months ended September 30th 2024 net revenue and financial income reached $14.718 billion, a significant increase from $10.698 billion in the same period of 2023. Gross Profit: Gross profit rose to $6.828 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $5.540 billion in the same period of 2023. Net Income: Net income surged to $1.272 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, up from $0.822 billion in the same period of 2023. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Basic earnings per share as of September 30, 2024, stood at $25.09. Total Current Assets: As of September 30, 2024, total current assets were $17.824 billion, up from $14.294 billion as of September 30, 2023. Total Current Liabilities: Total current liabilities as of September 30, 2024, increased to $4.308 billion, compared to $3.278 billion as of September 30, 2023. Opportunities The rising adoption of digital payments and growing preference for online shopping reinforce a strong, long-term growth trajectory for MercadoLibre. Expanding its first-party sales business enables MercadoLibre to better compete during major holiday seasons by offering strategic discounts on flagship products. Providing consumer and small-business loans addresses critical gaps in traditional financial services while fostering stronger ties between merchants, customers, and the MercadoLibre platform. Risks to consider Intense competition among fintech rivals may lead to slower-than-anticipated growth or reduced net interest margins for Mercado Pago's consumer, merchant, and credit card product lines. Escalating macroeconomic challenges in Argentina could heighten foreign exchange losses or, in extreme scenarios, disrupt the market entirely. Unique linguistic, trade, and cultural differences in the region pose challenges for cross-border sales, necessitating the upkeep of distinct marketplace platforms in each country. Our recommendation MercadoLibre’s profitability missed expectations, but the company’s focus on strengthening its competitive position is encouraging. Key areas like its logistics network (Mercado Envios), growing ads business, and new Prime-like program (Meli Mais) continue to improve. Despite slight underperformance, strong growth in consumer credit and a better business environment in Argentina are positives. With $6.7 billion in cash and a $400 million credit facility, MercadoLibre is financially strong. Shares remain slightly expensive, but the current correction could present a buying opportunity around the $1,850 level. Our recommendation is a wait to buy at around $1,850 with a target of $2,600. Current price: $1952 (3rd December, 2024)
NASDAQ:MELILong
by thesharkke
1
USD/JPY Analysis: Recovery Amidst Economic ShiftsThe US Dollar (USD) continues to make gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY), particularly following an upward revision of Japan's GDP for the third quarter. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has climbed back above the 150.45 level while I write this article. The Yen is facing some selling pressure, significantly influenced by growing uncertainties about the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential interest rate hikes in December, which has contributed to the JPY's underperformance against its USD counterpart. From a technical analysis viewpoint, the recent price rebound has occurred in a notable demand area on the weekly chart, where the currency pair has shown a decisive response. The price action suggests that there is strong buying interest in this zone, which may set the stage for further upward movement in the USD. Interestingly, seasonal forecasts hint at a possible bearish trend based on historical data over the last ten years. However, the current market dynamics and the way the price has reacted to the demand area indicate that there might be the potential for upward momentum for the USD in the near term. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and concerns surrounding incoming US President-elect Donald Trump's anticipated trade tariffs add another layer of complexity to the situation. Such uncertainties regarding trade policies are likely to support the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven currency, but the evolving landscape could limit significant downside movements. As investors prepare for the upcoming US consumer inflation figures, many may choose to remain on the sidelines. These data points will be crucial, as they could provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s trajectory regarding interest rate cuts, which in turn could enhance market momentum for the USD/JPY pair. With the current technical setup and market sentiment, we are keenly observing for a long entry point in the USD/JPY pair. As the economic landscape evolves and we gather more data, this strategy may provide advantageous opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on potential USD strength against the Yen. In summary, amidst the shifts in economic indicators and geopolitical challenges, the USD/JPY pair is positioned for potential upward movement, marking an exciting time for traders in this currency market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
Trading the Santa Rally: How to Ride the Supposed Year-End SurgeThe Santa Rally — a festive event characterized by silent nights and active markets. Every December, traders whisper about it with a mix of excitement and skepticism. But what exactly is this supposed year-end market surge? Is it a gift from the markets or just a glittery myth? Let’s unwrap the truth. 🎅 What Is the Santa Rally? The Santa Rally refers to the tendency for stock markets to rise during the last few trading days of December and sometimes even the first few days of January. It’s like a financial advent calendar, but instead of dark chocolate, traders hope for green candles. The origins of this term aren’t entirely clear, but the event is widely observed. Analysts cite everything from holiday cheer to quarter-end, year-end portfolio adjustments as possible reasons. But beware — like a wrongly wrapped gift, the rally doesn’t always deliver what you expect. 🎄 Fact or Festive Fiction? The Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly): Historical data does show that markets have a knack to perform well during the Santa Rally window. For instance, the S&P 500 SPX has delivered positive returns in about 75% of the observed periods since 1950. That’s better odds than guessing who’s going to win the “Ugly Sweater Contest” at the office. Not Guaranteed: However, let’s not confuse correlation with causation. While historical trends are nice to know, the market isn’t obliged to follow tradition. Geopolitical events, Fed decisions, or even a rogue tweet can easily knock this rally off course (especially now with the returning President-elect). 🚀 Why Does the Santa Rally Happen? 1️⃣ Holiday Cheer : Investors, like everyone else, might be more optimistic during the holidays, leading to increased buying momentum. After all, not many things can say “joy to the world” like a bullish portfolio. 2️⃣ Tax-Loss Harvesting : Fund managers sell off losing positions in early December to offset gains for tax purposes. By the end of the month, they’re reinvesting, potentially pushing prices higher. 3️⃣ Low Liquidity : With many big players sipping mezcal espresso martinis on the Amalfi coast, trading volumes drop. Lower liquidity can amplify price movements, making small buying pressure feel like a full-blown rally. 4️⃣ New Year Optimism : Who doesn’t love a fresh start? Many traders sign off for the quarter on a positive, upbeat note and begin setting up positions for the year ahead, adding to upward swings. ⛄️ The Myth-Busting Clause While these factors seem plausible, not every Santa Rally is a blockbuster. For example, in years of significant economic uncertainty or bearish sentiment, the holiday spirit alone isn’t enough to lift the market. 🌟 How to Trade the Santa Rally (Without Getting Grinched) 1️⃣ Set Realistic Expectations : Don’t expect a moonshot. The Santa Rally is more of a sleigh ride than a rocket launch. Focus on small, tactical trades instead of betting the farm on a rally (and yes, crypto included). 2️⃣ Watch Key Sectors : Historically, consumer discretionary and tech stocks often perform well during this period. Consider these areas, but always do your due diligence. 3️⃣ Manage Your Risk : With low liquidity, volatility can spike unexpectedly. Tighten your stop-losses and avoid overleveraging — Santa doesn’t cover margin calls. 4️⃣ Keep an Eye on Macro Events : Is the Fed hinting at rate cuts (hint: yes it is )? Is inflation stealing the spotlight (hint: yes it is )? These can overshadow any seasonal trends. ☄️ Crypto and Forex: Does Santa Visit Here Too? The Santa Rally isn’t exclusive to stocks. Forex markets can also see year-end movements as hedge funds, banks and other institutional traders close out currency positions. Meanwhile, traders in the crypto market have gotten used to living in heightened volatility not just during the holidays but at any time of the year. More recently, Donald Trump’s win was a major catalyst for an absolute beast of an updraft. 🎁 Closing Thoughts: Naughty or Nice? The Santa Rally is a fascinating mix of tradition, psychology, and market mechanics. While it’s fun to believe in a market jolly, it’s better to stay prepared for anything out of the ordinary. So, are you betting on a rally this year, or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s discuss — drop your thoughts in the comments below and tell us how you’re planning to trade the year-end rush! 🎅📈
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
9
Black gold continues its decline!Oil prices are falling for several reasons: • Saudi Arabia has decided to lower oil prices for buyers in the Asian market. • A strong dollar continues to pressure black gold. The drop in oil prices below $70 per barrel is likely being restrained by OPEC+ policies aimed at controlling supply volumes. The organization has decided to postpone the planned January 2025 increase in oil production to April 2025. Traders dealing with Brent crude oil show the most pessimistic sentiment in recent months after OPEC+ countries decided to delay the resumption of oil production halted since 2022. At best, this postponement may only slow the price decline amid seasonal demand reduction in the first quarter. With the holidays approaching, market volatility is also decreasing, as traders exercise caution and avoid making aggressive bets on sharp price movements. Morgan Stanley and HSBC have revised their forecasts for oil oversupply, expecting Brent crude oil prices to reach $70 per barrel by 2025. Bank of America analysts predict that the average price of Brent will be $65 per barrel in the coming years. According to a survey conducted by the law firm Haynes Boone LLP, banks expect WTI crude oil prices to drop to $60 per barrel by 2027. Trade #BRENT and #WTI crude oil with FreshForex and maximize your profits with leverage of 1:2000 and tight spreads. This allows you to manage positions efficiently, minimize costs, and capitalize on price fluctuations for potential gains.
BLACKBULL:BRENT
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
#AST (SPOT) entry range( 0.0655- 0.0855) T.(0.1489) SL(0.0599)BINANCE:ASTUSDT entry range( 0.0655- 0.0855) Target1 (0.1139) - Target2 (0.1489) 2 Extra Targets(optional) in chart, if you like to continue in the trade with making stoploss very high. SL .1D close below (0.0599) *** collect the coin slowly in the entry range *** *** No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey *** **** #Manta ,#OMNI, #DYM, #AI, #IO, #XAI , #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #Voxel #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH # AST ****
Long
by Crypto_alphabit
ManaMana usdt Daily analysis Time frame daily Risk rewards ratio =2 👈👌 Target 1.1$ mana is one of the gaming tokens that offers earning potential . explore the potential of gaming tokens, offering lucrative opportunity in play to earn and virtual economies Technical: mana had a good growth to ex high price but couldn't reach to new high in this year. Price fell down to save energy and now is the best time to pump and break strong resistance boxes ( red boxes in fhe chart) and reach my target on 1.1$ But if it can't break the resistance, don't worry. New year holidays will help to gaming tokens like mana and sand and etc.
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
Stargate finance ( STG)Stg usdt Daily analysis Time frame 4 hours Risk rewards ratio >1.3 👈 Stg is an omnichain-native asset bridge designed to solve the blockchain trilemma , which says blockchain can be desensitized, secure and fast simultaneously. STG is a good and promising currency in the crypto market. Given the strong team it has, I expect very good growth. Although STG has strong competitors in DeFi such as Polkadot. One of the advantages of StG over Dot is its speed of operation, and of course it has other advantages. Technical analysis: Stg is moving between 2 parallel line for 8 week. It's very good movement for traders. Buy in down and sell in up. But I think in alt season STG will break this parallel and pump. But I have a short time analysis. When STG break the upper side , I'll reach my target and start to another analysis to higher target
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
Algorand (algo)Algo usdt Daily analysis Time frame 4hours Risk rewards ratio >1.3 👈 Algorand rank is 40 and market cap 4.21 NYSE:B It's all time high is 3.28 $ and you can see , good growth for this in altseason Algorand is a self sustaining decentralized, blockchain base network that supports a wide range of applications. This system is secure, scalable and efficient All critical properties for effective applications in the world. Algorand will support computation that requires reliable performance guarantees to create a new formes of trust. Technically we have no resistance in the way of my first target. Just a weak resistance in 0.69$ area.
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli