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Fundamental Analysis

ETH/USDT Long-TermHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH/USD chart taking into account the interval of one weekend. We can observe how the price is struggling to maintain the level of the downward trend line marked in blue. Moreover, we can see how the price is currently fighting in a strong resistance zone from $3,677 to $4,087, we can see how the upper border of the zone has rejected the price, only when it manages to break out of it positively, the price will move towards the second very strong zone from $4,864 to $5,305 . When the current resistance zone completely rejects the price and strong declines begin, support is visible at $3,336, then there is support at $2,889, and then a strong support zone is visible from $2,498 to $2,116.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC → Consolidation Before The Breakout When Do We Go Up?BINANCE:BNBUSDT continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution). But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
by MarketAnalyzar
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go? XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
FX:XAUUSD
by MarketAnalyzar
TAO is a Masterpiece Blockchain: Bittensor Network THIS IS A MASTERPIECE THE FIB LEVELS MATCH THE PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS PERFECTLY $500 $750 $1000 $2000 BUY AS MUCH AS YOU CAN UNDER $475 Age: Since 2021. Use Case: Decentralized machine learning and AI. Adoption: Early stage, mainly in AI research communities. Key Innovation: Unique consensus for AI tasks. Key Team Member: Jacob Steeves - His development of Bittensor's core protocols has positioned the project at the forefront of decentralized AI. Why it will do well: Potential in decentralized AI solutions aligning with tech's AI trend.
Long
by CryptoMitchX
Decoding Cattle: Live Cattle Market Poised for a Bearish Shift?Decoding the Signals: Is the Live Cattle Market Poised for a Bearish Shift? “There is a system in chaos, a signal in the noise.” Every week, the Commitment of Traders (COT) strategy uncovers setups across markets. This week, Live Cattle has emerged as a standout opportunity—one that suggests a significant bearish move may be on the horizon. But let me be clear: this isn’t an invitation to blindly short the market. It’s a call to decode the signals, understand the conditions, and prepare for what could be a meaningful shift. Let’s dive into the evidence. Code 1: Extreme Positioning The Commercial and Small Speculator Indexes, using a 26-week lookback, are both at extremes in short positioning. When Commercials—the smart money—position themselves this aggressively, it’s a sign that something is brewing. Code 2: Small Spec Extremes (Don't Fade The Small Specs in Meat Markets) Small Speculators are at a 3-year extreme in short positioning. Here’s where Live Cattle differs from most markets: in this space, Small Specs often get it right. Also, we see the “Bubble-Up” phenomenon: the net open interest lines of Small Specs and Commercials "bubbling up" against the Large Specs. This pattern often precedes major turning points, signaling that a shift is possibly near. Code 3: Overvaluation Using the WillVal indicator, we see that Live Cattle is overvalued relative to gold. Markets tend to correct misalignments in value, and this overvaluation points to a downside recalibration. When the market’s perception doesn’t align with reality, the result is rarely subtle. Seasonals: A Fly in the Ointment? Seasonal tendencies suggest Live Cattle typically trends upward until February. However, seasonals reflect historical patterns—what has happened in the past. Positioning data, on the other hand, shows us what’s happening now. Given the extreme positioning currently in play, it’s likely the seasonal tendency will fail to materialize this time. Distribution Signals Signs of distribution are evident across multiple indicators: Insider Accumulation Index: suggests institutions are quietly offloading positions. POIV and ProGo divergence: further confirmation that the smart money is exiting. Distribution is the hallmark of a market top. When the signs are this clear, the question isn’t if the market will turn but when. Spread Weakening The spread between the front-month and the next-month-out contracts in Live Cattle is weakening. This weakening spread indicates a shift in market sentiment. A weakening spread often reflects reduced demand for the front month or increasing supply pressures, both of which align with a bearish narrative. When the spread no longer supports bullish momentum, it’s another signal that the tide is turning. Additional Bearish Indicators The weight of evidence continues to stack: %R is firmly in the sell zone. Weekly and daily bearish divergences in the Ultimate Oscillator. A confirmed weekly bearish momentum divergence. These signals reinforce the bearish case, painting a clear picture of a market under pressure. What Will You Do With This Information? Here’s where many traders falter. It’s easy to see the signals and jump in prematurely. But setups like these are not a green light to enter—they are a call to prepare. Timing is everything. Successful trading isn’t just about identifying opportunities—it’s about executing with precision. The Live Cattle market may be gearing up for a bearish move, but the key lies in waiting for the right entry trigger. The Privilege of Understanding Most traders never see these signals. They’re too caught up in noise, emotions, and guesswork. But you’re different. You’ve been given a glimpse of how the market truly works—a rare opportunity to decode its hidden signals. If you’re ready to step further into this world, to see the Matrix for what it is and act with clarity and purpose, the journey awaits. Want to learn how to decode the market like this? Stick with me, and let’s break free from the herd together.
CME:LEG2025Short
by Tradius_Trades
2
Oracle’s Cloud Conquest|Climbing Mount Hyperscaler with AI BootsWill Oracle Cloud Infrastructure aka OCI Emerge as the 4th Hyperscaler? Although OCI hasn’t yet reached the scale of the top three cloud giants (AWS, Azure, GCP), it’s rapidly advancing, much like d’Artagnan joining the musketeers. Riding the AI wave, Oracle’s Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) segment surged by 52% to $2.4 billion in Q2. Over the past year, OCI has overtaken Salesforce and IBM, surpassing even Snowflake. Its next target, Alibaba Cloud, grew just 7% YoY to $4.2 billion in Q3. However, this impressive growth comes at a price—Oracle’s capital expenditure is expected to double in FY25 to meet AI demand. Oracle Q2 FY25 Highlights Key Metrics -Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO): A measure of future revenue from existing contracts. RPO grew 50% YoY, with Cloud RPO jumping nearly 80%, reflecting strong momentum. Sequentially, total RPO declined slightly from $99 billion in Q1 to $97 billion in Q2. 39% of this is expected to convert into revenue over the next year. -Cloud Services Revenue: Up 24% YoY to $5.9 billion: -IaaS: Grew 52% YoY to $2.4 billion, up from 45% in Q1, driven by OCI adoption for high-performance workloads and multi-cloud deployments. -SaaS: Increased 10% YoY to $3.5 billion, with stable demand for cloud-based ERP, HCM, and CRM solutions. - Fusion Cloud ERP: Gained 18% YoY to $0.9 billion. -NetSuite Cloud ERP: Rose 19% YoY to $0.9 billion. - Total Revenue: Increased 9% YoY to $14.1 billion, missing estimates by $20 million. -Cloud Services & License Support: Up 12% YoY to $10.8 billion, with cloud services alone growing 24% YoY to $5.9 billion. -Cloud License & On-Premise: Up 1% YoY to $1.2 billion. -Hardware: Declined 4% YoY to $0.7 billion. -Services: Dropped 3% YoY to $1.3 billion. -Margins: Gross margin held steady at 71%, while operating margin improved 2 percentage points to 30%. -Non-GAAP EPS:$1.47, missing estimates by $0.01 Cash Flow & Balance Sheet -Operating Cash Flow (TTM):** $20.3 billion (+19% YoY). - Cash & Cash Equivalents:** $11.3 billion. -Debt: $88.6 billion. Q3 FY25 Guidance - Revenue growth of 7%-9% YoY (10% expected). - Cloud revenue projected to grow 25%-27% YoY, accelerating further. Analysis and Insights 1.Momentum in Cloud Infrastructure Oracle’s focus on AI workloads is paying off, with major clients like Meta, Uber, and TikTok driving GPU consumption up by 336%. The company also unveiled the largest AI supercomputer, featuring 65,000 NVIDIA H200 GPUs. However, a potential TikTok ban in the U.S. could pose a $2 billion revenue risk. 2.Growth Despite Missed Targets While revenue and adjusted earnings missed estimates due to slower SaaS growth, cloud revenue of $5.9 billion was just shy of the $6 billion forecast. Shares dipped post-earnings but remain up nearly 70% year-to-date, exceeding most investors' expectations 3.Capex Surge for AI Capital expenditures reached $4 billion this quarter, a sharp increase from under $7 billion in FY24. Management expects FY25 Capex to double, driven by AI demand, resulting in negative free cash flow ($2.7 billion used) for the quarter. These investments align with industry trends but may stretch the balance sheet. 4.Expanding Multi Cloud Partnerships Oracle’s partnerships with Meta, AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud enhance its relevance in multi-cloud environments. These alliances enable seamless workload interoperability and help Oracle compete effectively while broadening its customer base. 5.Balance Sheet Challenges Oracle’s net debt of $80 billion, despite robust $20 billion annual operating cash flow, restricts its ability to pursue aggressive growth strategies or acquisitions. Rising Capex could further limit flexibility. 6.Bullish Long-Term Outlook Management projects total cloud revenue to exceed $25 billion in FY25, fueled by AI demand and OCI’s competitive positioning. Analysts remain optimistic about Oracle’s prospects, particularly in multi-cloud ecosystems and generative AI workloads. This explains why Larry Ellison envisions Oracle’s data centers expanding tenfold
NYSE:ORCL
by moonypto
xauusd analysis for mondayTechnical Analysis Key Levels: Support: Primary Support: $2,630–$2,640, a crucial level that has consistently held over the past weeks. Secondary Support: A breakdown below $2,630 could lead to further declines toward $2,600 and $2,570 Resistance: Primary Resistance: $2,670–$2,700, a zone gold must clear to confirm bullish momentum. Extended Target: A sustained move above $2,700 could push gold toward $2,720 or higher, with the long-term target near $2,750 Price Action: Gold has been consolidating around $2,650, indicating indecision in the market. Traders are awaiting a catalyst for a breakout in either direction Indicators: RSI: Neutral, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving Averages: Gold is trading near its 50-day moving average, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. Elliott Wave Analysis: Suggests the current correction phase might end soon, potentially paving the way for an upward movement Fundamental Analysis Key Drivers: 1. Federal Reserve Meeting: A dovish stance or pause in rate hikes could weaken the USD, benefiting gold. Conversely, a hawkish surprise could pressure prices. 2. US Economic Data: Housing Data: Strong numbers may support the USD, weighing on gold. GDP Report: A weaker-than-expected reading could bolster gold's safe-haven appeal, while strong data might strengthen the dollar 3. Global Economic Factors: Geopolitical Risks: Persistent uncertainties may sustain demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Inflation: Gold's role as an inflation hedge keeps it relevant amid ongoing inflationary pressures globally 4. Seasonal Trends: December traditionally sees increased gold demand, linked to year-end portfolio adjustments and festive purchases. Trading Scenarios Bullish Scenario: Entry: Above $2,660 Targets: $2,700, $2,720, and potentially $2,750 Stop-Loss: Below $2,630 Strategy: Look for a confirmed breakout above resistance or positive market sentiment boosting gold. Bearish Scenario: Entry: Below $2,630 Targets: $2,600 and $2,570 Stop-Loss: Above $2,660 Strategy: Watch for rejection at $2,650 or stronger-than-expected US data supporting the USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
Buyside liquidity needed For long term short ahead. 12/13-12/20i am looking for Sellside imbalance buy side inefficiency to get tapped into and a market structure shift for a Swing trade on dxy/usd pairs - if it doesn't give me a market structure shift and a reaction then i will wait for the buyside liquidity to be breached and to be patient. There will definitely be a scalp coming into Monday NY session. I am going to be patient and wait i will be using stop losses and wait to see how this plays out for swinging. i think it would help you guys to see my scalps because im only scalping for 15pips no more than 30pips at most if i do get a scalp i will show and post win or loss transparency is a huge thing right now
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by SmmxTrader
Bears TurnGood luck all. Facts: - reached the top of a trendline that dates back to the 1980’s which I’ve seen other pros call the “1980’s battle-line” 👀 Monthly TF - volume coincides with some braking power - RSI seems pointy downward - the 2015 trendline looks magnetic - the weekly candle just closed 13th Dec speaks for itself - zoom for that one. - the short term MA and FVG traders will be busy (or tired) - the head and shoulders on that record high - you could frame that - Wyckoff scout cracked through Ice - as a ship on the trading seas then I would say this is a tack to the bear side, no rush though… see you in a few months/years? Patience probably for price to hit 2,150. What could detract from golds appeal? Better opportunity cost elsewhere that gets faster returns? Could it get worse on the global political situation than it is right now really? Has the very recent (last 2 week) global escalations driven peaks beyond the high (no it hasn't)? Has the interest rate hype already been priced in? Is Trump lined up to do some deals that strengthen dollar and peace. make gold boring again? Ah? Mmm...Shipsy. ⚓️ 🏴‍☠️ 🌊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ShipsyCapital
ARB 1D. Ready for a Breakout. 12/14/24Currently, the price is consolidating between support at $0.8313 and resistance at $1.1354. During the recent correction, the support level was held, signaling bullish sentiment among buyers. It’s worth considering opening a position from the current levels, whether for spot trading or a swing position on futures (with low leverage and a small percentage of your deposit). For those concerned about potential drawdowns, reversal levels are highlighted where additional entries can be made if needed. Here are my parameters: Entry Point (EP): Current price Take Profit (TP): $1.6450, $1.9204, $2.2746 Stop Loss (SL): $0.7923
Long
by trendbooster
1
Luna ($LUNAUSDT): 8-Hour Analysis for Strategic Trade SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Luna ( BINANCE:LUNAUSDT ): 8-Hour Chart Analysis for Strategic Trade Setup Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $0.5451 - Stop-Loss: $0.3728 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $0.9479 - TP2: $1.3018 Fundamental Analysis: Luna ( BINANCE:LUNAUSDT ) continues to be a significant player in the DeFi ecosystem despite its historical challenges. The network's commitment to rebuilding its ecosystem and expanding partnerships has drawn attention back to the token. The recent upgrades to its Terra blockchain aim to enhance scalability and adoption among developers. Technical Analysis (8-Hour Chart): - Current Price: $0.5525 - Moving Averages: - 50-EMA: $0.5000 - 200-EMA: $0.4800 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 60, indicating growing bullish momentum. - Support and Resistance Levels: - Immediate Support: $0.5000 - Resistance: $0.6000 The 8-hour chart reveals a breakout from a descending triangle pattern, signalling potential for a strong upward movement. The take-profit targets align with Fibonacci extensions, providing logical levels for scaling out of the position. Market Sentiment: LUNA has seen increasing trading volumes, reflecting renewed interest in the project. Recent announcements around ecosystem developments and strategic partnerships have boosted confidence among traders. Risk Management: A stop-loss at $0.3728 ensures limited downside risk, while TP1 and TP2 offer impressive reward potentials of approximately 73% and 139%, respectively. Discipline in executing this trade is crucial, given the token's volatility. Key Takeaways: - LUNA’s breakout signals a potential bullish continuation. - Strong risk-to-reward ratio for both scalpers and swing traders. - Strict adherence to stop-loss and target levels is necessary. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Long
by SiriusTrading
4
BONK 4H. Big Swing Ahead. 12/14/24After reaching a local high, the price retraced and moved into a correction phase. During this correction, the support level at $0.003183 was held, indicating bullish sentiment among buyers. It’s worth considering opening a position from the current levels, whether for spot trading or a swing position on futures (with low leverage and a small percentage of your deposit). For those concerned about drawdowns, positions can also be accumulated or added from the support level at $0.003183. Here are my parameters: Entry Point (EP): Current price Take Profit (TP): $0.005553, $0.006426, $0.007446 Stop Loss (SL): $0.002587 But remember: your money — your responsibility! P.S.: I'm aware of the additional zeroes after the decimal; they’ve been omitted for simplicity. All levels are shown on the chart! DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster