Get started

Fundamental Analysis

MSTR: Prime Opportunity for a Rebound as Buyers Take Control Bullish Analysis for MSTR: MicroStrategy (MSTR) has recently dropped alongside the broader crypto market, but strong buying momentum is emerging as buyers step in to buy the dip . The RSI is coming back from oversold levels, signaling potential for a rebound. As Bitcoin stabilizes and recovers, MSTR’s stock is likely to benefit from both the crypto rebound and its solid business fundamentals. Trade Setup: Take Profit 1: $370 Take Profit 2: $430 Stop Loss: $310 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity, with MSTR potentially poised for a bullish reversal.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by ValchevFinance
Bitcoin - Broader Structure and The $32K Breakdown TargetLast time, I posted an idea about Bitcoin's shorter term structure. I was scaling into a short position, and ultimately decided to close when I noticed strong support continuing to hold. This ended up being a good move, since price pushed higher towards $108k. There's a lot of resistance here in the low $100K range. While a notable milestone, it's a hefty price. More and more, Bitcoin is being seen as a tool for exploitation and wealth concentration for the wealthy, rather than something for the masses. Although good for price, this is not in keeping with the original intention behind the technology, or so we are led to believe. I tend to generally post short ideas now because I do not support buying Bitcoin, which serves only to enrichen a select few, and no longer benefits the little guy. Sure, it could benefit ME in the future, but that feeds further into greed and selfishness, which are the human flaws at the root of many market inequities, fallacies, and injustices. For more on why I changed my perspective on crypto, there are tons of ideas I've posted over the years to pull from. It essentially boils down to this: When I was young and naive, I believed crypto could be an escape from the established financial system. In many ways it is, if you like gambling on memes and adrenaline coursing through your veins. But on a broader level, it's been co-opted by the same forces that control our traditional markets, institutions, and to an extent, our wellbeing. More and more, crypto seems to fit into a neo-feudalist dystopia, rather than a free-flowing renaissance utopia. Earlier this year, I closed my original short positions when it seemed likely for Bitcoin to surpass its previous all time high. Now that price has hit a major milestone, altcoins have gone up 500-1000%, and gloating is abounds, it's time for me to re-enter my short. Now, I'm not looking to profit massively from this. It's a small position. But, I am of the belief that there is a non-negligible probability that Bitcoin will enter a longer term bearish trend. Whether it's now or at $160k, who knows? If this trendline can break decisively (it's held very well so far, even when price drops below), the next stop seems to be around $89k. From there, a bounce would be bullish. My green arrow shows the possibility of rally resumption if that level holds as strong support. On the bearish side, the previous all-time high is the next major level, followed by $32k if the entire support structure falls apart. Markets are starting to wake up and understand that inflation isn't going away quickly, and monetary policy won't be as easy as it was. A lot of fluff needs to get weeded out. Unfortunately, crypto doesn't have much SUBSTANCE to it (meaning goods, resources, and services) attached to it. As always this is meant for speculation and entertainment only! Thanks for reading. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
1
12/20/24 - $amd - upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMD upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view - tough call here b/c sentiment is so stretched - thought this take was a pretty sober take on the situation and paints a really interesting angle. tl;dr that amd has something special and we've not yet seen the extent of their stretching their wings x.com - i'd point out at low 20s PE and PE growth in the 30-40%+ range (make up a number) and a king of x86 and starting to do cool things in asics... that's not expensive. - looking at stock on it's NASDAQ:SMH (semis index) pair shows it's now had about a 50% drawdown. - where's the bottom V? i don't know. but i'd guess sub 20x PE is probably where it'd shake out and that's about 15-20% lower and puts the stock at $100. and on the upside, multi-year view, the stock should compound EPS at a pt where you'd probably realistically say it should trade at 30x next year and hold or even expand that multiple into '27. so that's probably $150 conservatively and compounding toward $200 stock by YE '27. discounted back that puts you in the >$150 but below $200 as we look into next year. - got busy with some Jan 17 2025 $110C's for about $12 bucks to force myself to go deeper on the name. and this is a rough tape, so i've been keeping my cash balance high and remain with high conviction cash generators in my book like NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NYSE:UBER (and i remain liking NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:NVDA but admittedly have been trading them pretty high frequency). of course i like OTC:GDLC , OTC:BITW too but also keeping those light. so NASDAQ:AMD provides an interesting oppty to add the x86 factor to my top 3 semis names. let's call NASDAQ:AMD added to my list of 4 buyable stocks NYSE:TSM > NASDAQ:NVDA > NASDAQ:AVGO > $amd. and given the move in NASDAQ:AVGO recently it's debatable whether NASDAQ:AMD offers better MT r/r, but the narrative/ tailwind for NASDAQ:AVGO is certainly stronger and has the momentum factor working well for it. what do u think? V
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VROCKSTAR
Micron ($MU) is Poised for Action – Here’s What’s ComingMicron is sitting at a major decision point, and the next move could be big. Here’s the game plan: If we drop below $84: Things could get bumpy, with possible corrections to $74, $70, or even $63–$64. If we break above $93: The sky’s the limit, with targets at $100, $110, and maybe even $138 on the horizon. This is one to watch closely. Big moves are coming, so stay sharp and ready to ride the wave! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MU
by Mindbloome-Trading
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.​
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
2
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
$BTC.D prediction based on the current situation.CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been climbing steadily since the start of this bull run. It’s often said that an altseason begins when BTC dominance drops below 55%. However, the 54% level appears to be a strong support zone, with the MACD showing a low point and the RSI entering oversold territory. My analysis suggests that BTC dominance has established a range between 59% and 55%. It’s likely to bounce off the top resistance, pushing dominance back toward the support. If the next drop breaks through this support, it could finally trigger a true altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
1
BTC will Fly SoonBTC is currently exhibiting an upward trend, trading within a parallel channel characterized by inclined support and resistance levels. Notably, BTC has experienced three instances of reversal from support and three from Resistance levels. Presently, BTC is positioned at the support level and has initiated a reversal, indicating a directional bias towards the upside. Our recommended buy zone for BTC is between 96500_97500 With potential take Profit level at T.P1= 100000 T.P2= 103000 T.P3= 105000 T.P4= 108000 Having stop loss= 94500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by LeonardoTrader9t9
SMCI’s Game-Changing Move: Could This Be a 500% Opportunity? Bullish Analysis for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) 1. Valuation Metrics P/S Ratio: Previously 7.46, now just 1.43, showcasing significant undervaluation compared to historical levels. P/E Ratio: Previously 90, now 16.67, making the stock much more attractive to value-focused investors. Fair Value Estimate: According to Simply Wall Street , the fair value per share is estimated at $439.38 , suggesting substantial upside from the current price levels. 2. Strong Financial Metrics Current Market Cap: $18.87 billion. Revenue: This year's revenue is $14.94 billion, and 2025 revenue is expected to exceed $23 billion, surpassing the current market cap—a promising signal of growth potential. Financial Health: SMCI can cover all its debt twice over , with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 , which sits comfortably in the ideal range of 0.30–0.60. 3. Growth Drivers New Manufacturing Facility: A facility in Malaysia is expected to become operational in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, enabling SMCI to scale up its AI server production. Liquid Cooling Expertise: SMCI specializes in liquid cooling technology , critical for the new generation of powerful chips and data centers, including Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs , which are experiencing record demand as Nvidia ramps up production. 4. Technical and Price Action Support Levels: SMCI has established strong support at $30. Trend Reversal: The stock has broken the structure of its downtrend and is now showing clear signs of heading to the upside, further reinforcing bullish momentum. Resistance Levels: Potential price targets based on resistance areas: Target 1: $50 (52.4% increase). Target 2: $70 (113.4% increase). Target 3: $100 (204.8% increase). Target 4: $120 (265.8% increase). Long-term Target: $200+ (509.75% increase). 5. AI Market Leadership SMCI’s continued focus on AI servers positions it as a key beneficiary in the rapidly growing AI-driven computing market. Conclusion With its attractive valuation, robust financial health, strategic expansion plans, and leadership in liquid cooling and AI servers, SMCI is well-positioned for substantial growth. The recent trend reversal adds technical confirmation to the fundamental bullish case, making current price levels a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the AI and data center markets.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ValchevFinance
12/2/24 - $nu - Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when (LONG)12/2/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NU Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when - is one of the three stonks in latam that i've commented in the past is worth keeping a v close eye on b/c of the growth rates and tremendous product. the others are NASDAQ:MELI and NASDAQ:DLO (the latter of which worked out nicely and we made a good exit earlier this year from the lows, but it took a minute). - back to Nubank: 1/ brazil in earlier innings of economic funeral, but what's new this happens every so often and those battle tested growers tend to come out of these events eating massive share, Nu will be one of these 2/ timing is always the tricky thing. you want to take calculated risk, but unlike the US stonks, you have clear geo/ FX and therefore adverse flows risk to consider. invest in emerging mkts and you need to have a tolerance/ knowledge of currency risk, minimally. i'm not going to downplay that here, but only to flag this needs to be something you consider if/when considering a stake in $nu. the counter point is they're growing bananas outside of Brazil as well and likely take over pretty much over every other latam country similar to Meli. IMO, there's no competition for the growth engine they can export into latam. 3/ let's math and use two approaches... PE and ROE -> book value a1. PE: let's imagine the 62c next year (in USD) is 50c - only a 15% growth. the reason you'd look at this is b/c most investors r going to be focused here, so you stand the chance of risk-evaluating what others see and making a call (similar to support and resistance vs. some esoteric TA you've developed). in this vein, what would you pay for a 15% EPS grower (ignoring all other factors of what this biz is and only considering it's a bank in Latam)? maybe 10-12x? def sub 1x PEG. b/c it's brazil, brazil is currently fukt. so you put a "depressed multiple" on a depressed EPS. at call it 50c and 10x - you're at $5 bucks. sick downside from the $12 it closed at today. so that's probably *worst* case, from today's POV. let's call that -60%. diddy slip and slide party pain. a.2: PE: but this isn't some "new kid on the block". a lot of Nu investors are smart int'l types that are going to look beyond trough '25, even today, including papi warren B. so if we assume we pick up from 15% toward 20% the following year and go 50c -> 60c, you'd probably start to consider at that point at least a PEG of 1x given growth would extend to the following yrs as well. at 20x on 60c you're at $12 for year-end '26. and let's give it a 15% discount (Ke brazil finger in air - but likely in the ballpark) and you get to $10 and change for the 12M view e.g. YE25, which is the bogey we're all looking at today given we're already done w/ '24. so that's 20% downside. combining a.1 and a.2 above... i'd likely weight a.2 as being perhaps a 70% and a.1 as 30% given the logic described, investor base and this isn't some going concern issue. also i'm being mega conservative w/ my EPS estimates as well. if you haven't noticed, they keep ripping the cover off the ball on EPS. so combined that's -60%*30% + -20%*70% = 33% downside more or less or a $8 stonk. b: ROE thinking. 25% ROEs (probably expanding) and growing book at probably ~$1/shr for the next 2 yrs combined gets you to a book of $5. when you consider this likely continues to grow nearly 15-20% a year... and we could be conservative and say it's 10% a year (cut it more than in half)... at a 15% Ke you get: Price = BookVal * (ROE - g)/(Ke - g) then discount 2 yrs by 15%. this is Price = $5 * (25 - 10)/(15 - 10)/1.15/1.15 = $11+ today. tying this all together... fair value is probably between 10 and 11 today. so buying $12 is defn being a bit opportunistic and playing a reversion move on BRL related assets. i'd not be surprised to see this thing move back toward $13/14 into year end, and equally i'd not be surprised to see it test the big green dilly from Aug 5 this year that ripped thru $10. So, it's not an obvious trade for those who don't know this asset or haven't been following that closely. perhaps easier to wait for better entry even if that means some chop here/ there and you get a bit of fomo if first move is up. The way i'm personally playing it are $10 and $11 strike 2027 leaps. allows me to amp my exposure without necking out too hard on a notional cash-in basis. offers about 3-1 leverage, so a 1.5-2% options position gets me a gross effective of about 5-6%. that's comfy for now. i'd like to get this position closer to 10-15% if/when we hit the $10s area or below (and it will be one to manage b/c *WHY* we go there will matter a lot - not just a rote plan, these things always evolve and perhaps there are other better deals out there too esp in the US or my favs NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:META ). anyway. wanted to flag. should be on your radar. this is a quality LT compounder that's gotten cheap b/c of geography, but is a neo-bank virus to the existing dino's in latam. LMK what u think or esp if u see it differently. have a good week my friends V
NYSE:NULong
by VROCKSTAR
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG) Confluences on This Trade - Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266 - Rejecting Demand zone - @ 38.2 Fib Retracement - Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI) - Buy Side imbalance fill - Daily Volume Support Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal, WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND **RISK ACCORDINGLY Intro to the next possible move: After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down. **This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF. Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support. with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by brianfj
4