Fundamental Analysis
Incredible Super Guppy Signals BTC Crazy Price ActionCrazy price action continues today on the heels of Softbank $100B AI investment in the United States to show confidence in American President Trump economy success.
The incredible growth indicated on Super Guppy is a chart technique which gains insight on the strength and dimensions of the price movement. When things are going strong in a pump like we are seeing today, this indicator is very beautiful to witness. The world is reacting strongly in favor of American economic recovery and 2025 growth fueled by the AI technology boom. Japan clearly sees this and wants to support the action, provide jobs, and encourage innovation. We can see how Bitcoin reacts and how traders can use the continuing positive opportunity in BINANCE:BTCUSDT and other tokens.
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Remember Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
Avalanche ($AVAXUSDT): 30-Minute Analysis for Short Trade SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Avalanche ( BINANCE:AVAXUSDT ): 30-Minute Chart Analysis for Short Trade Setup
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $52.72 (activated)
- Stop-Loss: $54.09
- Take-Profit Target:
- TP: $46.74
Fundamental Analysis:
Avalanche ( BINANCE:AVAXUSDT ) is a high-performance blockchain platform known for its scalability and low transaction fees. Despite its robust ecosystem and increasing developer adoption, current market sentiment reflects short-term bearish pressure, likely due to profit-taking after recent rallies.
Technical Analysis (30-Minute Timeframe):
- Current Price: $52.50
- Moving Averages:
- 20-EMA: $53.00
- 50-EMA: $53.20
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 42, showing increasing bearish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $51.50
- Resistance: $54.50
The 30-minute chart indicates a downtrend, with BINANCE:AVAXUSDT forming lower highs and breaking below key support at $53.00. This setup aligns with short-term bearish sentiment, providing a favourable risk-to-reward ratio for a downside target of $46.74.
Market Sentiment:
Short-term sentiment on BINANCE:AVAXUSDT appears bearish, with selling pressure increasing around key resistance levels. Broader market movements, especially in Bitcoin and Ethereum, may further influence CRYPTOCAP:AVAX ’s direction.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $54.09 limits potential losses, while the take-profit target at $46.74 provides an attractive downside reward. This setup requires disciplined execution given the short timeframe and potential market volatility.
Key Takeaways:
- Ideal setup for short-term traders capitalizing on bearish momentum.
- Clear downside target supported by technical indicators.
- Risk management is critical given potential reversals in a volatile market.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
ETHUSD Strong Zone Near 4,2000ETHUSD Potential Buy Opportunity Due to High Resistance Zone.
Resistance Zone A Resistance Zone At 4,200 Strong Bullish Momentum Showed in Technical Indicators Positive news or Development Surrounding ETH Or The Broader Cryptocurrency Market.
Rate Share Your Idea What's going On Thanks.
JBLU: Anticipating a Pullback for a Strategic EntryI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
JetBlue Airways Corporation ( NASDAQ:JBLU ): Anticipating a Pullback for a Strategic Entry
Trade Setup:
- Anticipated Entry Price: $5.27
- Stop-Loss: $3.72
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $9.52
- TP2: $14.23
Company Overview:
JetBlue Airways Corporation ( NASDAQ:JBLU ) continues to work toward recovery in a challenging airline market. While the stock is currently trading at $7.16, the anticipated pullback to $5.27 would provide an attractive entry point for traders seeking to capitalize on a recovery in passenger volumes and operational improvements.
Earnings Reports:
- Q3 2024 revenues came in at **$2.5 billion**, a **6.5% year-over-year increase**, supported by higher passenger demand.
- Improved cost management resulted in **$185 million in net income**, reflecting significant progress compared to losses in previous periods.
Valuation Metrics:
- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: **12.4**, highlighting potential undervaluation relative to peers.
- Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: **0.8**, suggesting upside potential as the stock remains below its book value.
Market News:
- JetBlue is expanding international routes, aiming for higher revenue streams through underserved markets.
- Continued cost-cutting measures and improved operational efficiency are likely to strengthen the company’s financial health over time.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $7.16
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $6.50
- 200-Day SMA: $6.80
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 65, signaling that the current rally could soon face resistance and lead to a pullback.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Support: $6.50
- Anticipated Support: $5.27 (entry target)
- Resistance: $7.50
With NASDAQ:JBLU currently trading above $7.00, the RSI suggests overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a short-term pullback. The expected entry at $5.27 aligns with prior support levels, making it an ideal price for a recovery-focused setup.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $3.72 minimizes downside exposure, while take-profit targets at $9.52 and $14.23 offer significant upside potential of **80%** and **170%**, respectively, from the anticipated entry point.
Key Takeaways:
- Awaiting a pullback to $5.27 for an ideal entry point into NASDAQ:JBLU ’s recovery story.
- Favorable risk-to-reward ratios make this a compelling opportunity for both swing and long-term investors.
- Patience and strict adherence to the trade setup are essential for capturing this move.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Softbank $100B AI Investment Promise Heard Worldwide COINBASE:BTCUSD is going bananas today, shortly after Softbank CEO announced $100B AI investment in the United States on stage with American President.
The howling wolf chart pattern shows the excitement exploding as confidence in American economy future success is skyrocketing worldwide.
Good things in store for BINANCE:BTCUSDT beautiful oasis in the world. Have a great day trading the pump.
Remember Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
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Tesla is overhyped and over-extendedHistory repeats itself. Tesla is getting overhyped without clear tangible reason. Robotaxis? Sure, maybe they will be launched next year, but how will the car charge itself? A bunch of logistics and legislation are not yet in place. The Cyber-Truck was a bit of a failure. At least two Chinese EV's are not only catching up, but overpassing it (Nio, BYD). The new Tesla refreshed models are in a way a step-back. Disclosure: I do own a 2022 Tesla Model 3 Performance, but am a bit disappointed with the latest model refresh. Instead of giving people what they want, HUD/screen for the driver, they took out the stalks, and the parking sensors... great decision, now the car instead of showing me exactly the distance to an object, it continuously beeps for non-existent ones.
Anyway, returning to the Tesla stock, with a P/E ratio of over 100, no way this will stay at such a value for long. One of the reasons it got so high, I suspect is due to it being somewhat over-shorted already. Still, what goes up, must come down (eventually).
I'm predicting a more realistic 250-280 within the next 6 months (June 2025), a similar repeat of March/Aug 2022 when Tesla performed by far at their best (yellow/blue paths superimposed over the current stock price).
BTC short squeezed...fake rally! back to 70k soonLet's not get fooled by the ATH every day with BTC. Short sellers are getting squeezed and have to buy back at market asap. This is a fake rally and retailers going in now will get wrecked for a long time. Expect a hard pull back soon around 70k (or lower). This has happened every time and the Champgne effect of the Trump push will simmer soon. There is a disconnect between price and value. Don't let crypto bros sell you the moon and HODL BS...if you're going to go in, do it during the recovery not the ATH as you will be holding a bag for a while!
Best of luck and safe trading!
Dollar Dominates: FED Rate Decision AheadThe US dollar is getting strong again, driven by a resilient US economy and expectations of a "hawkish cut" from the Federal Reserve. Despite talk of a rate cut, the US economy remains strong, with solid consumer spending and a tight labor market. This raises concerns about persistent inflation, suggesting the Fed may be cautious about further easing. Technically, the dollar index (DXY) is staging a convincing rebound, breaking above key resistance and eyeing new highs for 2024. This bullish momentum is likely to continue if the Fed delivers a "hawkish cut" – lowering rates while signaling a cautious stance on future easing.
EUR: Grappling with Economic Headwinds
The eurozone faces a challenging economic outlook. Slowing growth and persistent inflation create a stagflationary environment that weighs on the euro. The European Central Bank is caught between a rock and a hard place, needing to support the economy while also taming inflation. The EUR/USD pair remains trapped within the 1.0460 – 1.0600 range. A decisive break below this zone, particularly with a close below 1.0400, could signal a significant shift in momentum and the continuation of a downtrend in the medium term.
GBP: Battling Stagflation
The pound is under pressure due to a confluence of factors. Recent data shows the UK economy contracting, raising fears of a recession. Inflation remains high, adding to the stagflationary pressures. The Bank of England faces a difficult balancing act, needing to support the economy while also keeping inflation in check. GBP/USD is looking vulnerable, with a break below key support at 1.2600 potentially opening the door for further declines.
JPY: Waiting for Policy Clarity
The Japanese yen remains volatile as markets try to anticipate the Bank of Japan's next move. Will they maintain their ultra-loose monetary policy or finally raise interest rates? The uncertainty is fueling volatility in JPY crosses. USD/JPY has been on a tear, breaking above key resistance levels. A "hawkish hold" from the BoJ, where rates are kept unchanged but the door is left open for future hikes, could fuel further yen weakness.
CAD: Exposed After Rate Cut
The Canadian dollar is vulnerable after the Bank of Canada's recent rate cut. The move surprised markets and raised concerns about the health of the Canadian economy. USD/CAD has been trending higher, fueled by the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Canada. A break above the 1.4350 resistance level could pave the way for further gains in USD/CAD.
*This is a market analysis, not trading advice. Trade responsibly and do your own research.
Sprott Physical Copper Trust (symbol, COP.UN) traded in Canada COP.UN is showing a big discount of about 20% against NAV
So a buy set up in COP.UN around current levels of about CAD 9,65 could show some nice profits
in the coming months when the discount will probably getting smaller.
Potential upside 20%
Long positions in COP.UN can be hedged by going short CPER (Copper ETF) in the US market to hedge against price drops in COP.UN
BTC/USD Performance Review: December 16, 2024.BTC/USD Performance Review: December 16, 2024
Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTC) has had a dynamic day, reaching a new all-time high of $106,648 in the early Asian session. However, it has since corrected to around $104,773. The main driver behind today's price action is the anticipation of the US Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates, expected on Wednesday.
Key Events and Influences
New All-Time High: BTC reached a new all-time high of $106,648 early today. This surge was driven by strong institutional demand and positive market sentiment.
Federal Reserve Anticipation: The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates. A potential rate cut is seen as positive for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Institutional Inflows: Bitcoin Spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $2.17 billion last week, indicating strong institutional interest.
Technical Indicators: Early signs of bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Awesome Oscillator (AO) suggest weakening bullish momentum.
Price Movements
Opening Price: BTC started the day at $105,000.
High: Reached a high of $106,648 early in the Asian session.
Low: Corrected to a low of $104,773 later in the day.
Current Price: Trading around $104,773 at the time of writing.
Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: BTC is trading above its 50-day EMA but below its 200-day EMA, suggesting a potential bullish trend if it can reclaim the 200-day EMA.
RSI: Currently at 68, approaching overbought territory. A break above 70 would typically generate a sell signal.
MACD: The MACD line recently crossed above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
Bollinger Bands: The price touched the lower Bollinger Band and is now moving upwards, indicating a possible reversal.
Volume: OBV is rising, suggesting strong buying interest.
Market Sentiment
Fear and Greed Index: Currently reads 83, indicating "extreme greed" among traders.
Analyst Predictions: Analysts remain bullish on BTC, with some setting a target of $110,000.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has had a volatile day, reaching a new all-time high before correcting slightly. The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates, which could significantly impact BTC's price. Despite the correction, the overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by strong institutional inflows and positive technical indicators..
Bitcoin analysis and two upcoming scenarios: bearish and bullishBitcoin is in an ascending channel on the daily time frame. Given the proximity of Christmas, it could have a correction market. In the first scenario, a correction to the $80,000 range for me.In the bullish scenario, by breaking through the $108,000 to $110,000 level, we could continue to rise to $120,000,
Is this a bottom for AUDUSD?It's been a fantastic move lower, but is 0.6400 a spot for a reversal?
Nothing fundamental is serving as a catalyst for moving the pair in any direction for the rest of the year.
Trend: LSMA moving lower since 10/21/24
Momentum: Bearish
Japanese Candles: Inverted Hammer (imperfect) printed last week. Is this the bottom?
Chart Pattern: None
Support and Resistance: 0.6400 is Support, 0.6750 is a Bullish Target, 0.6200 is a Bearish Target
Fundamentals: No news this week or next
Trade: None
Stop: None
Pound higher as Services PMI rises, job report nextThe British pound has moved higher on Monday, after declining 1% last week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2747, up 0.30% on the day.
The UK Services PMI rose to 51.4 in December, up from 50.8 in November, which was a 13-month low. This beat the market estimate of 51.0, but points to weak business activity as demand for UK exports has been weak and confidence among services providers remains subdued.
UK manufacturing is mired in a depression, and the PMI fell to 47.3 in December, down from 48.0 in November and shy of the market estimate of 48.2. This marked the lowest level in eleven months, as production and new orders showed an accelerated decrease.
The weak PMI data followed Friday's GDP report, which showed a 0.1% decline for a second straight month in October. This missed the market estimate of 0.1%. GDP rose just 0.1% in the three months to October.
The UK releases employment and wage growth numbers on Tuesday. The economy is projected to have lost 12 thousand jobs in the three months to October, after a sparking 200 thousand gain in the previous report. Wages including bonuses is expected to climb to 5% from 4.8%.
The Bank of England meets on Thursday and is expected to hold the cash rate at 4.75% after cutting rates by 25 basis points in November. The economy could use another rate cut but inflation remains a risk to upside, with CPI climbing in October to 2.3% from 1.7%. The BoE will be keeping a close eye on wage growth, which has been a driver of inflation.
The US releases PMIs later today. Manufacturing remained in contraction territory in November at an upwardly revised 49.7 and there is optimism that the new Trump administration's protectionist stance could benefit US manufacturers.
The services sector is in good shape and improved in November to 56.1, up from 55.0 in October. The uncertainty ahead of the US election is over and lower interest rates have contributed to stronger expansion in services.
GBP/USD is testing resistance at 1.2638. The next resistance line is 1.2668
1.2592 and 1.2562 are the next support levels
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88
Last weeks low: $94,177.33
Midpoint: $100,413.61
A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year.
This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price.
Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top.
This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
SOLANA WHERE NEXT? (EARTHTRADER ANALYSIS)If you zoom in the the Lower time analysis of which I've taken a good profit from already lol, you can see the stress out in the bullish candles indicating exhaustion for potential reversal (well TV doesn't allow smaller timeframe chart ideas).
I have drawn a potential trade levels, now what could be confusing to retail cryptotraders is the price action, looking very bullish with all patterns, but the up high lie the forest bears.
LEAVE A FOLLOW!
USDJPY | Market outlookThe dollar was little changed against the yen on Friday as investors digested a mixed U.S. jobs report. U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 227,000 jobs in November, following a revised increase of 36,000 in October. While the report showed stronger-than-expected job growth, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2%. Analysts suggest the data supports the view that the U.S. is not heading into a recession, reinforcing expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path. Markets are pricing in an 88% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's upcoming meeting.
AVGO ...Broadcom, little bit of Debt hurt no oneStraight from the Horse's mouth...in their forward looking statement... That isnt from a company at a top or accelerating to new innovation...its one of burn out and my allegedly not at all liable hypothetical guess is exit of shares by the inside- and I dont mean C-suites...Those who they know and want out before the Fall:
"our significant indebtedness and the need to generate sufficient cash flows to service and repay such debt;"
The chart says- crackup boom like #NVDA along with debt explosion