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Fundamental Analysis

S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again. Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
18
Ftx token ( FTT)Ftt usdt Daily analysis Time frame 4hours Risk rewards ratio >2.5 👈👌👈👈 First target 4.5 $ Second target 5.45 $ LS should have been chosen very close to the entry point (a little below the diagonal line), but in order not to be caught, I chose LS much lower, so that over time and as the price grows, I will also raise LS and make it risk-free. Good news has also been heard in cyberspace about the new management of the FTX exchange, which is paying off its debts, and this is a positive sign for the future this currency and it is likely to return to its original position, the price range before the problems it had with the Binance exchange. (20-25$)
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
Google - Catch The 2025 Bullrun Now!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is preparing for a strong year 2025: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 So many confluences on Google are pointing to a strong year of 2025. First of all we have the resistance trendline breakout which we saw a couple of months ago and bears were also not able to significantly push price lower after we saw the retest of resistance. This is soo bullish. Levels to watch: $220 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by basictradingtv
10
Daily cloud brokenLucid Group, Inc. is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next three years, with analysts expecting its net loss to widen to $2.89 billion in 2024 ¹. However, the company's revenue is expected to grow significantly, more than quadrupling from $799 million in 2024 to $3.31 billion in 2026 ². While there isn't a specific year projected for profitability, Lucid's plans to expand its production capacity and narrow its net loss suggest that it may achieve profitability in the latter half of the decade. The company aims to increase its annual production capacity from 34,000 vehicles to 400,000 vehicles over the next four years ². Yes this was a.I generated to the question can Lucid become profitable
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by mickeypool1
1
SELL Signal – NZD/USD - Targeting 226 PipsEntry: 0.5764 TP: 0.5538 SL: 0.5889 Risk/Reward: 2.32 Reasoning: Monetary Divergence: The RBNZ has paused rate hikes, weakening NZD appeal, while USD strength is supported by higher U.S. Treasury yields and reduced Fed rate-cut expectations. Economic Weakness: New Zealand faces slowing growth, a weak housing market, and reduced demand from China. Bearish Momentum: NZD/USD recently broke two long-term support levels, suggesting further downside toward the 0.5538 demand zone. Strong USD: Global monetary easing (e.g., Switzerland, Canada, ECB) and policy concerns are bolstering the USD, further pressuring NZD.
Short
by ValchevFinance
2
Huge Cocoa Correction Ahead? Cocoa prices face a strong risk of correction back to $10,000 as bearish fundamentals stack up: Supply Surge Ignored Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer. Demand Destruction at High Prices All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals. Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand. Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices. Profit-Taking and Market Correction Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback. Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply. Stronger U.S. Dollar A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices. Soft Commodities Correction Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by ValchevFinance
Gold Ready to Fall: Bearish Move Expected📉 Gold Bearish Short-Term Outlook 🔹 Price Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $2,610 🎯 Target 2: $2,586 🔹 Stop Loss: $2,646 📈 Why This Trade? ✅ Double Top Formation: A clear bearish reversal pattern suggests further downside movement. ✅ Strong U.S. Dollar: The strengthening dollar is putting pressure on gold prices. ✅ Rising Treasury Yields: The recent increase in U.S. Treasury yields makes gold less attractive compared to interest-bearing assets. ✅ Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: With easing geopolitical tensions, the demand for gold as a safe haven is weakening.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ValchevFinance
USDJPY: HTF DT ANALYSIS (1D)HIGH TIMEFRAME DOWNTREND ANALYSIS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Resistance: 161.03 (Major Resistance, distal) 158.33 (Major Resistance, proximal) These levels are aligned with previous rejection zones. 157.8650 (Sell Stoploss Zones) Support: 147.7718 (Strong pivot level from historical lows). 144.8898 and 144.1802 (Mid pivot and buy orders zone). Pivot Zones: 153.4900 (Sell limit identified) 149.7555 (Mid Pivot TP 2 target). Trend: The pair is in a downtrend as highlighted on the chart, with key resistance zones being tested. Pivot Highs and Lows: Pivot highs are aligning with bearish divergences, as seen in areas of DT (Double Top) confirmations. Pivot lows signal potential reversals near support levels, supported by UT (Upward Trend) signals. Volume and Risk Metrics: Volume around Resistance 158 shows diminishing upward momentum, increasing the likelihood of rejection. Risk Index: 0.01853 indicates manageable risk levels for short trades. Reward Index: -0.01521 signifies opportunities for improved reward setups on lower timeframes. PROBABILITY ASSESSMENT Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the 153-158 range offers significant downside probability toward 147.77 and 144.18. Bullish Recovery: A confirmed breakout above 158.04 with strong volume could invalidate the bearish outlook, targeting 160.00. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Macroeconomic Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has maintained ultra-loose monetary policies, which contrasts with the U.S. Federal Reserve's higher interest rate stance. This divergence favors dollar strength. However, seasonal tendencies show that December often has corrective movements due to year-end profit-taking and reduced trading liquidity. Economic Data: Upcoming U.S. GDP and BoJ Monetary Policy Minutes could catalyze volatility. Watch for geopolitical developments impacting the Yen as a safe-haven currency. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment is cautious. With the chart showing multiple sell zones and exhaustion signals Traders may wait for confirmation before heavy entries. TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS High-Risk Opportunities: Sell Entry: Stop Loss: Above 158.0416 157.06 (Sell Limit Order) 155.44 (Sell Stop Order 1) 153.49 (Sell Stop Order 2) Target: 147.84 (Major Support) Buy Entry: Entry: Near 144.1802 Stop Loss: Below 141.64
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
BTC WAS CREATED TO GIVE EVERYBODY A CHANCE AT CREATING WEALTHALL assets are a measurement of human behavior ,price reacts to emotions . In order for retail to buy it must be at a level that causes a reaction to create momentum, BULL or BEAR. Any market is based in probability, so you must have two thesis. My analysis shows BTC going down which is not bad ,most people like discounts . Do not get scared if you a bull BTC will have another thrust maybe in 2025. I say maybe because most retail buyers not sitting on extra money and rates are still high for cheap money to come in and create huge momentum
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Billi8888s
1
XRP JUST IN! Tom Lee’s Bold Prediction: $10 or $35🚨 XRP JUST IN! Tom Lee’s Bold Prediction: $10 or $35 for CRYPTOCAP:XRP ? 🚀 Tom Lee, a renowned crypto analyst and co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, has turned heads with his optimistic forecast for XRP, Ripple's digital asset. According to Lee, XRP could surge to $10-$35, depending on critical developments in the crypto market and regulatory landscape. --- 🔑 Key Factors Influencing XRP's Potential Growth 📜 Regulatory Clarity: The Ripple Labs vs. SEC lawsuit remains a game-changer. This case, which debates if XRP should be classified as a security, could reshape XRP’s future trajectory and its regulatory standing. 💳 Market Adoption: Wider use of XRP in cross-border payments and partnerships with financial giants could boost demand and drive prices higher. ⚙️ Technological Advancements: Improvements to the XRP Ledger and new innovative features may enhance investor trust and attract a broader user base. --- 📊 Current Market Overview Price: $2.21 (as of Dec 23, 2024) 📉 Change: Down 3.07% from the previous close Intraday High: $2.28 | Low: $2.13 --- 🧐 Conclusion Tom Lee’s prediction of XRP hitting $10 to $35 is bold but hinges on: ✅ Favorable regulatory outcomes ✅ Growing adoption by financial institutions ✅ Continuous innovation 🚨 Investors Alert: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Do thorough research before making any decisions! 📌 Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and is NOT financial advice. Always Do Your Own Research --- 💸 Where do you think XRP is headed? Share your thoughts! 🗨️
Long
by AlphaBull-Trading
Wrong Cup & HandleCRYPTOCAP:BTC Now everyone is drawing a cup and handle and saying that ATH is coming soon, why is it not quite so? 📝Let's talk about the pattern first, the cup handle pattern when the asset has a deep drop, after which it recovers and tries to break past highs. Of course, when the price consolidates near resistance and forms a so-called handle, this is a positive signal. After all, the longer the consolidation in front of the resistance zone, the more likely this resistance will not hold. 💡Most take the depth of the cup and say that this will be the growth (300k+), which is not right at all. Here, in the case of #bitcoin, you need to remember that the figures of the technical analysis do not matter much and you need to look at the fundamental analysis and also take into account seasonality. I expect a break through the resistance not now, but in the coming weeks and definitely a break above 80k in October↗️
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FeelsStrategy
4
Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011 UPDATEAs we approach the Christmas Holiday I thought I would just drop this in to read. The expected GREEN December began but the draw back over the last week or so have now turned the Monthly candle into a RED one. As it is right now, the Candle is a Mini imverted Hammer. Shoudl it close like this, there has only been ONE opccasion that December closed like this... December 2022 And we all know what happened in January 2023 but I think a repeat is unlikely. I think what we do need to be awatr of, there are not many occasion we had a RED December ofter a number of Green months In fact December 2013 was the ONLY one and signaled the beginning of a BEAR. I do not think we are tere right now but things have shifted Quickly this year. Weekly MACD is Way up high in overbought and this WILL take time to recover once it turns Bearish For now, we need to pay attention to all possibilities and look forward with open emotions. We could be anywhere right now in this cycle but I believe we still have a good 2025 to come. MVRV has not peaked but is at the same level it was on the Nov 2021 ATH For me, if December this year doe snot recover, we may see Green Jan but that would be unusual A Spring Rise is more likely I wish you all Peace and happiness for the Holidays and may your Gods, Godess , Beliefs and philosophies Keep your Socks forever dry
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
Trading MRI comprehensive trade analysis for BNZIBanzai International, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BNZI ) is a marketing technology company that provides essential marketing and sales solutions for businesses of all sizes. Recent acquisitions, financial restructuring, and a reverse stock split signal strategic shifts aimed at enhancing the company’s market position. However, its financial metrics reflect significant challenges, including negative operating, profit, and gross margins. Recent Stock Performance Closing Price (Dec 20, 2024): $1.71 (+5.56% from previous close of $1.62). Daily Trading Range: $1.63–$1.85. Volume: 4.07 million shares (below the 4.23 million average). Volatility: 5-day fluctuation: 16.33%. 30-day fluctuation: 11.04%. Moving Averages: +11.89% above 20-day SMA. -19.48% below 50-day SMA. -82.60% below 200-day SMA. 52-Week Range: -99.23% from 52-week high. +32.05% above 52-week low. Recent Company Developments Acquisitions: Vidello: Adds 6.5M in revenue and 2.3M in EBITDA (announced Dec 20, 2024). OpenReel: Enhances AI-powered marketing with enterprise video solutions (completed Dec 19, 2024). Debt Restructuring (Sept 2024): 5.6M liabilities written off; 19.2M restructured. Reverse Stock Split (Sept 19, 2024): 1-for-50 split to meet Nasdaq listing requirements. These developments indicate strategic efforts to stabilize operations and capture growth in the video marketing sector. Analysis Overview Daily Timeframe: Setup: Green Setup 3 progressing toward Green Setup 4. Trend: Bullish short-term, supported by price action above the 20-day SMA. Key Levels: Resistance at $1.85. Support at $1.60. Weekly Timeframe: Setup: Transition from Red Setup 8 to Green Setup 1. Trend: Strong reversal potential. Key Levels: Resistance at $1.80–$1.95. Support at $1.35. Monthly Timeframe: Setup: Red Setup progression from 2 to 4. Trend: Bearish continuation. Key Levels: Breakdown below $1.45 signals bearish dominance. Support at $1.30 and $1.20. snapshot Risk Assessment 1. Probabilities: Daily (Bullish): ~50.7% success rate. Weekly (Bullish Reversal): ~90% success rate. Monthly (Bearish Continuation): ~55.6% success rate. 2. Risk-Reward Ratios: Daily: 1:1.5 (moderate). Weekly: 1:2 (favorable). Monthly: 1:1.5 (moderate). 3. Trade Risks: Financial instability and operational losses may limit upside potential. Reverse stock split suggests efforts to manage compliance rather than growth. Trade Recommendations Daily Chart: Action: Long on confirmation of Green Setup 4. Entry: Above $1.75. Stop-Loss: Below $1.60. Targets: $1.85, $1.90. Weekly Chart: Action: Long on confirmation of Green Setup 2. Entry: Above $1.80. Stop-Loss: Below $1.35. Targets: $1.95, $2.00. Bold Prediction for Q1 2025 NASDAQ:BNZI Optimistic Scenario: If bullish reversals on daily and weekly charts are confirmed, supported by revenue growth from recent acquisitions: Target Price: $2.10–$2.20. Drivers: Growth in video marketing demand and operational cost savings from debt restructuring. Target Price: $2.10–$2.50 by Q2 2025. Pessimistic Scenario: If bearish continuation dominates, compounded by financial challenges: Target Price: $1.15–$1.25. Conclusion and Bold Prediction BNZI's stock performance in 2025 will hinge on the successful execution of its strategic initiatives and the market reception of its enhanced video marketing solutions. Optimistic Scenario: Integration of Vidello and OpenReel drives growth and operational efficiencies, potentially lifting the stock to $2.50 by mid-2025. Pessimistic Scenario: Continued financial losses and market volatility may push the stock to a low of $1.10 by mid-2025. Investors should monitor quarterly updates on revenue growth, profitability improvements, and operational synergies from recent acquisitions. This will provide crucial insights into the company's trajectory in 2025.
NASDAQ:BNZILong
by charts-tradingmri
1
TAO SWING LONG IDEA I know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now. People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what? BTC is sitting on daily support. BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis). The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared. Funding rates are extremely negative. Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!). All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows. Let’s take TAO as an example: We’ve hit a key SR level. The election swing lows have been raided. A 4H bullish HTF shift has occurred—this is my confirmation. Entry: $455 SL: $355 (closing daily below) TP: ATH - $750 Good luck! And remember: buy when they’re scared, and sell when they’re greedy. -AS ALWAYS, MANAGE YOUR RISK-
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Comparing US10Y/DXY/US500/VIX, fundamental/technical analysisProposed technical/fundamental analysis for US10Y/DXY/US500/VIX. Bank unrealized losses on available-for-sale and held to maturity securities was $364 billion in Q3 2024; this number will continue to increase as long-term treasure rates increase (www.fdic.gov). US10Y yield chart looks for yield to go higher, north of 5%. If treasury rates continue to increase, there may be a bank run, as banks get more and more underwater with their unrealized losses. DXY will go up above 120, US500 will crater below October 2022 low of 3490.2, and VIX will pop towards 80.
TVC:US10Y
by discobiscuit
Why I Think More Companies Will Buy Themselves Back in 2025I noticed that Nordstrom is making headlines today as the Nordstrom family moves to take the company private, effectively "buying it back" from public shareholders. I find this fascinating and may add it to one of my themes for 2025: more small and mid cap companies will leave public markets and go private. What is Nordstrom's doing? The strategy involves acquiring all outstanding shares not already owned by the family, removing Nordstrom from the public stock exchange. Taking the company private allows the family to regain full control, enabling strategic decisions without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports or shareholder scrutiny. Actually, the exact quote from the company is rather interesting: The Nordstrom family believes it will be more successful without the scrutiny and demands of the public market. For Nordstrom, going private could mean focusing on long-term investments and restructuring without the constraints of public market expectations, costs or regulations. Ah, the freedom to build! A few things to note about this: 1. Look at the trend of Nordstrom's in the chart above into this go private offer. 2. Nordstrom's will save massively on legal costs and fees associated with going public. 3. I think more companies that are floundering at the small and mid cap level will opt to go in this direction. 4. More CFOs and CEOs will ask if it's worth it to stay public if there is no immediate benefit. 5. What's also interesting is that the companies can always go public again if they think they need to raise money once again or need to tap back into the markets. This will be a space to watch and I will be writing about this more in 2025.
NYSE:JWN
by scheplick
5