Fundamental Analysis
GBP/CAD - H4 - Strong BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.7761
2nd Support – 1.7570
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GALAUSDT: Bullish Trend (AB=CD Pattern)GALA is moving in down trend on short time frame, but on the 4hr time frame its making correction and forming AB=CD Pattern. If GALA is maintain on C point and making bullish divergence on any short time frame so its must be touch the D point, So we will wait and observe the Bullish Divergence on any short time frame with break of the LHs to confirmation of the bullish trend and take a long trade with proper Risk Management.
BTC CM RSIEven though CRYPTOCAP:BTC is correcting on the short side, it is still in a major bullish phase on the big time frame.
The inverse head and shoulders pattern seen on the #Bitcoin 1M Chart is also present in the CM RSI indicator, where we obtain healthy results in the long-term view, and is in the retest process.
Solana on the Verge of a Bullish Reversal: Price Targets SetSolana (SOL) is showing strong signs of a potential recovery after a significant selloff, with key technical indicators pointing to a possible upward reversal.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in oversold territory below 30, a classic signal of an impending price rebound. This suggests that Solana is due for a bullish correction.
MACD is showing a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating increasing upward momentum.
After a dramatic price decline, Solana has started to climb, signaling that buyers are stepping back in. This price action supports the potential for further upward movement.
Analysts are optimistic about Solana’s future, with several forecasts predicting a move toward $250–$300 in the next few months, assuming the current bullish momentum holds.
Increased institutional interest and Solana’s growing presence on major platforms like Robinhood are contributing to a positive outlook as well.
Take Profit Levels:
$210: This is the first key resistance level. If Solana breaks and holds above this level, it would confirm the start of a stronger uptrend.
$260: The next major target is $260. If Solana continues its bullish trajectory, this level is likely to be tested.
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 174The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market.
The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected.
The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling.
Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims.
Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
Tesla at the Crossroads: Breakout to $522 or a Slide to $420?Tesla’s price action is heating up as it hovers between $452 resistance and $441.54 support. A breakout above $452 could ignite a rally toward $522, while a breakdown below $441.54 might signal a drop to $420 or lower. This is the moment to stay sharp—will Tesla soar or stumble? Let’s dive into the key levels, actionable tips, and what to watch for next!
Any questions about this chart or any others send me a message
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 174The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and StrategiesGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2627, support below 2583
Four-hour resistance 2627, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: On Thursday, gold rose from 2583 to 2626, rebounding 43 dollars, just touching the area near the daily short-term moving average MA5 and falling to 2586. The ups and downs made it difficult for investors to see the market clearly. Yesterday, the gold price maintained a wide range of long and short shocks and closed weakly below 2600. Today's idea is to continue to be bearish and continue to sell on rebounds.
For European and American market operations, the 5-day moving average of the daily line is at 2614, and the strong resistance is at yesterday's high point 2626. The current price is 2605. Don't rush to enter the short position for the time being.
SELL2626near
SELL2614near
BUY:2600near
BUY:2583near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
HBAR. From $0.23 to the Moon? Hedera’s Growth Potential!BYBIT:HBARUSDT
The asset looks promising during a correction, as it is being heavily accumulated at the $0.25381–$0.23456 level, which supports price growth. I believe it has strong potential for upward movement.
HBAR is the native cryptocurrency of the Hedera public network. Hbars are used for powering decentralized applications, peer-to-peer and micropayments, as well as securing the network—Hedera employs a proprietary protocol with elements of Proof-of-Stake.
DYOR.
good position for buyhello friends
This currency gave us a good correction considering the growth it has had and the money it has received.
Now, step by step on this point and in case of correction, it is worth buying more than the goals we specified for you.
{Note that it is better to make your purchases step by step...}
Be successful and profitable
Alt season may be starting hereYour bags are pumping due to Core PCE!
Today Core PCE came in 10bps lower than expected.
This is very bullish for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and all other alts!
Core PCE is the FED's favorite inflation indicator.
Inflation is the main worry of the FED.
This means the FED may change their outlook back to being bullish if PCE continues falling.
This means #ALTSEASON could be here.
If Bitcoin Dominance keeps falling get ready we're all going to the moon🚀
Let me know your thoughts👇
x.com
HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million.
❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically.
Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done?
💡 What to do?
1️⃣ Analyze key support levels.
2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset.
3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks.
⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions.
_____________________
📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas!
Always DYOR! 🔬
Unlocking the Wheat Matrix: The Code to Dominating CommoditiesUnlocking the Wheat Matrix: The Code to Dominating Commodities
What if I told you there is a way to see the hidden signals of the market? To move not with the herd but ahead of it, where clarity reigns and profits follow. This week, we delve into Wheat (ZW) — a market where the COT strategy reveals its secrets. The choice is yours: read on and learn, or remain blind to the patterns all around you.
Decoding the Setup
Understand this: this is not an invitation to blindly leap into the market. No, we wait. Patience is the cornerstone of mastery. When the technical tools confirm the market’s strength, only then do we act. Now, let’s break down the wheat matrix:
Code 1: Commercial and Small Speculator Positioning
The Commercial COT Index, using a 26-week lookback, reveals that commercials are at an extreme in long positioning. At the same time, the Small Speculator COT Index shows small specs aligning at a similar extreme. In the wheat market, unlike others, we follow the small specs rather than fading them. A deviation from the norm—an anomaly in the matrix.
Code 2: Commercial Extremes in Net Positioning
Commercial entities are nearing their most bullish stance in three years. History whispers a truth: when commercials move like this, the market often follows.
Code 3: Contrarian Signal from Investment Advisors
The masses of investment advisors are overwhelmingly bearish. Against this backdrop, the extreme bullish positioning of commercials sends a powerful contrarian signal. The matrix is showing its hand.
Code 4: Valuation Metrics
Wheat stands undervalued against U.S. Treasuries. When value aligns with positioning, the code becomes clearer.
Code 5: Seasonal Patterns
Seasonal truths tell us that wheat’s true bottom often forms in early January. This aligns perfectly with the cyclical and technical signals currently emerging.
Additional Signs in the Matrix
Spread Divergence: Bullish spread divergence between front and next month contracts.
Accumulation Indicators: Insider Accumulation Index and Williams ProGo confirm accumulation.
Technical Tools: %R is in the buy zone, and Weekly Ultimate Oscillator Divergence further supports the bullish narrative.
Cycles: The Recurring Patterns
44-Month Cycle: A major bottom forms now.
830-Day Cycle: Signals an upward move into March.
151/154-Day Cycles: Align with a cyclical bottom occurring now, projecting strength into March.
The Red Pill of Action
With these signals converging, the urge to act immediately can feel irresistible. Don’t. The matrix requires patience. Let the market reveal its strength. When the time comes, you’ll ride the wave with confidence.
The Path to Mastery
Trading isn’t merely a series of moves; it’s a philosophy. The COT strategy is a key, but only those who seek mastery will unlock its full potential. If you’re ready to see the market for what it truly is, join Tradius Trades. Here, we don’t just navigate the matrix of commodities—we redefine it. Are you ready to free your mind?
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings A Crypto Mining Stock to Watch
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA )
“Bitcoin at $96K? It’s like Monopoly money growing into something real—fueling wealth and lifting stocks like $MARA. Let’s break down the crypto miner making waves in this dynamic market.”
After Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged to $96,000, Marathon Digital Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) has positioned itself as a significant player in the crypto ecosystem. For investors, NASDAQ:MARA represents a unique opportunity tied directly to Bitcoin’s price movements and the operational efficiencies of crypto mining. Let’s dive into the details to evaluate its potential.
Current Market Data
Stock Price: Around $22.73
Market Cap: Approximately $4.65 billion
Earnings Per Share (EPS): -$0.42 (last quarter)
At first glance, NASDAQ:MARA ’s financial metrics might raise eyebrows. A negative EPS highlights the ongoing challenges of profitability in the volatile crypto mining industry. However, its substantial Bitcoin reserves tell a different story.
Bitcoin Holdings: A Key Asset
Marathon Digital holds 40,435 BTC, valued at approximately $3.88 billion at the current Bitcoin price of $96,000. This means that 83% of its market cap is backed by Bitcoin holdings alone. Such a significant asset base provides a unique valuation anchor in an otherwise speculative industry.
Book Value Breakdown
Total Bitcoin Value: ~$3.88 billion
Estimated Shares Outstanding: ~204.6 million
Book Value Per Share: ~$19.00
Compared to its stock price of ~$22.73, this suggests NASDAQ:MARA is trading close to its asset-backed value, making it an intriguing option for Bitcoin bulls.
Valuation Metrics
Traditional valuation methods struggle with companies like NASDAQ:MARA , given the negative EPS and the speculative nature of the crypto market. However, using a forward-looking EPS of $1.22 (an optimistic assumption), we can estimate:
Graham Number:
At a stock price of ~$22.73, NASDAQ:MARA appears fairly valued by this metric, though this assumes optimistic future earnings and stability in Bitcoin prices.
Operational Highlights
BTC Yield Growth: Marathon has reported steady improvements in Bitcoin yield, signaling operational success and increased mining efficiency.
Renewable Energy Investments: Recent moves to secure wind farms and other renewable energy sources could reduce mining costs and enhance profitability.
Scalability: With a solid foundation and operational upgrades, NASDAQ:MARA is well-positioned to benefit from further Bitcoin price increases.
Risks and Volatility
Crypto Dependency: NASDAQ:MARA ’s performance is tightly coupled with Bitcoin’s price. While this offers significant upside during bull markets, it exposes the stock to extreme downside risk in bear markets.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Potential changes in crypto regulations could impact mining operations and profitability.
Operational Costs: Fluctuations in energy prices and mining difficulty could strain margins.
Buffett’s Perspective: Speculation vs. Strategy
Warren Buffett famously avoids speculative assets like Bitcoin, and by extension, Bitcoin-focused companies. However, Marathon’s strategic moves—such as renewable energy investments—showcase a long-term vision that could appeal to more risk-tolerant investors.
Conclusion: Is NASDAQ:MARA a Buy?
NASDAQ:MARA ’s substantial Bitcoin reserves and operational improvements make it a compelling choice for investors who believe in Bitcoin’s continued growth. At a price of ~$22.73, the stock seems fairly valued relative to its book value and intrinsic potential. However, investing in NASDAQ:MARA requires:
A strong belief in Bitcoin’s future.
A high tolerance for crypto market volatility.
An understanding of the risks tied to mining operations and regulatory changes.
For those ready to embrace the volatility, NASDAQ:MARA offers an opportunity to ride the crypto wave with a company building for the future.
For more in-depth market insights and strategies, visit DCAlpha.net and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
USDJPY | Hidden Bearish Divergence | 1HCurrently, the USDJPY chart shows the formation of a hidden bearish divergence and a double top pattern, both indicating that the uptrend is shifting into a downtrend. Additionally, new lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) are forming, confirming the change in market structure. These factors suggest the presence of a potential reversal zone (PRZ), where the price is likely to continue its downward movement.
Explanation:
1: Hidden Bearish Divergence:
The price is formed higher highs (HH), while the RSI is showing lower highs, signaling weakness in the uptrend and a potential reversal.
2: Double Top Formation:
A double top is a strong reversal pattern, indicating that the price has struggled to break through a resistance level and is now likely to move downward.
3: Market Structure Shift:
The formation of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) indicates a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, confirming bearish sentiment.
4: Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
The confluence of divergence, the double top, and the structural change points to a PRZ where sellers are likely to dominate, pushing the price further down.
This setup suggests a bearish bias, and traders could look for sell opportunities after proper confirmation, such as a retest of the PRZ or a bearish candlestick pattern.
DXY - Bullish Flag Breakout PatternAfter an explosive bullish move due to the US Interest Rates news yesterday the US Dollar Index is showing signs of relief.
This relief is also forming a Flag Pattern with the expectation being a breakout to the upside.
Not only is this flag pattern a bullish sign, but overall the market is providing us with more bullish signs as well making this a very interesting opportunity to keep an eye.
I'll walk yo through what I'm seeing and where I expect price to go if this trading idea works out.
Hope you enjoyed the video and I wish you a Happy Holiday's
Akil
Micron ($MU) is Poised for Action – Here’s What’s ComingMicron is sitting at a major decision point, and the next move could be big. Here’s the game plan:
If we drop below $84: Things could get bumpy, with possible corrections to $74, $70, or even $63–$64.
If we break above $93: The sky’s the limit, with targets at $100, $110, and maybe even $138 on the horizon.
This is one to watch closely. Big moves are coming, so stay sharp and ready to ride the wave!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
CRYPTO SUPER CYCLE 2024-2026:BEAR TO BULL ALL WHAT YOU NEED HERE🔄 CRYPTO MARKET CYCLES: MAJOR TRANSITION - FROM BEAR TO BULL 2024-2026
Technical Market Cycle Analysis:
- Current price: $346.31
- Clear transition from bear to bull market
- Three distinct cycles identified: BTC, ETH, ATLS
Market Phase Breakdown:
📉 Bear Market (2022-2024):
- Declining trend complete
- Bottom formation validated
- Accumulation phase ending
📈 Bull Market (2025-2026):
- BTC cycle initiating bull run
- ETH cycle following
- ATLS cycle completing the sequence
Key Observations:
- "Traders confusion" zones marked at critical transitions
- Clear cycle progression: BTC → ETH → ATLS
- Market structure showing higher lows forming
- Volume profile supporting bullish transition
⚠️ Critical Points:
- Major market cycle shift in progress
- Multiple timeframe alignment
- Clear cycle rotation pattern
- Historical pattern repetition
🔔 Market Intelligence:
- Bull market projected until end of 2026
- Three distinct crypto cycles identified
- Clear market phase transitions
- Institutional accumulation evident
#CryptoMarketCycles #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketPhases
Want detailed cycle breakdown? 📊FOLLOW ME
Horizen ZEN Takes Off After Dec 17 Listing on gTradeCOINBASE:ZENUSD Is really taking off after listing on gTrade December 17th, just a few days ago.
The market is seeing some fantastic growth right now, and has popped to the top of Coinbase Top Gainers chart today, showing crazy gains in the last 24 hours.
When you research this project, you will be happy to learn Horizen is technically innovative, and in fact, there is even a Greyscale Horizen Trust derivative fund available for institutional investors. All of this looks very positive for the ZEN token.
Other factors in the current price action include the recent (2nd and final) halving event celebrated on December 18th, 2024. Given this happened only days ago, and combined with the listing on gTrade, and Top Gainer status on Coinbase, this project has a bright outlook.
With such a solid foundation, Horizen is moving forward the Web3 landscape, as well as generating new excitement with its recent excellent performance!
ZEN is #1 in last 24hrs as of this writing on coinranking.com
Currently the price is around $28, and showing an impressive 24hr gain of 65.52%, with market cap at $142.82M USD.
Remeber Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
www.horizen.io
gains.trade
www.grayscale.com
OXY, going long.The energy sector is overlooked. I believe OXY presents itself as a valuable investment for generations. From essential resources to services, there is no doubt there lays a mint of life long cash-flows. Energy prices are volatile and this company is established to survive a stress tested $30 Oil prices.