Fundamental Analysis
9 Straight Down Days...and CountingHave you been paying attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ?
Today marks the 9th Consecutive day it is down
a record daily losing streak since get this,.. 1978.
Lead lower by the collapse of United Healthcare, down 20 %
(which I wrote to you about in my last TradingView post)
traders at the mighty New York Stock Exchange are starting to get very concerned.
With record investor and trader bullishness on stocks, paper asset class
and the Fed now willing to grease the skids with another factored in rate cut tomorrow,
the Dow is sending a clear warning that someone knows something you don't
THE_UNWIND
12/17/24
Woods of Connecticut
XRP USD Don't fall for false breakouts – catch the real uptrend!The price is in an uptrend and has made a false breakout of the upper zone on a higher timeframe. Now we can observe whether the price will return to the HH (higher high) and confirm the continuation of the buy trend there, or if the price will return to the buy area (GWS) and confirm the continuation of the buy trend there.
In any case, it is important to wait for a proper confirmation of the buy trend continuation to avoid a false breakout, as seen on the higher timeframe.
BTDR - Daily - Overextended?"Click Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technical, and more behind this trade!!!
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📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) Rising Mining Difficulty: The recent increase in Bitcoin's mining difficulty poses a significant challenge for miners like BTDR, especially those who are not energy-efficient. This could erode their profit margins.
2.) Declining Financial Performance: The company's projected reduced revenue and negative net income for the past three quarters of 2024 indicate a concerning trend.
3.) Potential Lagging Correction: Given the recent correction in Cleanspark, a similar downward trend for BTDR seems likely, especially considering their similar business models.
🌎Global Market Sentiment⬅️
Bullish Factors:
- Historical Data: The 62% chance likely stems from historical data showing a tendency for positive performance in December.
- Potential Rate Cuts: Market expectations of potential rate cuts by the Fed could boost investor sentiment and drive asset prices higher.
Bearish Factors:
- Economic Uncertainty: The possibility of a recession could negatively impact market sentiment and lead to increased volatility.
- Fed's Tight Monetary Policy: The Fed's ongoing efforts to combat inflation through higher interest rates could put downward pressure on asset prices.
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Today's Trading News & Tips for the Week Ahead.Nasdaq Hits Record High: The Nasdaq Composite soared to a fresh record high, driven by gains in Big Tech stocks like Tesla, Google, Amazon, and Apple. The index closed up 1.2%. Tip: Keep an eye on these tech giants as they continue to drive market momentum.
Bitcoin Reaches New All-Time High: Bitcoin briefly surged past $107,000, hitting a new all-time high ahead of the Federal Reserve's final policy decision meeting this week. Tip: Consider the potential impact of the Fed's decision on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Federal Reserve Meeting: Investors are eagerly awaiting the Federal Reserve's final rate policy meeting of the year, with a 25 basis point rate cut widely anticipated. Tip: Stay updated on the Fed's announcements and be prepared for market volatility.
European Markets: European shares were mostly in the red as investors braced for a heavy schedule of economic reports and interest rate announcements. Tip: Monitor European market trends and economic indicators for potential trading opportunities.
US Market Mixed: Major US indices ended mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.2% while the Nasdaq rose 0.1%. Tip: Diversify your portfolio to manage risk and take advantage of different market movements.
Global Regulatory Brief: The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) published its final policy statement on the new transparency regime for UK bonds and derivatives markets. The changes aim to ensure better, quicker, and clearer data at a fair price. Tip: Stay informed about regulatory changes that could impact your trading strategies.
Copy Trading: Copy trading is gaining popularity as it allows users to replicate the trades of successful investors, providing exposure to various asset classes without needing to do the research themselves. Tip: Explore copy trading platforms to diversify your trading approach.
Cocoa Futures: Cocoa futures reached a fresh record in New York as the market battles renewed supply concerns, increasing the chances that high costs will worsen for chocolatiers and consumers. Tip: Consider commodities like cocoa futures for potential trading opportunities.
Trump's Crypto Plans: US President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to create a US strategic Bitcoin reserve, similar to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This move aims to position the US as the global leader in cryptocurrency and could significantly impact Bitcoin's value. Tip: Keep an eye on political developments that could influence cryptocurrency markets.
Crypto Policy Blitz: Analysts predict a wave of pro-crypto legislation in 2025, with states potentially opening up to crypto investments for public pension funds and treasuries. Trump's administration is expected to push for deregulation and increased government buy-in to stabilize Bitcoin's price. Tip: Stay informed about legislative changes and their potential impact on the crypto market..
S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again.
Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD → Manipulation ahead of a possible rate cutFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of 2658 (0.5 fibo). We can say that this is a manipulation before a possible growth. Technically gold has a neutral trend. The emphasis is on support.
Markets continue to consider the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rate by 0.25% on Wednesday. This could spark a bearish rally in the dollar, which would be favorable for gold, which is heading for support. But here we should also take into account the comments of the Fed, which based on economic data is beginning to question its decisions and change into a hawk. The suspension of the rate cut cycle in January may put pressure on the markets, including gold, but this problem is postponed until 2025. Today all eyes are on retail sales.
Technically, gold is flat and heading for strong support....
Resistance levels: 2646, 2658
Support levels: 2633, 2620, 2617
Price is heading towards support before the news. Manipulation before a possible rise? The probability is high :)
We are waiting for support retest, false breakdown and possible growth to the mentioned targets
Regards R. Linda!
Xauusd buy Following Monday's shallow recovery attempt, Gold remains under modest bearish pressure and trades below $2,650 on Tuesday. Growing expectations for a less dovish Fed outlook and elevated US bond yields weigh on XAU/USD ahead of the last FOMC meeting of the year.
Gold now buy 2634
Support 2643
Support 2655
12/17/24 - $qubt - short. no brainer.- momentum is king
- but if you've made money, a/ congrats AF and b/ pay yourself
- of the quantum names i've tracked (you know the usual suspects, only NYSE:IONQ is legit, the others are varying levels of suck but NYSE:QBTS and NASDAQ:RGTI are better than $arqq...) BUT...
- ... NASDAQ:QUBT is basically a goose egg. a donut. a bagel.
- so yeah. funding short.
- and MEGA long NYSE:UBER calls fwiw ;)
be well.
V
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD | Long at $126.00Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD may be the sleeping giant in the semiconductor / AI space. While all eyes on NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA , earnings for NASDAQ:AMD grew by 800% over the past year... and are now forecast to grow 40% per year. Any other company would be soaring right now (like NVidia), but that company is getting all the attention. And, to me, this means opportunity for the future. The cashflow is likely to grow tremendously for
NASDAQ:AMD into 2027 and beyond, which may inevitably reward investors with dividends.
From a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:AMD just entered my historical simple moving average zone. This area (currently $108-$126) is where I will be gathering shares. Something tremendous would have to change regarding the fundamentals of this company (like a scandal) for the overall thesis to change. There may be some near-term price pains as NVidia gets all the focus, but to meet demand in the semiconductor and AI space, NASDAQ:AMD is poised to fulfill that roll in the future.
Target #1 = $158.00
Target #2 = $175.00
Target #3 = $188.00
Target #4 = $205.00
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | Long at $146.00Johnson & Johnson NYSE:JNJ is strong (but highly controversial) company with anticipated earnings growth on the horizon. With a P/E of 23x, steady dividend growth record, low debt, and expected increased cashflow, the future is optimistic for NYSE:JNJ if they can stay out of the shady spotlight...
While the historical simple moving average I've selected suggests the stock is entering a downtrend on the daily chart, I'm going to go against this given the current price/position it is in. If the price can hold in $140's and then move up, there could be an early cup formation here. However, if the price drops below $140, that idea is out, and the near-term downtrend may be on. But the company, overall, is a personal buy-and-hold for the long-term ups and downs (unless new news points the company in a different direction). Thus, at $146.00, NYSE:JNJ is in a personal buy-zone.
Target #1 = $157.00
Target #2 = $165.00
Target #3 = $170.00+
GBPCAD MODULEWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in GBP/CAD price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#GBPCAD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
US30 Intra-Week Analysis DEC 17th 2024US30 continued to make its way down to the 43400 Key Level after retracing from the new All-Time-High and supporting the FUD from an increase in interested rates. From this price point we can expect a decrease in volume resulting in consolidation as we approach Christmas and the new year. If we see a break above 43800 that will help support potential buys back to ATHs otherwise look out for a break below 43250 meaning selling momentum is still there.
Leading the RWA Revolution
NASDAQ:OM trading exactly as expected.
Those who saw the RWA vision early are being rewarded. And we're just getting started.
Next targets looking juicy as #MANTRA continues leading the #RWAs narrative.
The smart money is already here
#DeFi #Web3 #Binance #Bullish #TradingTips
MANTRA ($OM) and the Rise of RWAs#Bitcoin hits new high, and Ethereum is also experiencing a parabolic rise. $XPRT is expected to follow this upward trend. 📈
#MANTRA quietly building the rails for institutional RWAs while others chase hype.
These are the projects that matter when big money moves. 🧠
Now might be a good entry IMO.
#OM #DYOR
Pound steady after hot UK wage growth, CPI nextThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4315, up 0.48% at the time of writing. The Canadian dollar has declined 2.2% in December and is trading at its lowest level since mid-March.
Canada's inflation eased to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October and shy of the market expectations of 2%. However, the trimmed-mean core rate remained unchanged at 2.7%, higher than the market estimate of 2.5%. This is above the Bank of Canada's target of 2% and will complicate plans to continue to lower interest rates.
The BoC has been the leader among major central banks in lowering rates, with five rate cuts since June for a total of 175 basis points. The central bank chopped the benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 3.25% last week but indicated in the rate statement that it expected a "more gradual approach to monetary policy", which means we can expect 25-bp increments in rate cuts if there are no surprises in inflation or employment data.
US retail sales sparkled, another sign that the US economy remains robust. Retail sales jumped 3.8% y/y in November, following an upwardly revised 2.9% in October. This was the highest annual gain since last December. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.7%, above the upwardly revised 0.5% gain in October and the market estimate of 0.5%.
US consumers have opened their wallets for the holiday season and motor vehicles and online sales helped drive the gain. The strong retail sales report didn't change expectations for a rate cut on Wednesday, which stand at 99%, according to the CME's FedWatch.
US PMIs on Monday pointed to a mixed bag. The Services PMI rose in December to 58.5 from 56.1 in November and above the forecast of 55.7. This was the highest level in over three years as the services economy is showing impressive expansion. The manufacturing sector is in dreadful shape and weakened to 48.3, down from 49.7 in November and below the market estimate of 49.8. Output and new orders are down as the demand for exports remains weak.
USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.4289. Above, there is resistance at 1.4343
1.4191 and 1.4137 are the next support levels