Fundamental-analysis
The Limits of Fundamental Analysis: An In-Depth PerspectiveFundamental analysis serves as a comprehensive approach to evaluating securities, aiming to assess their intrinsic value by examining the underlying factors that shape their worth. This method involves a meticulous analysis of qualitative and quantitative aspects, enabling an assessment of a company's financial well-being, performance, and future prospects. By diving into financial statements, gathering relevant company information, conducting qualitative and quantitative analysis, performing forecasting, and utilizing valuation techniques, fundamental analysis empowers investors to make well-informed decisions regarding the long-term potential of a security.
Undoubtedly, fundamental analysis provides valuable insights and a solid foundation for investment decision-making. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the limitations inherent in this approach and the necessity of adopting a holistic perspective when making investment decisions. While fundamental analysis offers a comprehensive understanding of a company's fundamentals, it may not account for short-term market fluctuations, investor sentiment, or external macroeconomic factors that can significantly impact the performance of a security. Therefore, combining fundamental analysis with other methodologies, such as technical analysis or considering market trends, can provide a more robust and well-rounded approach to investment decision-making. By recognizing the strengths and limitations of fundamental analysis and incorporating it into a broader framework, investors can strive to enhance their chances of making sound investment choices that align with their financial goals and risk tolerance.
Knowing How and Why Fundamental Analysis Works
Fundamental analysis is a meticulous approach to evaluating securities, such as stocks or bonds, by examining the underlying factors that impact their intrinsic value. This method involves a comprehensive analysis of both qualitative and quantitative factors to assess the financial health, performance, and future prospects of a company or investment.
The process of fundamental analysis typically includes several key steps. It begins with analyzing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, to gain insights into its financial position and performance. Gathering relevant company information, such as details about the management team, business model, competitive advantages, and market share, is also crucial.
Qualitative analysis plays a significant role in fundamental analysis. It involves evaluating industry dynamics, market trends, regulatory factors, and the competitive landscape to understand the broader context in which the company operates. This analysis helps assess the company's positioning and identify potential risks and opportunities.
Quantitative analysis is another vital component of fundamental analysis. It involves examining financial ratios and metrics derived from the company's financial statements. Profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, and valuation ratios provide valuable insights into the company's financial performance, efficiency, and relative valuation.
Forecasting and projections are integral to fundamental analysis. Analysts use historical data, industry trends, and other relevant information to make future projections of the company's revenues, earnings, and cash flows. These forecasts help evaluate the company's growth potential and estimate its intrinsic value.
Valuation is a critical step in fundamental analysis. Analysts use various methods, such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratios, and price-to-book ratios, to determine the intrinsic value of the company or investment.
Based on the intrinsic value compared to the current market price, fundamental analysts make investment decisions. If the intrinsic value suggests that the investment is undervalued, it may be considered an attractive opportunity. On the other hand, if the intrinsic value is lower than the market price, it may indicate an overvalued investment.
Arguments Against Fundamental Analysis :
Fundamental Analysis Is Outdated
For day traders, the immediate market conditions and price movements take precedence over future stock prices, which is a primary focus for long-term investors. Day traders rely on real-time information and timely data to make quick trading decisions. This is where charts become essential, as they provide up-to-date details on price changes, current stock prices, and moment-to-moment fluctuations.
Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, relies on analyzing company financials and economic indicators, which are often released after a few days or each quarter. The lag between data releases makes fundamental analysis less suitable for day traders who require more immediate insights. Instead of waiting for economic reports and financial statements, day traders rely on chart analysis to identify trade setups and execute their trading strategies. In this context, fundamental analysis may not be as effective for day trading.
Day traders heavily rely on technical analysis techniques, which involve studying charts, patterns, and indicators. These tools allow them to analyze price trends, identify key levels, and determine entry and exit points for their trades. By focusing on real-time data and chart readings, day traders can react swiftly to market movements and implement their trading plans effectively.
It's important to understand that while fundamental analysis may have limited applicability for day trading, it remains a valuable tool for long-term investors who consider a broader range of factors and take a more extended perspective on investment decisions. Each approach serves its purpose depending on the trading style and goals of the investor.
Fundamental Analysis Is Incapable of Predicting Immediate Reactions
The response of the market to fundamental data points, whether they pertain to specific commodities, companies, or the overall economy, can often seem unpredictable. Even when a company's actual earnings exceed analysts' expectations, it does not guarantee that stock prices will always rise.
In some cases, if traders had even higher expectations for the company's earnings, the actual result may be viewed as disappointing, leading to a decrease in the value of the asset. Conversely, if traders had anticipated even worse earnings, even a below-average result could cause the investment's value to increase.
Market reactions to fundamental data are influenced by various factors, including market sentiment, investor expectations, and prevailing economic conditions. These factors create a complex interplay that can cause stock prices to deviate from what might be considered the "expected" response based solely on the fundamental data.
Investors must understand that market reactions are not always straightforward or predictable. Gaining insights into market sentiment and investor expectations, in addition to conducting fundamental analysis, can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential market movements. Furthermore, implementing risk management practices and adopting a diversified investment approach can help mitigate the impact of unexpected market reactions to fundamental data points.
Without technical analysis, fundamental analysis cannot be completed.
Fundamental analysis and technical analysis are two essential tools for understanding price movements and making informed trading decisions. Relying solely on one approach while ignoring the other would be a mistake. Instead, they should be used together to complement each other and provide a comprehensive understanding of the market.
Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the underlying factors that drive market sentiment and determine the potential direction of prices. It provides insights into the overall health and prospects of the currencies or assets being traded. On the other hand, technical analysis focuses on analyzing historical price data, chart patterns, and indicators to identify optimal entry and exit points.
By combining fundamental and technical analysis, traders gain a more holistic view of the market. Fundamental analysis helps answer the "why" behind price movements, while technical analysis helps determine the "when" to execute trades.
Mastering technical analysis enables traders to spot early warning signs and changes in market sentiment, allowing them to react swiftly. By striking a balance between both approaches, traders can make well-informed decisions and improve their overall trading strategy.
To enhance understanding of both fundamental and technical analysis, it is beneficial to gather materials and insights from various sources. This approach exposes traders to different perspectives and helps them develop a well-rounded knowledge base. Remember, successful trading involves incorporating both fundamental and technical analysis, rather than relying solely on one approach.
Fundamental analysis can't explain why the market went too far.
Fundamental analysis is a valuable tool for understanding the intrinsic value of an asset, but it may not fully account for market overreactions. When day trading, it's essential to be aware of significant price movements that can occur when fundamental news, such as the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, is released.
During these important releases, the market can react rapidly and sometimes in an exaggerated manner. Positive news initially may create the perception of high employment rates, but subsequent information may reveal little change in unemployment or stagnant wages.
It's important to recognize that market overreactions can happen. While certain economic news releases have a strong impact, their effects on market dynamics may not always be lasting or significant. To navigate these sudden market movements, it's crucial to implement strong money management practices.
Robust money management strategies can help you better handle market overreactions and potential volatility. This includes setting appropriate Stop Loss orders, managing position sizes, and diversifying your portfolio. These practices protect your capital and mitigate the risks associated with market fluctuations caused by overreactions.
While fundamental analysis provides valuable insights into the underlying factors driving market movements, it's important to be aware of the potential for market overreactions and adjust your trading strategies accordingly.
Fundamental Analysis Cannot Predict Supply And Demand
You are correct that fundamental analysis alone may not be sufficient to predict supply and demand dynamics in day trading, particularly in the forex market where currencies are traded in pairs. While fundamental analysis provides insights into the broader economic factors influencing both currencies, it is crucial to consider additional factors that impact supply and demand dynamics.
Market sentiment and overall market dynamics play a significant role in determining the demand and supply of securities. Factors such as investor psychology, market trends, and prevailing market conditions can influence trading volumes and affect price movements beyond fundamental data.
It is important to recognize that events unrelated to fundamental data, such as natural disasters or geopolitical tensions, can have a substantial impact on various financial instruments like bonds, stocks, or commodities. These events can shape market sentiment and have implications for day trading. Some events may have a minimal impact, while others can exert significant influence on market sentiment for a specific period.
To succeed as a day trader, it is essential to consider a wide range of factors beyond fundamental analysis. This includes staying updated on market sentiment, monitoring technical indicators, and being aware of significant events or developments that may affect supply and demand dynamics.
By adopting a comprehensive approach that combines fundamental analysis with an understanding of market sentiment and other relevant factors, you can gain a better understanding of supply and demand dynamics and make more informed trading decisions.
Should You Use Fundamental Analysis?
Deciding whether to incorporate fundamental analysis into your investment strategy depends on several factors, including your investment goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, and trading style. While fundamental analysis offers valuable insights into a security's intrinsic value and long-term prospects, it is not the only approach to consider. Here are some key considerations to help you determine if fundamental analysis is suitable for you:
1 ) Long-Term Investment Goals: If you have a long-term investment horizon and aim to build a portfolio of fundamentally strong companies, fundamental analysis can be beneficial. By evaluating financial statements, industry dynamics, and company information, you can make informed decisions aligned with your long-term investment goals.
2) Value Investing: If you are a value investor, fundamental analysis is particularly relevant. By examining a company's financial health, earnings potential, and valuation, you can identify stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value, offering potential for long-term appreciation.
3 ) Fundamental-Focused Trading Strategy: For investors who employ a fundamental-focused trading strategy, fundamental analysis is crucial. This approach involves using fundamental factors to identify short-term trading opportunities. By analyzing company-specific news, economic indicators, and market trends, you can capitalize on short-term price fluctuations driven by fundamental factors.
4 ) Combining Approaches: Many investors adopt a hybrid approach by combining fundamental analysis with other methods, such as technical analysis or market sentiment analysis. Integrating different approaches can provide a more comprehensive view and help validate investment decisions. For example, technical analysis can help identify optimal entry and exit points based on short-term price patterns, complementing the long-term perspective offered by fundamental analysis.
5 ) Time and Effort: Consider the time and effort required for thorough fundamental analysis. Analyzing financial statements, researching industry trends, and staying updated with company news demands substantial time and research skills. If you have limited availability or prefer a more passive investment approach, fundamental analysis may not be the most suitable option.
Ultimately, the decision to use fundamental analysis depends on your investment objectives and individual preferences. It's important to consider your own circumstances, risk tolerance, time availability, and level of expertise before incorporating fundamental analysis into your investment strategy.
Fundamental analysis is indeed a valuable tool for investors, providing insights into the intrinsic value and long-term prospects of securities. However, it's important to recognize its limitations and the need to incorporate other methods into the investment process. By combining fundamental analysis with other approaches, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make better-informed decisions.
USDCAD 30 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
USD/CAD Prediction on 28.06.2023The USD/CAD pair has recently been experiencing an upward trend, a shift that market analysts and traders are closely monitoring. This forex pair's current rise, which represents the value of the US dollar (USD) against the Canadian dollar (CAD), is being influenced by a myriad of factors.
From a macroeconomic standpoint, it's important to consider the interplay between the economies of the two countries involved. The United States and Canada, as two of the world's major economies, have intricate economic ties, which often directly influence the USD/CAD exchange rate.
One key factor could be the relative strength of the US economy. Recent data shows an uptick in several leading indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rate, and inflation. This has led to expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, a move that often bolsters the USD's value.
On the other side of the pair, the CAD's performance is heavily influenced by the price of commodities, notably oil. If oil prices are experiencing a downturn or are relatively stable while the US economy strengthens, it could explain the uptick in the USD/CAD rate.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions and changes in global risk sentiment can also affect the pair. When there's global economic uncertainty, investors tend to flock towards "safe-haven" currencies such as the USD, driving up its value against pairs like the CAD.
Lastly, market speculation plays a role too. If traders believe that these trends will continue, they may buy into the USD/CAD pair, thereby driving the price up even further.
It's essential for traders and investors to stay updated with both US and Canadian economic data, geopolitical events, and other relevant news that could impact the pair's future movements. A thorough analysis of these elements would provide a better understanding of whether this upward trend in the USD/CAD rate is a temporary phenomenon or the beginning of a longer-term shift.
Price Waiting for News Releases | Tech/Fundamental Analysis Traders, today we have those news releases for Wed, 28 Jun 2023..
Buyside liquidity then sellside liquidity..
Use these news as your trigger and most importantly, confirm your entry..
This view is linked to my previous view, please review it..
Price may reprice higher than H2 FVG and into my "sell area" marked in my previous idea..
Those are areas of "possible" reversal points, and entry should be confirmed in the proper time..
I'll keep you updated ✅
BITCOIN UPDATE Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
First of all, Wishing everyone a profitable and productive week! Today is Monday, and I have some information to share with you. 📰
Last week was nice, and yesterday we witnessed the highest weekly candle close of the year. This week will also mark the monthly close, which is expected to show significant growth. 📈
Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel, forming new HH's and HL's. The correction from $30k was highly predictable, and I have been mentioning it for the past two months. Now, I will share my outlook on future events, and this post will serve as an addition to my recent BTC 1D TF chart. 🔙
The 200MA and 200EMA have performed exceptionally well, and as I mentioned before, I anticipate further growth for BTC in the near future due to several reasons:
1️⃣ The sweep of the high at the $32k level ;
2️⃣ Liq. grab from the monthly FVG ;
3️⃣ The 3.618 level as the next Fib. target ;
4️⃣ The "Manipulation" stage according to PO3 ;
5️⃣ The fifth wave according to Elliot Wave theory ;
6️⃣ Additionally, there is a MACD Bullish Cross.
💡 Remember - Dips are for buying! In the near future, focus more on long positions rather than short ones !
🔜 Further updates will be provided as new developments unfold !
bitcoin update Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
As we said before we can expect more pump here only if the 31K$ resistance zone break but now price is below the resistance so we may have short-term fall too.
Major supports:
A. 27500$
B. 26700$
C. 25000$
Major resistances are:
A. 31000$
B. 34000$
EURGBP Trading the Range - 0.852 convictionHey Traders! 👋
For Day 39/100 of our challenge, we will look at EURGBP short idea and how we can trade the range
Technicals:
- Prior to range, structure was bearish
- Strongly rejected 0.863 key level
- Now retesting middle limit pivot area
- 79% retracement rejected as well
- Expecting the fill of range bottom at 0.852
Fundamentals:
🇪🇺 Despite ECB remaining hawkish, recent data have been negative in both inflation and labor. This gives ECB less room to be hawkish/raise rates further compared to BoE
🇬🇧 The main downside risk for BoE now is the aggressive pricing in of peak rates by the rate markets. However, BoE has done a great job in meeting expectations lately: surprise hike of 50bp and the lack of push back on aggressive rate markets. The UK has also been seeing positive data recently which gives them more room to raise rates to battle inflation. Now, a hard landing due to aggressive rate hikes is also another risk. But it seems that the market isn't paying much attention to that as much as inflation currently.
So that leaves us with the EURGBP short expectations this week. Any changes in catalysts is possible with inflation data from around the world is released.
So stay safe, and see you tomorrow 👍
XAUUSD: 1915 supports long, 1937 shortThe first plan: BUY1915~1910
Second plan: SELL1937
What happened over the weekend in Russia's domestic affairs is over and the impact on gold has passed.
We can see that it opened higher today, but the range is not very large. From the perspective of space, the upward rebound is not strong enough. But speaking of technical aspects, there are indeed many bullish signals in four hours, but the strength is not enough, but the market is bullish. Heavy volume, but the gold price has not made a new breakthrough. Instead, it has chosen to fluctuate downward and fluctuate back and forth. It is inappropriate for me to go long above 1920, and it is naturally inappropriate to chase short.
1920 will become the point of long-short competition, and we will follow the trend to enter after one side wins.
The best solution for us is to wait for it to fall back around 1915-1910 and do long, and set 6-7U SL according to our own different price points.
The upper pressure level is at 1937, if you are given the opportunity, you can directly go short.
BTC 1D Interval ReviewWe will now move on to the BTC/USDT chart, also on a one-day timeframe. First of all, using the yellow line, we can mark the downtrend line from which the price went up, then, using the blue lines, we can mark the uptrend channel in which the price is currently moving.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, but here we will use support zones and we have the first zone in the range of $ 27725 to $ 25381, then there is a second strong zone from $ 23388 to $ 21513, while if the price fell lower we have a third very strong support zone from $18,934 to $15,418.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $ 31769, which so far has not been strong enough to overcome, the next resistance is at the price of $ 35578, and then the third resistance at the price of $ 41028.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that it kept the price nicely in the uptrend.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used.
The MACD indicator is in a strong uptrend. On the other hand, on the RSI we see a breakout of the upper limit and we currently have a slight rebound, but I expect a stronger rebound or a sideways trend with small price slides.
BTC.D Review 1DayIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC Dominance over the rest of the cryptocurrency market. At the beginning, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel, which after several attempts was able to exit upwards.
Now, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places where dominance should encounter resistance. And here we see that we are facing a very strong resistance at 53.99%, but when it is overcome we can see a rapid increase to around 63.33%, which will give BTC a significant advantage over the rest of the market.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone from 48.19% to $ 47.04, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a decrease to around 45.92%, and then to the second support zone from 44.27% by 42 .17%.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that most of the energy has been used, the MACD indicator confirms a strong uptrend, while on the RSI we crossed the upper limits of the range, which should give a moment of recovery or at least a temporary sideways trend with small pullbacks.
EUR/USD Prediction on 26.06.2023The EUR continues to exhibit bearish tendencies in the current market environment. Despite intermittent rallies, the broader downward trajectory suggests that the bearish sentiment surrounding the currency remains strong.
This sentiment is influenced by a confluence of factors. The European economy, while showing signs of recovery in some sectors, still grapples with uncertainties, largely fueled by geopolitical issues, weaker economic data, and persistent concerns over inflation and unemployment rates in some member countries. Furthermore, the policy measures of the European Central Bank (ECB) are being closely scrutinized by market participants. The ECB's cautious stance towards normalizing monetary policy, including its slow tapering of the pandemic-related bond-buying program, is exerting additional downward pressure on the EUR.
A number of analysts are also highlighting the impact of the interest rate differential between the Eurozone and other major economies such as the US. With the US Federal Reserve taking a more hawkish stance on interest rates in light of a stronger economic outlook and rising inflation, the dollar continues to attract investors seeking higher returns, leading to a weaker EUR.
Additionally, the unfolding Brexit process and its consequent impacts on trade and economic growth also introduce a degree of uncertainty. The protracted negotiations and potential for non-optimal outcomes may continue to affect investor sentiment negatively, thus contributing to the bearish outlook on the EUR.
Looking ahead, it will be crucial to monitor how these macroeconomic factors evolve. Until there are more definitive signs of robust recovery in the Eurozone, and the ECB begins to shift towards a more hawkish monetary policy, the EUR is likely to remain under pressure. As always, investors are encouraged to keep an eye on key economic indicators and events that may offer clues about future currency movements.
In summary, the EUR continues to display bearish trends, influenced by factors such as ongoing economic uncertainties in the Eurozone, ECB's monetary policy stance, interest rate differential with the US, and the continuing impact of the Brexit process. Investors and traders are advised to watch these factors closely in order to navigate the potential risks and opportunities associated with the EUR in this volatile market.
Paramount Communications- Fundamental➢ Paramount Communications Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of Wires& Cables comprising of power cables, telecom cables, railway cables and specialised cables
➢ Completely in cable manufacturing with good capex investments &3 factories across India.
➢ Product line consists of a complete range
➢ Power: LT & HT Power Cables, LT & HT Aerial Bunch Cables, Control Cables, Instrumentation Cables.
➢ Telecom: Optical Fiber Cable (OFC) & FTTH Jelly Filled Cables, CATV
➢ Railways: Signalling Cables, Railway Power Axle Counter Cables.
➢ Special Products: PTFE & Thermocouple Cables, Quad Cables Fire Survival Cables, Solar Cables.
➢ EPC Services: Telecom Consultancy & EPC, Power & Railway EPC Turnkey Projects, Specialized Projects OPGW.
➢ What is the price to be invested
Current Market Price -36.60
Investment Price -35-40. Investment value should not exceed 20,000/-
Stoploss Exit Price – 21
Target – 126
➢ Before investing please understand the risk involved and consult your financial advisor.
MATIC 1D Interval ReviewThe last one in today's chart is the MATIC chart in pair to USDT, on a one-day interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel where the price is moving in the upper range.
Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when the price returns to a correction. And here the first very strong support that has kept the price so far is at $ 0.58, but if we fall lower, the next support is at $ 0.31.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has to face the $0.76 resistance, only when it breaks it will move towards the $0.91 resistance and then towards the very strong $1.04 to $1,16 resistance zone.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we have more and more energy, the MACD indicates a downtrend, while the RSI shows that a small price increase gives a strong movement on the indicator, which can quickly limit the room for further increases, in the coming hours we can see further growth.
XAUUSD: Today's downtrend remains unchanged and continues to breThe 1-hour chart is subject to the suppression of the moving average system, and still maintains a good downward trend. In terms of operation, it is recommended to be bearish rather than chasing short, wait patiently for the rebound to short the band, short-term rebound 1924~1920, stop loss 1930, target 1908-1892.
Gold fell 1% yesterday to hit a three-month low after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before Congress. The prospect of more rate hikes from the U.S. central bank overwhelmed any support for gold from signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market. To be honest, the recent market is really difficult to operate. Last night’s review found that the U.S. dollar index and gold basically fell at the same time this month. This situation has happened before, but it cannot last for a long time. It depends on when the stalemate is broken.
From a technical point of view, gold continued to fall the next day, and the daily line closed with a big negative line with upper and lower shadow lines, and the overall trend is still in the downward trend since the new high.
XAUUSD: Pay attention to short selling near 1940~1936If you pull back strongly, pay attention to yesterday's high around 1940, and if you pull back weakly, you can go short in the 1936 area, so don't buy bottoms in advance
Short is the general direction at present, don't go against the trend or the market will naturally take care of you, follow the trend!
The maximum and lower limit of short positions in the day to see 1900
EUR/USD PREDICTION ON 23.06.2023The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) plays a significant role in evaluating the health of a country's manufacturing sector. The German Manufacturing PMI is a particularly crucial indicator for the Eurozone economy as Germany is the largest economy in the EU. Recently, a bearish trend has been observed in the German Manufacturing PMI, signaling potential consequences for the Euro (EUR).
A bearish trend in the context of PMI indicates a decline in the index, suggesting a contraction or slowdown in the manufacturing sector. PMIs are considered leading indicators of economic health — a reduction in the PMI typically precedes reductions in the broader economy. When the manufacturing sector is facing headwinds, this can have a domino effect, potentially leading to decreased employment, lower GDP, and weaker consumer spending.
As the German economy plays a pivotal role in the overall health of the Eurozone, a declining German Manufacturing PMI can lead to bearish sentiment for the EUR. The decreased manufacturing activity in Germany can lower demand for the Euro in the international markets, subsequently driving down its value. This is because investors often shift their assets from a weakening currency to a stronger one.
Moreover, bearish PMI data might influence the European Central Bank (ECB) to adopt a more dovish stance in their monetary policy to stimulate economic activity. This could involve lowering interest rates or implementing quantitative easing, both of which can result in a weaker EUR.
In conclusion, a bearish German Manufacturing PMI could potentially signal a downturn for the EUR. Traders and investors need to consider these economic indicators in their strategies, keeping in mind the broader macroeconomic landscape and the possible reactions from the ECB. As always, vigilance and a well-informed strategy are critical for navigating the volatile forex market.
Ready for bearish trend in GBP/USD?The foreign exchange market, or forex, can be an unpredictable and turbulent place, with the fortunes of currency pairs constantly changing with global events. Among the numerous currency pairs in the market, GBP/USD — the British Pound against the US Dollar — is one of the most watched and traded.
Now, market analysts and traders alike are bracing themselves for a potential bearish trend in GBP/USD. But what does this mean, and what are the factors contributing to this potential downturn?
A bearish trend, in the context of forex trading, refers to a market condition where the price of one currency is falling against another, indicating the potential for losses for investors who are long on the currency pair. In this case, a bearish trend in GBP/USD would mean that the value of the British Pound is expected to decrease against the US Dollar.
There could be various reasons for a bearish trend in GBP/USD. Economic indicators, such as changes in GDP, employment rates, and inflation, can significantly impact a country's currency. Political uncertainty, central bank decisions, and market sentiment are other potential factors that can drive a bearish trend.
For instance, if the UK's economic indicators are showing a potential slowdown, or if there are geopolitical uncertainties impacting the UK more than the US, this could result in a bearish trend for GBP/USD. Conversely, if the US economy is performing strongly or the Federal Reserve decides to hike interest rates, this could also result in a bearish trend for GBP/USD from the other side of the pair.
In conclusion, while it's crucial to prepare for potential market shifts like a bearish trend in GBP/USD, it's equally important to understand the complex factors that can drive these changes. Successful trading requires not only awareness of these factors but also the ability to navigate them effectively. As always, thorough research and careful planning are key to making sound investment decisions in the forex market.
Fundamental Analysis :Missing submersible and Logitech F710Summery of the current situation:
The OceanGate Expeditions tourist submarine is went missing with five people with about four-day emergency oxygen supply. The missing sub is being looked for by the US Coast Guard and other agencies. During the hunt for the lost Titan submersible, banging noises were heard, indicating continued hope of survivors. We are all praying and hoping for a miracle in their recue and our thoughts and prayers are with the families and loved ones of those on board
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On Sunday, word spread that a tourist submarine operated by OceanGate Expeditions with five persons on board had vanished while its route to the Titanic wreck. Soon after, information concerning the sub's non-standard design that violated laws came to light. For example, steering appears to have been controlled via a $30 wireless Logitech F710 PC game controller from 2010.
Less than a year ago, a local news channel aired a video program examining the unusual sub, in which Rush proudly revealed that the submersible was operated by a game controller. Rush announced to the audience, "We're taking a completely new approach to the design," adding, "and it's all controlled with this games controller," as he showed a controller that resembled an older Xbox controller but was marked with the Logitech logo and featured longer, pointer joysticks than an ordinary Xbox controller would.
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With news breaking that the sub was being controlled by this Logitech controller it seems to have spooked investors causing the stock drop from Fridays highs and overall the stock is down from highs in may of 60.00
Social media has also had there share. Here are some review of the controller on amazon:
Technical Analysis on Logitech :
4H timeframe :
Within the next couple of hours or days there is likely to be an update on the situation of the submersible
Name of the persons onboard : Stockton Rush,Paul-Henri Nargeolet,Shahzada Dawood with his 19-year-old son Suleman
We hope for a positive outcome
ETH/USDT 1D Interval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to a review of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a one-day interval. First of all, with the help of blue lines, we can mark the downtrend channel from which the price breaks upwards, in the longer term, we can see that the price stayed above the uptrend line, from which it has already rebounded for the second time.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark the supports, and here we first have a support zone from $1780 to $1707, while when this zone does not hold the price we have a second support from $1644 to $1581, and then a strong support at $1495 .
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first significant resistance at $1921, the next resistance is at $2010 and then the third very strong resistance at $2100.
As we can see, as in the case of BTC, the ETH price rebounded around the EMA Cross 200,
The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy has been used. The MACD indicator indicates a return to an uptrend. On the other hand, the RSI shows a definite increase, but there is still some room left for the price to grow more.