Strong Buy SBIN cmp 622, Target 670++ within 3-5 trade sessions.State Bank of India is a Fortune 500 company. It is an Indian Multinational, Public Sector banking and financial services statutory body headquartered in Mumbai. It is the largest and oldest bank in India with over 200 years of history.
Branch Network
Presently, the bank operates a network of 22,219 branches and 62617 ATMs across India. It also operates 71,968 business correspondent outlets across India.
Market Share
The bank has a market share of 22.84% in deposits and 19.69% share in advances in India. It has a strong customer base of 45 crore customers.
Loan Book
Retail loans account for 39% of the loan book, followed by corporate (37%), SME (14%) and Agriculture (10%). The bank has a well-diversified loan book exposed to various sectors. Top sectors include home loans (23%), infrastructure (15%), services (12%) and agriculture (10%). 75% of the corporate advances are rated A and better ratings from rating agencies. 38% of the corporate book accounts for PSUs & Govt. departments.
International Business
The bank has a global footprint with a network of 233 branches/offices in 32 countries. It has presence in USA, Canada, Brazil, Russia, Germany, France, Turkey, Australia, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka and other countries. Presently, Overseas business accounts for 3% of total deposits and 13% of total advances.
Government Business
SBI has always been the banker of choice to the government of India and is the market leader in government business. It had turnover of 52,50,000 lakh crores and commissions of 3,700 crores from government business in FY20.
Financial Inclusion Business
The bank has 71,000 BC outlets which has primary focus on financial inclusion customers. The bank accounts for 40% of all PMJDY accounts i.e. more than 12 crore accounts. Presently, the deposits from PMJDY accounts are 42,500 crores i.e. 1.2% of total deposits of the bank.
Digital Metrics
Increasing digitization resulted in 40% of asset accounts and 60% of liability customers added via digital channels in FY21.
Subsidiaries Operations
The bank owns various subsidiaries which are engaged in related business activities :-
1. SBI Capital Markets Ltd (100% stake)
2. SBI DHFI Ltd (72% stake)
3. SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd (69% stake)
4. SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (57.6% stake)
5. SBI Funds Management Pvt Ltd (63% stake)
6. SBI General Insurance Company Ltd (70% stake)
KEY Ratios (Q1FY24)
Capital Adequacy Ratio - 14.50%
Net Interest Margin - 3.34%
Gross NPA - 4.77%
Net NPA - 1.23%
CASA Ratio - 45.15%
Book Value ₹ 402
Price to book value 1.55
Bank's performance:
Quarterly net profit of 14,330 crores.
Operating profit for Q2FY24 at 19,417 crores.
RoA for H1FY24 at 1.10%.
RoE for H1FY24 at 22.57%.
Net interest income increased by 12.27% YoY.
Non-interest income increased by 21.59% YoY.
Credit growth:
Domestic advances grew by 13.21%.
Driven by SME advances, retail personal advances, and agri advances.
Corporate segment advances grew by 6.62%.
Asset quality:
Gross NPA ratio improved by 97 bps YoY to 2.55%.
Net NPA ratio improved by 16 bps to 0.64%.
PCR improved by 39 bps YoY to 91.93%.
Future outlook:
Credit and deposit growth expected to be around 16-17% in FY24.
Margins may see a slight compression of 3-5 bps due to increased deposit rates.
Aims to maintain credit growth momentum by disbursing pending loans and converting proposals into sanctions.
SME loans:
Witnessed healthy growth in SME book.
Initiatives taken to improve infrastructure for SME lending.
Expects to reach target of 4 trillion in SME loans by FY24.
Unsecured loans:
Unsecured loan portfolio, including Xpress Credit, has a low GNPA ratio of 0.69%.
Resilient in terms of asset quality.
Digital initiatives:
Increased traction in cross-selling business through YONO.
Sourced 61% of savings bank accounts digitally.
Launched "YONO for Every Indian" and witnessed growth in digital loan portfolio.
Capital adequacy:
Well capitalized with a capital adequacy ratio of 14.28% and CET-1 ratio of 9.94% which is well above regulatory requirements. Expects CET-1 ratio to improve further with ploughing back of profits.
Conclusion:
SBIN stock price has given a breakout multiple times along with the strong volumes and today it has retested the breakout zone, which is a strong buying point for a minimum target of 670 in 3-5 trading sessions. Fundamentally, stock can has an intrinsic valuation of Rs.800 so there is an enough cushion and momentum on upside.
Fundamental-analysis
Sell GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair presents a potential selling opportunity on the H1 timeframe, fueled by a recent bearish breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern.
Key Points:
Bullish Triangle Breakout: Though seemingly counterintuitive, the price has broken downward from a bullish triangle formation, characterized by converging resistance and support lines. This often indicates a reversal of the prior upward trend and a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 187.40, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 186.05 and 185.16, marking previous support zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken triangle at 188.70
Fundamental Updates :
Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and benefit selling GBP/JPY.
Thank you.
'GBPJPY' Big Profit So , as we can see that now every time GBPJPY breaks its high it falls 8000 pips somewhere which is marked in it chart now what you guys have to do for the trade is that wait for GBPJPY to break its latest high and then go up for at least 1% then you have to see for LH LL and then enter the trade and after the new high the market will fall and a high chance that it will fall for 8000 pips or more than that because of the interest rate decision and we all know that banks don't buy at tops but they sell it on top and buy at bottom so guys be with them and win.
If there is any doubt or advice the comment and if you do like my idea , trade or plan then give it a boost and try to trade this plan and do try this on your chart too you will understand the move and the trade I planned.
Analysis on - 1D time frame
PRO TIP - For people who are stuck in GBPJPY shot i have a tip for you guys that you guys have to keep and eye on Japan interest rates because it's the factor which is driving the price of GBPJPY and try to get a buy when market falls again for 8000 or 9000 pips and try to hedge you ACC and then whenever market breaks the new highs then you guys have to take a small risk and open a trade at the new top after seeing the LH LL and cut the buy you guys took at the bottom which will help you recover your ACC
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 26, 20INTC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on January 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 52 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on January 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on January 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 212 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.811) is normal, around the industry mean (8.080). P/E Ratio (16.010) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.211). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.161) is also within normal values, averaging (2.358). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.446) is also within normal values, averaging (73.071).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
The last earnings report on January 25 showed earnings per share of 54 cents, beating the estimate of 44 cents. With 47.34M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 184.37B.
A dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid with a record date of March 01, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of February 06, 2024. The last dividend of $0.12 was paid on December 01. The ex-dividend date is usually set several business days before the record date. If a stock is purchased on its ex-dividend date or after, the next dividend payment will not be received. Instead, the dividends are repossessed by to the seller. If the stocks are purchased before the ex-dividend date, the buyer will receive the dividends.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NASDAQ:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).
Industry description
The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 31.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 1.12T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.12T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. ASMXF experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while QUIK experienced the biggest fall at -18%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 41%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 78% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38%
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
PYTH:INTC
Compare trend and price GOOG vs GOOGLTo understand the difference between Alphabet Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class C (GOOG) vs. Alphabet Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A (GOOGL) it is enough to know the definitions of Ordinary Shares - Class C and Ordinary Shares - Class A
Ordinary Shares - Class C - Ordinary shares Class C usually refers to ordinary shares with no-voting rights (except for the cases described in the company's reports) . Investors of Class C shares are not entitled to offer a proposal to make a merger, takeover, or other change of control proposal, or to engage in a proxy contest for the election of directors. The issuance of shares Class C won't result in voting dilution to the holders of shares Class A and B. The holders of Class C stock will be entitled to share equally with the holders of Class A Stock and Class B Stock any dividends that the company may authorize.
Ordinary Shares - Class A - Class A shares usually refer to common stocks with more voting rights than Class B shares. They often imply enhanced benefits such as dividend priority and liquidation preferences to the holder. Traditionally, this type of share helps a company's management to keep control over the company.
Stock price -- (GOOG: $154.84 vs. GOOGL: $153.57)
Brand notoriety: GOOG and GOOGL are both notable
Both companies represent the Internet Software/Services industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: GOOG: 99% vs. GOOGL: 88%
Market capitalization -- GOOG: $1.73T vs. GOOGL: $1.73T
GOOG is valued at $1.73T. GOOGL’s market capitalization is $1.73T. The market cap for tickers in the industry ranges from $1.73T to $0. The average market capitalization across the industry is $52.46B.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GOOG’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileGOOGL’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
GOOG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
GOOGL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
According to our system of comparison, both GOOG and GOOGL are a good buy in the long-term.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GOOG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GOOGL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
GOOG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
GOOGL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, GOOGL is a better buy in the short-term than GOOG.
This week, GOOG (@Internet Software/Services) price moved +4.83%, while GOOGL (@Internet Software/Services) price moved +5.19% over the same period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Software/Services industry was +2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3777.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
GOOG is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2024.
PYTH:GOOG
GOOGL is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2024.
UNISWAP:MGOOGLUST_4B70CC
@Internet Software/Services (+2.10% weekly)
Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.
Momentum Indicator for GOOG turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GOOG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 10, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 69%.
Price Prediction Chart
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOOG just turned positive on January 10, 2024. Looking at past instances where GOOG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +0.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOG advanced for three days, in 235 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 200 of 326 cases where GOOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
GOOG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Fear & Greed
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. GOOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.349) is normal, around the industry mean (17.206). P/E Ratio (26.525) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.758). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.305) is also within normal values, averaging (3.673). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.974) is also within normal values, averaging (9.088).
Momentum Indicator for GOOGL turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GOOGL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 10, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 92 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 92 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 71%.
Price Prediction Chart
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOOGL just turned positive on January 10, 2024. Looking at past instances where GOOGL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +1.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOGL advanced for three days, in 229 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 211 of 329 cases where GOOGL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOGL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
GOOGL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Fear & Greed
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. GOOGL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.285) is normal, around the industry mean (17.206). P/E Ratio (26.316) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.758). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.292) is also within normal values, averaging (3.673). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.910) is also within normal values, averaging (9.088).
TSLA in -12.68% downward trend, declining for three consecutive Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where TSLA declined for three days, in 206 of 266 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
PYTH:TSLA
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 29, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In 55 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on December 29, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on January 09, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on January 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 292 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
High-Potential Investments in the Medical Marijuana SectorShares of Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. (NYSE:IIPR) , a leader in real estate investment for the medical marijuana industry, represent a high-potential investment opportunity. In the context of the rapid growth and legalization of medical marijuana in many regions, IIPR occupies a unique position in the market, providing the necessary infrastructure for producers.
Analysts note that IIPR has a robust portfolio of properties leased to companies specializing in the cultivation and distribution of medical marijuana. This ensures a stable and predictable revenue stream through long-term lease agreements.
The company also stands out for its strategy of actively expanding its portfolio, acquiring and developing properties in new and growing markets. This expansion allows IIPR not only to increase its revenue but also to diversify risks associated with legislative and market dynamics.
Furthermore, IIPR benefits from its status as a REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust), which offers tax advantages and requires the distribution of most of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. This makes IIPR shares particularly attractive to investors seeking regular income.
Considering these factors, IIPR presents an attractive investment opportunity, combining stable rental income with growth potential in the rapidly developing medical marijuana sector. Investors interested in diversifying their portfolio and exploring opportunities in new industries should consider IIPR as a promising investment direction.
Growth in Digital Marketing Promises High PotentialShares of Semrush Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SEMR) , known for its innovative solutions in online marketing, represent an attractive asset for investors. Semrush, specializing in SEO and marketing analytics tools, demonstrates significant growth in the rapidly evolving digital marketing industry.
Analysts note that Semrush holds leading positions in the market thanks to its wide range of tools that help companies improve online visibility and analyze the competitive environment. This is particularly relevant in an era where the effectiveness of online marketing becomes a key success factor for businesses of all sizes.
The company has shown strong financial results, confirming its growth potential and attractiveness to investors. An increasing number of clients and an expanding product line indicate sustainable development and the potential for further market share expansion.
Semrush is also actively investing in research and development, allowing the company to continuously improve its products and offer innovative solutions that meet the changing needs of the market. This not only contributes to revenue growth but also strengthens its position as a leader in digital marketing.
Considering these factors, investing in SEMR presents an attractive opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the growth of the digital marketing sector. The strong performance of the company and its innovative approach make SEMR shares an appealing choice for long-term investors.
Time to Buy PATH: Positive News and Analytical OptimismShares of UiPath Inc. (NYSE:PATH) , a company specializing in process automation using robotic software agents, now represent an attractive investment opportunity. Recent positive news about the company, including strong quarterly reports and new strategic partnerships, has significantly improved its market potential.
Analysts note that UiPath is at the forefront of the automation sector, offering advanced solutions that are in demand in many industries. The growing demand for process automation and digital transformation promises an increase in the company's revenues in the medium and long term.
In addition, the company demonstrates strengthening of its market position through new partnerships and expansion of its product portfolio. This not only increases its revenue, but also enhances its resilience to market fluctuations.
Considering these factors, PATH shares represent an attractive opportunity for investors seeking growth in the technology and innovation sector. Given the current positive trends and optimistic forecasts of analysts, investing in PATH shares may offer significant growth potential in the future.
AUD/CAD Analysis: Current Outlook plus fundamental Here's a simplified analysis for AUD/CAD:
Long-term view from the weekly chart indicates a bearish trend.
Mid-term perspective on the daily chart shows a broken bullish channel, replaced by a bearish one.
Considering fundamental factors:
Escalating tensions in the Middle East may increase the chance of the Beijing-Taipei conflict, potentially impacting AUD negatively.
Long-term, increased oil prices due to these middle-east tensions may favor CAD.
Given these factors, AUD/CAD is more likely to maintain a bearish trend over the long term.
Stay informed for further developments.
Best regards,
Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutA bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the NZD/JPY 30-minute chart, signaling a potential decline in the pair's value.
Key Points:
1. Triangle Breakout Pattern:
The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move.
2. Sell Entry Opportunity:
A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 90.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry.
3. Bearish Targets:
If the breakout materializes, initial bearish targets could be found at the support levels of 89.56 and 89.20.
4. Resistance Level:
The resistance level at 90.40 may act as a barrier to further upward movement, reinforcing the potential for a downside breakout.
5. Risk Management:
A stop-loss order could be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle to manage risk in case the breakout fails.
Fundamental Updates :
Weaker New Zealand Trade Data: New Zealand's trade deficit widened in December, potentially weakening the Kiwi Dollar against the Yen.
Risk Aversion: Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth could trigger risk aversion, pushing investors towards safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen.
Thank you
Tesla Faces Headwinds: EV Fleet Sale and Intense Price WarTesla experienced a notable setback, with its stock falling as much as 4.2% during Friday's trading session. This decline marks the 11th drop in 12 sessions. The dip follows Hertz Global Holdings Inc.'s announcement of plans to sell off a third of its U.S. electric-vehicle fleet, contributing to the downward pressure on Tesla's shares.
Adding to the challenges, Tesla has been navigating a complex landscape in China. Since late 2022, the company has engaged in a series of price cuts, triggering responses from other manufacturers and putting pressure on profit margins across the industry. Domestic players like Xpeng Inc. and BYD Co., as well as global giants like Volkswagen AG, have joined the price-cutting competition to defend their market share
Technically we have a good opportunity to position, but as I always advise in my posts don't take full size position before the move is already happening. 0.5 Risk now with another addition of 0.5 to the full risk which as a Risk Management should not be more than 1-2% of the total portfolio.
BOOST THE IDEA AND COMMENT YOUR OPINION
.
.
.
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair with USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. As you can see, the upward trend line marked in yellow has been broken, and currently we can designate a local downward trend channel using blue lines.
Going further, using the fib retracement tool, we will determine the supports that we should take into account when the price starts falling again. And here you can see how the support at the level of $39,024 kept the price from falling further, but if the support is broken, the next level is $36,280, and then around $32,831.
Looking the other way, we can also use Fib Retracement to determine the resistances that should be taken into account. And here you can see that first we have resistance at the level of $45,469, then the level around $45,000 is significant, and then the price must overcome the strong resistance zone from $46,726 to $49,000.
Now please look at the RSI indicator because you can see that a small price increase was reflected in the indicator, which still has room for growth. However, the STOCH indicator shows that we are approaching the downward trend line, which may potentially cause the price to decline and drop again.
GBPUSD | H1 | Trade IdeaLooking into GBPUSD from an overall structural perspective we can see that we’re currently trading within a consolidation forming on our higher timeframes so currently our trading is focused more around the key areas within the consolidation while we wait for the market to choose an overall direction on a larger scale.
Now taking from the above statement we can see that as we further breakdown GBPUSD going into smaller timeframes we can see that the market has broken out of our rising wedge formed on our H1/H4 timeframes and also through our minor 1D uptrend, now given that breakout we can further take note of the potential QML forming on our H1 which would further add as confirming our potential sell order.
I’ll be looking to sell GBPUSD from 1.27273 upon the retest of our diagonal Support from the breakout of our lower timeframe rising wedge which will also be the completion of our “Right Shoulder” on our potential QML formation. Stops will be placed at 1.27677 (-40 pips) and my final Take Profit level being 1.25361(+191 pips) giving us a potential 1 : 4.7 risk reward ratio.
We should also take note of the potential Fundamental announcements that will be released throughout the course of this week which will have an impact on the overall USD value and also those that’ll be impacting the overall GBP value as there are some important announcements that’ll be made I.e interest rates.
NB: This analysis is comprised solely of my own personal opinions and my own person outlook/overview of the market and should not be taken as direct advice to either enter a buy/sell position within the outlined market, please confirm with your own analysis prior to taking any trading decisions based on the outlined analysis.
ETH/USDT 4HIntervalHello everyone, please look at the ETH chart on a four-hour time frame. As you can see, the price remains below the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, you can see how the support at $2,212 held the price, and then there is strong support at $2,074.
Looking the other way, we have significant resistance at $2,375, followed by a strong zone from $2,599 to $2,715.
The RSI indicator shows a fight against the downward trend line, while the STOCH indicator still has room to try to raise the price.
Why Now is the Time to Go Long on USD/JPYThe trade idea capitalizes on the economic strengths of the US and the challenges faced by Japan, making a long position on USD/JPY appealing.
Amidst the contrasting economic landscapes of the US and Japan, a long position on USD/JPY appears favorable. The robust and resilient US economy, marked by strong retail sales, positive jobless claims, and optimistic consumer sentiment, positions the USD on solid ground. In contrast, Japan faces challenges with contracting Manufacturing PMI, easing CPI, and external factors like weakened Chinese data impacting its economic outlook.
US Economic Strength:
Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates reflects a strong and resilient economy.
December retail sales surged, indicating consumer confidence.
Positive jobless claims and robust performance in ISM Manufacturing PMI and Retail Sales further strengthen the USD.
JPY Economic Challenges:
BOJ maintains expected monetary policy; Governor Ueda expresses openness to easing.
Stable Unemployment Rate, but Manufacturing PMI contracts while Services PMI shows resilience.
Japanese wage data falls below expectations, impacting BOJ's policy decisions.
Weakening Chinese data adds complexities to Japan's economic scenario.
Trade Strategy:
Long Position on USD/JPY: Consider initiating a long position on the USD/JPY currency pair.
Entry Point: Look for technical signals indicating potential upward momentum.
Stop-Loss: Place below recent significant support to manage downside risks.
Take-Profit: Target the next resistance level, considering the positive momentum in the US economy.
XAU BULLISH breakdownUsing chart patterns in analysis, its a clear bullish movementt/rally up till the 2040's and could create an uptrust after distribution clearing to the 2052-2055 range before a retracement is expected and then we hedge bullish again with the market.
BOOST 🚀, COMMENT 📑 and FOLLOW 🏷 for more helpful analysis 👍....
XBI Long-term Buy SignalsAMEX:XBI is giving long term buy signals as the chart displays. Super trend signals a buy, also MACD and KST crossovers confirm trend direction.
XBI is a somewhat volatile bio-tech ETF.
This ETF is also great for selling options on when volatility is high, as the premium you receive is often much higher than employing the strategy on SPY.
Here are the most current Top 10 holdings:
1 CYTK Cytokinetics, Incorporated 2.79% 2,308,666
2 KRTX Karuna Therapeutics, Inc. 1.80% 383,056
3 ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 1.61% 3,201,386
4 BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Company Ltd. 1.57% 2,381,294
5 SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. 1.56% 904,544
6 ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. 1.53% 3,752,269
7 ARDX Ardelyx, Inc. 1.49% 12,061,271
8 VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated 1.46% 224,792
9 MRNA Moderna, Inc. 1.46% 980,210
10 KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. 1.41% 736,663
Long BRFSBRF S.A. (NYSE: BRFS), a prominent company in the food production sector , has shown some interesting developments and financial activities recently. Here's a summary of what's going on with BRF S.A.:
1. Stock Performance and Financials: As of January 19, 2024, BRF SA's stock closed at 2.65 USD, which is 14.10% below its 52-week high of 3.09 USD, set on November 29, 2023. The 52-week range of the stock has been between 1.06 USD and 3.09 USD. The company's market capitalization stands at 4.44 billion USD
2. Recent Stock Movements: The company has experienced some fluctuations in its stock price. For instance, on January 17, 2024, the stock price moved over -2.29% to 2.56 USD, and on January 19, 2024, it rose above the 15-day moving average to 2.63 USD
3. Earnings and Revenue: In one of its recent financial reports, BRF S.A. reported GAAP EPS (Earnings Per Share) of -R$1.58 with a revenue of R$12.04B. However, specific details about the latest quarter's earnings weren't available in the sources reviewed
4. Analyst Perspectives: There have been mixed opinions from analysts regarding BRF S.A.'s stock. Some have pointed out the company's significant potential in the food sector, while others have shown concerns related to market volatility and other challenges.
5. Industry Trends: BRF S.A. operates in a dynamic sector where factors like consumer demand, global meat market trends, and food industry developments play a crucial role in shaping the company's performance.
Growth and High Short-FloatKey Positive Aspects and Company Growth
1. Stable Dividends: SL Green Realty Corp, the largest owner of office real estate in Manhattan, continues to pay monthly dividends, which is a positive signal for investors.
2. Strong Market Position: The company maintains a leading position in the Manhattan real estate market, as confirmed by the latest financial reports that exceeded analysts' expectations.
3. Active Development: SL Green is actively involved in development and investment projects, contributing to the strengthening of its portfolio and growth potential.
Risks and Cautions
1. High Short-Float: An important factor is the high level of short float (over 20%), which may indicate a significant number of investors expecting a drop in stock price. This can lead to increased volatility and potential risks for long-term investors.
2. Market Volatility: Like any real estate market stocks, SL Green's stocks are subject to market volatility and may be sensitive to economic changes.
3. Mixed Analytical Ratings: Some analysts express caution regarding investing in SL Green, which requires additional analysis and assessment by investors.
Investment Perspective: Customers Bancorp - Time to BuyInvestment Perspective: Customers Bancorp (NYSE:CUBI) - Time to Buy
Customers Bancorp (NYSE:CUBI), a bank based in West Reading, Pennsylvania, shows promising signs that make it an attractive candidate for investment. Based on data from the third quarter of 2023 and recent news, there are several key aspects that make CUBI interesting for investors:
1. Improvement in Financial Indicators: In the third quarter of 2023, the company reported a net income of $83 million, which amounts to $2.58 per share. This was accompanied by an increase in net interest margin to 3.7% and a growth in deposits by $244.9 million.
2. Positive Dynamics in the Sector: Customers Bancorp demonstrated an increase in net interest income to $200 million, a result of the impact of the variable rate both in the loan portfolio and in the securities portfolio. This distinguishes it from many other regional banks, where the "bottom" is expected to be reached only in the next quarter or in the first quarter of 2024.
3. Stability and Security: In terms of insured deposits relative to total deposits, Customers Bancorp is in the top quartile with a ratio of 78%. Additionally, the bank ranks second among its peers in terms of available liquidity to unsecured deposits, which is 239%.
4. Capital and Risk Management: The third quarter of 2023 saw a significant improvement in capital indicators compared to the previous quarter. In particular, the CET1 ratio improved by 100 basis points, and its further increase to 11.50% is planned in subsequent quarters.
5. Strategic Initiatives: The bank employs advanced approaches in managing its portfolio and attracting deposits, making it a unique hybrid bank. This highlights their ability to adapt and evolve in accordance with changing market conditions.
Of course, as with any investment, there are risks. For example, the situation with CUBI and cryptocurrencies, despite assurances from management about the absence of direct risk, requires careful consideration. It is also necessary to consider that CUBI has not yet been tested in crisis conditions.