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XAUUSD : Will gold fall to 2300 again?Gold has ended its 5-week winning streak, but it can still increase Gold ended a five-week winning streak on Friday, but its rally is likely not over yet as favorable factors such as demand from central banks continue, even as a wave of net withdrawals continues. from gold ETFs began to reverse. Gold prices increased 0.3% to 2,348.75 USD, but fell sharply earlier this week as Middle East tensions are showing signs of being contained. Morgan Stanley said that the road ahead for gold prices will be volatile but more likely to bearish instead of reversing. They forecast a higher likelihood of their bullish price scenario occurring, with gold reaching $2,760/oz in the second half of the year, rather than falling to $2,000/oz. Although the factors pushing up gold prices show no signs of cooling down, the macroeconomic outlook, in which US inflation seems to be more persistent, causes interest rates to remain at higher levels for a long time. more, causing some to doubt the next rise in gold prices. "But if economic data remains strong, leading to more persistent inflation concerns, as well as rising geopolitical risks, gold could still be bought regardless," Morgan Stanley said. Thoi added that if the interest rate cut is implemented sooner than expected, this will be another positive factor for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrTrongVo
XAUUSD : In which direction will gold move?Gold slid after high inflation in the US extinguished expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates Gold fell ahead of the Fed meeting, where policymakers are expected to keep interest rates high for longer to control inflation. Gold prices continued last week's momentum and fell by 0.8%. According to data, the US core PCE index rose at a breakneck pace in March. The swaps market is currently only pricing the Fed will cut interest rates once this year, well below the cut. around 150 bps is expected at the beginning of the year. High interest rates are often negative for gold because gold has no interest rate. Gold also lost some support as demand for safe-haven assets weakened, geopolitical risks also decreased as the US was trying to secure a ceasefire agreement in meetings in the Middle East. The foreign exchange market is also in the spotlight as the possibility grows that Japan will support the JPY after the currency fell to its lowest level in more than three decades. If they act, the USD will weaken. Gold has risen about 13% this year, hitting a record earlier this month even though the Fed's cut deadline was pushed back. This price increase is linked to central bank buying, strong demand from Asia, especially China, and rising geopolitical tensions from Ukraine to the Middle East.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
Usdchf confirm buy & enter exit levels read the caption In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8884 resistance turned support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9242 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish
Long
by Mrsam36
XAUUSD : Gold prices recovered slightly ahead of US PCE dataGold prices have recovered slightly during today's Asian session and are currently trading around the $2,330 resistance level. Gold prices have now recovered after falling sharply following last night's US GDP data and the precious metal is currently trading around $2,330. Although gold's upward momentum has weakened when the RSI indicator on the daily chart returned below the 60.00 threshold, the uptrend of XAU/USD is still maintained as the price is still above the short-term SMA lines. . Today, the market's focus will be on US PCE data, which will give the market more information about the Fed's interest rate direction in the near future. Therefore, if US inflation continues to exceed market forecasts, gold prices will adjust sharply.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
AUD/USD Resilient Amid Mixed Economic SignalsThe AUD/USD pair continues its upward trajectory, marking its second consecutive day of gains after finding support at the 0.6400 level on Wednesday. Despite facing a mixed bag of economic data, the Aussie dollar remains steadfast, exhibiting resilience in the face of uncertainty. On the economic front, the Australian dollar experienced contrasting news. While there was a negative economic release regarding Employment Change, the Unemployment Rate showed positive feedback. Surprisingly, the market response was muted, with no significant movement in either direction. Currently, the price appears to be pausing at the 0.6450 level, reflecting a temporary equilibrium. From a technical standpoint, the daily timeframe reveals a divergence pattern, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Our forecast indicates a possible uptick in value, with the price expected to gravitate towards the Point of Control (POC) level between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci range. This projection aligns with the presence of the last strong selling order block, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Furthermore, insights from a Westpac report shed light on the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) stance on monetary policy. While the central bank has signaled reluctance to raise interest rates further, it emphasizes the need for greater confidence in the inflation outlook before considering the possibility of rate cuts. This cautious approach underscores the delicate balance policymakers must strike between supporting economic recovery and managing inflationary pressures. As investors await the release of key data from the United States, including weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales, anticipation mounts regarding their potential impact on the direction of the US Dollar and its correlation with the AUD. These indicators will offer valuable insights into the state of the US economy and could sway market sentiment, influencing currency movements in the near term.
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD: Potential Reversal Signals Amidst Economic Data In the dynamic world of forex trading, every fluctuation in currency pairs tells a story. The EUR/USD pair, a perennial favorite among traders, often serves as a barometer for global economic sentiment. In recent sessions, its movements have captured attention, offering insights into market expectations and reactions to key events. Yesterday, during the American session, the EUR/USD pair witnessed an uptick, largely attributed to disappointing housing data from the United States, which exerted downward pressure on the US Dollar. This movement drew attention to specific technical indicators that signal potential shifts in market sentiment. One notable observation was the formation of a Gartley pattern, a harmonic trading pattern that signifies potential trend reversals. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicated significant support and resistance zones, further corroborating the potential for a reversal. Moreover, divergence on the stochastic indicator on the daily timeframe added another layer of confirmation to this narrative. However, amidst these technical signals, the market received a dose of hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. His remarks bolstered US Treasury bond yields, thereby providing support to the US Dollar. This development added complexity to the analysis, highlighting the interplay between technical indicators and fundamental factors. As the London session commenced, all eyes turned to the EUR/USD pair, which appeared poised to continue its potential reversal and gain momentum. The absence of high-tier data releases from the US economic docket on Wednesday provided traders with an opportunity to focus on other catalysts influencing market dynamics. In particular, scheduled speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, including President Christine Lagarde, and Federal Reserve officials promised to offer insights into monetary policy outlooks and potential market-moving statements. Traders anticipated these remarks with keen interest, recognizing their potential to influence the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair. Against this backdrop, traders were cautiously optimistic, looking for signs of a bullish impulse and a confirmed reversal. The convergence of technical signals and fundamental developments underscored the complexity of navigating the forex market. Successful trading strategies required a nuanced understanding of both technical analysis and macroeconomic factors.
Long
by FOREXN1
2
GBP/USD: Recovery Momentum Amidst Technical and Fund. FactorsThe GBP/USD pair has shown signs of gaining traction during the early European session on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.2460 mark after experiencing a rebound around the 50% Fibonacci level. Despite previous forecasts suggesting a potential deeper reversal around the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels, recent price action, in line with EUR/USD movements, indicates a potential bullish impulse. However, it's essential to note that our analysis serves as an idea rather than a call for immediate entry into trades. Looking at the near-term technical outlook, there's a discernible buildup of recovery momentum. Nonetheless, the pair could encounter significant resistance around the 1.2625 level, where the Local Point of Control (POC) of volume from the previous range consolidation area resides. Our perspective revolves around the possibility of a retracement near the POC line followed by a subsequent push downward. Turning to economic news, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently released data indicating that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), dipped to 3.2% in March from the previous month's 3.4%, surpassing market expectations of 3.1%. Moreover, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.2% during the same period, slightly above analysts' estimates of 4.1%. These readings prompted a strengthening of the Pound Sterling against its counterparts. Meanwhile, the US Dollar continues to grapple with tepid demand, contributing to the upward momentum of GBP/USD as market sentiment improves midweek. This dynamic underscores the interplay between technical and fundamental factors shaping currency movements. In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair exhibits signs of recovery momentum amidst a backdrop of technical indicators and fundamental data. While recent price action suggests a potential bullish impulse, resistance levels loom overhead, warranting caution for traders. The release of economic data, particularly inflation figures, has influenced market sentiment, driving movements in the Pound Sterling. Against the backdrop of a subdued US Dollar, GBP/USD dynamics remain dynamic, requiring traders to remain vigilant and adaptable to evolving market conditions.
by FOREXN1
2
gold shortGold struggles to stage a rebound following Monday's sharp decline but manages to hold above $2,300. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the green above 4.6% ahead of US data, not allowing XAU/USD to gain traction. Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It's traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast. gold now 2320 tp 2360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mark804
Nzdusd head to go resistance with high accuracy read the captionThe NZD/USD declined towards 0.5871 on Tuesday reflecting a loss of 0.46%, despite. The pair's movements are largely influenced by the market’s adjustments of their expectations and the delay of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) by year-end. Rising Treasury yields are also applying downward pressure on the pair. On the data front, in March, Building Permits experienced a decline of 4.3%, dropping to 1.457 million, below both projected and February's figures. Housing starts also saw a significant drop of 14.7%, falling short of expectations at 1.321 million. However, industrial production for the same month rose by 0.4%, meeting expectations
Long
by Mrsam36
1
Eurusd confirm buy position ready read the caption Echoing this sentiment, the ECB's Cipollone observed a rapid decline in inflation, expressing expectations for a return to the 2% path next year and attainment of the target by mid-2025. Should data in June and July confirm growing confidence in achieving the target, consideration would be given to easing some of the restrictive measures imposed in 2023. Additionally, the impact of the Middle East conflict on energy costs remains a significant risk factor. Around the Fed, at an event hosted at The Wilson Center in Washington on Tuesday, Chair Powell stated that recent data have not instilled increased confidence in them
Long
by Mrsam36
1
Usdchf selling range and drop level read the caption In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8727 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9241 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9242 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish
Short
by Mrsam36
2
BTC head to higher level because of halving read the caption Bitcoin halving is here, an event expected to raise the curtain on the next market cycle. There has been a lot of turbulence in the market of late. Events such as flows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and tensions in the Middle East between Iran and Israel have sent traders into their shells. However, there could be some relief in the market after Iranian officials indicated there are no plans to retaliate against an Israeli strike on Friday
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mrsam36
Gold dipped and it wiy continue to hit bottom read the caption XAU/USD trades near $2,371 and the daily chart shows that the slide may continue. Technical indicators retreat from extreme overbought levels, suggesting the decline may continue. Still, a steeper slide remains out of the picture, as XAU/USD refuses to give up developing its moving averages above all  Simple Moving Average (SMA) maintains its firmly bullish slope at around $2,280 and roughly $300 above an also bullish 100 SMA
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mrsam36
AUDCHF: Strong bounce inside this Megaphone.AUDCHF is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.496, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 32.323) after a strong bounce and closing above the 1D MA500. The dominant Bullish Megaphone pattern made its previous HH on the 2.0 Fib extension and a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross has validated that it now sets course for the new HH. We target again the 2.0 Fib (TP = 0.61550) which is just under the R1 level. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope