USDCHF: Potential rejection on the 1W MA100.USDCHF is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.705, MACD = 0.007, ADX = 41.714) but only just came out of neutrality on 1W (RSI = 58.054) despite the fact that it reached the 1W MA100 last week. Since February 2023, the 1W MA100 has been the first level of Resistance, so taking a short now is completely justified technically. The final Resistance thus short entry for us is the 1W MA200, which hasn't closed a candle over it in 2 years. Now that happens to be at the top of the Rectangle (body candles closings only). Either way, we are targeting the Rectangle's bottom (TP = 0.84100).
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Forextrading
CADJPY Breakdown Following Structural FailureHey Guys,
Today, we are trading the CADJPY live. Earlier this week, I highlighted 110.48 as a critical level to monitor, as it marks the reset point (Structure 4) of the last completed H1 bearish wave structure.
Key levels of interest for further downside movement:
109.56
109.06
EURUSD: Long term bottom formation. Target 1.09250.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.566, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 28.963) as despite the consolidation since last Thursday, it hasn't yet started to recover. This is however a common price action during bottom formation proccesses (like September and March 2023) and since the 1D RSI is on a bullish divergence (HL), we expect a rally to start soon. In the past rebounds that stopped initially on the HH trendline but for slightly lower risk we are targeting the November 5th High (TP = 1.09250), which started the recent selling.
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AUDJPY Correction to the Down side after channel breakoutAUDJPY has recently broken and closed above a descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. However, the overall market trend remains sideways, suggesting consolidation. The price is approaching a resistance level near 101.00, where previous sell-offs occurred, indicating that bears may be active in this zone. If the price rejects this resistance and the upward trendline, a decline toward the support zone around 100.75 is possible. Given the current sideways movement, the market may bounce off the top of the range and subsequently move toward the channel border. Monitoring price action around the 101.00 resistance level will be crucial to confirm a potential reversal
Midweek Portfolio Selection: Weekly & Daily CSI AnalysisJoin me for the Midweek Portfolio Selection, where we analyse the Weekly and Daily Currency Strength Index (CSI) to identify shifts in the currency landscape. This process helps refine our trading bias to stay aligned with market dynamics.
In this episode, we’ve observed notable changes, particularly in the AUD and USD.
Key Highlights:
Buy Pairs: AUD, CAD, JPY, CHF, USD
Sell Pairs: EUR, GBP, NZD
Combining these buy and sell pairs increases the probability of capturing strong directional movements in the forex market.
If you find this video helpful, please give it a thumbs up and share your thoughts in the comments.
Wishing you a successful trading week!
Happy Trading!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has reached a key resistance zone after a recent bullish move and has also broken its ascending trendline. Considering the current situation, the price is expected to consolidate within this area before heading lower. The Fibonacci levels shown in the chart indicate potential support levels during the downward move.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
The Evolution of Forex Trading Platforms and the MarketThe Evolution of Forex Trading Platforms and the Market
Forex trading has come a long way since its early days. From manual cash exchange and institutional trading to simple, user-friendly online platforms available for everyone. This FXOpen article explores how technology has transformed forex trading and how AI-based algorithms are used to analyse market data today.
Early Days of Forex Trading
The history of forex trading in the world is long, dating back to ancient times when people traded goods and services across borders. However, the modern forex market as we know it today began in the 1970s after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Since then, currencies have been allowed to float freely against each other.
In the early days, forex trading was performed manually, and the role of financial institutions was significant. However, manual methods had their challenges and limitations, such as the lack of real-time data and the need for human intervention.
Rise of Electronic Trading Platforms
The next step in forex market history was the development of electronic trading platforms. The foreign exchange market has experienced a profound transformation with the advent and proliferation of electronic platforms. These platforms have revolutionised the way currencies are traded, leading to increased accessibility, efficiency, and transparency in the world's largest financial market.
The forex market has benefited immensely from advancements in technology. High-speed internet connections, powerful computers, and sophisticated software have enabled traders to execute orders swiftly and efficiently, regardless of their location.
The emergence of electronic communication networks (ECNs) in the 1990s-2000s and the introduction of electronic trading platforms transformed the industry. ECN accounts connect leading brokers and individual traders with each other so that they can trade directly, bypassing the exchange mechanisms of intermediaries.
ECN globalised the market, as it allowed transactions to be conducted outside the working hours of a particular location. The advantages of such electronic systems are the possibility of daily and round-the-clock trading, the expansion of the number of bidders offering their quotes, and the prompt supply of participants with all necessary information. If you are interested in ECN trading, you can open an FXOpen account.
Mobile Apps
A positive change in the history of forex trading was the shift from calling brokers to direct trading opportunities via electronic platforms. But this required access to a desktop computer. When mobile phones went mainstream, following the market became much easier.
The development of mobile applications has made forex trading more convenient and accessible. It has made it possible for traders to access the markets from anywhere, at any time. Traders can now execute trades and monitor their positions on the go. Mobile apps offer convenience and accessibility, making modern forex trading more efficient and user-friendly.
Social and Copy Trading
Social trading networks have become increasingly popular in recent years. These networks allow traders to follow and replicate the strategies of other traders. Copy trading, in particular, has gained popularity. This method allows newcomers to take advantage of the expertise of more experienced traders.
One advantage this provides is the opportunity to automate strategies and reduce the need for human intervention. However, both social and copy trading come with a set of risks, such as the potential for losses due to the replication of flawed strategies.
Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
One promising innovation in the field of trading is the introduction of algorithms. This has the potential to change forex trading because now traders can automate their strategies using computer programs. Robots carry out trades according to predetermined rules and algorithms, and traders only need to observe the course of trading and intervene if necessary.
As a subset of algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading (HFT) is also developing. HFT strategies help traders execute trades at lightning speed. Additionally, artificial intelligence and machine learning are playing an increasingly important role in algorithmic trading. AI-based tools collect, sort, analyse and classify market data and make asset selection recommendations.
Cryptocurrency* and Forex Integration
Recently, the market saw a sharp rise in the popularity of cryptocurrencies* as traded assets and their integration with forex. The evolution of the forex market is that platforms now allow traders to trade cryptocurrencies* alongside traditional forex pairs on the same platform.
The impact of blockchain technology on forex markets is yet to be fully realised. But right now, it can be said that it may enable more secure and transparent transactions. The decentralised nature of blockchain enables innovations, such as decentralised exchanges and peer-to-peer trading.
Final Thoughts
While there are risks associated with forex trading, the integration of technology has made it more accessible to retail traders, and modern algorithms may make it simpler and more transparent. As the evolution of foreign exchange markets continues, traders try to stay informed and adapt to new technologies.
You can explore our blog to learn more about highly effective trading strategies and top currency pairs and use the TickTrader platform to access advanced charts and trade various assets on a single account. Join the trading community with FXOpen!
*At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: CADJPY H1 Bearish Wave Structure AnalysisThis evening, my focus is on the CADJPY H1 timeframe. We have identified a completed bearish wave structure on the H1 timeframe. Earlier this afternoon, during the New York session, a trend reset was observed, breaking above the last Structure 4.
From this point, based on wave structure anatomy, we anticipate selling interest to initiate a new bearish wave structure downward. The key level to watch is 110.48.
Happy trading!
Gold wants to hit resistance read the caption Gold’s negative correlation with the USD seems to be in full swing over the past week, as gold’s price practically retreat until Friday, while as the current week started gold’s price seems to have regained its confidence to climb higher. On the flip side USD bulls dominated the greenback’s direction over the past week, while they took a break as the week begun allowing for gold’s price to rise. Overall we see the case for the negative correlation
Gold nonstop buy get out from sell read the caption However, the resurgence of the geopolitical factor, precisely from the Russia-Ukraine war, seems to be mostly behind the wake-up call in the metal, particularly after Biden’s administration “authorised” Ukraine to use US-made weapons to strike Russian territory.
Moving forward, it should be a week dominated by data releases surrounding the real economy worldwide, where the publication of preliminary PMIs is expected to take centre stage. In addition, opinions from central bank officials are also seen keeping investors
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has broken a key support level and is now pulling back to test this zone as resistance. If this level holds, we anticipate further downside movement, potentially reaching lower targets as marked.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPUSD: Buy signal at the bottom of the Rising Wedge.GBPUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.906, MACD = -0.012, ADX = 45.336) as it almost reached the HL trendline of the Rising Wedge. The technical bottom should start forming now and with the RSI hitting the oversold limit (30.000) on Friday, we can claim that there is a significant upside behind this with limited risk. The similar bottom of October 3rd 2023 targeted initially the 0.618 Fibonacci level. That is our target this time also (TP = 1.03080).
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Gold ready to above 2600 read the caption People got bullish on stocks. I get it. There’s a political change coming, and many investors might be excited about that while I don’t think that others would be willing to sell given this sentiment.
However, I have to point out that tops are formed when the sentiment is extremely bullish. While this doesn’t have to be the final top for this rally (I admit, I thought that we saw a top already and stocks kept on rallying), I do want to stress that this is one of the moments where at least a local top becomes likely
USOIL:Today's short trading strategy
Crude oil began to contract delivery, the action of these two days should be relatively large, today's thinking or bearish, weekly line again closed negative, and the center of gravity began to move down, crude oil also fell below the bottom of the hour level, today's rebound continues to empty, do not chase, this position is the bottom of crude oil week, has been volatile for a few weeks;
Today the bearish pressure around 68.00 has been broken and is currently around 67.00, the lower target is seen around 66.00. Please do not continue to short after arrival, wait for the market to confirm before trading. Follow me for updates
EURUSD Down Trend ContinuationEURUSD has opened with an upward gap and is moving toward a significant resistance zone within a larger bearish trend. If the market meets resistance here and rejects both the resistance zone and the upper border of the descending channel, it may indicate an impending bearish reversal. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance, with price bouncing off it multiple times, which reinforces the likelihood of another rejection.
There is potential for a push above last week’s high as an initial move to gather liquidity, followed by a bearish reversal aiming to fill the recent gap. If this scenario unfolds, the target would be the support zone around 1.08510, aligning with the gap-filling objective and providing a solid level for further downside momentum
EURUSD Possible Up correctionEURUSD has reached the psychological level of 1.0500 and, on the 1-hour timeframe, has formed a double bottom pattern, suggesting a potential slowdown in selling pressure. The price is currently moving sideways above this level, indicating possible consolidation. Notably, approximately a year ago, the price surged from this support zone, identifying it as a demand zone. With the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) reaching a strong resistance zone, there's potential for a reaction that could lead EURUSD to pull back toward the downward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 1.0635
London Session Focus: USDJPY Momentum & Potential AUDUSD BuyThis morning during the London session, my primary focus is on the USDJPY. We anticipate a momentum low developing below the current price level.
Additionally, the AUDUSD has flagged a potential buying opportunity around the 0.6450 level.
The EURUSD and GBPUSD (Cable) are also showing potential for bullish moves; however, their price structures are currently less defined than those of the above-mentioned pairs.
Trade wisely and happy trading!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold, after its recent decline, is approaching a support zone. The downtrend is expected to continue until it reaches this support level. If buyers show a positive reaction at this area, we may see an upward correction, potentially reaching higher resistance levels.
If this correction occurs, it could present a selling opportunity for traders around resistance, as there may be a continuation of the downtrend after the correction.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Xauusd weekly chart Gold trades little changed on Friday, holding steady in the $2,560s after making a slight recovery from the two-month lows reached on the previous day. A stronger US Dollar continues to put pressure on Gold since it is mainly priced and traded in the US currency.
Gold sell support 2536
Support 2518
Support 2491
Support 2473
Resistance 2585
Resistance 2601
Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest.
General CSI Overview:
Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD
Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR
In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected.
It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend.
Trade carefully and happy trading!
GBPNZD: Turning bearish if the 1D MA50 breaks.GBPNZD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.440, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 26.806), trading right over its 1D MA50. If broken, it will be the validation of the new bearish wave of the 1 year Channel Down. The 1D RSI is forming the very same Arc pattern as the May bearish wave. Upon validation, we will get short and aim for the 1D MA200, over the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 2.12500).
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