Gold confirm analysis read the caption Spot Gold remains lifeless below the $2,650 level on a quiet Thursday as investors gear up for an extended weekend. The batch of United States (US) macroeconomic data released on Wednesday anticipated the ongoing quietness, as all American markets are closed amid the Thanksgiving Holiday.
On a positive note, the bright metal finds support in mounting expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will deliver another 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut when it meets in mid-December. At the time, according to the CME FedWatch Toll, the odds are roughly 70%
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LIVE MARKET ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEAS: USDJPY, GBPUSD, GBPAUD & CJHello Traders,
Starting off early today with a big shout out to @TradingView for their continuous improvements to the platform and the valuable tools they provide to the trading community. Well done!
Here’s my analysis for today:
USDJPY H4
The USDJPY has formed a Momentum Low, signalling a potential trend reset. The underlying trend remains bullish on this timeframe.
Expectation: Increased buying activity is anticipated from the current price level.
GBPAUD H4
The GBPAUD is trading within a 915-pip range. Inside this range, price fluctuations create highs and lows. Applying the range trading principle—buy low, sell high—recent price action shows a bullish wave structure completed on the smaller timeframe following a rally from the Momentum Low.
Current Observation: A trend reset is occurring on the smaller timeframe, breaking below 1.9508.
Trading Approach: Look for a failure to make a Lower Low (LL) on the 5-minute chart and seek opportunities to trade to the upside.
GBPUSD H4
The GBPUSD remains in a downtrend on the H4 timeframe. However, a significant reset has occurred, forming Structure 4 at 1.2714.
Ideal Trade: The preferred strategy is to sell GBPUSD. However, based on wave structure analysis on the lower timeframe, the price is not yet primed for a bearish move.
CADJPY H4
The CADJPY exhibits similar behaviour to the USDJPY, with a recent dip below the previous Momentum Low. Yesterday, a bullish trend-changing pattern emerged.
Trading Opportunity: Look for buying setups above 107.46 based on the current price action.
Wishing you successful trades and a blessed weekend!
EURCHF: Bottom formed. Aiming now for the 1D MA200.EURCHF is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.619, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 46.597) as after hitting the bottom of the S1 Zone, it rebounded and is now consolidating below the 1D MA50. This is a bottoming pattern and like the two before it in a span of 1 year, it should aim for at least the 1D MA200 (TP = 0.95500).
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NZDUSD Potential Up correction from crossing of supportsNZDUSD recently showed a false breakout below its previous support and has reached a demand zone on the daily timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback. On the 4H chart, bullish divergence at the support level supports the likelihood of a retracement. The price may move higher to retest the resistance zone around 0.5880, which has been tested multiple times. This setup indicates a potential for a short-term recovery
GBPJPY potential drop from the resistance levels crossingThe CHF/JPY pair is retracing towards the 172.500 resistance level following a notable decline. If the price fails to surpass this resistance and the accompanying descending trendline, which serves as a swap zone, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. The repeated testing of this level underscores its significance as a resistance area. A clear bearish signal, such as a prominent long-tailed bar, could suggest a liquidity grab above this zone, indicating increased selling pressure and a potential opportunity to enter short positions. The target for such a move would be the support zone near 170.300
Gold big dip coming see the dropping level read the caption Gold price reverts toward the weekly low of $2,605 in Asian trading on Thanksgiving Thursday, snapping a two-day recovery. The US Dollar (USD) and the US Treasury bond yields breathe a sigh of relief, exerting downward pressure on the Gold price amid holiday-thinned trading conditions
EURGBP: Channel Down and 1D MA50 rejection pushing it lower.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.920, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 31.550) as it failed to cross over the 1D MA50 and it remains on a LH inside the Channel Down. The weakest decline upon a 1D MA50 rejection has been -1.45%. That is what we're aiming for (TP = 0.82545).
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GBPAUD Potential Down trend continuationGBPAUD is in a bearish trend, making lower lows, and is pulling back toward the resistance zone and channel border. Recently, the price experienced a false breakout above the previous day's high. A retest of the 1.9500 psychological level may lead to another false breakout at the channel border before continuing downward. The target is the support zone around 1.9240
NZDJPY: Important Breakout 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY broke and closed below a support line of a wide horizontal
parallel channel on a daily.
The broken structure turned into resistance now.
With a high probability, the market will continue falling
and reach 88.7 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Wed 27th Nov 2024 CAD/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a CAD/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Wed 27th Nov 2024 EUR/AUD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/AUD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Wed 27th Nov 2024 GBP/CAD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CAD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold will fall badly read the caption BofA highlights four key policy dimensions of the incoming US administration that could suppress gold demand in the near term by driving higher rates and a stronger USD. However, these bearish factors do not derail BofA's longer-term bullish outlook for gold, with price target of $3,000/oz by end of 2025.
London Session Forex Market Analysis: USD Strength Leads the wayHi Traders,
Here’s a quick market analysis for the London session.
We’ve observed some notable movements in the currency pairs under review. As a quick recap from our weekly trade planning session (Portfolio Selection):
Strong currencies: USD remains the leader, followed by JPY, CAD, CHF, and AUD.
Weak currencies: EUR, NZD, and GBP.
The USD's bullish momentum is clearly dominating across the board, providing opportunities to target selling the weaker currencies against the USD.
Remember to approach the markets with a clear plan and stick to your trading plan.
Happy Trading!
XAUUSD Downtrend Based on SMC (Smart Money Concepts) analysis, it appears that gold on the 4-hour timeframe is likely to continue its downward movement after liquidity was swept from the previous high. Now, we are faced with two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: A direct drop from the green box.
Scenario 2: A slight upward move into the FVG (Fair Value Gap), followed by a strong decline.
Let’s see which scenario gold decides to follow!
AUD/USD 1H AnalysisThe price is approaching a key resistance zone (red), where we could see sellers step in and push the price lower. However, we need confirmation before considering a short trade.
✅ What I’m looking for:
Clear rejection signals at the resistance (e.g., bearish candlesticks, high selling volume).
Strong confirmation that sellers are back in control.
🚨 Plan:
Patience is key. Wait for confirmation before entering a short position to avoid unnecessary risk.
What’s your view on AUD/USD? Let me know!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a bullish move and the break of the ascending trendline, gold has entered a corrective phase. Currently, the price is below a key resistance level, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This area acts as a strong resistance and could hinder further upward movement.
It is expected that the price will react to this resistance level and enter a downward movement.
If the mentioned resistance is decisively broken, the bearish scenario will lose its validity, and the likelihood of continued upward movement will increase.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair broke below a key support level last week, with the weekly candle closing firmly beneath this zone. This breakout signals potential further downside movement in the pair.
A corrective bullish retracement or pullback to retest the broken support level is anticipated in the short term. However, the overall bearish sentiment remains intact, and the price is expected to resume its decline towards the next targeted support level.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold buy now it will above 2700 read the caption On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $2,535 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $2,600 and $2,605 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,675. The bulls pushed the price above the $2,700 resistance zone. Finally, the bears appeared near $2,720. A high was formed near $2,720 and the price is now consolidating gains
AUDUSD: Time to turn bullish again.AUDUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.008, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.063) as it has been declining since the September 30th High. Technically though it is time to turn bullish again as not only has the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, but the double bottom on the 1D RSI is identical to the February 13th 2024 Low. The resulting rebound reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level before a rejection. Consequently, we are turning bullish here, aiming for the current 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66900).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GBPAUD Potential channel breakout to the downsideGBPAUD is exhibiting bearish momentum, characterized by lower lows and lower closes. The pair is currently testing the previous daily low; a close below this level could lead to a decline toward the channel's lower boundary. The previous day's candle featured a long tail, indicating potential for a retest of the round number at 1.9300. If bearish momentum persists, the price may break through the channel and move lower. The target is the support level at 1.9310
AUDCAD Potential Drop after Rejection from ResistanceAUDCAD is currently experiencing a pullback toward the resistance zone and the upward trendline area. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market has been forming lower lows and lower closes, indicating a bearish trend. After a significant decline, the price is now approaching the 50% retracement level of that move. This area may act as resistance, potentially leading to a continuation of the downward movement. The target is the support zone around 0.9070