GBPUSD- Trend Continuation setupSuccessful trading is knowing what to do and doing what you know. The knowing part is very simple but the doing part is not easy that is why most people struggle in trading.
This afternoon, during the New York session, my focus is on GBP/USD. We are buying based on the H4 timeframe, where the wave structure remains bullish since the price hasn’t closed below 1.30877.
Another confirmation comes from the H1, which has only shown three waves down so far. While a fifth wave may appear, it’s likely to be a higher low following the current upward move on the M15 chart.
As long as the M15 stays above the New York session opening range, we will continue buying.
Happy Trading!
Forextrading
GBP/USD Eyes Key Demand Zone: Potential for Retracement AheadThe GBP/USD currency pair has approached a notable demand zone, which appears particularly intriguing on the future 6B1 chart. This area could present significant opportunities that may become even more evident in subsequent trading sessions.
Currently, the price of the GBP/USD pair is exhibiting signs of being overbought. This condition is largely influenced by retail traders who are driving the price upward aggressively. Such market dynamics often precede a potential pullback as the buying momentum may not be sustainable over the long term.
Given these conditions, we are anticipating a retracement of the British Pound in the near future. This expected downward movement would align with the typical market behavior following an overbought state, where prices correct themselves after a significant upward surge. Traders should monitor this development closely, as it could offer valuable entry points for those looking to capitalize on the impending adjustments in price.
GBP Futures ( Weekly Chart )
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NZD/USD: Bearish Continuation Confirmed After Key USD DataIn line with our previous analysis, NZD/USD triggered our sell limit order last Friday, signaling a potential bearish move after the release of key U.S. economic data. Initially, the U.S. dollar weakened following the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims reports, which delivered softer-than-expected results, raising concerns about the strength of the U.S. labor market. However, the dollar quickly regained its footing due to positive outcomes from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which reinforced confidence in the U.S. economy.
As a result, the New Zealand dollar, like other major currencies, began a reversal, continuing its bearish trend against the strengthening USD. The recovery in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on NZD, confirming our expectations of a bearish continuation for the pair.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report remains consistent with our earlier forecasts. Institutional players are still favoring a bearish outlook on the NZD, while retail traders are likely still holding onto bullish positions, creating a divergence that suggests more downside potential for NZD/USD. With these factors in mind, we are confident in our bearish stance and expect the pair to reach our take profit target in the coming days.
Technically, the price action supports our forecast, with the NZD/USD pair failing to break key resistance levels and continuing to trade within a bearish channel. The reversal we anticipated has materialized, and the pair appears poised to continue its downward movement as the U.S. dollar remains strong in the wake of positive economic data.
In conclusion, our analysis points to further downside for NZD/USD this week, and we remain focused on reaching our take profit target. With both fundamental and technical factors aligned, the outlook for the pair remains bearish, and traders should be prepared for continued weakness in the New Zealand dollar as the U.S. dollar continues to recover.
✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
USD/CHF: Navigating Demand Zones and Market SentimentLast Friday, USD/CHF dropped to a daily low of 0.8375 before rebounding in Monday’s European session, with the current price around 0.84585 as I write this article.
The initial decline in the US Dollar came after the release of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims, which provided less-than-positive signals. However, the dollar regained strength following encouraging results from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which had a positive impact.
From a technical perspective, the analysis remains consistent with last week’s outlook, where we see a potential USD rebound against CHF, as the pair continues to trade within a strong demand zone, with retail traders heavily shorting. Looking at seasonality over the past 10 years, there is a historical tendency for an increase in value for this pair around this time. However, given the pre-election period in the US and shifting economic factors, extra caution is advised during this phase.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
DE30 DAX Technical AnalysisWhen the DAX 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the parallel channel. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 19,919 level by exceeding the 19,024 level in price movements above the 17,957 level, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the 16,544 level by breaking the 17,022 level in price movements below the 17,957 level.
US 100 NASDAQ Technical AnalysisUS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis
When the US100 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue below the trend line. As long as the index price cannot pass the 19,096 level, it is evaluated that the price movements below the 18,621 level may break the 17,251 level and retreat to the 15,434 level.
GOLDFrom our previous analysis on Friday, we saw that the price had adjusted down to test the support zone at $2,485 as expected, but the price failed to break through $2,485, resulting in a rebound. And this time, if the price fails to break through $2,510, we expect that there is a chance that the price will continue to fall.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Weekly Trade Planning SessionIn today's session, I will be analyzing the USD/JPY, GBP/USD, CAD/JPY, and EUR/USD pairs.
The framework I follow includes:
Portfolio selection
Currency ranking
Multi-timeframe analysis.
Below is the portfolio selection for this week:
AUD/CAD: Bearish (-5%)
AUD/JPY: Bearish (-59%)
AUD/USD: Bullish (17%)
CAD/JPY: Bearish (-54%)
EUR/CAD: Bullish (16%)
EUR/JPY: Bearish (-38%)
EUR/USD: Bullish (38%)
GBP/JPY: Bearish (-17%)
GBP/USD: Bullish (59%)
USD/CAD: Bearish (-22%)
USD/CHF: Bearish (-63%)
USD/JPY: Bearish (-76%)
Happy Trading!
EURUSD BEST ANALYSIS EUR/USD recovered last week but failed retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first Price actions from are still seen as a consolidation pattern In case of deeper retreat downside should be contained by retracement of to bring rebound Break of will resume larger rise towards high However, sustained break will indicate reversal and turn bias to the downside
EUR/USD Reversal After Strong US Data: Bearish Momentum Ahead?After yesterday's pullback, the EUR/USD pair has formed a rejection candle on the daily chart after touching the 1.1112 mark. The pair's gains against the USD were quickly reversed, as surprisingly strong US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for August offered significant support to the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, has recovered most of its intraday losses after finding buying interest near the day's low around the 101.00 level.
From a technical perspective, we have already closed 50% of our position after the price bounced back from a key supply area. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a high level of retail traders accumulating long positions in EUR/USD, marking the highest accumulation since the last significant price peak in December. This accumulation hints at potential exhaustion of the bullish sentiment among retail traders, which may lead to further bearish pressure.
The ISM Services PMI report revealed that activity in the US services sector expanded slightly more than anticipated, with a reading of 51.5, compared to July's 51.4. Economists had projected a modest slowdown to 51.1, but the unexpected uptick in service activity adds another layer of support for the USD. This strong economic performance suggests that the US economy remains resilient, increasing the chances of sustained strength in the USD.
Given this scenario, we anticipate a continuation of bearish pressure on the EUR/USD and other currency pairs against the USD. With retail traders heavily positioned long and the fundamentals favoring the USD, the market may continue to see the US Dollar strengthen in the coming days, offering potential opportunities for those seeking to short the EUR/USD or other USD pairs.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
AUDJPY: Classic Breakout Trading 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY broke and closed below a key daily/intraday structure support.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny range
on a 4H time frame.
Its support was broken today.
I shorted the pair on its retest, expecting a further decline.
Next support - 95.2
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bulls are dominating the trading marketA record displaying a weakening U.S. exertions marketplace on Friday may want to assist the Fed decide whether or not to reduce hobby charges through 25 or 50 foundation factors at its subsequent meeting. Lower hobby charges could weaken the greenback however notably growth the enchantment of non-yielding property along with gold.
Gold fees have risen extra than 20% this year, hitting a height of $2,531.seventy five an oz in August. Along with expectancies of a Fed charge reduce, gold has been supported through robust retail call for and safe-haven call for because of conflicts withinside the Middle East and Ukraine.
XAU stays green in the trading mapA report showing a weakening U.S. labor market on Friday could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
Gold prices have risen more than 20% this year, hitting a peak of $2,531.75 an ounce in August. Along with expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold has been supported by strong retail demand and safe-haven demand due to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine.
NIKKEI225 Index Chart ReviewNIKKEI225 Index Chart Review
When the JPN225 weekly chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line. As long as the index price cannot exceed the level of 39,489, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 36,827, it can break the level of 34,538 and retreat to the level of 27,512.
NZD/CHF Long and EUR/NZD ShortNZD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Long Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Sugar Chart Review
When the daily chart of Sugar is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the downward sloping wedge. As long as the level of Sugar price 1.841 is not broken down, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 1.927, it can exceed the level of 2.024 and target the level of 2.287.
NZDUSDNZDUSD is in correction range at 0.61989 level. If price fails to break through, price will rebound to test resistance at 0.62553-0.62836. If price fails to break through 0.62836 level, it is expected that price will go down. Consider selling red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Investors are cautious as summer draws to a close.Gold’s struggles come as the US dollar, which fell to a one-year low last month and entered oversold territory, is seeing a modest shift in momentum.
While September has been a tough month for gold in recent years, analysts do not see the bullion’s bullish trend ending. Looking beyond the near-term weakness, they see central bank buying continuing to provide solid support for gold. At the same time, new investor interest will begin to pick up as the Fed begins its long-awaited monetary easing cycle this month.
XAU surges after US economic dataGold prices rose 0.8% on Thursday after a report showed U.S. payrolls fell to their lowest level since early 2021 last month. The sharp drop in new jobs suggests a weakening U.S. labor market, which could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates soon to stimulate the economy.
Friday's report showing a weakening U.S. labor market could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%.
The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices.
Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
Fed enters interest rate cutting cycleGold is taken into consideration a beneficiary whilst the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) enters a cycle of hobby charge cuts, which might also additionally begin from September 17-18. Lower hobby prices will motive the USD to depreciate in opposition to a basket of different predominant currencies. Gold will then boom in price.
Many forecasts say that gold will reach $2,600/ounce, or even $2,seven hundred with the aid of using the give up of this 12 months or early 2025.
In a latest forecast, Goldman Sachs stated that spot gold fees will reach $2,seven hundred/ounce (VND82.2 million/tael) with the aid of using early 2025. The modern unstable surroundings is stated to be a element to be able to push gold up, despite the fact that this commodity has set new information dozens of instances due to the fact that the start of 2024.
GBP/USD Trade Setup 1 Hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour timeframe, GBP/USD has formed a descending channel, followed by a strong breakout to the upside and a retest.
This pattern has formed at a daily support level. To enter a buy position, we need to observe bullish candlestick patterns for confirmation.