XAU price at all time highThe trend of monetary easing and gold buying by central banks, along with geopolitical tensions, have boosted the price of this precious metal.
The main event this week that has a strong impact on gold prices is the US core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index for August, which is an important inflation measure of the Fed.
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XAUUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on GOLD ?
Gold has maintained its upward momentum in recent weeks, and it is expected to continue this week after some fluctuations and price corrections from the identified levels. If you are looking for a safer entry with less risk, it's advisable to wait for the price to reach the second support level, which provides a more reliable buying opportunity.
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USDJPY LONG TRADE IDEAUSDJPY Forecast For This Week(23 Sep-27 Sep 24 & NEXT WEEK ALSO)
1. Price Took Support From a Major Level of 140(Psych Level)
2. Consolidation of around 2 Weeks
3. Inverted Head & Shoulder Kind of Setup
4. Breakout above Neckline
5. Favourable Risk Reward to Upside
Buy Above @144 Level SL 143.50-143.40
Target 1 - @ 146.00 Target 2 @ 147.00 & Target 3 @149.00 OANDA:USDJPY
“Bitcoin is rising."Cryptocurrency markets are going through a dynamic period with significant developments. In Germany, 47 cryptocurrency exchanges were shut down by the Federal Criminal Police Office and the Internet Crime Complaint Center as part of efforts to combat money laundering activities. However, following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, there is a decline in dollar-denominated assets. This situation is supporting upward movements in Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, if it surpasses the 63,300 resistance level, the 65,000 and then 68,500 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 60,000 level, a further decline toward the 57,330 and then 54,000 support levels could occur.
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
“Can USD/JPY Surpass the 144.0 Level?”The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy interest rate unchanged, holding it steady at 0.25%. The bank noted that Japan's economic recovery is continuing, and inflationary pressures have eased due to a decline in import prices. According to data released today, Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 3% year-over-year, in line with expectations. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has gained momentum, rising from the 140.85 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 144.10 level is surpassed, the pair may test the 147.30 resistance first, followed by 149.55. On the downside, if it falls below the 140.85 support level, a drop toward 138.0 and then 135.15 could occur.
“The pound gained strength”The Bank of England (BoE) maintained its policy interest rate at 5.00%, with no changes. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that since they lowered the policy rate in August, inflationary pressures have continued to ease. Bailey also emphasized the importance of avoiding rate cuts that are too quick or too large. Following this development, the GBP/USD pair rose above the 1.33 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 1.3355 level is permanently surpassed, the rise could accelerate toward 1.3430, followed by the 1.35 resistance level. On the downside, if prices fall below the 1.3270 level, the decline could extend first to 1.3150 and then further to the 1.3030 support level.
AUS200 Technical AnalysisWhen the AUS200 daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 8532 level in price movements above the 8257 level, but in price movements below the 8257 level, it is evaluated that it can break the 8111 level and retreat to the 7906 level.
CORN Can Go for Cup Target.When the CORN 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the Cup formation formation. As long as the CORN price does not break below the level of 395.6, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 406.8, it can cross the level of 428.8 and target the level of 449.1.
XAUUSDXAUUSD The main trend is up. Now the price is near the 2600 resistance zone. If the price cannot break through the 2600 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will go down in the short term. Consider selling the red zone.
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DXY: Some more downside is expected. Is it a buy after?The U.S. Dollar Index is on strong bearish levels on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.538, MACD = -0.480, ADX = 39.006) as it is extending the Channel Down with a rejection today exactly on its top. The very same Channel Down was seen last October-December (2023) and declined by -6.25% before recovering. The buy signal was a DB (double bottom) on the 1D RSI.
Consequently we will remain bearish on DXY (TP = 99.550) and only buy after we get a clear rebound (around -6.25%) and a DB on the RSI.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GBPUSD- Short-Term Trade SetupThe reaction of GBPUSD to the Bank of England's interest rate decision has been fairly muted. In the short term, we're looking for selling opportunities, aiming for a deeper reversal towards the 1.3146 level.
Key levels to watch:
Target 1: 1.3146
If price breaks below 1.3146, the next target is 1.3000.
Stop-loss recommendations:
Technical Stop: 1.3322
Conservative Stop: 1.3265
Keep these levels in mind as you plan your trades.
Gold up slightly after FOMC dropThe half-point decision was made after considering inflation, economic data and risks. Along with the policy pivot, many economists noted that there will be more than one rate adjustment this year. Accordingly, the dot-plot chart shows the central bank expects rates to fall to 4.4% by the end of the year, down from the 5.1% estimate in June.
“Gold Prices Target 2600 Level”After the Fed cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, the dollar index saw further declines. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond dropped to 3.63% following the decision. This market reaction accelerated the push for gold prices towards the 2600 level. Additionally, the Fed indicated the possibility of another 50 basis point rate cut this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that upward risks to inflation have decreased, while downward risks to employment have increased.
From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2580 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
“Dollar Index Declines After Fed Decision”The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, lowering it by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5.00%. Following this decision, the decline in the dollar index accelerated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the decision shows increased confidence in maintaining a strong labor market while ensuring moderate growth and bringing inflation down to 2% sustainably. Additionally, the Fed lowered its federal funds rate projection for the end of this year from 5.1% to 4.4%, suggesting the possibility of a further 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year.
Technically, if the index falls below the 100.50 level, the 100.0 and 99.50 levels can be considered support. However, if it recovers and moves above the 101.0 level, resistance can be observed at the 101.85 and 102.70 levels.
USDJPY Analysis: Awaiting Market Confirmation Post Fed Rate CutHi Traders,
Following yesterday's USD news, the Federal Reserve has reduced the interest rate by 0.25%. It seems the market has already absorbed this news, and our attention shifts back to the USDJPY pair.
On Tuesday, my analysis showed a price break above the H4 structure. According to this structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the overall downtrend. However, predicting the exact point where the decline will begin is tricky. We'll need to carefully monitor price movements on smaller timeframes for more clarity.
On the 1-hour (1Hr) chart, we're looking for either a new higher high (HH) or a slightly lower high (LH) to complete the current wave structure. Selling at this stage is premature. Instead, we’re looking to buy on the current swing of the 1Hr chart, waiting for a potential failure to make a new HH.
GBPUSD Technical AnalysisWhen the GBPUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue with the formation of an inverted shoulder-head-shoulder formation on the trend line. As long as the GBPUSD level of 1.30886 is not broken down, it is evaluated that in price movements above 1.31787, it can cross the level of 1.32980 and target the level of 1.34550.
EURUSD Technical AnalysisWhen the EURUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue with the formation of an inverted shoulder-head-shoulder formation on the trend line. As long as the EURUSD level of 1.10548 is not broken down, it is evaluated that in price movements above 1.11231, it can cross the level of 1.12007 and target the level of 1.12886.
Gold prices fall sharply after news from the FedGold prices are always sensitive to US interest rate adjustments. A weaker USD makes gold more attractive to investors. In case the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, gold prices could reach the target of $2,700/ounce by early 2025.
Gold prices broke the technical level above $2,550/ounce. Investors are optimistic about the prospect of the Fed preparing to cut interest rates.
XAU plunges after FOMC newsMarkets are looking ahead to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, followed by a press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Investors are expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. The CME FedWatch tool predicts a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, with 63% for a 50 basis point cut and 37% for a modest 25 basis point cut. This would be the Fed's first rate cut in four and a half years (since March 2020).
EURJPY TRADE UPDATE AND ANALYSISIn this video i share a quick recap on the trade i took from the previous analysis (link in description), after seeing the daily candle close bullish above the high if the last bearish day which confirmed a break of structure on the 4hr timeframe and i went long at the pullback to 157.500 and 38.2 fib area (confluence)