Forecast
Chevron (CVX): Bottom in Sight?Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) has maintained a wide range between $167 and $137 since March 2022, with one notable push above this range likely corresponding to the completion of wave 3. The focus is now on identifying the wave 4 bottom, which we anticipate to form between the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, or $128–$113. This range is supported by key technical indicators, including a High Volume Node Edge and a Point of Control (POC) within this area, adding significant confluence.
From a macroeconomic perspective, Chevron faces challenges from declining crude oil prices, which is impacting investor sentiment. Despite a brief surge in oil-and-gas stocks following Donald Trump’s victory, this momentum has not sustained across the sector. Broader bearish factors such as weak Chinese demand, global overproduction, and OPEC’s indecision on further cuts add to the uncertainty. Bullish bets on oil due to geopolitical tensions have largely underperformed over the last two years, further pressuring the commodity and Chevron.
Should NYSE:CVX reclaim the range high at $167, it could signal a trend reversal, suggesting the wave 4 bottom may already have formed at $135.55, the last significant low. However, if the resistance holds, further downside into the targeted area seems likely.
We will continue monitoring how global tensions, oil price fluctuations, and broader market conditions impact Chevron’s performance. Until then, patience is key as we await a clear signal.
NAS100USD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 20,544.9.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 20,006.6 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 31.396.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 31.547 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.772.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.782 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBP/NZD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.978 level area with our long trade on GBP/NZD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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We are targeting the 30.477 level area with our short trade on SILVER which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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CAD/JPY BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the CAD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 111.487 level.
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NZD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
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The BB lower band is nearby so NZD-JPY is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 91.996.
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CHF/JPY BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
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Previous week’s red candle means that for us the CHF/JPY pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 176.198.
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CADJPY: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current CADJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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GBPNZD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GBPNZD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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DXY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 106.671.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 107.136 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,563.433.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,641.101.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDJPY Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 154.251.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 152.801 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 194.706.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 190.431 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
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GOLD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,674.971 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GOLD pair.
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GBP/CAD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
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GBP/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.806 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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GBP/AUD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
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GBP/AUD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.957 area.
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