HINDUSTAN UNILEVER ANALYSIS!!i want to say a lot of things in this idea.
so i will take it step by step, and be with me till the end of it.
first lets talk about the trend lines:
TREND LINES:
the blue lines: are the trend been followed by the stock past from the corona crash.
the major black lines is the new trend which should be followed by the stock.
this is because, the 2020 crash gave a boost to markets, and even many other sectors got benefitted from it.
HUL is the market leader, and do takes a good position in NIFTY 50, the fmcg sector has a good future(said by many analysts), the sector is forming and be gonna great in coming future.
HUL will support the above statement. the trend is drawn by the markets consolidation, and major points of resistance and support.
the red lines drawn are just crucious level to watch when to buy/sell considering only short term swing trading. yup, more can be drawn, but i found out those as much more crusious
the major green line is the support taken by the stock, after the FII selling been stopped and markets started to recover, and make the stock come back to its new trend.
2nd step: FIBBONACI RETRACEMENT:
recently the stock came down and stopped at 0.5 level. and now it is followed by going upside, with a green candle.
this week will be a could positive reaction of the stock. offcourse in the month of DEC, i am positive too.
(fibonnaci is taken from the lowest point of 2020 crash till, the ATH of stock).
3. RSI INDICATOR.
do note in the weekly chart of this stock, the RSI have mostly ranged from 45-75. currently its around 50, so this increases a lot of chance that HUL is undervalued.
FINAL POINT: i could still more add more indicators, to show, but not to consider over analysis, or say not make my idea so lengthy. its obvious more this 3 points(stated above), that HUL is a great to buy at this level.
one could earn about 20% from the swing trade, and about 40% return annually.
Fibonnacci
SPY BREAKING OUT... OR JUST ANOTHER STRESSFUL FALL...From my last post, we have now broken above the .236 level and have continued to hold the .382 level to make the wave 4 valid and now looking for a wave 5 rally to $411+. If you are confused by the red lines those are support lines I have added in longer time frames or during the trading day. You can see we did not break the red lines also for even more confirmation for a wave 5 rally.
Ascending Triangle on Dogecoin 4 Hour ChartWe have a Potential Ascending Triangle on Dogecoin. I Originally was looking at it as a Bear Flag targeting an 0.886 Retrace but in the time since identifying it the Bear Flag has seemingly held the 0.786 Retrace and the Ascending Demand Line as if Doge wants to make a Higher Low and attack the Level of Supply above. Due to this I'v altered my opinion on the Doge Bear Flag and am now looking at it as a Potential Ascending Triangle that could take it even further beyond the TP target i have plotted on the chart.
US30: Sell if this happensWe are currently trading at a pre defined sell zone. There have been opportunities to catch quick moves and I think if we are to see a bigger move down then price action will respect this zone.
You can place a runner at this zone at low risk that extends past the 1.272 or the 1.618. This may account for some market volatility.
The trade I currently have marked takes a sell at the .786 and has the stop loss extending 150 pips just past the swing high. The 1st target is at the swing low at around 400 pips for a 1:3 Risk to reward ratio.
I'm come to the sell bias using the same methods described in previous posts. With confluence on the lower timeframes I gain confidence in the area. Enough confidence to assume the risk my system has established.
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CHZUSDT 1WInterval - Targets and StoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 1W CHZ to USDT chart as you can see that the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can take into account:
T1 = $0.208
T2 = $0.237
T3 = $0.279
T4 = $0.335
and
T5 = $0.488
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case the market goes down further:
SL1 = $0.192
SL2 = $0.163
and
SL3 = $0.103
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that on the 1W interval, I have a lot of energy for subsequent moves, and the MACD indicator indicates that we are in a downtrend.
DXYPerfect move from DXY. Got a wick yesterday during the interest rates event which pushed price to the .618 fib level before further strength which has now pushed price to the -.618 extension level. Price is approaching trendline ( expecting a break above soon) but we should see a short-term retracement before further strength.
Check related ideas section below to see the USD pairs we took this week ✅️💪
S&P 500 RECESSION ANALYSIS!EARLIER, i had posted saying if the us markets goes further down what will be there point. (check the link section)
lets go on further,
recession means what earned everything lost, reached its breakeven point. what profit gained has gone away, with net having no loss and no profit.
FIBONACCI ANALYSIS: Fibonacci describes this statement in a very beautiful manner. if the price is trading at the 0.5 level then it is has reached its recession point.
although do note that 0.5 level is also a deciding level. okay, i will come to this later.
lets talk about this idea that why is the US started recovering.
interest rates had started coming down, and the indices are reacting very positively towards it.
i have explained to Fibonacci that now the recession has been completed according to this indicator.
MOVING AVERAGES(50 AND 100): both the moving averages(50 and 100), are meeting at one point, and they will now repel and move upwards.
RSI: yet it needs to give a breakout, but is definitely showing divergence(the two purple lines), relating to price action
TREND LINES: THE BLUE TREND LINE: yet needs to be breached, and yes this is the move that will make the break of it.
many of the great tech stocks have massively come down, and now they are showing divergence and a good upside move is gonna come.
FINAL WORDS: US markets will have a boom in their upside movement, as many of them kept on selling their positions, and such the interest rates have started coming down and will become normal within 1-2 years, so from now onwards the next year will be a great run for the US markets.
i will come to my point which i earlier which i had left in the middle, in my previous s&p analysis(link below), i had mentioned if s&p goes further down then recession stage, then at what point will it go down, and what will be the levels furtheron.
but since interest rates have started coming down, and mostly all the other economical news has been factored, i say that now there is a great space that us markets can have there bull run, and they will have, because its so clear that markets are tend to go upside, and they are the ones who react at first.
thank you.
How to use Fibonacci Retracement ⁉️ ‼️ Forex traders use Fibonacci retracements to pinpoint where to place orders for market entry, taking profits and stop-loss orders. Fibonacci levels are commonly used in forex trading to identify and trade off support and resistance levels. After a significant price movement up or down, the new support and resistance levels are often at or near these trend lines . Usually the price retracts to 50% or untile OTE (0.62, 0.705, 0.79) before another impulse movement occurs.
GOLD 0,618 FIBO SUPPORTWe've again the same support at 0,618 fibo, and we use twice to watch if the smae number will occur, and yes, 0,18 still support. So the price could test the support and go long, or will just change direction to a long strategy, since MACD is already touching support.
But our position will be:
Waiting for a bigger bullish candle to buy XAUUSD or wait for the support test follow by bullish candles
EURUSD - Short if cross fibo 38,2Resistance at 0.98857 looked at 1hour tf, and a second resistance at 0.98436. We can see we already had two retracements and can be the next consolidation area.
However when we use de fibonacci we can look at 38,2% and see a future support there if not crossed, moretheless if cross it, EURUSD will short. The pair already have a strong short position since we have the MACD crossing the 0, and the canes shadows is touching and following the lower BB line. Together we can analyze the moving average, moving away from the middle line from BB.
This is not in the screenshot, but if you use RSI and the Stoch in 30m or 1H you'll see the indicators line is going down. RSI is very close from the 50.0
NZDCADBottom blue levels indicate monthly support. Market reached support, also fulfilled Daily Fibonacci "D" extension.
Anticipating market movement towards monthly resistance (after Fibonnaci extension hit market begins new retracement phase).
Monthly = Direction
Daily = High or Low price
1Hour = entry
According to daily timeframe we are at a low price, still forming new Fibonacci "ABC" sequence.
Getting early entry on lower timeframe (1Hr) as market is forming higher highs and lows.
Also notice the head and shoulders pattern formation at monthly support.
Fundamentals in favour of NZD at time of posting this. LOTS of retail sellers in the market as we know most retail traders tend to lose money...
Entry:
11:00AM SA time
SL: 0.77563
TP: 0.78821 (next resistance)
Lot: 0.5
XRP Golden Crossing Inbound PotentialHey crew, sorry for not publishing in a long while, been busy coding trade interface stuff and getting Pythonic
So here's a quick update on the crypto beauty XRPaaaay
1. This Fib channel sits nice on a longer term trend and the price action / conformity is pretty snug
2. The 200 EMA could hold but let's face it, XRP usually dumps deep after most pumps and I like the 50 EMA as another good DCA entry with the possibility of a full retrace to the bottom of the Fib channel
3. The 50 could possible cross the 200 and send a buy signal across the boards on a golden crossing.
4. XRP news is fire right now and the whole SEC regulatory thing is sparking things a bit, but keep in mind that price action usually precedes street level news (buy the rumor, sell the news) so be aware of what's really going on.
5. I still think the dark pool lords could wick us all into the abyss but it probably will happen quickly so I have buys all the way down to garage day levels.
I personally do not use stops in crypto because of this reason but conventional wisdom says don't do this. Regulators are looking for more and more reasons to ruin the crypto party, squash your gains and invade your life so I would not put it past them to work behind the scenes to zero everyone out and then introduce 1000000 new rules all in the name of "consumer protection" lol. They really do think everyone is stupid.
Been scalping over here and this latest pump added some decent quiche to the buffet.
Stay frosty friends and catch you soon!
LUNC wyckoff accummulationBINANCE:LUNCBUSD probably doing a wyckoff accummulation phase as BINANCE:ETHBUSD did long ago. My theory is that market do a reversal after a triple top is formed. Hence, only one top has been made so far. This is subjective to market conditions.
MRNA harmonic 886 retracement. Interesting i article I found on the web on retracements. Different pattern but the idea is the same context. "short XA retracement particular, I realized that the B point within a Gartley-type structure that was less than a 0.618 would almost always exceed the expected 0.786 retracement of the XA leg at the projected completion point. I showed Jim this new pattern — called “the Bat” — which used what I was calling a “deep 0.786 retracement.” I told him that executing at the 0.786 without regard to the structure was a critical mistake. Besides, the 0.886 retracement, when used in the correct pattern structures, reduced the amount of risk in previously “undifferentiated” Gartley set-ups by 10 percent."
old.harmonictrader.com
I hope you enjoy the TA.
EURJPY Bullish BiasEURJPY has broken both trendlines and settled above the pivot point suggesting bullish continuation towards the resistance at 143.200.
Main Scenario:
If the price mantains stability above the pivot, we can open buy positions with targets at 141.330 and 143.2.
Note: Technical indicators display slight bearish divergence on lower timeframe warranting caution.
Alternate Scenario
If the price breaks and consolidates below the pivot, we can expect bearish price movement towards 136.824.