Double Top w/ Caution!! - EJHere I have EUR/JPY on the 1 Hr Chart!
The HOT news on French PMI Thursday Morning followed by the Not-So Hot German and Manufacturing/Services PMI readings began the formations of a strong reversal pattern called a Double Top!
The mixed PMI results for USD seemed to ease Euros' decent
BUT
With 2.8% CPI and talks from the ECB of "possible Rate Cuts in March", this could make Euro start to look less favorable in the bucket of currencies!
Given that CONFIRMATION of Pattern is @ 162.649, I like to keep in mind the flipside of the coin and there are decent levels of Support in the ( 162.45 - 162.33 ) and ( 162.03 - 161.9 ) ranges!
*These could serve as opportune Fake-Out areas to turn this pattern into a Ranged pattern called a BULL FLAG!
-CONFIRMATION of PATTERN @ 162.649
-INVALIDATION of PATTERN @ 163.208
Fakeout
GBPUSD London Session Buy Recap 70+ pipsPrice broke below the KL but the next 30 minute candle closed back above, indicating a small liquidity grab for price to move back up. CPI was to follow and as the next hourly candle broke the previous high, buys were entered with us anticipating CPI to drive price back up to the next KL. Secured some profits there, and left a runner to target the KL at 1.26900.
WHAT ARE Fakeouts, Shakeouts and Whipsaws?YOUR QUESTION ANSWERED!
What on earth are Fake outs, Shake outs and Whipsaws?
After this you will know…
Fake-out:
(When the price makes a false breakout of a chart pattern)
A fake-out occurs when the price of a market appears to break out of a certain chart pattern.
This could be a trendline, support, or resistance level.
But then quickly reverses and retreats back within the pattern.
Shake-out:
(Where the market is highly volatile and the price moves to levels that hits their stop losses and gets traders out of their trades)
A shake-out is a scenario where the market becomes highly volatile and the price moves rapidly to levels that trigger the stop-loss orders of many traders.
Stop-loss orders are pre-set risk levels at which traders automatically exit their positions to limit their losses.
A shake-out is designed to “shake out” weak or inexperienced traders from the market.
When stop-loss orders are triggered, it can create a temporary spike in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend.
Once these traders are “shaken out,” the market might resume its original trend.
You’ll see this most commonly with low liquid, high volatile markets like Penny Stocks or Penny Cryptos.
Whipsaw:
(This is where the market will change its most prominent direction within the day).
Whipsaw refers to a situation where the market quickly changes its direction within a relatively short period, often during a single trading day.
This can cause confusion and losses for traders who are caught off-guard.
Whipsaws can occur due to various factors, such as sudden news releases, economic data surprises, or changes in sentiment.
They are characterized by sharp price movements that can make it difficult to make accurate trading decisions.
Whipsaws are especially common during periods of high market uncertainty or when there’s a lack of a clear trend.
Let’s create a quick summary of the three:
Fake-out:
(When the price makes a false breakout of a chart pattern)
Shake-out:
(where the market is highly volatile and the price moves to levels that hits their stop losses and gets traders out of their trades)
Whipsaw:
(This is where the market will change its most prominent direction within the day).
If you have any trading question let me know in the comments
SPY bearish in following 1-2 yearsHistory repeats...
Look what happened from 2000-2009. I took that market behavior and copied it to scenario that is happening now. Its exactly same, we are waiting on fake breakout at the top around 474-490(maybe 500) and then drop to area around 353-320.
Thats around 2 years or downtrend if confirmed and -28%.
BLUR - Fakeout below descending channelAllow me to share the exhilarating journey of BLUR, the budding cryptocurrency on Binance. Despite its nascent presence, BLUR has orchestrated a bullish symphony that echoes the proper way to ascend, shooting straight for the moon! 🌕
Navigating the Abyss: A Strategic Shakeout
Descending Channel Tactics:
BLUR engaged in tactical trading within a descending channel, setting the stage for a powerful move.
A deliberate shakeout beneath the lower boundary provided the coin with ample fuel and strength for the ascent.
Launching into Space: True Breakout Manifested
The strategic shakeout was followed by a genuine breakout, soaring above the upper boundary of the descending channel.
This breakout signifies a robust and bullish movement, suggesting potential gains.
Experiencing True Bullish Momentum
Early Glimpse of Bullish Prowess:
BLUR, in its early days on Binance, has already demonstrated a commendable ability to showcase bullish momentum.
The breakout from the descending channel serves as a testament to the coin's strength.
Immediate Growth Trajectory:
The trajectory indicates an immediate growth potential, positioning BLUR as a cryptocurrency to watch in the market.
Strategic Insights:
BLUR's journey is a compelling example of how strategic maneuvers within a descending channel can set the stage for true bullish movements. As the coin breaks free and charts its course towards the moon, traders and investors should keep a keen eye on potential entry points to ride the anticipated bullish wave.
Embark on the voyage wisely,
🚀
❗️Unlock exclusive insights! Claim your 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below 🔑
Possibility of Correction for Bitcoin about Short Time FrameAs can be seen, Bitcoin is moving as expected within the ascending triangle formation, and we are currently on a stable path above SMA200 / 4H.
Considering the Fib support and resistance, a correction to around $35K can be considered normal. If we can break the limits in this area, we can see a correction to $33.5K or even up to FWB:29K , which is our long-term fib level.
Markt makers Potential Gold fakeout above a consolidation range OANDA:XAUUSD Gold benefited from the FED standby and we're seeing a potential fakeout above a consolidation range here in green for now as it's acting as a Demand zone.
If price action can manage to get above this range we could see a new up leg towards the previous Higher High Pivot at 2009.
In the contrary a dip under that range will trigger a resume of the downward trend toward the 1962 level.
Storj Sweeping Sell Side Liquidity🌐 In the ever-shifting landscape of the cryptocurrency market, Storj (STORJ) has taken center stage with a compelling narrative. It's been on a mission to clear global sell side liquidity and seems poised for an upward trajectory. STORJ's strategy has often involved liquidity sweeps, signaling a shift in direction, and it may be gearing up for another significant move. Let's explore this intriguing development. 📈🌐
Sweeping Global Sell Side Liquidity:
Storj's recent actions are akin to a skilled chess player making strategic moves on the board. The project has been actively sweeping global sell side liquidity, effectively clearing out sell orders clustered around specific price levels. This maneuver can set the stage for a substantial upward movement.
A History of Shifting Paths:
Storj's track record shows that each time it engages in liquidity sweeps, it subsequently embarks on a new price direction. This ability to adapt and switch paths is a hallmark of its dynamic nature.
The Path Upward:
As Storj continues to clear out global sell side liquidity, the path upward seems to be on the horizon. It's as though the project is gearing up for its next significant move in the crypto chess game.
Trading Strategy:
Observation: Keep a keen eye on Storj's price action and how it interacts with liquidity sweeps.
Risk Management: As always, implement prudent risk management practices to safeguard your investments in the crypto market.
Stay Informed: Stay up-to-date with Storj's fundamentals and any news that could impact its price movement.
Conclusion:
The cryptocurrency market is full of intricate strategies and maneuvers, and Storj's actions are a testament to its adaptability and dynamic nature. While liquidity sweeps can provide insights into potential market movements, they are not infallible.
As you follow Storj's journey, be vigilant, stay informed, and be prepared for the twists and turns that this captivating project might offer.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
NEAR and FET: Similar Fakeout PatternsThe cryptocurrency world often surprises us with intriguing market dynamics, and today, we'll delve into NEAR and FET, two projects that have crafted similar fakeout patterns but may be charting different paths forward. NEAR executed a "sweep of the lows," while FET is forging a "double bottom" pattern, both aiming for a potential ascent to $0.55. Let's explore the nuances of these setups. 📈🔍
NEAR's "Sweep of the Lows":
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) recently performed a "sweep of the lows," a strategic move designed to clear out sell orders at lower price levels. This maneuver creates a potential foundation for an upward movement.
FET's "Double Bottom":
Fetch.ai (FET), on the other hand, appears to be forming a "double bottom" pattern, characterized by two distinct price lows. This pattern often signifies a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend and can lead to notable price gains.
The $0.55 Target for Fetch
Trading Strategy:
Observation: Keep a watchful eye on the price action of NEAR and FET, and how they interact with their respective patterns.
Risk Management: Prudent risk management is essential, particularly when dealing with the inherent volatility of the crypto market.
Stay Informed: Stay up-to-date with the latest developments and news related to NEAR and FET that could impact their price trajectories.
Conclusion:
In the crypto market, similar patterns can lead to varying outcomes. While both NEAR and FET are eyeing the $0.55 level, the paths they take may diverge. As traders and investors, it's crucial to remain adaptable, stay informed, and exercise caution as you navigate these distinct journeys.
Remember that the crypto market can be as unpredictable as it is exciting. May your trades be prosperous, no matter which path you choose to follow.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE❗️
Link below🔑
DUSK MANIPULATION TRIANGLE PATTERN 🏴DUSK Network (DUSK) has something remarkable unfolding on its weekly chart. It has artfully painted a substantial bullish pennant pattern, complete with a fakeout move to the downside. Now, it's poised for a genuine upward surge. The key to entering this market? Patience and a confirmation through a flag retest. 📊🏴
The Bullish Pennant Emerges:
DUSK has illustrated a spectacular bullish pennant pattern on its weekly chart. This pattern consists of a strong upward move (the flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase marked by lower highs and higher lows (the flag). It's a classic indicator of impending bullish momentum. 📈🚩
The Fakeout Element:
What makes this scenario even more intriguing is the fakeout move to the downside. It's a tactical maneuver to shake off traders prematurely entering short positions. But for the astute trader, this can be seen as an opportunity. 🃏
Entering the Market:
For those eyeing a position in DUSK:
Wait for the Flag Retest: The prime entry point is after DUSK retests the lower border of the flag. This can act as a confirmation of the bullish intent.
Risk Management: Implement solid risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect your investment.
Stay Informed: Keep an eye on DUSK's fundamentals and any news that could impact its price action.
Conclusion:
The cryptocurrency market is a realm of intricacies, where patterns like the bullish pennant can offer insights into potential price movements. However, it's important to approach it with both caution and knowledge.
The fakeout move might have left some traders bewildered, but it also creates opportunities. The key is to be patient, wait for confirmations, and be prepared for the genuine upward movement.
As always, adapt your strategy to the ever-evolving market conditions, stay informed, and trade wisely.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
The Art of False Breakouts + RSI: COMPOUND! 📉🚀Trading is an intricate game of psychology, and understanding false breakouts can be the key to success. Let's delve into COMP, where false breakouts played a pivotal role in recent price action. 📉🚀
Closer look to Fakeout :
Deconstructing False Breakouts
False breakouts are like crafty illusions, luring traders into making premature decisions.
COMP, a cryptocurrency known for its volatility, recently demonstrated how these maneuvers can shake the market.
From False Bottom to False Top
COMP first tricked traders with a false breakdown from the lower range, inducing panic.
But as if by sleight of hand, it quickly shifted gears, delivering a false breakout from the upper range, catching many off guard.
Trading Wisdom: The Lesson Here
The case of COMP underscores the need for cautious trading, especially in volatile markets. Recognizing false breakouts can help you avoid unnecessary losses.
Strategies involving stop-loss orders and thorough research can be your shield against these tricky moves.
Conclusion: Mind the Illusions
COMP's recent shenanigans emphasize the significance of identifying false breakouts. This knowledge can give traders a substantial advantage and help them navigate the turbulent waters of crypto trading.
📊 Trading Strategies | 🧠 Psychology | 📈 Price Action | 💡 Insights | 🌐 Cryptocurrency
❗See related ideas below❗
Share your thoughts in the comments! 💚📉💚
SOL : Liquidity Game 📈💡Solana (SOL) has been a hot topic lately, and for a good reason. It's been on a relentless upward trajectory following liquidity sweeps of key lows. What's more, I'm anticipating another liquidity sweep around the $17 level, which could ignite another round of growth. It's a reminder that liquidity is the fuel that powers price movements. 📈💡
Liquidity Sweeps Fuel Price Movements:
Liquidity sweeps occur when market participants push the price briefly to clear out buy or sell orders clustered around a particular level. This process can often be a precursor to a price surge. Liquidity acts as the fuel that propels price action, and the crypto market is no exception. 🚀💰
Anticipating the Next Move:
In the case of SOL, the anticipation of a liquidity sweep around $17 could be a pivotal moment. It might create the conditions for a further price increase as orders are cleared out. However, the crypto market is dynamic and unpredictable, so it's crucial to stay vigilant and adapt your strategy accordingly. 📊🔍
Trading Strategy:
Patience and Caution: If you're considering a position, waiting for the liquidity sweep to occur and looking for confirmation in price action could be a prudent approach.
Risk Management: Use risk management tools such as stop-loss orders to protect your investments.
Fundamental Awareness: Stay informed about Solana's fundamentals and any news that could influence its price.
Conclusion:
The cryptocurrency market is a unique arena where liquidity plays a crucial role in shaping price movements. While liquidity sweeps are often seen as potential catalysts for growth, they are not foolproof guarantees.
As a crypto trader or investor, it's essential to exercise caution, stay informed, and adapt to the ever-changing market conditions. Liquidity can be the fuel, but it's your strategy that steers the ship.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE❗️
Link below🔑
SPY Overnight Bounce to trap EARLY BULLS 🤔CME_MINI:ES1! CAPITALCOM:US500 CME_MINI:NQ1! CAPITALCOM:US100
Hourly consolidating in a bear flag. Incomplete bear count and looking for a one more low for Wave 5 followed by a big bounce. Not a buyer of first bounce after the big sell off.
One more low and stop out early bulls and trap late sellers and send it higher.
BTCUSD confirming a fakeoutIn this brief and simple analysis, I'd like to focus your attention on the interplay between the 55EMA (green line) and the 200EMA (purple line), on the 1D timeframe of the index chart for BTCUSD.
In technical analysis, when a faster moving average crosses above a slower moving average, you obtain a bullish cross, when the faster one crosses below the slower one, you have a bearish cross on your hands.
Sometimes, when a cross is about to present itself, you'll witness a fakeout instead: a move on the opposite side of the trend that nullifies such potential cross between the moving averages.
Usually, when something like that happens, price action tends to continue towards that direction sooner rather than later.
While this is not a must, it's a general rule of thumb.
In this specific case, we can observe what I would call a majestic example of a fakeout on the 1D timeframe, meaning that as long as all closes remain above the slower moving average - the 200EMA in this case - there's no reason to be bearish on BTCUSD.
At the time of writing, the 200EMA is sitting around 27000.
✅CRUDE OIL LOCAL CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT🔥
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in an
Uptrend and oil tried to break
A strong horizontal resistance
Level of 93.64$ but failed so
It seems that the bulls are not
Strong enough yet which
Combined with the fact that
Oil is clearly overbought makes
Me expect a local correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
How to fade breakouts professionally from my 30 years experienceIn this detailed education video i show how i mainly make a living as a protrader. This is from fading breakouts of chart patterns. I show three examples of this in the past week from the nasdaq and talk about confirmation bias. I also show what its like drawing lines and patterns daily, win/ loss ratios as well as some thoughts of where the nasdaq might go in the next few weeks.
Reverse SPYHard to say what will happen next. We could see a false break out of the 430 level, or hit the 415 and then a violent rejection like it did before. But just by seeing the way it closed the past week, at least is going to try to break the 430 level, I expect more volatility that's why I protected my long positions selling covered calls. I'm not sure about a market crash yet, I'm not planning to go too short in the upcoming days.
How to trade Liquidity Sweeps 🌊 Trading liquidity sweeps 🌊 and identifying fake liquidity grabs 🕵️♂️ can be valuable skills for traders. These strategies involve capitalizing on market inefficiencies and understanding how institutional traders and algorithms influence price movements. In this guide, we'll explore what liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs are and how to trade them effectively.
Understanding Liquidity Sweeps:
A liquidity sweep occurs when a trader executes a large market order that "sweeps" through the order book, clearing out available liquidity at various price levels. These sweeps often signal strong buying or selling interest, potentially leading to significant price moves.
Identifying Fake Liquidity Grabs:
Fake liquidity grabs 🎭 are market manipulation techniques used to deceive traders. Market makers or large players might place large orders on the order book to give the illusion of significant interest at a specific price level. However, they often cancel these orders before they get executed, leading to sudden reversals in price.
Trading Liquidity Sweeps:
Monitor Order Flow: Keep an eye on order flow and trade volume to identify sudden surges in trading activity. Liquidity sweeps are often accompanied by spikes in volume.
Identify Key Levels: Look for important support or resistance levels where liquidity sweeps are likely to occur. These levels can be based on technical analysis, such as previous highs or lows.
Entry and Stop-loss: Enter a trade when you spot a liquidity sweep that confirms your bias. Set stop-loss orders to manage risk in case the market moves against you.
Take Profits: Take profits when the market reacts as expected, but be prepared for quick price reversals. Liquidity sweeps can be followed by retracements.
Trading Fake Liquidity Grabs:
Be Cautious: Approach price moves driven by apparent liquidity grabs with caution. These moves can be short-lived.
Confirm Price Action: Wait for confirmation of the direction after the fake liquidity grab. Look for signs that real market sentiment is driving the price.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders to protect your capital in case the market reverses quickly. Avoid chasing the initial price move.
Use Additional Indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or market sentiment tools to increase your confidence in your trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Trading liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs can offer opportunities for profit, but they also come with risks. It's essential to have a clear strategy, strict risk management rules, and the ability to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. As with any trading strategy, practice and experience will help refine your skills in identifying and capitalizing on these market dynamics. 🚀📈🌊