TSLA setting up a long tradeTSLA on the 2H chart has been trending up since the earnings in April with minor
corrections along the way including this past week after favorable earnings.
The news of the massive pre-orders of Cybertruck has permeated the trader
and investor community that follows TSLA. On the chart, TSLA broke down
the anchored VWAP bands to settle on the support of the first standard
deviation above the mean VWAP. On the MACD indicator, the lines have crossed
while under the histogram which changed from red negative to green positive.
On the dual time frame RSI both the lower (blue) and higher ( black) are now
showing bullish divergence as the blue line has inflected its descent and
crossed above the black line. I am expecting a swing trade of 2-4 weeks
which could also be entered with a call option striking close to the target.
Overall, I see a long trade here with a stop loss under the VWAP band at 255
and the target at 295 just below the next higher VWAP band. This is about
a profit of $35 for a risk of $5 and so a very acceptable ratio. I will zoom down
to a 15-30 minute time frame to accurately select and entry from a pivot low.
Evstocks
FFIE an EV Sector Penny Stock LONGFFIE is part of the EV Sector but marches to its own drum and cadre of
investors and traders ( speculators). On the 15-minute chart the MACD
has signaled an entry with the green dot. Price is sitting on the support
of the intermediate term anchored mean VWAP lines. The low and high
time frame RS lines have bounced off the lows and are in good mid-range.
I will take a long trade with a stop loss at the pivot low immediately left.
I have targets of 10% and 20% as noted on the chart. I expect the first
target this week for half of the position and to carry the rest into next.
GOEV a niche EV manufacturer LONGGOEV does not compete with TSLA. It makes special use electric vehicles
including a NASA contract apparently for vehicles to be used upon the return
to moon exploration. As a penny stock, GEOV has weak fundamentals
coupled with high trader and investor interest. Large capital institutions
have a predominant portion of the shares.
On the 15 minute chart. GOEV trended up from July 14th to Ju;y 19th and
then down to about the same price as before then trend. This was a range
of 50% demonstrating the typical high volatility of penny stocks. Based on
a set of anchored VWAP bands originating in mid- April, GOEV is currently
near the mean long multi-session VWAP. Since many shares are held by
institutions this is a price level where trading volume and volatility are
expected.
I will take a long trade here. The stop loss is the recent swing low at $0.59
with a target at $0.737 just below the POC line of the related
volume profile from an entry-by-limit order at $0.613 making for a projected
profit of 20% with a much lower risk. For chartists who follow chart patterns,
in the interval under analysis, GOEV fell from a head and shoulders pattern.
My target is the neckline of that pattern.
GOEV benefits from the general interest and trading volumes in the EV sector
at large as well as its niche with little competition.
GOEV pulled back and is re-entry ready LONGGOEV on the 30 min chart had a big trend up from June 30th through July 5th- then pulled
back for two day before a huge momentous move up on Friday July 7th. where it moved
from the support of the mean VWAPs anchored in mid June into overbought territory
two standard deviations above that level. On Monday July 10, price dropped precipitiously
back to those mean anchored VWAPs. The past day was marked by sideways consolidation.
The volume profile shows the heaviest trading volume at just below the VWAPs which is
cross-validating. The Chris Moody MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF RSI in the past day
has crossed above 50 and now at 60 meeting the higher TF RSI. The zero-lag MACD has the
lines crossing over the zero horizontal line and parallel suggesting a bullish continuation.
Overall, I see a long trade setup with possible significant price movement anticipated perhaps
in the range of 20% targeting the pivot high last Friday.
RIVN is showing a pullback for a long entryRIVN on the 2H chart rose 67% to begin July as part of the larger EV sector rally
which included several other tickers including those from UK and China. It has
pulled back significantly since completing a double top on July 13th. Price is
now hovering over and supported by the mean VWAP line anchored to July 1st.
The two time frame RSI indicator shows both lower (blue line) ane higher time
frame ( black line) RSIs at 50 or higher with the blue line closer to that transition
zone. The zero-lag MACD shows the subtle cross under the histogram which
has changed from negative to positive. Overall, although the best entry is at
$20 from a very deep pullback, I believe that RIVN is now setup for a long trade
following a continuation or even a call option contracts trade. I will take a
position in call options at this time.
FSR rounded bottom reversal patternFSR on the one hour chart completed a trend down from Wed June 23 to Tues June 27 and
appears to have reversed. FSR has gained about 12% in 3 days on the bounce.
The following are signs of bullish momentum:
1. Price is supported by an ascending linear regression line with a period of 50
2. The MACD lines crossed over the horizontal zero line on Tuesday, June 27th. This is a
zero lag setup.
3. The RSI strength crossed over 50 the following day.
4. Price crossed over the volume profile's POC line on Wednesday, June 28 showing gaining
bullish momentum
5. Price crossed over the mean VWAP anchored to the beginning of the prior downtrend on
June 29th another confirmation of bullish momentum.
Overall, FSR appears to be well setup for a swing long trade which I will take.
LI , a Chinese EV manufacturer LONGLI has seen a 60% price rise since significantly beating the earnings estimates of the analysts.
LI competes with TSLA and NIO primarily in Chinese and perhaps a little in Scandinavia. It
does not import to North America. The 2H chart shows price rising consistently in a channel
between the first and second standard deviation lines above the mean anchored VWAP
demonstrating trend persistence and momentum. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross
at the zero horizontal line and rising as confirmation of bullish momentum. I see $40
as a reasonable target at the level of the 3rd upper standard deviation lines. With the
next earnings report due August 21st, I will take a long trade of ten call options striking
$38.00 expiring 8/18/23. On the last trading day, this option had a low of $1.75 and
a high of $1.90 for an intraday rise of about 8%. The contracts will cost about $1900.
I am expecting about a 3% average rise compounded over 30 trading days or 250%
return on the trade.
PSNY a niche EV manufacturer penny stock LONGPSNY has seen a price rise of 30 % in the past month. This specialty EV manufacturer
does not compete with TSLA but only perhaps ARVL also based in the UK.
The 2H chart is quite healthy. Price broke out above the mean VWAP anchored to the beginning
of the year on July 3rd and is now approaching one standard deviation above that. The MTF
RSI shows both the one hour and daily RSIs crossed over 50 the same day. On the MACD
indicator the K and D lines crossed confluent with the horizontal zero line. Signs of bullish
momentum found, I will take a long trade targeting 25% of upside at $6.00 which is the double
top on January 31/ Feb 1 as well as three standard deviations above the mean aVWAP.
TSLA Weekly Longterm LONGTSLA is here on the weekly chart. I have added a couple of anchored VWAPs and their
standard deviations to the chart itself. The two indicators are the zerio-lag MACD which
shows upgoing lines crossing the zero horizontal line and a positive histogram. The Price Volume
Trend indicator shows a cross and consistent upgoing action since February 1, 2023. The chart
itself shows price to have crossed over the two mean VWAPs 4 weeks ago which is confirm-
atory for bullish momentum. TSLA pivoted up from the second deviation below the mean
VWAPs about February 1st. My target is $360 the present level of the second deviation lines
(red) above the mean VWAP confluent with the horizontal resistance zone of the highs
from November 2022 January 2023 and April 2023 all a triple top of sorts. I am highly
bullish on TSLA overall given its progress in autonomous driving, charging station
station infrastructure, deal making with F GM and RIVN insofar as charging standards
and cooperative ventures as well as obvious signs of growth with Cybertruck production,
and new plants in Mexico and potentially Spain and India. I have purchased ten options
striking $350 with a December 2023 expiration. I have call options expiring in August
and September. I expect to roll them out for more than a year to minimize the tax treatment
of expected significant profits.
WKHS breaks out LongWKHS, in a move similar to others in the same sector on a 15-minute chart shows that price
has moved above and outside the Bolliger Bands about a basis line which inflected from down
to up in the afternoon of the prior session. The MACD lines crossed underneath the histogram
midday and have moved up impending a cross of the horizontal zero line all on a zero-lag
indicator. The RSI indicator with an overlaid Ichimoku cloud shows a move up from 35 to
60 in the afternoon of the prior session. In yet another bullish sign, price is about to
cross over the mean anchored VWAP. In a rather lackluster week in the general market,
WKHS seems to be setting up with other EV stocks toward a good performance for the week.
MULN trading the volatility LongOn the 30 minute chart, MULN has pulled back from a brief uptrend. I see things suitable for
an entry. I have added to the chart, the anchored VWAP lines serving as dynamic support and
resistance. The mean VWAP will be my designated stop loss while lines one and two
standard deviations above that are the first and second targets.
Overall, the long trade is projecting a ROI of 27% compared with the stop loss
of 11%. This trade could play out in only one day given MULN's volatility. The zero-lag
MACD shows a line cross impending and confluent with the zero horizontal line. The
relative volatility oscillator shows the magnitude of the shifts in that regard. From my
perspective, no matter the fundamentals of the financial health of MULN, the volatility
of the price action and technicals can be played long with high potential profit.
Is TSLA overbought and ready for a retracement?TSLA has run up over 100% this year in two separate waves. Some traders based on the
the magnitude of the current wave say it is overbought? But is it or are they just trying to
rationalize a short trade at what they think is the top? Are Jim Cramer and Kathie Wood wrong?
On the daily chart of TSLA, I have added a long term volume profile, an anchored VWAP
with lines for the mean and = /1 two standard deviations. I have drawn two zones of
horizontal resistance based on pivots in the past couple of years. Zero-lag MACD and RSI
indicators are added as well. I make the following points:
(1) Price is above the high volume area of the profile but not significantly so.
(2) Price is below the resistance zones and TSLA may have enough momentum to break through them without hesitation.
(3) Price has crossed over the mean anchored VWAP but has a long way to go before it ascends
to the second standard deviation where institutional traders may be prone to take short
positions ( overbought)
(4) The MACD indicator shows K/D lines in parallel and ascending above the histogram. With no lag to contend with a cross of the lines would be an early indication of an overbought condition.
Bearish divergence would suggest TSLA is overbought but there is none.
(5) The better RSI indicator shows the value rising from 40 to 70 in the current uptrend. A rise over 80 and then a drop to show bearish divergence would be an indication of an overbought condition. This has not occurred.
Based on all of this, I can easily conclude that TSLA is not overbought. Any traders who
say it is overbought may be simply trying to discourage further buying. I suppose that they might do so because they are in a short position that is now essentially self-liquidating.
If that is the case, their better approach might be to get rid of their position, buy to cover
and help TSLA move higher.
I will continue to try to add to my long position in TSLA when I see daily lows on
the 15 or less-minute time frame. From the overhead resistance, I can appreciate
there is still significant profit potential with TSLA especially since the resistance may
evaporate away letting TSLA bull run its way " blue sky".
NIO longs for an earnings playNIO has earnings coming up at a good time when the China ecomony is recovering from
the lockdown and holding interest rates down to support economic expansion. NIO is also very
busy selling their EVs in Scandinavia. On the one-hour chart, NIO has risen above the demand/
support zone and seems to be retracing the recent downtrend. The indicator shows momentum
and RSI to have crossed the 50 line but money flow is lagging. Volume is picking up in the last
few weeks and price has now crossed over the POC line of the volume profile as another sign
of bullish buying pressure and dominance. I will trade a long trade in NIO now before the
earnings expecting good price action and volatility will yield decent profit in the trade.
The stop loss will be below the support zone and the first TP at $8.00 being the top of the
high volume area of the profile while the 2nd TP will be $8.50 and final at $9.00.
Can MULN reverse its decline?MULN is a stock in the EV automotive space. As recently as last year it was priced at $30-40 per
share. It has steadily declined but continues to have volatility flare-ups where the price spikes.
I understand it has a bit of a cult-like following which is not uncommon. Price has lost
50% since the latter part of May. On the 15-minute chart, price has jumped about 10% in the
past few days with increased volatility and a confirmatory trend of the lines of the MACD
crossing above the zero horizontal line. I suppose this could be a retracement /correction but
it also could be a reversal in its earliest phase. I see this as suitable for a small position risking
less than a tenth of a percent of the account. The stop loss is 46 cents or about 6-7%. This is
the recent pivot low. My first target is 1/2 of the previous decline or about $.70 with a second
target at $.80 and the final target of $0.95 knowing that $ 1.00 is a psychological level.
TSLA Cup & Handle Bullish ContinuationTSLA as shown on the 60 minute chart has been in a cup and handle since the last earnings
report. Trading volumes increased then and the print is a gradual downtrend reversed to a
gradual uptrend then the handle formation and finally the breakout above the lip of the cup.
TSLA and Ford this week announced collaboration on a charging network primarily with Ford
customers getting use on existing TSLA stations and both companies expanding the network.
Perhaps this mutually benefits both companies. China holding interest rates and perhaps
lowering them more easily allows financing of new Telsas in TSLA's biggest market. Based
on the technicals about the cup and handle and the height of the cup. the pattern which has
good reliability predicts bullish continuation of $40 upside. In consideration of this I will
take a trade of an additional 2 contracts ( strike $180 Exp mid November).
FSR follows TSLA / NIO in uptrendFor the month of May on the 15-minute chart Fisker is up 27% while the general market QQQ
is up merely 4%. FSR riding an ascending parallel channel tested the channel yesterday. This
was met with high relative buying volume. (Fundamentally, TSLA and NIO are rising as well
as EV stocks gain some momentum ) The Better RSI indicator is oscillating between oversold
and overbought providing reasonable entries. The volume profile shows the highest volume
support from $ 61.0 to 6.65. The uptrend started at 5.10 and the POC line which is the likely
Fib 0.5 level on a future retracement combined in context suggest a target of 7.10 for the
current uptrend. I find this to be suitable for a long trade setup also factoring in a stop loss
at 6.55 just below the parallel channel.
TSLA is pushing againTSLA on the 4H chart started 2023 with an upward trend taking it from basically $100 to a
doubling by February 15th then a reversal in a fibonacci retracement fashion to mid level
level by March 10th with a bounce up and then resettled in the same area by April 20th
then holding above the upper of a VWAP band until its reversal a week later. At present,
TSLA is pushing higher and has crossed ever a low VWAP band as well as the mean from the
anchored VWAPs. TSLA reversed on April 27th at the bottom of the high-volume area of the
profile and is now progressing through it. I believe that this is a good long setup. The stop
is VWAP at $178 The target is $ 196 which is the neckline of the head and shoulders from
February as well as the April 1 pivot high. i believe that TSLA has enough interest and
typical momentum to push $10-11 despite headwinds like interest rates and loss of
market share in China and the Nordic countries due to USD strength. The volume indicator
shows relatively high volume compared with this past winter. I think this accumulation will
result in price appreciation as things progress ( as per Wycoff).
NIO breakout from descending wedge NIO is shown on a 4H chart. It has been downtrending for 3 months. Howver, April and May
has high relative volume trying to reach the capitulation of a bottom. Thursday May 4th
marked a near term bottom. NIO is now rising and breaking out of a falling wedge drawn onto
the chart. It has crossed over the POC line of the volume profile ( This is the price level of
the highest volume of trading). Price is impending a mean anchored VWAP. Relative strength
has spiked. With this confluence of bullish signals, I have taken a long position which has
appreciated 4.6% in the first half of the trading day having opened the position in the pre-
market. I will now take a trade of call options striking $ 7.00 DTE 7/21. The rising dollar
strength has confounded TSLA's sales in China and the Nordic countries. NIO is on the ready to
pick up the slack.
TSLA vs Ford - Market Cap Shifts may reflect Investor SentimentOn this weekly chart I have set up the running ratio of shares of TSLA to shares of Ford over
a time span dating back to pre-covid times. Added to the chart are a set of EMAs as well
as zero-lag MACD and Directional Index indicators. TLSA dominated early and the ratio steadily
increased. Given a choice between TSLA and F the longterm investor would buy the former.
However, at the beginning of 2021, things changed as can be seen on the chart and the
indicators. At this point, the ratio is over and under the weekly EMA200 and trending down.
Now an investor might liquidate the TSLA shares and buy Ford instead. Hard to say what the
the longer-term picture might be. TSLA is selling a hypergrowth narrative that may not come
to fruition. Ford is slowly steadily hanging in there with its broad product line including the
F-150 both Classic and Lightning. Time will tell........ So is it TSLA long or short ?
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines
of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of
the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with
the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the
histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply /
resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions
in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for
the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration
by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)
$BLNK: Bullish Deep Gartley w/Quadruple MACD Bullish DivergenceBlink Charging is trading within a Falling Wedge and is at the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Gartley and a POC with 4 Levels of MACD Bullish Divergence. If it breaks out, I think it will see the top of the trading range, but I do think it could even see $150 if the $64 Resistance is broken.
$F: Bullish trendI'm not particularly fond of $F's CEO as of late, but he is the one doing a less worse job when it comes from transitioning from ICE to EV among legacy firms, so I give Jim that. Setup here is good and there is a gigantic YEARLY scale uptrend signal in the stock, so as long as it holds over yearly support, it could catapult the stock WAY up over time. Setup here is decent, and offers a nice swing trade op for us.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.