Eurusdprediction
EURUSD → Day Analysis | Sell SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Great SELL opportunity EURUSD
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EURUSD Plan for week 5 - 2024Plan for the week for EURUSD
I would normally push this out on a Sunday but I have been pushed for time and also the h4 was right in a zone that made it hard to work with. Now that it has pushed though this zone and shown some intention I am happy to give you my thoughts.
It is now looking like the H4 has confirmed bearish order flow which lines up with the weekly major trend and the weekly order flow so shorts for the foreseeable future should be the highest probability trades
EURUSD 4H : Try to drop EURUSD
New forecast
Trading in the euro/dollar pair stabilizes around the level of 1.0875, and we are waiting for the resumption of the downward trend to head towards our next main target, which is at 1.0808, and breaking it will reach the level of 1.0744.
Therefore, the downward trend scenario will remain valid and effective for the coming period, supported by the negative pressure formed by the moving average 50, keeping in mind that breaching 1.0892 and holding above it may push the price to recover and achieve immediate gains.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0892 and support line 1.0744.
Additionally ,Today News will affect on the market .
resistance line : 1.0892 , 1.0928
support line : 1.0808 , 1.0744
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EURUSD Trade IdeaWe can see that the EURUSD has been under pressure lately. It is currently trading down into a key support zone as shown on the chart. Previous 1D lows are the draw on liquidity. I'm anticipating a retrace and looking for a potential sell opportunity if we see a move into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level. T1 at previous low and further targets would be a bullish order block at the extended 50% level on the fibo.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07500 up towards 1.08800For EURUSD this week, my analysis closely mirrors what I've observed with GBPUSD. I anticipate a similar scenario unfolding, where I expect price to dip slightly further to interact with the refined demand zone on the 2-hour timeframe. Following this interaction, I'll be on the lookout for a bullish response.
Alternatively, if price doesn't reach this demand zone, I foresee a swift retracement to fill the imbalances from NFP Friday, followed by potential distribution within the newly identified 10-hour supply zone. Should this supply zone be tested first, my strategy will involve selling positions targeting the 2-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price is near a clean 2-hour demand zone that has broken structure to the upside.
- Liquidity above zone so when it gets swept we can expect price to re-accumulate within our zone to then buy back up.
- There's lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be addressed as well as some imbalances.
- Dollar (DXY) is still looking bearish as well which means more upside is still left for EU.
P.S. Should the 2-hour demand zone be breached, I anticipate a shift towards a bearish trend, as it represents the final support connected to that wing point. Keep your zones pre-marked to stay prepared for any sudden price movements.
Have a great week everybody!
GBPUSD I Short-term buy from support after recent impulseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURUSD
EUR/USD is showing a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe, marked by a breakout from a falling wedge pattern. The price action is currently conforming to an ABC waves pattern, suggesting potential upward momentum. Traders might consider monitoring this development for potential trading opportunities aligned with the bullish bias.
EURUSD,🟢Is it also bullish? (Read the caprion)
Well as you can see, the market structure is bullish now and the price had a deep retracement move to the extreme bullish order block.
In addition, we can see the price created the liquidity above the order block that makes the demand zone more valuable.
As a bullish target, we can define the liquidity above the equal highs as a first target and also we can expect the price to break the previous high.
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🗓️29/01/2024
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EurUsd could resume its up trendIn the past two weeks, EUR/USD has been very choppy.
In fact, the pair has remained relatively unchanged in terms of price since the beginning of the year.
Upon examining the chart, we notice that although the pair has reached new lows, these were very close to each other and were quickly reversed.
This type of price action typically suggests a medium-term reversal, which could indeed be the case for EUR/USD. Confirmation of an upside reversal would occur if the pair stabilizes above the 1.09 zone.
In such an instance, reaching the 1.12 zone could be feasible in Q1.
Stuck in Limbo: A Leap to 1.15 or a Slide to 1.05 on the Cards?
The EURUSD has been stuck in a range between 1.05 and 1.10 for around a year now. We're left wondering: could we see a breakout towards 1.15, or will it drop back to the bottom of the range at 1.05? What happens as the price dips below 1.08 could be crucial.
Take a peek at the daily chart below. It shows us inching back down to an untested weekly BUY/DEMAND zone. This is where we last saw the price climb above 1.11 before it sharply dropped back within the 1.10 range.
As the price makes its way back to this BUY/DEMAND zone, the selling momentum isn't all that fierce. Each time the price dips, buyers are quick to jump in. This might be hinting that big players are quietly building buy positions, possibly to break past 1.10 and head up to the 1.15 Monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone.
Or they could just be waiting for this weeks news events??
My plan is to wait for the price to fall into the buy zone below 1.08, then look for a BUY signal on my TRFX indicator on timeframes above 6 hours.
The first target for this position is the 1.10 area. I'll be keeping an eye on the momentum as we near 1.10. If it's strong, it might indicate buyers are targeting a move above the 1.11 high.
However, if there's a clear break and close under 1.07, this idea won't hold, and the price will likely move back down to the bottom of the range at 1.05, which could also present buying opportunities.
With the FOMC and NFP events coming up, these could be the catalysts for these moves.
That's my view on it – hope you found it useful.
EURUSD plan for 01/02/2024It looks like the H4 demand zone that has been propping up the weekly chart may fail, today giving us the opportunity of some strong sells for the quarter. I have marked the zones I will be looking for shorts from with confirmation entries.
High impact data releases during NY
EURUSD Possible bounce ? The EURUSD is presently within the Daily Demand area, indicating potential buyer dominance. The prevailing uptrend persists until a breach of the 1.07250 Higher Low occurs.
Currently residing in the Daily Demand zone, EURUSD suggests a favorable scenario for buyers, maintaining the upward trend unless the crucial Higher Low at 1.07250 is breached.
I'd like to hear your insights on this currency pair.
Part 1 - EUR/USD: Monthly Examination Utilizing Varied Approach
Price action Breakdown Analysis:
It is the EURUSD monthly timeframe, and it shows a downtrend for more than 15 years. The price has settled in a downward value area.
Elements of price action Breakdown:
Excess:
There are nine price excesses, four on the upper band and five on the lower band. It shows that the sellers were too aggressive when the price touched the upper band of the channel in comparison with the lower band at buyers. Buyers/Bulls tries makes the initiative to breakout the structure but end up when another party finds the price convenient for them.
Control line:
The control line represents the gravitational force to the price. The price can’t stay away until it breaks the range. There are twelve touches on the control line, and few are mentioned on the chart.
No Trading Activity Zone:
No trading activity is the zone where one party, either bull or bear, takes control and outnumbers the other. There are a total of 14 no-trading activities zone. Both of the participants have seen each other.
Sub-value area:
A rectangle sub-value area has taken place from March 2015 till now. An excess became a great place to buy the move, yet the upper band of the sub-value area provides strong resistance. The control line of this value area at 1.1480 is sharp enough to act as a pivot level. It could be a resistance to the current price.
Trend Justification:
Justification for the current market trend and the behavior of bulls and bears can be derived from four prominent lines on the chart.
Line 1, the lengthiest on the chart, connects the points from 1.5760 to the latest high at 1.2555 . This line also intersects with the second line, indicating that a breakout in one line would likely trigger a simultaneous breakout in both lines.
Line 2 stands out as the most robust resistance line, evidenced by the price experiencing significant declines on more than three occasions upon reaching this line. Therefore, the continuation of the uptrend appears contingent upon a successful breakout above resistance line 2.
Line 3 , marked at 1.23427 , serves as a horizontal resistance line. This line has played a crucial role, offering three supports and encountering two resistances. A substantial upward movement could potentially alter the overall trend post-breakout, given that it represents a lower high in the downward trend.
Line 4 represents a support level in close proximity to the current price, suggesting a potential stabilizing factor for the market at its current position.
Elliott Wave Projection:
According to Elliott wave analysis, the price has been undergoing a W-X-Y-X-Z formation, specifically identified as a triple zigzag, over a span of 15 years. The sequence involves the completion of wave (X) and the initiation of a downward impulsive wave denoted as (Z).
The Wave Formation unfolds as follows:
Wave (W): A flat correction pattern characterizes the formation of Wave (W).
Wave (X-1): Wave (X) takes shape in a standard zigzag formation, retracing 78.6% of Wave (W).
Wave (Y): This phase sees the construction of a zigzag pattern within Wave (Y), extended 1.618% of Wave (W)
Wave (X-2): Wave (X) materializes as an expanding triangle, retracing 50% of Wave (Y).
Wave (Z): The ongoing Wave (Z) is currently in progress, appearing to form sub-wave C. Notably, Wave (Z) has extended to 78.6% of Wave (Y).
For Bulls traders, a prudent entry point is identified as the breakout of Wave (X) at the level of 1.2349 . No risky trader should initiate Long position until it breaks out Line 1 & Line 2. Wave (Y) = Wave (Z) at 0.8838. So, After the accomplishment of sub-wave B of wave (Z), traders can sell for final wave C of wave (Z).
Different pattern Formation:
Traders can see the following patterns on the monthly charts:
1. Wamine pattern
2. Contracting Triangle
3. Wave Diagonal
4. Expanding Triangle
5. ABCD Pattern
6. Moolahs pattern
We will Update Further information on weekly & Daily time frame soon.
EURUSD M30 / Possible Retracement Until the Resistance Level✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to EURUSD M30. I expect a long move until the resistance level, after retracing from the OB H4.
I consider the retracement from the OB a good sign for bullish sentiment.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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EURUSD: The USD is expected to have its largest monthly increaseThe US greenback is on course for its maximum giant month-to-month benefit on account that September, with a 2% benefit towards a basket of main currencies as January ended. The boom changed into attributed to marketplace modifications to the tempo and quantity of anticipated hobby fee cuts, stimulated through sturdy US financial facts and competition from important financial institution officials. toward reducing hobby prices.
In contrast, the Japanese yen changed into poised for its maximum giant decline towards the greenback in almost a year, falling extra than 4% in January. This is the sharpest decline on account that February 2023, because of falling salary boom and slowing inflation in Japan, which has decreased expectations of hobby fee hikes.
Early within the Asian buying and selling day, the greenback remained consistent at $1.0844/euro and barely weaker at 147.23 yen. The greenback index, which tracks americaA forex towards a set of different currencies, changed into final visible at 103.36.
Investors are also targeted on the imminent choice through the Federal Reserve, which predicts that US hobby prices will continue to be unchanged. However, the Fed should sign the opportunity of a fee reduction through casting off language similarly fee hikes are beneathneath consideration. According to hobby fee futures, there may be presently approximately a 43% hazard of the Fed slicing hobby prices in March, down appreciably from a 73% hazard at the start of the year.
Deutsche Bank's chief global strategist, Alan Ruskin, explains that the marketplace's response to the Fed assembly will probably be pondered withinside the chance of a fee reduction in March. Ruskin elaborates on the connection among this opportunity and the euro/greenback trade fee, noting that a 50-50 hazard is in line for the euro at $1,087, at the same time as a completely predicted hobby fee reduction might push the euro to $1,1080. Conversely, if the March fee reduction is completely discounted, the euro should fall to $1.0660.
Before the Fed's choice, financial signs including the shopping managers index survey from China and European inflation facts can be released. Australian inflation facts, barely decrease than economics anticipate, bolstered expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia has ended its hobby fee hike cycle.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC AnticipationEUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC Anticipation
EUR/USD experienced a decline on the last Monday of the month, closing near the psychological level of 1.08000. The downward pressure was influenced by remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the looming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The breach of the dynamic trendline and a dip below the 61.8% Fibonacci level placed the price just beneath the 78.6%, within the range and approaching the 88.6%.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic indicators signal oversold conditions, accompanied by a slight divergence. The potential policy shift hinted by the ECB has prompted a decline in the Euro, with market focus now shifting to the upcoming Fed decision. The recent strong economic growth and inflation in the US present a challenging decision for Powell and the Federal Reserve.
Market Dynamics:
Buyers are striving to maintain the exchange rate above the 1.0800 level in anticipation of Wednesday's FOMC decision. Despite a drop in US Treasury yields, USD bulls are not finding the push they need, resulting in the EUR/USD trading at 1.0809, down 0.39%.
Outlook:
The focus remains on buying opportunities for EUR/USD at a discounted exchange rate, anticipating a potential increase in value. Traders are advised to stay vigilant for market developments and the outcome of the FOMC decision, as it could significantly impact the direction of the currency pair.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.