Eurusdlong
EURUSDEURUSD is trading in symmetrical triangle pattern. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of triangle.
Currently the price is trading at the apex of the triangle and is about to give the breakout of triangle and now retesting the broken level where it is also forming a local support zone and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 1.09975.
What you guys think of this idea?
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15EURUSD still cannot escape the narrow range around the edge of the rising price channel. The bullish structure still exists and we still have long positions targeting around 1.1200. However, it should be noted that accumulation around the lower border of the price channel for too long is an unfavorable signal for sellers, especially when there has previously been a strong downward wave. You can hold the position but need to set SL below the 1.0900 zone to prevent the price from reversing and falling.
EURUSD: The USD is quiet with low trading volumeThe dollar was weak in early European trading on Monday as traders weighed the possibility of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a U.S. holiday slowed trading volume.
At 4:35 p.m. ET (9:35 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six other currencies, was trading 0.1% higher at 102.242 as the holiday began. Martin Luther King Jr.
Data released on Friday showed the U.S. producer price index unexpectedly fell in December, increasing traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates as early as this year.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now has a 78% chance that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in March, compared to a 68% chance a week ago.
This week's US statistical calendar is quiet, with the focus on retail sales figures scheduled to be released on Wednesday. Investors will be closely watched for signs that consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, remains resilient despite rising interest rates.
Retail sales are expected to increase by 0.4% in December, following a 0.3% increase in November.
Investors will also have the opportunity to hear from several Fed officials, including Fed President Christoper Waller, Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic, and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daley.
The value of the euro rose even though Germany's GDP fell
In Europe, the euro/USD pair edged up to 1.0953, even as data showed the eurozone's largest German economy contracted by 0.3% in the final quarter of the year. Last year and he will decrease by the same amount throughout 2023. But despite this weakness, recent inflation data largely confirms the European Central Bank's current thinking, meaning rate cuts are not on the table in the short term, said ECB chief economist Philippe. Lane said Friday.
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in December from 2.4% in November.
EUR/USD Analysis: Targeting a breakout to the downside? EUR/USD Analysis: Targeting a breakout to the downside?
The EUR/USD currency pair seems poised for a technical breakout.
Analysing the 8-hour chart reveals a consolidation phase since the start of the year, following a decline below 1.1000, with this mark acting as a resistance level on two occasions since then.
Currently, EUR/USD is resembling a triangle/flag pattern, suggesting a potential technical breakout. The looming question is: Which direction will the pair break out? There are arguments to be made for both sides of the equation, but perhaps the case for a break to the downside is more convincing?
Traders are pricing in an ~80% probability of a Fed rate cut in March. Simultaneously, an European Central Bank (ECB) rate cut for April is also on the horizon.
While both central banks might fail to meet these expectations, the likelihood that the Fed pushes back might be lower than that of the ECB.
According to Governing Council member Robert Holzmann, speaking at the World Economic in Davos, the prospect of ECB rate cuts in 2024 appears highly unlikely. At the same time, he emphasized the persistent threat of geopolitical conflicts, such as those in the Middle East, which pose a risk to Euro supply chains and energy markets. This ongoing uncertainty could exert pressure on consumer prices, creating a challenging environment that might interfere with any potential rate cuts from the ECB.
EURUSD 4H : We have to wait until break one of them EURUSD
New forecast
The EUR/USD pair made an attempt to break the 1.0928 level, but was unable to hold below it yet, remaining confined between this support and the 1.0985 resistance. Therefore, we continue our neutrality until the price is able to confirm crossing one of these two levels to determine its next destination more precisely.
We point out that breaking the support and stability below it will put pressure on the price to resume negative trading and head towards 1.0892 initially, reaching 1.0808, while breaking the resistance and stability above it represents the key to resuming the bullish wave in the short term, heading towards testing the 1.1012 and 1.1082 areas initially.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0985 and support line 1.0892.
resistance line : 1.0985 , 1.1012
support line : 1.0928, 1.0892
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EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video we take a close look at the EURUSD currency pair. We can see that this has been bullish on the higher time frame. We can see that it has traded into resistance, has also been range-bound since Friday and we are looking for a potential trade opportunity if market conditions are favourable. In the video we discuss price action, market structure, the trend and other important aspects of technical analysis. As always this information is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 12EURUSD's price action did not change much, yesterday's price dropped sharply in the European session and turned up in the US session. Basically, the price action of the H4 frame does not have much impact, so our trading strategy remains unchanged. Continue to observe the resistance area around 1.1020. If the price approaches this area and forms a sell signal, you can consider trading.
EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 back upCurrently, EURUSD has been in a prolonged range, gathering significant liquidity. Given the current state of equilibrium, I am not actively seeking trades at this moment. However, I anticipate a potential move to unfold, continuing the bullish trend. For now, I will be patiently waiting for a breakout before considering any trading opportunities.
There is another plausible scenario where price breaks above to mitigate the 10-hour supply zone, leading to a bearish reaction. This possibility is valid, considering the imbalances just below that need filling and liquidity that requires sweeping.
My confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- A 10-hour demand zone below triggered a new CHOCH to the upside.
- The overall short-term trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals a favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- I also expect the dollar to keep dropping indicating that EU will keep going up.
P.S. As price is still considerably distant from any nearby Points of Interest (POI), I am content to wait patiently and refrain from taking any immediate action until price triggers one of the levels I am monitoring.
Have a great trading week ahead!
❓EU:wait more confirmation and development. Overall bullish now❓Since the last outlook, we saw some bullish development on EU. However the price delivery was not very clear, so I stayed out of this market.
Current update is in the chart and please feel free to send your questions below.
☝️Dear traders, no one here has superpowers, and I'm as well just a human. Please take everything with a degree of doubt and critique. I'm just sharing my view and one of the possible scenarios of price action. When I enter I try to predict as little as possible and actually follow what the market is doing, joining the market and not arguing with it or forcing my will. Have good trading, keep a constant flow of self-awareness, and do your best. 🙌
EURUSD END-WEEK ANALYSIS 2 UPDATE 08/10/2023 Market Update: A Shift in EUR/USD Sentiment
As anticipated, we witnessed a small pullback in EUR/USD, hinting at a bearish trend resumption. However, the market structure has taken an unexpected turn. Heading into next week, I'll be shifting my focus towards long positions. Stay flexible, adapt to changing conditions, and, as always, manage risk diligently. 🚀💹 #EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TradingStrategy
THIS IS THE SAME FOR ALL THE OTHER MAJOR PAIRS
EUR USD Trade This is going to be a bullihs view on the EUR USD
I would love to see this happen... as the major TF we can expect a bullish view and we have already a clean zone and the LQ has been taken now.... we could see a dip then a considlation and if we are lucky enough we could see the confirmation in lower time frame and enter into long with enough SL and to have RR of 1:2
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💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 10EURUSD continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, there have been no significant new moves, you continue to observe the two edges of the range, the direction of the breakout can determine the next direction of the price. Currently, we still have long positions following the uptrend. You can continue to hold the order, the SL is placed below the channel line and the price target is around 1.12.
The US Economy Has Flashed ResilienceThe potential for a stronger dollar looms ahead, driven by the robustness of the US economy, which enables Federal Reserve officials to pursue a more gradual reduction in interest rates compared to other major central banks.
Despite the Federal Reserve's assertive approach to raising interest rates, the US economy has demonstrated resilience, with inflation gaining momentum toward the end of 2023. This defies expectations on Wall Street, where some anticipated an earlier initiation of interest rate cuts, possibly as early as March.
Additionally, the dollar finds support in the persisting uncertainty surrounding significant global elections, particularly the impending US presidential showdown. By March, the candidates will be revealed, and unlike the scenario in 2016, the likelihood of a victory for former President Donald Trump is expected to be factored into the market well in advance.
EURUSDHello traders ,what do you think about EURUSD? In the daily chart of EUR/USD, we are witnessing the formation of a Golden Cross pattern, where the 50-day Moving Average (SMA 50) has crossed above the 200-day Moving Average (SMA 200). This pattern is recognized as one of the strongest bullish signals among the technical trading community and could indicate the beginning or continuation of a long-term upward trend. Interestingly, we observed a similar formation of this pattern in January last year. Therefore, history may be repeating itself and we could see similar upward movements in the near future
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EURUSD 4 hour timeframeEurusd Inside channel up pattern, and already touch fibonacci support.
to follow bullish movement, we can buy right now, or wait for small pullback at channel up support.
Target for this setup at channel up resistance, around fibonacci 1.272 at 1.12108 with maximum target at fibonacci 1.618 at 1.13031
Best stoploss for this setup are below prevous lower high or below fibonacci 0.618 at 1.08517
Good luck
EURUSD: The ECB's Villeroy said the rate cuts hinged on stable 2European Central Bank (ECB) board member François Villeroy de Galhaud has made it clear that the possibility of a rate cut by the ECB depends on whether inflation expectations are firmly anchored at target levels. Use the bank's 2%. In his recent statement, Villeroy emphasized the importance of a data-driven approach to policy-making and signaled a move away from predetermined data-based policies.
Villeroy's comments came at a time when some investors were expecting a rate cut as early as March or April. However, the central bank took a more cautious stance, saying it should not be in a hurry to cut interest rates. This cautious stance is in line with the ECB's broader strategy to contain inflation without hurting economic growth.
The recent rise in inflation to 2.9% in December was due to technical factors such as the base effect from previous energy prices, which had a large impact on inflation. General distribution. It is important to note that the ECB's current deposit rate is 4%, and this level is already part of the ECB's toolkit for dealing with inflationary pressures.
Villeroy's emphasis on stable inflation expectations is an important indicator of the ECB's commitment to its price stability mandate. Given the latest inflation data, the ECB appears to be maintaining a cautious and reactive approach to monetary policy in the face of economic uncertainty.
Sniper Check List on EURUSDSniper Check List
Both 15min & 1hr Candle indicates the BULLISH Play.
Price Chopped the Longs up down to the Bottom
of the Lower SD.
Anchored the set up on the FVG right
below the 1st SD.
Time 6:45 am Sweeps yesterday's Low
7am est Bullish Play Engaged.
Target 2-4th SD.
Never over leverage. Trust your set up. Have a great Day!
#SniperGang