Eurusdforecast
EURUSD → Descending Wedge Support! Back up to 1.11!?EURUSD fell from the Resistance Zone into a two-legged pullback around the Daily 30EMA. There isn't much for bear strength, so are we in a position to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A long could definitely be justified if we get a strong bull close above the Daily 30EMA. We have a two-legged pullback from the Resistance Zone, several doji and weak bear bars showing weak bears, and RSI, while below the Moving Average, is at 47.00 and has room to move up. I suspect that if we get that strong bull bar, the RSI will rise above the Moving Average, which would support the long position suggested.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.09500
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.08100
✅ Take Profit: 1.10900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two-legged pullback from the Resistance Zone
2. Multiple doji and weak bear bars as the price falls, showing weak bears
3. Support near the Daily 30EMA
4. RSI below Moving Average, but with a clear strong bull bar closing above the 30EMA, that could change
5. Once a strong bull bar closes above the Daily 30EMA, it's reasonable to long a 1:1 scalp
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Part 1 - EUR/USD: Monthly Examination Utilizing Varied Approach
Price action Breakdown Analysis:
It is the EURUSD monthly timeframe, and it shows a downtrend for more than 15 years. The price has settled in a downward value area.
Elements of price action Breakdown:
Excess:
There are nine price excesses, four on the upper band and five on the lower band. It shows that the sellers were too aggressive when the price touched the upper band of the channel in comparison with the lower band at buyers. Buyers/Bulls tries makes the initiative to breakout the structure but end up when another party finds the price convenient for them.
Control line:
The control line represents the gravitational force to the price. The price can’t stay away until it breaks the range. There are twelve touches on the control line, and few are mentioned on the chart.
No Trading Activity Zone:
No trading activity is the zone where one party, either bull or bear, takes control and outnumbers the other. There are a total of 14 no-trading activities zone. Both of the participants have seen each other.
Sub-value area:
A rectangle sub-value area has taken place from March 2015 till now. An excess became a great place to buy the move, yet the upper band of the sub-value area provides strong resistance. The control line of this value area at 1.1480 is sharp enough to act as a pivot level. It could be a resistance to the current price.
Trend Justification:
Justification for the current market trend and the behavior of bulls and bears can be derived from four prominent lines on the chart.
Line 1, the lengthiest on the chart, connects the points from 1.5760 to the latest high at 1.2555 . This line also intersects with the second line, indicating that a breakout in one line would likely trigger a simultaneous breakout in both lines.
Line 2 stands out as the most robust resistance line, evidenced by the price experiencing significant declines on more than three occasions upon reaching this line. Therefore, the continuation of the uptrend appears contingent upon a successful breakout above resistance line 2.
Line 3 , marked at 1.23427 , serves as a horizontal resistance line. This line has played a crucial role, offering three supports and encountering two resistances. A substantial upward movement could potentially alter the overall trend post-breakout, given that it represents a lower high in the downward trend.
Line 4 represents a support level in close proximity to the current price, suggesting a potential stabilizing factor for the market at its current position.
Elliott Wave Projection:
According to Elliott wave analysis, the price has been undergoing a W-X-Y-X-Z formation, specifically identified as a triple zigzag, over a span of 15 years. The sequence involves the completion of wave (X) and the initiation of a downward impulsive wave denoted as (Z).
The Wave Formation unfolds as follows:
Wave (W): A flat correction pattern characterizes the formation of Wave (W).
Wave (X-1): Wave (X) takes shape in a standard zigzag formation, retracing 78.6% of Wave (W).
Wave (Y): This phase sees the construction of a zigzag pattern within Wave (Y), extended 1.618% of Wave (W)
Wave (X-2): Wave (X) materializes as an expanding triangle, retracing 50% of Wave (Y).
Wave (Z): The ongoing Wave (Z) is currently in progress, appearing to form sub-wave C. Notably, Wave (Z) has extended to 78.6% of Wave (Y).
For Bulls traders, a prudent entry point is identified as the breakout of Wave (X) at the level of 1.2349 . No risky trader should initiate Long position until it breaks out Line 1 & Line 2. Wave (Y) = Wave (Z) at 0.8838. So, After the accomplishment of sub-wave B of wave (Z), traders can sell for final wave C of wave (Z).
Different pattern Formation:
Traders can see the following patterns on the monthly charts:
1. Wamine pattern
2. Contracting Triangle
3. Wave Diagonal
4. Expanding Triangle
5. ABCD Pattern
6. Moolahs pattern
We will Update Further information on weekly & Daily time frame soon.
EURUSD M30 / Possible Retracement Until the Resistance Level✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to EURUSD M30. I expect a long move until the resistance level, after retracing from the OB H4.
I consider the retracement from the OB a good sign for bullish sentiment.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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EURUSD possible buy zone!In our analysis of EURUSD, it's essential to highlight the presence of a double bottom pattern.
This pattern, coupled with the strong support at the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 to 0.6, enhances the significance of the current situation. It suggests a compelling case for a potential upward movement, possibly resulting in a gain of over Good pips.
Stay tuned for updates, and as always, trade with confidence.
EURUSD Pullback To Previous Support BreakHi Traders!
EURUSD has found support and is targeting the previous breakout level for a re-test ahead of ECB President Lagarde's speech.
Here are the details:
The market has found strong support at the 1.08555 level, and the price action looks bullish; the lows and highs are starting to get higher, and the price is pulling back near the previous support break at 1.09102, which is now resistance. Additionally, the market is pulling closer to the 20 EMA.
The plan here is to enter near the support level around 1.80555 and target exits near 1.09102.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 1.09102
Support: 1.08555
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD → Short to 1.06? Or Will we Break Resistance to Long?EURUSD was rejected twice at the Resistance Zone and ended last week with another leg up. Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We had a decent entry last week, but that ended with a surprise leg up into the Resistance Zone. We now have a sell signal at the top of the zone, but need to wait for a strong bear bar closing on or near its low below the Resistance Zone around the 1.10 area. Stop loss should be placed above the Resistance Zone and set a take profit around 1:2 Risk/Reward at 1.065. It's also reasonable to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the remainder of your position.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: 1.09835
🟥 Stop Loss: $1.1150
✅ Take Profit: 1.06500
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Contact with Resistance Zone and Two Bear Bars
2. Look for Follow-Through and a close below Resistance Zone.
3. 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio, Watch Out for Support at EMA Ribbons.
4. RSI at 60.00 and above Moving Average, Needs to Fall Below.
5. Also Reasonable to Scalp 1:1 and Move Stop Up to Entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
All trades carry a probability value based on statistical data of the price action. If the market exceeds 60% probability in a direction, it's reasonable to take the trade assuming your Risk/Reward and Probability are positive.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short Position on EURUSD-4HHello Traders !
This is the EURUSD Technical Viewpoint in The Long Term .
Following the most recent corrective move we experienced at the beginning of this month, we see the price rejecting a significant region of supply that is now serving as a resistance level at 0.9980.
We anticipate a further decline as we fell back below the 0.9880 support zone.
Risk Warning : Trading Derivatives carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Derivatives may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
EURUSD Downside ContinuesHi Traders!
EURUSD looks to be continuing to the downside, and there is potential for a support price break.
Here are the details:
The market continues to swing lower with lower highs and lower lows; the price has also broken below the 20 EMA recently.
We are looking for the market to remain below the 20 EMA to continue downwards towards the support area. Should the market reach the support area, there may be some demand there as the market will not have been that low in a month.
If there is a break below the support area, then the target level is 1.08300.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 1.09547
Support Area: 1.08929–1.08700
Target Level: 1.08300
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD → Second Rejection at 1.10! Short to 1.06? Let's Answer.EURUSD was rejected twice at the Resistance Zone and ended last week with a bear bar closing on its low! Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Short answer (pun intended!), yes! My analysis from last week showed the price action around 1.078 which is right on the EMA support ribbons. Too far away from resistance to short, too far away from the Support Zone to long. The EMA ribbons themselves are support as we now can see, the price action has bounced off of them back to the Resistance Zone.
Now that we've seen a second rejection, that's our confirmation to short. The first was our signal, second our confirmation and because the bar closed on its low, we have optimal probability to enter a short position here. Target 1:2 Risk/Reward with a protective stop just above the double top at 1.10, then target the 1.06 area to take profits. Look for a bull response at the 1.06 area, a potential long opportunity using the same trade management style as this one. Refer to my analysis from last week for that setup:
Additional Note:
We're trading the Daily chart here, this trading range came after a bull channel which in isolation, should give us a long bias while we're between 1.06 and 1.10. However, zooming out to the Weekly chart shows us we're rejecting price off of the 200EMA. It's reasonable to have a short-term bull bias in this range, but caution should be used in either direction because of that Weekly 200EMA.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: 1.089
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.955
✅ Take Profit: 1.057
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two Rejections at Resistance Zone, Bias to Short.
2. Second Rejection Bear Bar Closing on its Low. Run Short to 1.06 Area.
3. 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio, Watch Out for Support at EMA Ribbons.
4. RSI at 55.00 and above Moving Average, Needs to Fall Below.
5. Also Reasonable to Scalp 1:1 and Move Stop Up to Entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Probability of profit increases dramatically when you wait for what is called "confirmation" on the chart. This comes after a signal bar closes, indicating the next moves on the chart.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
💡 EURUSD: Forecast December 20EURUSD price action hasn't changed much, we see the price still trading around the daily and weekly resistance zones. Currently there is no signal of price reduction so it is impossible to sell.
For the time being, please continue to monitor this current resistance area. If the price forms a nice sell-down signal or in a low time frame you see the price changing trend, you can also consider it. sellable.
EURUSD possible drop to support levelThe downward trend for EURUSD is anticipated to persist, having peaked at 1.10 last week before a rapid retreat.
The failure to breach this resistance level for the second time signals robust downward pressure against bullish movements. Although short-term corrections may occur in the upcoming week, the overall outlook favors a decline. The potential liquidity and turning point for EURUSD are projected to be around the 1.78 mark.
EURUSD → Nearing Support! Is it Time to Long!? Let's Answer.EURUSD rejected nicely off of the Resistance Zone at 1.10 and fell to 1.07300! If you shorted at the Resistance Zone per my last analysis, hold that short! It's reasonable to take profits here around 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the latter half, but will we make it to the bottom?
How do we trade this? 🤔
If you're not currently in a trade, I would wait until the price falls closer to the Support Zone and bounces or wait for it to break Resistance and long above it. Look to enter a long in the 1.06 area if a strong bull signal and confirmation plays out and trade a 1:2 Risk/Reward taking profit just shy of the Resistance Zone. Your protective stop should be below the Support Zone giving you a clear 1:2 Risk/Reward!
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.05800
🟥 Stop Loss: 104.100
✅ Take Profit: 1.09200
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Run Short to 1.06.
3. Look for Support at Support Zone 1.054.
4. Look for Reversal Pattern, Bull Signal and Confirmation.
5. RSI at 45.00 far below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
EURUSD Back Under PressureHi Traders!
EURUSD is now under pressure following the NFP report. Momentum is now back with the US dollar, and further downside momentum looks very likely.
Here are the details:
The market is trending down following the break and close below the 20 EMA. There is a possibility of the market going back below the 1.07 handle.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Entry Level: 1.07458
Stop Level: 1.07961
Target Level: 1.06453
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
EURUSD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish divergence.
Most recent uptrend line breakout.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds my short term view remains bearish here.
EURUSD → Rejected!? Will the Price Fall to 1.06 or Rush to 1.12?EURUSD made contact with the resistance zone, as predicted from last week's analysis. We're now faced with a decision to short or wait on the sidelines for more price action.
How do we trade this? 🤔
The conditions at this moment make it reasonable to short , but there is a caveat! It's very possible the price pulls back a bit to the resistance zone for another test before dropping. If you didn't short at the resistance zone, it's reasonable to wait for the price to crawl back up to the 1.09600 area to enter. Enter after another sell signal, then 1:2 risk ratio down to the bottom of the trading range around 1.05900.
If the price breaks resistance, wait for it to confirm support on the resistance zone then look for a long entry off of a bull signal and confirmation bar.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: 1.09600
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.11450
✅ Take Profit: 1.05900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Reasonable to Short.
3. If Shorting, Watch EMAs for Support.
4. Look for a pullback to resistance before the price falls.
5. RSI at 57.00 below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
EURUSD possible buy zone!Recently, there was an anticipation of a pullback or correction in the EURUSD currency pair. This correction was expected if the current peak reached the level of 1.10000. However, the US dollar strengthened without a deceptive upward movement, compelling its major rivals to retreat. Despite this, an overshoot is anticipated, likely leading to the subsequent (deeper) downward correction.
Towards the end of this week, on Friday, significant economic data is set to be published. Special focus is on data from the United States, and, of course, the attention-grabbing speech by the head of the Federal Reserve.
EURUSD → Drop to 1.05? or Blast to 1.10? Lets Make it Clear.EURUSD is pushing toward the resistance zone which gives the bulls some tingly senses to take profit and run the price back to the downside. Will the Dollar show strength this week and keep EURUSD from breaking resistance?
How do we trade this?
The price is currently in a trading range between 1.05000 and 1.10000 and we're getting close to the resistance zone where the Weekly 200EMA resides. If you're not already in a trade, it's worth waiting to see what happens at the resistance zone. A bear signal bar closing on or near its low below the resistance line is a good indicator that the price will fail to rise above again and would be a reasonable short. Stop loss above the resistance zone top and take profit just above the Support Zone around 1.05000. The RSI is near 70.00, a weak indicator on its own, but supports the rest of the analysis for a soon-to-come short.
If the price finds its way above the resistance lines and closes a bull candle on or near its high, it would be reasonable to long with a protective stop just below the resistance zone. Target prices as high as 1.12500.
Key Takeaways
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Near the Resistance Zone, Look for a Reversal Signal.
3. If Shorting, Watch the 200EMA for Support.
4. The Dollar Index may fall more, wait for the bottom.
5. RSI near 70.00, Bias to Short.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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