Euro looking uneasy. Brexit and Grexit jitters maybe?The Euro is looking very nervous. If we fail to go over the 1.0819 handle it could spell a selloff for the Euro. I personally think we are going down because the Dollar is looking like it wants to show strength across the board, but there is still a case for a test of the highs. Next week will definitely provide some perspective.
Europe
EURNZD HUGE BULL RUN IS COMINGPerfect setup. The multimonth correction is in my opinion over. Look at this tasty ending diagonal, if it plays out, there is some big pips to be made.
We have a dynamic impulse after the NZ-Unemployment report. It came in very weak.
Market made a false breakout to the downside, and now it broke the golden trendline.
Watch for a potential flag, or corrective pattern toward 1.4700/1.4730 and enter with a stop at 1.4620.
Target something big higher, my first target is the 1.55 area, and then 1.72.
This position has a nice Risk:Reward ratio.
Keep an eye on the fundamental development. Eurozone CPI, and NZ CPI are important drivers.
Please use wise moneymanagement and risk control.
Blessings to you all.
TECHNICALS | EUR DistributionThe Euro looks to be trading back towards the midpoint of its distribution... I'm not bullish as a result of the risks posed by European elections this year, however, I am of the opinion it trades higher over the next month where I will likely look to short it higher. Given it is in said distribution I will be monitoring it closely with my mean-reversion model, looking to fade extremes.
USDSEK CORRECTION MIGHT BE OVER SOONWaiting for the breakout of the green upper trendline.
A beautiful trade might be setting up.
I am not going to buy as long as we are below 8.90, because further move lower is possible. I want a clear impulsive breakout of the golden zone, and then i will buy the correction with a stop at 8.80 targeting 9.20 and 9.30.
Also keep an eye on USDNOK and USDPLN, they are looking similar ready for a leg higher.
Blessings to you all.
Rising Wedge - Shorting the EuroVolume is going down, while the price is going up. The RSI hasn't been able to even touch oversold and is stuck in a range, while the price is going up. Clear divergence on both and it is bearish.
To me this Euro price action has been a healthy pullback and I am expecting this wedge to break to the downside. When it completes with good volume, I'd be shorting the market. Right now, I can't see a clear entry or exit points, but a break below 1.065 would be very bearish to me.
Some important news are coming out on Thursday and Friday out of the US and I would like to see how they play out.
EURGBP BEARISH MOMENTUMAfter some big news and bearish momentum for the euro pound, we can clearly see a triagle being formed on the H1-H4 charts. Giving us the good opportunity to short this market. To place an easy sell stop below lows, and wait for the breakout.
With a decent 1.5 risk reward, this trade is a good bullet.
Hope you guys have a good week.
RBS potential to reach 99$ price areaFor your long swing account. You will have many opportunities to add more to the trade so still once reaching 1:1-or-more ratio remember to consider taking profits to remove your risk.
WHEN WILL THE BLEEDING STOP ON EURUSD?More downside is imminent on eurusd, with the next possible buy zone in the 1.01 area. However, eurusd has evidently broken monthly trendiness that were being respected since the 1980s. I am anticipating more downside in the long term for erased and am not sure when the bleeding will end. Will have to closely observe price action for long term buy opportunities, but for now it remains a short
EUFN: European financials are in danger hereI think we can get a retracement in the financial sector, and Europe is in worse shape than the US in general. It wouldn't surprise me to have some negative news pop out, surrounding Italy's referendum, Deutsche Bank, Italian Banks, UK banks, Brexit, etc. Quite a few potential catalysts for volatility, so, if we see this ETF break the linear regression channel support, we will probably see a rapid selloff.
Keep your eyes open, it might be safer to stand aside, and book succesful long trades, or maybe even take a couple strategic shorts.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
EURUSD Super BreakOut (SELL) Are you Ready?EURUSD Might be doing some major breakout below the D1 Support. Are you ready to catch it?
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Eurostoxx 50 : Bearish dynamic & resistance areas, better shortThe EU stocks index Eurostoxx 50 (MOY0) has made a nice rise since the Brexit (end June), but the buyers are currently facing some difficulties to go higher. In fact, the european stock market is inside a bearish dynamic since early 2015, as characterized by the downside trendline resistance (blue) and the bearish 200 days moving average.
In this case, the sellers are likely to become majoritary again due the the following reasons :
- Proximity with the downside trendline resistance
- Beginning of a retreat at 3100 points, first resistance
- This resistance area matches with the 50% retracement of the violent drop we have seen in december - february.
Both the long term dynamics and levels should prevent the buyers to go further and initiate a pull back to where markets were in september.
Here is the precise strategy :
- Open short at the current price (3080 points on Friday close)
- Stop @ 3120 pts (above the resistance for market noise)
- First target @ 3025 points (close 50% of the position, reward/risk = 1.38)
- Second target @ 2940 points (close the other 50% of the position, reward/risk = 3.5)
EURCAD - Bouncing off support! Regardless of Canadian CPI announced today. EC managed to hold out the support level of 1.438, we see it likely that this will be followed with another leg UP.
-Trend line held since 2015!
-Fib level
-All smaller time frames RSI, Stock and MACD oversold
-Daily RSI picking up from oversold territory hinting to another leg up
-Double Bottom (-ish)
Safe and successful trading!