Eurodollar
Eurusd Bearish momentum? NFP week ♠️A new week ahead with NFp economic data to wrap things up so excited for whats to come.
0:0 Monthly timeframe
2:40 Weekly timeframe
5:47 Daily timeframe
8:20 4Hr timeframe
We can observe the bearish pressure on Eu across the past 3-4 weeks and the start of the new year 2024. The bearish momentum began with the weekly engulfing candle of the first week of the year.
🚀EURUSD is Ready to GO UP🚀🏃 EURUSD is moving near the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its five downtrends .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect EURUSD to rise at least to the end of wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0916-$1.0880) 🔴 in the coming hours or the coming week .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD Analysis(➡️RR=2.00)🏃 EURUSD is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴 and near the Downtrend line .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴.
🔔I expect EURUSD to continue to Decline at least to the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢.
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EURUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.08877 USD (Stop Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.09380 USD
💰Take Profit:
🎯 1.08372 USD RR==1.00
🎯 1.07869 USD
Risk-To-Reward: 2.00
Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️
Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement.
Shifting Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago.
ECB's Cautious Stance:
In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.
Upcoming Events:
The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed.
Conclusion:
As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
EUR/USD: Navigating Market Volatility Post-US CPI ReleaseEUR/USD: Navigating Market Volatility Post-US CPI Release
After experiencing a notable Pump and Dump scenario on Thursday following the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, the EUR/USD has managed to reposition itself for growth. The US Dollar (USD) faces challenges in finding demand, and as of the current moment, the price is trading at 1.09585.
Market Volatility and Inflation Figures:
Thursday's market witnessed heightened volatility as mixed inflation figures from the US took center stage. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported a 3.4% year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. This followed the 3.1% surge in November and surpassed market expectations of 3.2%. The Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% on a monthly basis, aligning with analysts' estimates.
Surprisingly, these inflation figures did not significantly alter market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy outlook. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a consistent probability of around 70% for a 25 basis points rate reduction in March.
Producer Price Index (PPI) Outlook:
Looking ahead, the Producer Price Index (PPI) is anticipated to rise by 1.3% in December on a yearly basis, up from the 0.9% recorded in November. A smaller-than-forecast increase may challenge the USD's stability leading into the weekend. However, a print at or above 1.5% could revive concerns over stronger producer inflation, potentially impacting the Fed's ability to control consumer inflation and influencing the EUR/USD.
Forecast for EUR/USD:
Our forecast for the EUR/USD remains bullish. The price is well-supported by the 200 Moving Average and the dynamic trendline of the bullish channel. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator is outside the oversold area, providing further evidence in favor of a potential bullish impulse.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.0770 with targets at 1.1140 & 1.1200 in extension.
CPI Outlook - EURUSD Hello traders, as analysis for DXY still holds true. I would like to see higher prices on euro going into CPI. Be careful with large wicks. Ideally, I would like to see price trade back into our refined entry to take it higher. Still bearish below 1.10530. We could see a reaction at the breaker once more. I am overall bearish but I'm hoping CPI can give us that buy to sell setup we are looking for. Good luck traders and trade safely!
- CipherFX Team
💹 EURUSD next week prevision 💹It could go down to points of 1.08773. If it brakes this floor it could go to areas of 1.08102. If it fails to brake the minimum of 1.08773, it could enter an uptrend to look for movement 3 of the Elliot wave until 1.10016 minimum (100% fibo point of the previous inverse wave), being able to continue rising until the point 1.1039. (127% fibo point), to continue with a retracement of the elliot wave movement 4 to the point 1.09087 (23.6% fibo point) and then go looking for the movement 5. If it goes down enough to break the point from C, we would have new B (1) and new C (2). You have to wait for confirmations by looking at corresponding indicators.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has experienced significant price fluctuations throughout this week's trading session. It has fallen below our Mean Support level of 1.100, indicating a potential decline towards the established Mean Support of 1.075. It is highly probable that the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level of 1.098. The current violent movement of the Eurodollar around our crucial Mean Support of 1.090 and Mean Resistance of 1.098 is a clear indication of the same.
Zone of resistanceThe pair is heading to high resistance zone. It needs more consolidation to break it through. I think is goin to try a few times but it will end up pulling back to the blue line. I'll wait for some price action before open a short position. I'm keeping my eye on this one. Check out my related post about the dollar index lines below.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 29, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has experienced a notable price jump during this week's trading session, surpassing our Inner Currency Rally level of 1.109. The current price movement indicates that the Eurodollar will likely decline to the newly established Mean Support of 1.100 and potentially to the Mean Support of 1.094. On the other hand, the Eurodollar will inevitably rise to retest Mean Resistance 1.113.
EUR/USD Eyes 1.1200: Technical Momentum Fueled by Dovish Fed ExpEUR/USD Eyes 1.1200: Technical Momentum Fueled by Dovish Fed Expectations
In a striking ascent, the EUR/USD pair is surging towards the major resistance at the 1.1150 level, signaling a bullish momentum that aims to breach the psychological threshold of 1.1200. The Euro (EUR) maintains its winning streak, gaining ground against the subdued US Dollar (USD). This favorable trend is largely attributed to the anticipated dovish stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) concerning the future trajectory of interest rates.
Dovish Fed Expectations:
Building on our previous analysis, the EUR's upward trajectory appears to be continuing, supported by a combination of factors. The market sentiment is influenced by the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may adopt a dovish stance on interest rates in the coming year. With US yields trending lower and market participants anticipating rate cuts, the US Dollar faces headwinds. Concurrently, equity prices remain near recent highs, contributing to the sustained pressure on the US Dollar, particularly in the context of holiday-thinned trading.
Upcoming Data and Holiday Impact:
Amid the holiday season, Wednesday saw no significant reports, setting the stage for Thursday's focus on the US weekly Jobless Claims. Additionally, attention will be directed towards Spain's preliminary inflation figures for December, set to be released on Friday.
Looking Ahead:
As the year 2023 draws to a close, the calm waters in the market continue to weigh on the US Dollar, offering further support to the EUR/USD pair's upward momentum. However, as markets transition back to normal functioning in the upcoming week, the focus will shift to crucial US employment data. The outcome of these economic indicators could potentially shape the currency landscape as the new year unfolds.
The EUR/USD pair's bullish trajectory towards 1.1200 is a testament to the prevailing market sentiment, driven by expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve. As the year concludes, the subdued US Dollar faces challenges, with the EUR maintaining its winning streak. Traders and investors will closely monitor upcoming economic data and the return to normal market conditions in the new year, as they seek to navigate the evolving dynamics of the currency markets.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.09500 with targets at 1.1150 & 1.1200 in extension.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 22, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has shown significant price movements throughout this week's trading session by surpassing our previously achieved Inner Currency Rally level of 1.099 and its corresponding resistance at the same price point. The current price action suggests that the Eurodollar will likely continue to climb, with the target level set at Inner Currency Rally 1.109. However, it is essential to stay alert to the ever-changing dynamics of the Eurodollar market, as the price action may experience a drawdown.
EUR/USD: A Steady Rise Amidst Global Market DynamicsEUR/USD's Bullish Momentum: A Steady Rise Amidst Global Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD currency pair recently experienced a surge in its value, reaching close to the significant 1.1000 mark before encountering a slight retracement. This move comes after a rebound from the 38.2% Fibonacci level, confirming our earlier forecast of a renewed bullish impulse.
As of the latest update, the pair is currently trading around the 1.09560 area, demonstrating a positive trend. The backdrop for this ascent includes a favorable opening in Wall Street and decreasing US Treasury bond yields. Despite the release of better-than-expected Housing Starts data, the USD struggled to find traction, reflecting the impact of global market dynamics on currency valuations.
An additional factor influencing recent market movements is the soft inflation data from the UK, reigniting expectations for a potential Bank of England rate cut in the first half of the upcoming year. This development led to significant losses for the Pound Sterling against other major currencies. While the USD did absorb some capital outflows, the Euro stood out as an attractive option for investors, leading to EUR/GBP achieving a fresh three-week high above 0.8650.
Looking ahead, the scheduled speech by the Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) President in the latter part of the day could introduce further dynamics to the currency markets.
Maintaining our bullish bias, we anticipate a continuation of the positive trend, especially considering the supportive factors in the global financial landscape. The pair's recent retracement could be viewed as a temporary pause before another potential climb towards our targeted levels. Investors will be keenly observing further market developments and central bank actions to gauge the future trajectory of EUR/USD.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.0800 with targets at 1.1010 & 1.1150 in extension.
Our previous Entry / Idea :
🗺️EURUSD Roadmap🗺️🏃 EURUSD is moving near the 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($1.11850-$1.0980) 🔴,the Resistance lines .
🌊According to Elliott wave theory , EURUSD is completing Corrective Waves in the 1-hour time frame.
🌊The structure of correction waves is Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) type.
🔔I expect EURUSD to start falling to 🎯 Target 🎯, 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢 and Uptrend line .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD Pair Projections for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2024Financial Analysis: EURUSD Pair Projections for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2024
Disclaimer : This analysis is based on the information available as of the provided date and is subject to change. It should not be considered as financial advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before making investment decisions.
Ifo Report and Current Business Climate
The recent Ifo report reflects a clouded sentiment in the German business landscape, with companies expressing dissatisfaction with their current business situations and heightened skepticism regarding the first half of 2024. Notably:
Manufacturing
The Business Climate Index in manufacturing witnessed a noticeable decline, with companies perceiving their current business situation as significantly worse.
Expectations in the manufacturing sector grew more pessimistic, particularly affecting energy-intensive industries.
Service Sector
The service sector experienced a slight improvement in the business climate, driven by increased satisfaction with current business situations.
Service providers displayed reduced skepticism about the outlook for the next six months, although expectations in restaurants and catering saw a nosedive.
Trade
The trade sector suffered a setback, as companies assessed their current situations as notably worse. Holiday trade for retailers, in particular, disappointed.
Construction
The Business Climate Index in construction hit its lowest level since September 2005, with companies reporting a worsened current situation. Approximately half of the companies anticipate further deterioration in the months ahead.
Projections for EURUSD in Q1, Q2, and Q3
The Ifo report's insights into the German business sentiment set the stage for assessing the FX:EURUSD pair's projections:
Q1: Sluggish Momentum
The current scenario suggests a sluggish start for EURUSD in Q1. The clouded business sentiment in Germany may contribute to a sideways market, marked by cautious trading.
Q2: Anticipating Improvement
As Q2 unfolds, there is an expectation of an improvement in the financial situation in Europe. Despite the challenging Q1, signs of stabilization and potential positive developments could influence a more favorable outlook for the EURUSD pair.
Q3: Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
An analysis of the larger fractal, specifically the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern forming in the EURUSD pair, points towards robust bullish momentum. This projection aligns with a potential turnaround by the end of Q2 and the beginning of Q3, indicating a shift towards a more positive market sentiment.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the EURUSD pair is likely to face challenges in the early part of 2024, reflecting the clouded sentiment in the German business landscape. However, signs of improvement are anticipated in Q2, with the formation of an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern suggesting a strong bullish momentum in the currency pair by the end of Q2 and the beginning of Q3. Traders and investors should closely monitor economic indicators, global events, and the evolving business climate for timely decision-making in the dynamic forex market.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 15, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar currency pair has shown a strong rebound in the recent trading session, climbing to reach our previously identified Inner Currency Rally level of 1.099. However, this was followed by a sharp reversal, with the price dropping rapidly. The current price action indicates that the Eurodollar is likely to continue on a downward trend, with the designated target levels being Mean Sup 1.075 and Inner Currency Dip of 1.068.
Overall, it's crucial to stay vigilant and informed about the ever-changing dynamics of the Eurodollar market to make the most of the opportunities it presents.
Short Video Conclusion On EUR's Retracement ☄️Short Video Conclusion On EUR's Retracement
Video Content:
Dear Viewers, it was one of my first EURUSD video analytics. On TradingView, you can see a verified timestamp of 01 December. You might also remember the original video when I shared the signal.
I'm happy to announce the idea completed its Target Price. Your profit is the difference between these two levels. It's about two and seven percent. With a $100k investment, the trade returned $2700. The price has been consistently following the expected trajectory. So, we can't talk about about any significant drawdown.
I thank you for your attention, and congratulations if you share a similarly profitable vision.
Market Devlelopment:
I still have a bearish vision on EURUSD. I expect yield seeking on USD can pressure the EUR price as down as $1.067. I believe that trendlines in the video are still valid. I wouldn't open a short here, but I'll keep the short I already have extended with a trail profit, which was my stop loss I moved down as the price smoothly followed the expected trajectory. I consider it as a take profit because the trail profit will close the position any moment. However, I can't tell the exact price yet because the bearish outlook persists. It's either +2.7% or more.
Beyond Video:
It is not an investment advice. Do your research. Do not trade if you do not understand.
- Ely
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 8, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Last week's completion of our Inner Currency Rally of 1.099 continued to drop to strategic Mean Sup 1.084 and is on its way to a significant Mean Sup 1.067 and Inner Currency Dip 1.068 outcome. The current price action suggests a rebound from the letter prices to the designated target Mean Res 1.080. Overall, it is essential to closely monitor the Eurodollar market trend and take appropriate measures within critical price action of the support/resistance and dip result.