EurNzd- to see range trading?Undoubtedly Nzd alongside Aud was one of the strongest currencies at the end of 2020...
With its Euro counterpart though, after finding a bottom and reversing at the beginning of December, Nzd found strength again but didn't manage to clearly make a new low under 1.6950, instead it confirmed this support and put in a tweezer bottom candle formation on the last trading day of 2020.
I consider 1.6900-1.6950 strong support and EurNzd can start trading in a range with resistance around 1.73 zone.
I'm bullish on this pair and only a clear drop under 1.69 would change my opinion
Eurnzdsignal
EurNzd- I'm maintaining my long tradeAfter it has found a bottom in 1.7 zone and a first leg up to 1.735, EurNzd made a higher low at around 1.7050 and for 10 days now is trading in a range.
I expect this range to be broken to the upside and a new leg up to follow.
My target for this trade is 1.7500 with interim resistance at 1.7350 (previous high)
This bullish outlook is valid as long as the price stays above 1.7050
EurNzd- A higher low could be in placeThe reversal for EurNzd is something that I've been watching and trading and, after 1.7 zone low, a higher low could be in place now in 1.7050 zone.
At the time of writing the pair is trading just in correcting flag's resistance and a break here would expose 1.7350 previous high
1.750 zone could also be a target for swing traders and really is not out of the question after 1.8-1.7 drop
EurNzd has all ingredients for a strong reversalFrom 20 Oct 1.8 high, EurNzd dropped almost linearly 1000 pips. The pair found strong support at 1.7 zone and after a few days of consolidation broke the descending trend line and the first leg of correction come that let the price to 1.7300 zone. Now the pair is correcting this first leg up and a new one could start soon.
1.7 should be very well defended by bulls and my target for EurNzd is 1.75 in the medium term.
In the short term, 1.7050 is now support and a break above 1.7150 could accelerate gains to 1.7280 resistance.
In my opinion, dips should be bought and only a daily close under 1.70 would negate this scenario
EURNZD | Perspective for the new weekThe Bearish Impulse leg (see week chart) that began on the 20th of October 2020 might be calling for a correction move as we experienced a Breakout off NZD1.71500 in the latter part of last week trading session.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Cup and Handle | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The last couple of weeks has experienced the rise of Euro since it found bottom @ NZD1.69500 last month.
ii. The Cup and Handle pattern indicated on the chart is considered a strong bullish signal, with the expectation that the formation of the right-hand side of the pattern will be experiencing lower trading volume in the following week(s).
iii. It is advisable to be patient with this trade so that we can catch the proposed Bull run at the most appropriate time as the handle forms.
iv. Depending on the pattern that evolves in the coming week, the Temporary/Major Demand level are levels to watch out for Buy confirmation signal.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:3.5
Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EurNzd at confluence resistanceThe move from the past 4 weeks on EurNzd was fabulous with the pair sinking 1000 pips from 1.8 to 1.7
Yesterday the pair had a short dive under 1.7 but managed to recover above this important support.
At this point, we are just at confluence resistance and a break here could signal a much-needed correction.
In my opinion, dips around 1.7 should be bought and a long position in this zone could have a 1:3 R:R if we target the last congestion zone at 1.73
EURNZD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKAs price continues to respect bearish Trendline, Price hits key level @ 1.73500 area once again with tendencies of repeating the Bearish run that started on the 10th of Nov. 2020. This level which is also within 61.8% retracement of the last impulse leg gives more substance to my bearish bias with a projection of 127.2% extension.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Double Top | Support & Resistance | Trendline | AB = CD
Observation: i. As price continues to respect the major Trendline since Oct. 2020; we are at a juncture where it appears price might find it difficult to break 1.73500 which shall be my yardstick to follow or go against my bearish bias.
ii. Target is pegged at 127.2% extension of previous Impulse leg.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EurNzd- trend reversal or just correction?Nzd had quite a run in the past 3 weeks, with EurNzd falling almost 1000 pips from 1.8 to 1.7050.
The important psychological 1.7 support is marked also by a piercing candle formation and should be well defended by bulls in the future.
I expect this bull run to continue to at least 1.75 and dips under 1.72 should be bought in search of a good R:R trade
EurNzd- strong reversal from supportAs I said yesterday, EurNzd looks bullish with strong support around 1.75 zone.
The pair had a quick dive under this zone and reversed strongly to be traded around 1.76 at the time of writing
I maintain my first target of 1.78 for this pair and, if the day is closing with bullish engulfing we can see my target reached sooner rather than later
EurNzd- 1.75 is strong supportAfter reaching 1.8 important figure, EurNzd dropped fast and found support at 1.75 zone.
The pair si consolidating now just above this support and a new revisit of 1.78 resistance is probable.
I'm bullish on this pair as long as the price says above 1.75 on the daily close basis and buying dips is my strategy