EURNZD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Eurnzdshort
EUR/NZD: Exhausted impulse? keep an eye on this Short idea! Hello, everybody, and welcome to my TradingView’s profile, my name is Gianni and today I’m going to analyse the EUR/NZD , translating the market information by using a full technical analysis on different time frames, giving you a personal opinion about the next most likely market movement and helping you to spot and manage market opportunities.
My ideas are for those who are interested in improving their financial education and for those who are looking for new trading opportunities, according with their own strategies.
Weekly timeframe:
Daily timeframe:
4 hours timeframe:
Recently, the market got a really strong bullish impulse from the lower to the higher part of this huge daily descending channel and was recently showing signs of weakness.
It currently broke the pattern and is retesting it, with a good possibility of a movement to the downside, considering an overall downtrend in higher timeframes.
When, where and why would I step into the market?
Before entering the market in the current area of breakout, I will be looking for a good entry point in a lower timeframe (1h or 30min), as you can see on the chart, the responsive movement trying to push the price back inside the pattern is quite weak, clue that possibly buyers are not interested in that level anymore.
My stop loss would be just above the last swing high and the take profit around the demand zone.
I will be trailing my stop loss on every new confirmed swing.
If you enjoy this trade idea, please support my work with a thumb up and don’t forget to follow my profile for more detailed market analyses!
Trade safe and responsibly,
Gianni
DISCLAIMER
Please note the views are not investment advice and should be used only for educational purpose
EURNZD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURNZD Sell with 3 confluences listed
List of confluences:
1: Trendline Breakout and close
2: Breakout and close Key Level around 1.6582* on Daily Chart required as confirmation. This will mean change in market structure and new low created.
3: Head and Shoulder Pattern which can be seen on both the Daily Chart and The Four Hour Chart.
Summary: This trade has a potential Risk Reward (RR) of 3.62 to 1. We will only look of entries on the retest of key level 0.7184*.
The trade will be executed either using manual entry or pending order, depending on the location of price after the breakout.
The trade could be a RR +- 6 to 1, but we looking to trade about 60 - 65% of the move as there is a much higher chance of out T.P getting reached with a good RR.
We do not want to stay in trades too long as anything can happen. If we get stopped out, will look to other currency pairs for setups and only look at EURNZD next month.
EURNZD Sell the resistance.EURNZD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.6653 (stop at 1.6684)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We look for a temporary move higher.
A higher correction is expected.
Trend line support is located at 1.6570.
Our profit targets will be 1.6566 and 1.6546
Resistance: 1.6630 / 1.6670 / 1.6700
Support: 1.6600 / 1.6570 / 1.6530
EURNZD Sell a break setup.EURNZD - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 1.6595 (stop at 1.6624)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Trend line support is located at 1.6620.
The previous swing low is located at 1.6595.
A break of 1.6595 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
Our profit targets will be 1.6511 and 1.6491
Resistance: 1.6640 / 1.6670 / 1.6700
Support: 1.6600 / 1.6570 / 1.6530
A divergence signal appeared with EURNZDH1 time frame.
Structure: Uptrend.
A divergence signal appeared with the MACD and Key level at 1.65000.
Wait for the price to break the Key level and have a signal to confirm the downtrend, then you can find a selling opportunity.
The profit target is the 1.63500 and 1.60500 price zone.
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Wish you all have a good trading day!
EURNZDHello Traders Welcome back to another profit day
If you like my idea please give me a like and comment, That's will be a great appreciation to do more predictions
Here is the full analysis for this pair, Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
EURNZD view with Order block
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Please support this idea with a like, if you find it useful
have a good profit day guys
EURNZD Short PlayEntered a EUR/NZD short position @ 1.65296
Market sentiment is still shaky and will be volatile the next couple days with unknown doubts related to the upcoming COVID variant Omicron. I am still bearish on AUD/CHF regarding my previous analysis and although AUD and NZD tend to correlate well with each other, I am bullish on NZD given the recent monetary policy outlook. Increased OCR rates should equal higher yields on the long end of the curve or at least be stabilize over the next month or so.
EUR did receive a boost after the market dropped due to carry trade unwinding and money flowing back into EUR to cover the funding/short positions. Most G7 currencies are strong vs the USD today except EUR which shows of weakness in the EUR. If market sentiment does remain high and bullish on economic outlook then I believe EUR/NZD should drop.
Similar fractal shown based on the period from Aug 11 - Sept 13, 2021. If recent history is correct then EUR/NZD should drop to 1.600 (blue arrow direction).
Finally, similar moves in the DE10-NZ10 yields differentials. Large spikes in EUR/NZD currency with not so big spikes in the DE-NZ bonds should keep the drive the currency pair lower. See chart below.
My views only.
EURNZD Sell a break setup.EURNZD - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 1.6498 (stop at 1.6528)
Prices have reacted from 1.6690.
A break of the recent low at 1.6510 should result in a further move lower.
A break of 1.6500 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Our profit targets will be 1.6411 and 1.6391
Resistance: 1.6570 / 1.6600 / 1.6630
Support: 1.6530 / 1.6500 / 1.6470
EURNZD Sell a break setup.EURNZD - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 1.6488 (stop at 1.6517)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A break of 1.6490 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 1.6402 and 1.6382
Resistance: 1.6530 / 1.6570 / 1.6600
Support: 1.6500 / 1.6470 / 1.6430