Eur Jpy Long IdeaEUR/JPY has recently experienced a corrective bearish move, creating an opportune moment for traders to consider a long position in this currency pair. This bullish analysis highlights the potential for a reversal from the corrective downtrend, with key technical and fundamental factors supporting the long signal for EUR/JPY.
Technical Analysis:
Fibonacci Retracement: The corrective bearish move in EUR/JPY can be seen as a retracement within a broader uptrend. By applying Fibonacci retracement levels, we can identify potential support levels where the pair could reverse and resume its bullish momentum.
Bullish Divergence: In the recent corrective phase, there might be signs of bullish divergence on the oscillators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), indicating weakening bearish momentum and a potential shift in favor of bulls.
Key Support Zones: Several key support zones coincide with the Fibonacci retracement levels and previous swing lows, creating a solid foundation for a bullish reversal. Traders can use these levels to place stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
Fundamental Analysis:
Strong Economic Recovery: The European Union and Japan have been experiencing a robust economic recovery from the global downturn, buoyed by fiscal stimulus measures and vaccination progress. As economic activity picks up, the demand for both EUR and JPY may increase, but the Eurozone's larger economy could give it an edge.
Diverging Central Bank Policies: The European Central Bank (ECB) has shown signs of tightening monetary policy to combat inflationary pressures, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained accommodative. This policy divergence could strengthen the Euro against the Japanese Yen in the long term.
Risk-On Sentiment: If global markets maintain a risk-on sentiment, investors may seek higher-yielding assets, including the Euro, and the Japanese Yen, being a safe-haven currency, may experience reduced demand in such a scenario.
Conclusion:
Considering the technical and fundamental factors at play, a long signal for EUR/JPY appears promising after the corrective bearish move. Traders should exercise proper risk management techniques, placing stop-loss orders at critical support levels. A successful long position can capitalize on the potential bullish reversal, fueled by a strong economic recovery in the Eurozone, diverging central bank policies, and prevailing risk-on sentiment in the market. As always, it's essential to stay updated on any relevant news or events that could impact the currency pair and adjust the trading strategy accordingly.
