EURJPY Top-down analysis todayHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Eurjpytrade
EURJPY: Not Yet Yen!!EURJPY
Intraday - We look to Buy at 140.75 (stop at 139.60)
Selling pressure from 142.79 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned. The current move lower is expected to continue. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 144.10 and 145.00
Resistance: 145.00 / 147.30 / 150.00
Support: 138.60 / 135.55 / 133.15
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EUR/JPY tops 144 as ECB-BoJ gap widens: 149 in sight?The euro-yen exchange rate ( EUR/JPY ) hit new year-to-date highs, surpassing the psychological level of 144, as monetary policy divergences between the European Central Bank, which has already widely telegraphed its first rate hike in over a decade, and the Bank of Japan, which remains imprisoned by an extremely dovish monetary policy, widened further.
The spread between the yield on a German 2-year bond and the Japanese equivalent – which acts as a proxy for measuring monetary policy divergences between countries – has now reached 0.7%, the highest since August 2011, exerting upward pressure on the EUR/JPY exchange rate.
The Eurozone is now experiencing more inflationary pressures than Japan. Annual inflation in the Eurozone surged to 8.1% in May 2022, a new record high and well above market expectations of 7.7%, while consumer prices in Japan only grew by 2.5% year on year in April 2022.
While the Bank of Japan can still tolerate the yen's depreciation – which has lost 16% versus the dollar and 11% against the euro since the start of the year– due to the presence of a relatively contained inflation, the ECB no longer has this luxury.
The market is anxiously awaiting the ECB's meeting tomorrow. A rate rise in July is already priced in, and additional hawkish signals (such as leaving the door open to a 50 basis point raise or not ruling out quantitative tightening by the end of the year) may provide additional support for the euro versus the Japanese yen.
Next barrier is 4% away at 149 levels, which corresponds to the EUR/JPY pair's December 2014 highs. Beyond this level, one may consider 153.8, which served as a major support level from 2007 to September 2008.
EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW- EUR FEATURE currently stands at 1.0735 LEVEL. It stays above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Also the JPY FEATURE is getting a bit down. It stays at 0.0076 LEVEL. The EURJPY PRICE rests above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. So most of the time the PRICE can be UP again in the form of a STRUCTURE. Then there will be DOWN.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- The EURJPY PRICE can be UP to 141.407 LEVEL before DOWN. You can then DOWN to LEVEL 135.116 by BREAKING the TREND LINE. The PRICE will move according to this week's ECONOMIC INDICATOR DATA and MARKET SENTIMENT. The next few days can be a bit important. A SHARK PATTERN is currently being created in EURJPY.
EURJPY A Great Buying OpportunityTrade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 150.00 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis: EURJPY Waiting for the Range Bound and the beginning of the Ascension Trend.
EUR/JPY Long Trade UpdateHey Guys!
The current eur/jpy weekly bias is long. Or in other words, price is likely to reach 139.98 before reaching 124.34
The long entry I was mentioning last week was triggered, however I need a pullback to the 136.00 levels for a long entry due to overall risk managment. In this post, I explain how I will be trading this set up, as well as how I will be
managing this long trade if entered.
That's it! I'll keep you guys updated!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW- EUR FEATURE currently stands at 1.0740 LEVEL. It rests on DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Also the JPY FEATURE is UP. It stays at 0.0077 LEVEL. The EURJPY PRICE rests above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. So most of the time the PRICE can be UP again in the form of a STRUCTURE. Then there will be DOWN.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a NEUTRAL BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- EURJPY PRICE can be DOWN to 138.203 LEVEL before DOWN. Then you can DOWN to 133.770 LEVEL. The PRICE will move according to this week's ECONOMIC INDICATOR DATA and MARKET SENTIMENT. The next few days can be a bit important.
SHORT EURJPYStill Short EURJPY at 136.30, Just zooming in on the chart a bit to give a better idea of what we are seeing.
EJ is back below the 136.31 Fibbo resistance as well as below the downward trend line which sits ust above that fibbo lvl.
We saw it test both of these levels briefly and is now back below suggesting that the top is in place for now.
The support comes at 135.50 is lvl (upward trend line of the triangle, and if we break that, we can see a move to 135 and possibly even to 134.
Short EURJPY Short EURJPY @ 136.30
TP: 132.20
SL: 137
Selling a clip of EURJPY below the 136.31 fibbo resistance, and will sell another closer to that 136.80 downward trend channel. Stop is in the system at 138 but I will probably close through 137 if we smash through these next two resistance levels. So this trade is a great RR of 5.8/1
Good luck ;)
EUR/JPY Long Trade UpdateHey Guys!
The current eur/jpy weekly bias is long. Or in other words, price is likely to reach 139.98 before reaching 124.34
In this post I explain the possible entry long setup that can form and how I plan to trade it. Moreover, I explain how I will be managing this long trade if entered.
That's it! I'll keep you guys updated!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
EURJPY SELL/SHORT TRADE IDEAEURJPY has been downtrending. Still within 4H range, liquidity left behind to get swept.
Entry is based on 4H institutional move, mitigation out of last buy position that manipulated price, fibonacci snipe zone 78.5-88.6% and liquidity also known as retail traders "double tops".
Two positions in case the higher snipe isn't activated. Risk : Reward is worth the trade!
SELL EJ FOR 900 PIPS, MARKET CRUSH!!!From the day timeframe, we can see a perfect head and shoulder from the legs of 7th March, 2022. head got cupped at 138.31/136.78 (not expecting a buy into any of the listed zones above).
A sell into 130.100, other way round a possible sell into 125.58/124.40 to complete the second leg!
* Price bounce at 133.210 has been completed. Hence it now serves as a breakout price point of sell for EJ!!!
--- From the 2H TF, descending triangle formed with a prefect entry. waiting for it to be completed at 125.60
Hence, we're shorting EJ to a RR of 1:7.4, perfect risk to reward ratio!
NB: red box--rejection zone
blue box--breakout zone
yelow box: demand/supply zone