SHORT EUR/JPY 165.59Trading FX is a risk/reward exercise.
And the greatest reward for the least risk is taking trades that relying on experience.
I've traded Fx for over 20 years so I recognize chart patterns and price movements without really thinking about hem.
If I was teaching how to trade FX I would be advising novice or inexpereinced tarderes NOT to take a trade like this but I'm shorting this pair for the following reasons.
a). Risk/reward is massively in my favour. I can get a SHORT trade on with a 20 pip STOP.
b). We are at WR1 Pivot area and this is a universally known area where SELLERS MAY enter the market.
c). The last 4 15m candles have been doji indecision candles.
d). RSI on multiple time frames is high (70 on H4 and high 60's H1, 30M, 15M).
e). 15M Andean Oscillator sees the red SELL line lifting away from zero.
Put these together and this "looks" a SHORT trade but there's always the chance EUR/JPY BULLS hace not finsihed with this pair.
f). we have a nice candle tweezer pattern on H1 right at resistance.
It should be noted that it's 24 years since this pair was at 165.60 so its highly likely that we are looking at a short term retracement but this could be back to the 200 EMA on M15 which would be 164.91 (+68 pips).
If this trade does take off and there is strong selling momentum then 164.50 is posssible.
Eurjpyshort
EUR/JPY (Swing) Short IdeaAfter seeing a spike upside sweeping out liquidity, price swiftly caused a Shift in structure to the downside leaving some imbalances along the way, over time price has collectively moved back to the upside showing little bullish strength… Returning to my areas of interest i.e fib entry zone and supply zones. Dropping to lower tfs we have now made some additional structural shifts downside giving me more confirmation for short positions.
Potential double top in EUR/JPY, sell if the resistance holdsHello traders, I am observing the 4H chart in EUR/JPY and I have noticed a potential
sell opportunity. This could be a potential double top on the 4H chart.
So, if the resistance zone holds, traders can consider selling EURJPY@164.88-165
with TP at 163.65 Note that, the sell condition will be valid only if the resistance
zone highlighted in the chart remains unbroken.
EURJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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EURJPY Analysis (12th April 2024)
Market Analysis PT2/2 (12th April 2024)
EURJPY Analysis
On the 4 hour timeframe, price action has created a a nice support and resistance of about 40 pips wide. This tells us that price on EJ is currently consolidating.
There are 2 potential scenarios here:
1) Price pushes higher, breaking through the 4 hour resistance, and retesting it before going higher. I am leaning towards a bullish Bias due to how the higher timeframe on the weekly and daily is also bullish.
2) IF price decided to break the support, i will wait until the over all Daily Orderblock fails, before looking for potential Sells.
Inflation Deflator Prints 30m Sell Signal for $EURJPYThe price is currently retesting 30m supply zone after a hard drop off Inflation Deflator sell signal. Price may retest purple trendline, but strong 4h supply zone above should hold (green box). We should get a drop soon down to green line. 1:1 RR
EURJPY - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I expect bullish price action from here as there is a confluence of rejection from bullish order block + FIBO 0.618 level + institutional big figure 164.000.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow we will see result of Interest Rate in Europe, followed by ECB Press Conference, news with high impact on currency.
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EUR/JPY minor short(4/9/2024)Today, the EUR/JPY price rose in the early morning, and right now the price made a good rejection from the 165.1 zone.
this rejection could lead to further downward movement after a short retracement.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EURJPY - Mar. 6th, 2024BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): 161.550 - 166.700
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): 159.750 - 161.550
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): 155.710 - 159.750
Monthly: Bullish
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
Previous bearish trend has been labeled along with the DNT area and the initial bullish zone that price broke into to flip the trend. Currently price is onto the next bullish zone and structure is holding well in step up patterns. Price has already tested 163.450 twice on the daily, looking for 4h structure to develop back as bullish and test a third time, or for price to pullback down to the 161.900 level at the top of the zone. It would be more risky if price pulls back to 161.900 level as this would be the second test (daily timeframe) after the 4h price had confirmed it as bullish.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
EURJPY to find resistance at the current market level?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Our short term bias remains negative.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Weekly pivot is at 163.55.
We look to Sell at 163.55 (stop at 164.05)
Our profit targets will be 162.65 and 162.45
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURJPY 515 PIPS SHORT TRADE READ DISCRIPTION
1. **Bearish Setup and Reversal**: EUR/JPY is showing signs of a bearish setup and potential reversal. A fresh supply zone has been identified between 162.957 and 163.457, where investors, institutions, big players, and hedge funds are anticipated to initiate short trades in bulk. This zone serves as a significant area of resistance, suggesting a potential reversal in the pair's price movement.
2. **COT Data Analysis**: The Commitments of Traders (COT) data indicates a substantial bearish sentiment, with 443,000 short positions and only 180,000 long positions. This data suggests a significant imbalance in favor of short positions, reinforcing the potential for downward pressure on EUR/JPY.
3. **Trader Sentiments**: Trader sentiments show a strong bias towards shorts, with 78% of traders holding short positions and only 22% holding long positions. This sentiment aligns with the bearish outlook indicated by the COT data.
4. **Fundamental Analysis**: The fundamental analysis suggests that the Japanese yen is weakening after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) adopted a dovish tone, signaling expectations for further weakness. This news is likely to impact EUR/JPY negatively, supporting a bearish bias.
5. **Technical Analysis Indicators**: All trading indicators are signaling a strong sell sentiment, further supporting the bearish outlook for EUR/JPY.
6. **Trade Parameters**:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade setup is 24.73, indicating a potentially favorable risk-reward profile.
- Take Profit Levels (TPs): Three take profit levels have been identified and marked with yellow horizontal lines. These levels provide traders with opportunities to scale out of their positions as the price moves in the desired direction.
- Profit Target: The overall profit target for this trade is set at 515 pips, representing a significant potential profit.
In conclusion, the technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis collectively suggest a strong bearish outlook for EUR/JPY. The identified supply zone, coupled with the overwhelmingly bearish sentiment and supportive fundamental factors, presents a compelling opportunity for short trades. Traders should closely monitor the trade, adjusting their positions based on market dynamics and adhering to risk management principles.
EURJPY - Potential long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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EURJPY SELL SIGNAL Reversal tradeI have followed CHFJPY pair since jan 2nd you can check for the analysis at the time, never got an entry did not enter. Missed the entry for chfjpy yesterday so i just entered on eurjpy pair
Eurjpy has been in a very exhausted uptrend and currently every signal shows that its going down now.
Let me know what you think about this trade signal and leave a follow and boost if you love this sort of content
eurjpy analysis. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURJPY ShortMARKET PHASE
OANDA:EURJPY is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it's initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 162.374. Price is likely to retrace to this level before continuing downwards.
TRADE
I will be entering short on OANDA:EURJPY with the following parameters:
Sell Limit: 162.374
Stop Loss: 162.589
Take Profit: 161.943