EUR/JPY - SHORT; Geopolitics matters - Center stage.Given the inevitability of;
1) An abject Chinese population collapse - already under way -, necessitating the consequent *** massive DEurbanization, DEindustrialization *** (leaving in its wake ~800 million subsistence "gardeners" - No, not even farms, in the traditional sense of scale!);
2) Japan having *** the only other (beside the US) long range Navy *** capable to protect shipping/supply lines, anywhere on the globe; (While China couldn't defend it's own coast line, if push came to shove. All that The "Chinese Menace" propaganda is laughable, at best. China is already dead, it just hasn't rolled over, yet, fully.)
3) The EU's obvious, ongoing Hara Kiri (the kind that would fill every samurai with envy), the demise of the Euro is a foregone conclusion. (How long for total EU disintegration?? ... A) Most likely measured in a couple years; B) It is well under way!.
4) Germany's full and unmitigated retreat from a collapsed Chinese market - the US filling the vacuum in every imaginable corner on the globe;
5) Japan being *** the only other (alongside Taiwan, S. Korea and the US) precision manufacturer of high-technology, of any scale ***;
6) ...
...
12) ...
There are at least a dozen existential reasons - already well within grasp! - all of which will leave Japan likely the only industrial power standing in Asia, while Germany (as is the whole of Europe) will be forced to backtrack to the '60s. - Not to the 1960s, no ... to the 1860s!
The technicals are also favorable to start shorting this pair from here, ... on and on ... onto forever.
p.s. The rise of France in Europe and Japan's in Asia - relative to their current industrial and geopolitical pull- is all but a foregone conclusion.
France being the "youngest" industrial and agricultural power in the EU while Japan, having survived - so far - their own demographic apocalypse, will have ring side seats to revel in the total and abject Chinese collapse. Germany also "only" lacks any and all domestic energy or food resources (except Sauerkraut), while also beset with a demographic apocalypse that is about to hit its full stride.
