Long on EURJPY with CautionThis week, I'm taking a long position on EURJPY based on the 4-hourly chart. While some may see it as a Bullish Gartley pattern with a warning sign, others may interpret it differently, perhaps as a Bullish Gartley on PEZ or a key support level.
My Trade Plan on EURJPY
1. Long position initiated based on the 4-hourly chart.
2. Watching closely for any violation of 161.23, which could prompt a reevaluation.
3. Awaiting the market to hit the first target.
Share your thoughts and trade plans for EURJPY. How are you interpreting the pattern?
Let's continue the discussion!
EURJPY
Analyzing EUR/JPY Dynamics Post-Tokyo CPI SurgeAmid the bustling European trading session on Tuesday, the EUR/JPY cross finds itself grappling with a downward shift, slipping beneath the mid-163.22s. This move follows closely on the heels of the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February, which has ignited speculations about an impending shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) interest rate policy. The CPI surge signals a potential departure from the negative interest rate regime, thereby bolstering the Japanese Yen (JPY) and exerting downward pressure on the cross.
Fresh data from the Statistics Bureau of Japan paints an intriguing picture, with the Tokyo CPI soaring to 2.6% year-over-year in February, a notable jump from January's 1.6%. However, when excluding Fresh Food and Energy, the CPI moderated slightly to 3.1% year-over-year in January from the previous 3.3%. This surge in price growth above the central bank's target for February has fueled speculation regarding the BoJ's first interest rate hike since 2007, bolstering the JPY against its currency counterparts.
BoJ board member Hajime Takata has dropped tantalizing hints about a potential early shift in the central bank's policy, suggesting that the coveted price target is now within reach, warranting a change in monetary policy stance. However, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda remains cautiously optimistic, emphasizing the need for further data to validate the emergence of a sustainable wage-price cycle.
Meanwhile, over in Euro territory, all eyes are on the European Central Bank (ECB) as it gears up for its March meeting later this week. Market watchers eagerly anticipate whether the ECB will maintain the main refinancing rate at 4.5%, with ECB President Christine Lagarde's recent remarks hinting at a continued struggle against disinflation. Lagarde stressed the importance of gathering more data before contemplating any rate adjustments. The market will be closely attuned to the forthcoming press conference, where any deviation from a hawkish tone could trigger selling pressure on the Euro (EUR) and cast a shadow over the EUR/JPY cross.
In light of the current landscape, our analysis paints a picture of a potential JPY strengthening, possibly prompting a retracement in the EUR/JPY pair.
EURJPYWhile we have a bearish set up on the monthly charts, we are seeing signs of strong bullish correction that is about to mitigate a previous supply at 165. Despite the indication by Bank of Japan (BoJ) to raise rates in the future, we maintain a bullish bias in the short term. Our long term bias remains bearish after we get clear signs of reversals.
EURJPY Break down Trenline begin DownTrendEURJPY cuts down the uptrend line. At the same time, the price broke through the resistance zone at 161.89.
Currently, the price is recovering to backtest the resistance zone.
At this point we can consider entering 2 orders
#1 SELL
SL: 163,047
TP: 158,414 about the 50% zone of Fibonaci
#2 SELL
Stoploss: 163,047
Takeprofit: 155,490 about 76% of Fibonaci
#3 Follow the order if the price reaches 1/2 TP, close 1/2 and move the SL.
Good Luck to You!
EURJPY → Day Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Price reversal going up, levels for BUY . EURJPY long
! Great BUY opportunity EURJPY
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EUR/JPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportEUR/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 161.964 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 161.32 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 38.2% retracement and the 100.0% projection.
Take profit is at 162.920 which is a pullback resistance.
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EUR/JPY H4 | Falling to overlap supportEUR/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 161.910
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Stop Loss: 161.405
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 163.440
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURJPY, Trading range is more likely.EURJPY / 1D
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
EURJPY has been trading around a KEY Level on the yearly time frame. I expect the price to more likely form a trading range. Check out the trigger plan for more confirmation.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
EUR/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello,Friends!
EUR/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 161.811 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EURJPY : Short Trade , 1hHello traders, we want to check the EURJPY chart. The price is moving in a descending channel and has pulled back to the indicated key level. We expect this level to play the role of a resistance level and the downward trend of the price will be maintained. If the price falls, our target will be 162,000. Good luck.
EURJPY to form a lower high?EURJPY - Intraday
Buying pressure from 161.68 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Short term bias has turned negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 162.95 (stop at 163.35)
Our profit targets will be 161.95 and 161.75
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
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EUR-JPY Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bearish correction and will
Soon hit a horizontal support
Of 161.588 from where we
Will be expecting a bullish rebound
Because we are bullish biased on the pair
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
EURJPY SELL BIASWeekly: Bullish, Retested unmitigated ob 163.150-750, Week closed above recent high, price is 300 pips above last major support and 120 pips from next major resistance.
Daily: Bullish, Rejection from major resistance the day before market close, Price is on a 100 pip bullish run breaking major zone without a valid pullback.
4hr: Consolidation, Double top pattern near major resistance, Strong
bullish trendline, Support that haven't been tested at 162.375.
1hr: Consolidation, In a zone formed after rejection of major resistance, Bearish choch, Recent rejection from bottom of consolidation zone, Unmitigated ob at 163.100 at the top of the zone, Unmitigated ob at 162.100, Rejection from .618 fib retracement.
15m: Consolidation, Currently under 50 ema, Bullish choch formed before market close, Rejection of minor resistance at 162.875, Bearish flag pattern Double top pattern, Unmitigated ob at 163.100, Unmitigated ob at 162.500.
I believe the bull run is about to reverse to the downside for a pullback to the last daily support at 161.925. i would like to see price exit and break and retest the last major 4hr support before entering a trade to and we can start aiming for the liquidity made from a break of the 4hr trendline.
Sell EURJPY Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a triangle pattern.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines. This pattern can be interpreted as a continuation of the prior trend or a potential reversal depending on the breakout direction. The recent break below the lower trendline signifies a potential confirmation of a downtrend continuation.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 163.08, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels 162.33 and 161.98
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 163.40. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you