Euraudlong
EURAUD 700+ pips movement could happenI will be doing a multi-time frame analysis to give you a good perspective of what the price getting ready to do. To have better opportunities in the market we want to have all the confluences posibles in our favor.
Monthly:
The price is overextended to the downside. We should know that every healthy market cannot move only in one direction. When the price is overextended we always could expect a retracement.
If we take the Fibonacci from the highest point of the retracement to the lower point of the retracement, we can note that the price has reached the Fibonacci profit taking level -.618 which will make the price weaker and help the price to make the movement that we are expecting.
The price has took the liquidity from a previous low. When price take liquidity from one side the movement to the opposite side is most likely to happen.
There is a M formation known as mitigation block, We could expect the price to retrace to the previous support to complete the pattern.
There is inefficiency in the price because the rapid movement that the price created to the downside.
Weekly:
The only thing that we can see different from the Monthly is the inverted head and shoulders the price has created. This confluence is great because is a reversal pattern and is telling us that the price could start the bullish run soon.
Daily:
The price from crating lower lows now is creating short term higher highs. The price have not break the previous lower high which means that technically the price still bearish ( Bad confluence).
Fundamentals:
COT REPORT:
EUR net positions:
Large speculators:31301
Leverage Funds: -5041
Asset Managers: 213,523
AUD net positions:
Large speculators:-28832
Leverage Funds:-13441
Asset Managers: 1426
The COT is telling us that the EUR is stronger which is good because for this movement to happen the EUR has to be stronger than the AUD
EURAUD LONGEURAUD has broken the Symmetrical triangle pattern in Upside.
We taking this trade based on technical analysis and price action.
(1) DO NOT ENTER ANY TRADE BEFORE THE ENTRY LEVEL
(2) USE YOUR STOP LOSS
(3) DO NOT HOLD A LOSS FOR MORE THAN 2 DAYS
Please use proper risk management depending on your account size, Use lot sizes based on these calculations.
Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars
0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c
0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50
0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00
1 Lot size = R 146,26
How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960)
So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment)
Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets.
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EUR/AUD: Watchlist Long Trade for next weekEUR/AUD: Watchlist Long Trade for next week
> High Volume POC below current levels
> 3 touch inner upward trend
> inverse Shoulder-Head-Shoulder
> Need a break of the last falling high + 2 touch inner downward trend break
We are looking for a break of structure + change in sequence. This will be achieved once the last lower high is broken to the upside.
Check out our last Stream by Wall Street Trader Meikel Mokry:
www.tradingview.com
Meikel & Your Team WSI