Euro can rebound up to 1.0900 points, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that some time ago price rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and declined to 1.0650 points. After this, the EUR turned around and started to trades inside an upward pennant, where it in a short time rebounded from the support line and rose to the 1.0725 level. Soon, the price broke this level and started to trades inside the range, where it at some time rose to the top part of the consolidation, but soon turned around and declined to support line of pennant. After this movement, the EUR made an impulse up to the current support level, which coincided with the support area, thereby exiting from the range. Also soon, the price broke this level and later reached the resistance line of the pennant, after which turned around and started to decline near this line to 1.0835 level. Now, it continues to trade near this level, so, in my opinion, the Euro can little decline and then rebound up, exiting from the pennant pattern. For this reason, I set my target at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe!
Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics:
Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong):
The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market.
European Session (London):
The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session.
3. North American Session (New York):
The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active.
4. Best Times to Trade:
To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions.
Best Days to Trade
While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays.
By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]All you need for Order types in FX Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Understanding the various order types in forex trading is essential for navigating the market efficiently and executing trades effectively. Here's a concise overview of some common order types:
1. Market Order:
This order is executed immediately at the current market price. It is used when a trader wants to enter or exit a trade quickly.
More of for Day Trading - A trader might use market orders to quickly enter and exit positions based on real-time news events or technical signals.
Live example
> A trader sees a positive European's news release and expects a quick upward move in the EUR/USD pair. They use a market order to buy EUR/USD at the current price of 1.1950, aiming to sell it later in the day at a higher price based on the expected market reaction.
2. Limit Order:
A limit order allows traders to specify the price at which they want to enter or exit a trade. It's used to buy below the current market price or sell above it, ensuring entry or exit at a specific price level or better.
For example for Swing Trading - A trader might place a buy limit order at a support level, expecting the price to bounce back up, or a sell limit order at a resistance level, expecting the price to fall.
Live Example
> A trader identifies strong support for USD/JPY at 110.50 and places a buy limit order at this price, expecting the price to rebound. When the market price dips to 110.50, the order is executed, and the trader aims to sell at 111.50.
3. Stop Order(Stop-Loss Order):
A stop order becomes a market order once a specified price level is reached. It's commonly used to limit losses or protect profits by triggering a trade when the market moves in a certain direction.
This, in my opinion should be used as Risk Management for all traders - A trader sets a stop-loss order below the entry price for a long position or above the entry price for a short position to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position.
Live Example
> A trader buys GBP/USD at 1.3500, anticipating a rise. To protect against unexpected drops, they place a stop-loss order at 1.3450. If the price falls to 1.3450, the order executes, limiting the trader's loss to 50 pips.
4. Stop-Limit Order:
A stop-limit order combines features of both stop and limit orders. It triggers a limit order to buy or sell at a specified price once the stop price is reached, offering more control over entry and exit prices.
More of for Advanced Trading - A trader might use a stop-limit order to ensure they enter a position only if the price reaches a certain level but still want to control the maximum price they are willing to pay.
Live Example:
A trader wants to buy EUR/GBP only if it breaks above 0.8500 but not pay more than 0.8520. They place a stop-limit order with a stop price of 0.8500 and a limit price of 0.8520. If the price hits 0.8500, the order becomes a limit order, executing only if the price is 0.8520 or lower.
5. Trailing Stop Order: A trailing stop order is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts automatically as the market price moves in the trader's favor. It helps lock in profits while allowing for potential further gains.
For Trend Following - A trader might use a trailing stop order to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor, allowing the stop price to trail the market price and protect gains if the market reverses.
A trader buys USD/CAD at 1.3000 and sets a trailing stop order with a 50-pip trail. As the price rises to 1.3100, the trailing stop adjusts to 1.3050. If the price then falls to 1.3050, the order executes, locking in a 50-pip profit.
Hopefully these explanations on the various Trading Orders open you up to more strategies that you can applied in the market for you to trade more efficiently and profitably!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EURCHF Sell signal at the top of Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 26 2022 Low. Today it hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level which on January 13 2023 formed the last Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, this is the first long-term sell signal that has emerged since that date. We want to keep a safer, short-term perspective though and will only short towards the bottom of the current Channel Up (which is the Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Down) and target 0.977500.
If then EURCHF closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, we will re-sell and target Support 1 at 0.95700, similar to the March 13 2023 Low.
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Implementing SEASONAL TENDENCIESHi guys,
In this video I go through what are "seasonal tendencies", and how you can implement it into your analysis and strategy(ies).
Seasonal tendencies in the context of financial markets are basically what the particular market or asset has historically done throughout the years in terms of bullish or bearish movement. For example, in April-May the US Dollar is usually bearish, and from May-June it is usually bullish. This is useful information because it can add confluence to your bias/analysis. However, you do not want to solely use this information as a reason to get into a trade. The data is based on the past, and is not indicative to the present/future and also does not represent how much a market or asset can move because the data is only measured relative to what it has previously done. The best approach is to use this as an additional thumbs up if it coincides with your analysis, and if it does, then it allows you to be a bit more cautious or risk averse.
A simple analogy is the weather. If you were planning a holiday to Thailand for a sunny getaway, the best times would be from March to July. Most likely you are not going to book a holiday in November during the monsoon season, unless you actually wanted it to rain every day. However, some years have had very little to no rain during the monsoon season. That being said, you would most likely choose to go during a time that seasonally has hot and sunny weather. This is how you can use seasonal tendencies to add an additional layer to your analysis.
I hope that was insightful and gave you some ideas to test if you've never heard of seasonal tendencies. You can implement this both as a technical or fundamental analyst (or both).
Til next time, happy trading.
- R2F
Weekly Forex Forecast May 20-25th... Part 1This 2 part video covers ...
- USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
- S&P500, NASDAQ, GOLD, SILVER, CRUDE OIL
Thank you for viewing!
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
May profits be upon you.
EURUSD: The time to sell is now.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.508, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 33.468) but is on the 4th day of descend, which is a natural reaction as it almost hit the top of the 5-month Channel Down. In the meantime the 1D RSI almost hit the top of its own 5-month Rectangle. We are still on the ideal level to short. Our Target is intact just over the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.05550).
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EURNZD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURNZD for a selling opportunity around 1.78600 zone, EURNZD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.78600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURAUD: The most important zones to watchHey Traders, above is a technical overview on EURAUD and the most important zones to watch, we are watching EURAUD for a potential selling opportunity from the resistance area of 1.63100, We would also like to consider the current DXY weakness for potential dollar strength, the dollar is indirectly negatively correlated with AUD, when the dollar is weak stocks, cryptocurrencies and metals prices become interesting and AUD is positively correlated with stocks along with NZD.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR-USD | 15 M LONG | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, I have determined the formation target on the chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
FX:EURUSD
EURUSD: Analysis Overview:
We have identified two parallel channels, which are linear regression channels. Key zones have been calculated using fractals and pivot points.
Key Levels:
Long Entry:
Breaking above 1.0871 presents an opportunity to enter a long position on a reversal.
Short Entry:
Breaking below 1.0850 presents an opportunity to short the pair.
Validity:
This analysis remains valid until the next significant news release and the end of this week.
Note:
Important News: Keep an eye on upcoming economic reports and announcements, as they could significantly impact the market direction.
End of Week: Review positions and analysis as we approach the end of the trading week to ensure alignment with current market conditions.
Conclusion:
Stay alert to the price action around the specified levels, and be prepared to act based on the breakout or breakdown from these key zones.
Heading towards 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/NZD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.78614
1st support: 1.76772
1st Resistance: 1.79606
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Entry: 1.0806
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0768
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0895
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Weak DXY and Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.08100 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSDGood morning, the local context currently looks bullish. We have two confirmations of market structure. Below, there is a liquidity cluster, and after it is taken out, the optimal intraday target is the previous week's high (PWH). The scenario will be invalidated if an hourly candle closes below 1.08715. In case of changes, I plan to update the idea.
EURJPY Still bullish. Continue buying the dips.The EURJPY pair gave us a textbook buy-low-sell-high two-way trade last time we looked at it (March 25, see chart below) and hit both targets:
Right now it may be shifting into a new Channel Up (dashed), diverging slightly from the (blue) long-term one. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been holding as Support basically since the January 10 bullish break-out, so technically the long-term trend remains bullish.
Our Target is 173.500, the top of the (blue) long-term Channel Up.
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Could EUR/GBP bounce from here?Price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8547
1st Support: 0.8530
1st Resistance: 0.8581
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.08843
1st Support: 1.08350
1st Resistance: 1.09356
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support, could it bounce from here?EUR/AUD is falling towards a support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.61539
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.60030
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.63691
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 19th May 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss as you will miss how I analyse the market, the TLDR is that my bullish Dollar bias is on hold until I can see May's candle closes. However, I am slightly leaning for a possibly bearish Dollar to the Yearly Bisi below, but as we know things can change in an instant as this year is also election year in the USA. All my analysis of other pairs revolve around my opinion of the DXY.
Hit me up if you have any analysis request or just want to learn how to do all of this independently by yourself.
- R2F
EN and GN still bias on downside...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Bias still on the downside, bounce would be coming but likely to still look for shorting opportunities for this EURNZD and GBPNZD
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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