GBPUSD 17/12/23Starting our week off with GU now this is one of our only USD secondary pairs that sits in a bullish range within our SW structure. we overall will respect the range for longs while keeping in mind the gap we have under our SWL.
as it stands EU and XU have shifted their bias to short so we could either be seeing a slight miss correlations before the new year, or we have a nice fake out withing our current structures.
either way we are following our entry models and risking the according levels of cap.
EU
EURUSD: LOOKING TO GO LONG LADIES AND GENTS!We just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair! Such A BIG JUICY... BULL CANDLE after the FOMC!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Short Video Conclusion On EUR's Retracement ☄️Short Video Conclusion On EUR's Retracement
Video Content:
Dear Viewers, it was one of my first EURUSD video analytics. On TradingView, you can see a verified timestamp of 01 December. You might also remember the original video when I shared the signal.
I'm happy to announce the idea completed its Target Price. Your profit is the difference between these two levels. It's about two and seven percent. With a $100k investment, the trade returned $2700. The price has been consistently following the expected trajectory. So, we can't talk about about any significant drawdown.
I thank you for your attention, and congratulations if you share a similarly profitable vision.
Market Devlelopment:
I still have a bearish vision on EURUSD. I expect yield seeking on USD can pressure the EUR price as down as $1.067. I believe that trendlines in the video are still valid. I wouldn't open a short here, but I'll keep the short I already have extended with a trail profit, which was my stop loss I moved down as the price smoothly followed the expected trajectory. I consider it as a take profit because the trail profit will close the position any moment. However, I can't tell the exact price yet because the bearish outlook persists. It's either +2.7% or more.
Beyond Video:
It is not an investment advice. Do your research. Do not trade if you do not understand.
- Ely
EURUSD 1DOn the daily timeframe, on Monday, we experienced a break of the long context, followed by a continuation of the movement with the aim of covering the formed imbalance. By the beginning of the next week, I would like to see a correction to the zone of the nearest fractal formed on Thursday, with the potential to cover the imbalance. The nearest target for me is the fractal at 1.065.
EURUSD Still Bullish.. [Let me explain]Hey Traders
#EURUSD
The chart is pretty self-explanatory. But let's break it down further:
First: Why do we see a bullish EU?
- As you can see we are in a bullish trend, (obviously)
- Everyone is selling... (Phycological), People are saying we have a break of structure, but we are technically just liquidating...
- If you have been trading for a while, you definitely see this pattern often ( I don't know patterns and what they're called.. etc. but I researched it up so you guys can research it up as well)
- News on Friday! I know Friday is far (8th of Dec), but what forecasts say are usually just banks tryna get people to go think in a certain way. We have a forecast indicating a bullish DXY. This means people will be more focused on selling EU this week. This means more liquidity for banks!
Second: Phycology part? We have all heard that trading is 90% psychology, and it's true!
- I want you to go look at the ideas on Tradingview right now. You will find 80% saying bearish! Don't forget that only 10% of Forex traders are profitable! So if they're all right. Who's gonna liquidate?
And always remember, Trend lines are meant to be broken! But breaking them doesn't mean we are changing trends (Sometimes just liquidity grabs). And candles take the stairs up and the elevator down!
I'm in a LONG on EU from 1.08607 targeting 1.09503. Safe trade with no risk since my SL is at BE already!
Many people might disagree with the psychology part, but I've been through 3 years of live market and seen this and that.
Good luck everyone
Trade safe with risk management
EURUSD 3/12/23Euro to the US dollar being one of the only pairs that looks like it may be difficult this week the reason for this is we are still within a strong bearish range when overall the narrative we believe is going to shift bullish we'll monitor this over Monday session to see how it shapes up in comparison to its correlated pairs overall I believe the swing high is going to be taken and we will align with the other US dollar secretary pairs everywhere.
EURUSD 26/11/23Next up is euro to the US dollar this pair is also following the bias of British power to US dollar which is a very clear bullish push now we do have a swing low with an unmitigated POI but I will allow price to liquidate the lows that we have highlighted underneath our swing low for them possibly a shift higher but overall we are bullish on this pair until structure tells us otherwise.
Analyzing Potential EUR Movements: Channel Pattern SVM OverviewD ear Esteemed TradingView Community,
I trust this idea finds you well. In the intricate world of trading, where decisions are often rooted in data and analysis, I'd like to share my recent findings regarding the EURUSD market. Please note that this is not financial advice but rather a reflection of my analytical perspective.
In October, my focus zeroed in on a noteworthy development in the EUR market: the emergence of a demand zone around the $1.05 level. Leveraging advanced tools like AI and Kernel SVMs, I identified this zone as pivotal support, opening the door to intriguing possibilities for both short and long positions.
The demand zone, acting as a robust support, fueled a successful long trade as the price reached the projected target. However, the current scenario introduces the prospect of a short position, with potential entry points highlighted by the bottom purple line, a resistance level identified by SVMs.
As we navigate the intricate dance between support and resistance, it's crucial to acknowledge the uncertainty inherent in market dynamics. The potential breakout from the resistance is not guaranteed, and the price might trace its steps back, especially if it encounters resistance at the identified purple line. In the event of a reversal, the previous long entry point (demand zone) could serve as a short target.
Bearish scenarios envision the price consolidating below the resistance, possibly entering a downtrend. Yet, the journey to the demand zone may not be immediate, as additional chart patterns could manifest between the resistance and the demand zone, either reinforcing or challenging the short thesis.
A significant surge in sell volume on 13-14 November raises the probability of a bearish scenario. This surge, aligned with the preceding rally, suggests a potential exit strategy for investors capitalizing on heightened market activity. The existence of a parallel resistance trendline, derived from historical peaks, adds another layer of complexity to the analysis.
While indications of a breakout are not definitive, the possibility of the price returning to the rising channel between trendlines cannot be dismissed, especially considering the impact of unforeseen news events. Though technically less probable, the practice of markets often defies technical norms.
In conclusion, I've marked this analysis as 'short,' considering the potential bearish patterns associated with rising channels. However, it's essential to approach these insights with a discerning eye, recognizing the dynamic nature of financial markets. Your attention to these nuances is greatly appreciated.
Kind Regards,
Ely
EUR/USD Faces Retracement Amidst Economic UncertaintiesEUR/USD Faces Retracement Amidst Economic Uncertainties
The EUR/USD pair experienced a notable decline on Tuesday, retracing from its recent three-month high at 1.0965, marking the 61.8% Fibonacci level from the daily swing. The retracement has set a target of approximately 1.0830, with a potential extension down to 1.0780, aiming to fill the Value gap created by last week's economic news impact.
The fall in the EUR/USD was influenced by the release of US data on Tuesday, revealing a larger-than-expected decline in Existing Home Sales for October, reaching an annual rate of 3.7 million against the anticipated 3.9 million. Looking ahead, key economic indicators, including the weekly Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders, and the final reading of University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, are set to be released on Wednesday.
Despite these economic uncertainties, the FOMC minutes released on Tuesday provided little new information. Members of the Federal Reserve expressed ongoing concerns about inflation, emphasizing the possibility of further tightening if progress in curbing inflation proves insufficient. However, market reactions indicated a lack of significant response to the minutes.
In light of the economic landscape and the prevailing uncertainties, the EUR/USD pair appears poised for a deep retracement. Traders and investors will closely monitor upcoming economic data releases to gauge the potential impact on currency markets, as the pair navigates through the evolving economic landscape.
Below 1.1000 look for further downside with 1.0830 & 1.0780 as targets.
Yesterday Entry:
$EU Short Idea UPDATEHi guys, this time i bring you an Euro analysis which isn't directional because i want you to comment your thoughts about where this is going to go, in my own opinion this is bearish at the moment but it could turn into a bullish situation if DXY flips it's H4 OB or bounces down from the Daily OB.
UPDATE: DXY had a CISD(Change in delivery of state) which leaves us with one conclusion with a few confluences
-DXY CISD & Weak push
-EU upper liq
$EU AnalysisHi guys, this time i bring you an Euro analysis which isn't directional because i want you to comment your thoughts about where this is going to go, in my own opinion this is bearish at the moment but it could turn into a bullish situation if DXY flips it's H4 OB or bounces down from the Daily OB.
EURUSD 12/11/23With EUR usd this week we finished in the same range that we started Friday meaning there wasn't much to do when it came to adjustments in terms of this week's outlook and we know that gbp usd has gone bullish, so there is potential for euro to follow this movement overall structurally we have a barest range so we have to continue to follow that but we will be using caution coming into this week as possible bullish reversals are on the table.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
EU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)I am still long-term bearish on EURUSD until proven otherwise. With the current global climate, unprecedented events can occur at anytime and change everything on a dime.
My initial target for a reversal back to the downside is a 3-Week Sibi residing just above the current Monthly Sibi. It is salient that the 3-Week candle does not close in the upper quadrant of it's range. It would be reasonable for price to reach all the way to the Bearish Weekly Breaker before reversing, but a strong close above the Weekly iFVG above would make me reconsider my bias.
Narrative-wise, I am anticipating price to return into a 2-Week BPR before continuing higher into my short POIS. I'll post an analysis on the Daily timeframe for more specific scenarios.
EU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)I am still long-term bearish on EURUSD until proven otherwise. With the current global climate, unprecedented events can occur at anytime and change everything on a dime.
My initial target for a reversal back to the downside is a 3-Week Sibi residing just above the current Monthly Sibi. It is salient that the 3-Week candle does not close in the upper quadrant of it's range. It would be reasonable for price to reach all the way to the Bearish Weekly Breaker before reversing, but a strong close above the Weekly iFVG above would make me reconsider my bias.
Narrative-wise, I am anticipating price to return into a 2-Week BPR before continuing higher into my short POIS. I'll post an analysis on the Daily timeframe for more specific scenarios.
EURUSD 5/11/23Starting off this week with Euro to the US dollar we saw a clear bullish trend established last week and we had some very strong bullish moves from our later session.
We're looking for this move to continue forward as until we see a change in direction or a shift in narrative expect the same trend to continue we've broken down our 5 minute high establishing our swing high as well as a counter swing order block we have a major low within our range we also have an unmitigated area for price to revisit which would be our ideal before the next expansion.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
EUEURUSD seems to have broken a channel and made a pullback. The EMA50 has just gone under the EMA200 and we seem to be rejecting the 200 aswell, this would signify potentially the start of a downwards move, over next week we can see if this develops further. I Have attached another post which is more on the daily timeframe of EU.
DXY- The start of a new journey?DXY has broken a previous high and has escaped this range scenario from 01/01/22, Price has now formed a flag or consolidation above this high. If we take the length of the flag pole and extend it above the flag itself we can see this price ends up in this area of previous value, in my opinion USD is likely to make a move here. We can look for tell tale signs of selling of in risk assets to add fuel to the fire here. You can also check my EURUSD Idea on how to potentially make some profits in the upcoming moves.
EURUSDEURUSD on the Daily chart has broken the June 2023 Low and we have returned to the price and have started to build value under it, with this consolidation/flag forming, we can wait for a breakout of this flag to look for downside momentum with the dashed lines forming potential take profits on the way down. SPX is also looking weak currently, we could see the DXY gain some momentum.
EURUSD - Story Time (ICT)This is just a possible narrative that may unfold. Do not trade based on this without the proper confirmation. This is not a signal.
If Phase 2 extends higher, then will look for possible NY/News reversal. If price breaks utmost swing high, then I will post where I think price will likely gravitate towards to.
EU - Daily Timeframe Analysis (ICT)Very nice delivery in price lately.
Wednesday reached into the Weekly Sibi and 4-day Sibi which coincided with a bearish Mitigation Block's wick. Thursday pushed up one more time to trap buyers, as well as touching the bottom of a NWOG. CPI on Thursday trapped and liquidated many buyers with it's immediate drop lower. Friday continued lower, leaving a Daily Sibi in it's wake to close the week.
I'm very interested in this created Daily Sibi if price would enter it before reaching any major objective on the higher timeframe narrative. Specifically, the Daily Bisi turned iFVG. Residing there is a NMOG, and the Mean Threshold of a clean Daily Breaker Block on Forex.com, which only shows a gap on FXCM. Planning out a swing short around there would be high-probability in my opinion.
EURUSD 9/10/23Our final pair for this week Euro USD you can see that we are in again a bullish swing range this swing range was only confirmed after price shifted lower from the market open gap again this holds less probability when it comes to confirming a truly manipulated high within our swing range but as it stands we will look at it as a true breaker structure since this breaker structure we have tapped into our only unmitigated POI and we have seen a bullish move up we have not come up to fill the gap yet, But as we are in a bullish range it makes the fulfilment of this gap even more probable of course we will look towards our Tuesday sessions for our true price movements as today is a bank holiday but we will continue to follow price action to see if we can get some short term moves until this gap and range is fulfilled
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!