EU
EURUSDThe euro fell to below $1.17, close to levels not seen in a month after the Fed signaled interest rates may need to rise faster than initially expected. Earlier in the month, the ECB decided to move to “a moderately lower pace” in its €1.85 trillion PEPP from the €80 billion a month level it has run at since March, amid a stronger near-term outlook for prices and growth.
In my opinion DAX is going down todayAT:
- 2 failed tries to go above trendline
- not overcoming higher high
Fundamentals:
- bad situation with Evergrande developer
- soon tapering will be executed
- autumn - end of vacation ;-)
- very very big growth after pandemic lows
this is only my opinion, not recomendation. I'm putting it here just to test if I had right later.
Eurusd upcoming forecastEU is making 1hr higher highs and higher lows at the minute. Lets see if we get a nice entry long to fill imbalance above . We are in a 5/15 and 1 hour buy range. I will look for entry long if we get it ....to aim for imbalance. If we push up first and fill imbalance, I will look for shorts as we are in a 4hour sell range still.
EURUSD INSTITITUTIONAL ANALYSIS (PRO)The market is currently bearish and we expect to see more bearish pressure on market open come Monday 20th September.
Basing some of this analysis on EURUSD futures contracts, we expect to see slight pullbacks to 1.1800 and later possibly to 1.1940 region before we can see any further continuation to the downside.
TIPS:
//FOR DAY TRADERS//
---WAIT TO SEE WEEKLY LOW FORM BY TUESDAY MARKET CLOSE, ENTER AT AN OPTIMAL "LOW" PRICE AND ENTER LONGS WITH YOUR FIRST TARGET AS 1.1800 AND SECOND ONE AT 1.1900
---------CHECK ON WEEKLY NEWS TO ENSURE YOU'RE NOT CAUGHT ON THE "WRONG SIDE OF THE MARKET" AS YOUR GURUS SAY.
----ONLY ENTER TRADES WITH CONFLUENCE.
//FOR SWING AND POSITION "WHALE TRADERS"
----USE DXY CONFLUENCE.
---------DXY LOOKING BEARISH THEREFORE WE EXPECT TO SEE A FURTHER RISE IN EURUSD AND THIS WILL BE A HALLMARK ENTRY RIGHT AT THE CURRENT PRICE. TARGETS OF A RISK REWARD OF 1:3
GOOD ENOUGH TO TAKE YOUR ENTRIES ON A LOWER TIME FRAME I.E., 4 HOUR FOR OPTIMAL RESULT AS WELL AS A CONFLUENCE CONFIRMATION BEFORE YOU HOP IN.
//KEY NOTE: STAYING CASH IS A POSITION TOO, QUALITY TRADES OVER QUANTITY TRADES//
//FOLLOW ME FOR MORE . YOU CAN SHARE A "CHEERS" TOKEN IF YOU WANT ME TO KEEP UP WITH MORE DETAILED POSTS LIKE THIS//
HAVE A LOVELY WEEKEND AHEAD AND ALL THE BEST IN YOUR TRADES MATES.
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Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
DXY (U.S. dollar) Fundamental Forecast Correct | Euro-zoneWhile the US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered quickly from the weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, the greenback may face headwinds ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) interest rate decision on September 22 as inflation is expected to fall for the first time this year, according to the Conference Board's. In the United States, the headline CPI reading is predicted to decrease to 5.3 percent in August after being constant at 5.4 percent for two months, while the core rate of inflation is expected to fall for the second month in a row. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) admits that "the economy has not yet achieved the Committee's broad-based and inclusive maximum-employment goal," evidence of slower price growth may prompt a bearish reaction in the US dollar, and the central bank may stick to its current monetary policy path, as Chairman Jerome Powell insists that "we have much ground to cover to achieve maximum employment." In contrast, signs of sticky inflation may trigger a positive reaction in the US Dollar, putting pressure on the FOMC to normalize monetary policy sooner rather than later.
It is unclear if Fed officials would make major revisions to the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), since "several participants highlighted that there were upside risks to inflation linked with worries that supply had evaporated." Fresh developments from the US economy are likely to sway the Greenback ahead of the next Fed rate decision as the central bank enters its media blackout period, but the break of the monthly opening range raises the possibility of a further advance in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which appears to have reversed course ahead of the August low (91.82).
Eurusd running 4%Eurusud running 4%. I Had a B.E trade before. Most of the profit has been taken on this trade now. We are in 1hour and 4hr sell range. Trading complete for the night. We have all those manufactured equal highs created above. Have to be aware that price could push up to swipe liquidity. Trade safe and consistent! Have a great week!
EU LONG ! 8 out 8 wins! Partials Taken on this trade! Manufactured liquidity to be taken out. I will target highs. We had an asian sweep. Price action has IMB above and below. 8 out 8 wins for the empire team! Trade management and having a solid plan is the key to be successful! Lets see what more opportunities presents itself.
Eu Long currently running 3%Eu Long running 3%. Waited for price to do asian liquidity sweep! I entered on the 5min time frame, Waited for a break of structure. Scroll below to see entry! Partials taken, capital is protected. Trade management is the key to success in trading. Price action still has the potential to come down to the back of the 1hour buy range. If this PA takes me out, That is totally fine. i will look again for another entry. Trade safe and consistent!
bullish eu10years yieldIt is time for the next cycle in bonds to develop.
bond yield on bonds of the european union is likely to go up again according to this cycle.
bond yield goes up means, bond prices are going down, which means bonds are being sold as demand on bonds lowers again, while demand on stocks rises.
what does that mean for forex ?
this means a rising EUR!
EURUSD- NFP THRILLER.Well.... yet again it was not my final post, so from now on I will not bother saying it... Here we are harmonic completed and NFP coming up, can we see price rise to our targets to secure more profits? We will see. One thing we do know is NFP is gunna be a helluva ride. Enjoy folks, and I hope my analysis was helpful this week.