Ethereum's Potential Surge: Bouncing Back from a 7-Year Support The recent weeks have been pivotal for Ethereum, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency. While its price faced some fluctuations, a crucial technical development suggests a potential for significant growth in the near future. Analysts are closely watching a technical indicator that hints at a bullish outlook for Ethereum in the coming months.
The Power of the 7-Year Support Line
The indicator in question is the ETH/BTC ratio, a metric that compares the performance of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. This ratio recently bounced off a significant support trend line that has been in place for a staggering seven years. This trend line essentially represents a historical price barrier below which the ETH/BTC ratio hasn't fallen for an extended period.
Technical analysts view such bounces from long-term support lines as potentially bullish signals. The argument is that when prices find support at these historical levels, it often precedes a period of price appreciation. In simpler terms, the fact that the ETH/BTC ratio held above this key support line suggests a potential reversal of the recent downtrend and a possible upswing for Ethereum relative to Bitcoin.
Dissecting the Bullish Signal
There's more to the story than just the bounce itself. The specific candlestick pattern formed at the support line adds further weight to the bullish interpretation. This pattern, known as a "hammer," is characterized by a long lower wick and a relatively small body, indicating selling pressure that was ultimately overcome by buying pressure. In the context of the ETH/BTC ratio, this hammer suggests that while there were attempts to push the ratio lower, bulls stepped in and prevented a significant decline.
What Could This Mean for Ethereum Prices?
While the bounce from the support line and the hammer candlestick pattern are positive signs, it's important to manage expectations. Analysts aren't suggesting an immediate surge to $4,900, the number mentioned in some headlines.
However, the technical signals do hint at a potential for a sustained increase in the value of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. This could translate to a notable rise in the USD price of Ethereum as well.
Factors to Consider Beyond Technicals
While technical analysis plays a role, it's not the sole factor influencing cryptocurrency prices. Here are some additional considerations:
• Overall market sentiment: A bullish trend in the broader cryptocurrency market would undoubtedly benefit Ethereum.
• Developments on the Ethereum network: Upcoming upgrades or positive news surrounding the Ethereum blockchain technology could further fuel its growth.
• Regulatory landscape: Regulatory clarity and adoption of Ethereum-based applications could attract more users and investors.
A Cautious Approach with a Hint of Optimism
The bounce from the 7-year support line offers a glimmer of optimism for Ethereum's future. However, investors should exercise caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, and unforeseen events can always impact prices.
Conclusion: A Potential Turning Point for Ethereum
The technical indicators surrounding the ETH/BTC ratio suggest a potential turning point for Ethereum. While the exact price trajectory remains uncertain, the bounce from the long-term support line and the bullish candlestick formation paint a hopeful picture for Ethereum's relative strength in the coming months. By staying informed about broader market trends, technological advancements, and regulatory developments, investors can make informed decisions about their Ethereum holdings.
Ethereumforecast
Ethereum Eyes $3800 as Weekly Wedge Breaks: Bulls Charge ForwardEthereum (ETH), the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is signaling a potential breakout after a period of consolidation. This technical upswing comes after ETH/USD decisively broke out of a well-defined weekly wedge chart pattern, raising hopes of a surge towards $3800.
Understanding the Weekly Wedge Pattern
The wedge pattern is a common chart formation used by technical analysts to identify potential trend continuations or reversals. In a rising wedge, two converging trendlines, one acting as support and the other as resistance, form a triangle-like shape. This price action often indicates a period of consolidation before a breakout.
In the case of ETH/USD, the recent price movement formed a rising wedge on the weekly chart. The price action respected the trendlines for several weeks, suggesting indecision amongst buyers and sellers. However, a decisive break above the upper trendline signifies a potential bullish continuation.
Bullish Sentiment Emerges
The breakout from the wedge pattern is a bullish technical indicator for Ethereum. It suggests that buyers have finally overpowered sellers and are pushing the price higher. This could be the beginning of a new uptrend, with the upper target of the wedge around $3800 coming into focus.
Several factors could be contributing to the renewed bullish sentiment surrounding Ethereum. The successful completion of the Merge, transitioning Ethereum from a Proof-of-Work to a Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, could be a key driver. This upgrade is expected to improve scalability, security, and energy efficiency for the Ethereum network in the long run.
Indicators Support the Breakout
Technical indicators on the weekly chart are also aligning with the bullish breakout. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering around 60, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, leaving room for further upside potential. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has generated a bullish crossover, suggesting a potential shift in momentum towards the upside.
Potential Roadblocks and Considerations
While the technical indicators are flashing bullish signals, it's important to acknowledge potential roadblocks that could derail the ETH/USD rally. The overall health of the cryptocurrency market and broader economic conditions will significantly influence Ethereum's price movement.
A resurgence of regulatory scrutiny on the cryptocurrency industry or a broader market sell-off could lead to a pullback in ETH's price. Additionally, unforeseen technical challenges related to the Merge or delays in Ethereum's scaling roadmap could dampen investor sentiment.
What to Watch Out For
Traders and investors should closely monitor key price levels and technical indicators to gauge the strength of the breakout. If ETH/USD can hold above the broken resistance line of the wedge pattern, it would be a positive sign for the bulls. Conversely, a drop back below the trendline could signal a potential breakdown and a return to the consolidation phase.
The trading volume associated with the breakout will also be crucial to watch. High volume breakouts are generally considered more reliable than those with lower volume, as they indicate stronger conviction from buyers.
Conclusion
The breakout of ETH/USD from the weekly wedge pattern is a welcome development for bulls. While the upper target of $3800 remains in sight, continued investor confidence, healthy market conditions, and successful implementation of Ethereum's roadmap will be essential for the bulls to maintain control. As always, proper risk management and close monitoring of technical indicators are crucial for navigating the ever-volatile cryptocurrency market.
ETHEREUM DAILY ANALYSISHello traders, here is an analysis of Ethereum for the next coming days as you can see the price has been bullish for the past weeks and now it has reached a level of resistance(blue zone) that the price tested multiple times and that will be the key for this analysis because now I will wait for the price to break that level of resistance and retest it then I will look for long opportunities.
ETH IS IT POSSIBLE?I see lot of greeds around ETH, and i think we can see something similar as the BTC ETF event. A shakeout and a drop can likely happen, and it would be a gift if the price can drop till $3.300, a level that looks solid for a possible bounce. Main trend is bullish and actually there are no reason to look for a short
Ethereum price performance analysis | 27.05The bullish reversal in the Ethereum price trend from the $2850 mark leads to a falling wedge breakout and completes a rounding bottom. With a neckline at the swing high of $4000, the altcoin is preparing for a breakout rally.
The bullish trend continues in ETH price with a 5% surge within 72 hours, potentially completing a triple white soldier pattern today. With buyers asserting dominance above $3900, the bull run chances above the $4000 psychological threshold increase significantly.
The bullish crossover in the MACD and signal lines reflects a minor pause as the histograms decline. Further, the daily RSI line turns flat near the overbought boundary, reflecting the minor consolidation below $3900.
As per the Fibonacci levels, the ETH price could aim for the $4698 level as the next target. Further, if any Ether ETF listing leaks this week, a bull run to the 1.618 Fibonacci level at $5841 is possible.
WHITEBIT:ETHUSDT
Ethereum- Nice bullish chart structure indicates 5kLike BITSTAMP:BTCUSD and much of the crypto market, COINBASE:ETHUSD is also in a strong uptrend.
A correction began in March and concluded at the beginning of May.
After breaking out of the corrective falling wedge, the price rose again to the 4k zone, with a high likelihood of breaking above this important level at this moment
If this occurs, I expect Ethereum to reach a new all-time high around 5k or even higher.
I remain bullish as long as the price stays above 3.5k.
ETH ETF Approval Could Spur 60% Rally as ETH Buying IncreasesThe approval of spot ether exchange-traded funds (ETF) in the U.S. could lead to a significant rise in the token's value, mirroring the market reaction seen with bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin rose to over $73,000 from $42,000 in the two weeks after the ETF started trading on Jan. 11, CoinGecko data shows. The decision on the ether ETF is expected soon, with significant buying activity observed on both centralized and blockchain-based exchanges.
Buying activity increased on both centralized and blockchain-based crypto exchanges, with holders buying over 100,000 CRYPTOCAP:ETH in spot markets on Tuesday, the highest daily level since September 2023. Open interest on ether-tracked futures spiked in tandem to a record $14 billion, 67% of bitcoin open interest as of Wednesday. Activity also increased at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, an exchange favored by institutions, with ether futures hitting a record notional $2.85 billion of trading on Tuesday. Ether options traded a record 1,135 contracts ($216 million).
Ether ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) prices in the coming days could be volatile after investors sent 62,000 CRYPTOCAP:ETH to exchanges, the most since early March. However, the firm's analysts warned of a "significant price correction" should the ETF application be dismissed. Six issuers, including BlackRock, filed updated copies of their ether ETF proposals this week ahead of a decision due today. All removed plans to stake the token, suggesting the activity may have been a regulatory roadblock.
Ethereum 15k+- i am far to be Elliot Wave expert and to be honest i am not a fan.
- there's a lack of precision and EW can be extended.
- Don't forget that the real name is " Elliot Wave THEORY ".
- included a Fibo Analysis + Trend Analysis + famous bubbles.
"The Elliott Wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology. The theory identifies impulse waves that set up a pattern and corrective waves that oppose the larger trend ".
- Everything is in graphic as always.
Happy Trading !
ETH consolidating before continuing its way to $4KEther extended its gains over the past 24 hours as investors now expect an approval of Van Eck’s application for a spot Ether exchange traded fund (ETF) as early as today or by tomorrow at the latest. This would be the first of nine similar applications to be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
“ If they approve the Ethereum ETF, they are approving the entire industry. This is the last dam to be broken,” the crypto profile Anthony Pompliano said.
The price of Ether rose another 3 percent on these speculations over the past 24 hours. It has risen by 29 percent over the past seven days.
“If the spot ETH ETF is approved, it will be a true shock to everyone I know in DC who's close to this process. That doesn't mean it won't happen. It means approval could signal a major shift in US crypto policy after the SAB 121 vote, perhaps more important than the ETF itself,” the Chief Legal Officer of Variant Fund, Jake Chervinsky echoed.
The US Congress has turned down the SEC’s proposed SAB 121 regulation, which would have forced crypto custodians to record their clients’ crypto holdings as liabilities on their balance sheet. The concerned financial institutions would incur massive capital expenses if this regulation was enforced. The question now is whether President Joe Biden will veto the decisions of the two chambers as he has indicated he will do, or not.
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Inflows into the ETH ETFs estimated to reach up to $45 billion
Inflows into the above-mentioned Ether ETFs will reach between $15 and $45 billion by next summer, conditional on their approvals, according to the estimates of the Head of Forex and Digital Assets research at Standard Chartered Bank, Geoff Kendrick. He forecasts that the price of Ether will reach $8,000 by year-end, the Block reports.
Clouds with some sun are gathering over Ethereum in the next 24 hours, but bullish sunny vibes will be back within 3 days and extend to the one-week time horizon. This indicates further upside potential for ETH.
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$ETH Up 20% as Odds of Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) Approval High Ether (ETH) has surged 20% to over $3,829 as favorable regulatory developments increase the likelihood of ETF approval. CoinDesk 20, tracking the largest digital assets, rose nearly 8% amid positive regulatory progress on Ether ETFs. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has made abrupt progress in the approval of a Ether ETF by asking exchanges to update 19b-4 filings for ether ETFs. This suggests potential progress toward spot Ether ETF approvals.
As a result of this significant development, the ether implied volatility curve flattened as 25-delta risk reversals hit YTD highs above 18%, and traders heavily bought $4000 calls for 24 May 2024 and 31 May, according to Presto Research analysts. A Polymarket contract asking if an ether ETF would be approved by May 31 jumped from 10 cents to 55 cents, representing a 55% chance that approval will take place by May 31. Another Polymarket contract asking if the ETF will be approved by June 30 is currently trading at 68%.
A decision on VanEck's proposed ether ETF is due on May 23, followed by Ark's on May 24. Fidelity has filed an amended S-1 application with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its spot Ether exchange-traded fund (ETF). The asset management giant has reportedly filed an updated S-1 application, stating that the ETF’s underlying Ether ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH $3,755) tokens will not be staked. S-1 filings are the SEC’s required registration form for launching publicly traded securities products in the United States.
The next SEC deadline is May 23 for VanEck’s Ether ETF proposal. While senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has increased the odds of approval to 75% from 25%, this only applies to the 19b-4 form. Ether ETF issuers will also need to get their S-1 filings approved, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart.
Staked Ether could be classified as a security despite CRYPTOCAP:ETH ETF approval. The SEC has previously sought to classify Ether as a security, and Ethereum’s upgrade to proof-of-stake (PoS) may have given the regulator another reason. However, the securities watchdog may still classify staked Ether as a security, according to Alex Thorn, the head of research at Galaxy Research.
Technical Outlook
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is up 4% as of the time of writing at $3,809 per coin. With a Bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72.93 Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is set for a mega rally, the daily price chart depicts a "Bullish Flag Pattern" accentuating the thesis.
Furthermore, the Long Bullish "Harami" candlestick on the daily price chart likewise validates the bullish thesis.
This. Is Actually Bullish. But First. One More Liquidation? Traders,
I'm seeing this on the Bitcoin chart as well (future post). But here on Ethereum we are in a bullish descending wedge. It should break to the upside soon. However, careful going all in just yet. My spiny senses are telling me we could have one more liquidation of longs incoming before all lights are green. Our .618 fib level seems to be holding well so, this might look like a quick wick down during the course of the day touching that bottom part of the descending triangle or even possibly the 200 day sma. Get ready to pull the trigger on those buy orders if that happens or even if it doesn't.
Stew
Ethereum $Eth #EthKeep an eye on these down sloping trend lines as well as these horizontals before you get overly Bullish on this bounce and or watch them as areas your playing the bounce to.
Until proven wrong and or Big enough move on volume to really jump above these and then back test and turn the $3400 range into support we are still just going DOWN.
Playing these levels as marked IMO can be profitable for short term trades especially on leverage.
Once we cleanly break and hold above the $3400 range we will have a much different picture for the Bulls.
Ethereum Dilemma: $2,819 Drop or $3K Breakthrout?Ethereum is bearish in the daily chart and can decline to $2,819, where price action will be very important.
The ETHUSD chart has to push up to above $3,006 into the daily range zone towards $3,354, a critical daily resistance.
A sustained price action that we see below $3,006 confirms the weakness, potentially triggering a bearish momentum targeting $2,597.
Ethereum Dives Briefly, As JP Morgan Sees Spot ETH ETF ApprovalEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) experienced a sharp price decline on Friday, following data revealing its underperformance compared to Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Despite recent Wells notices to crypto firms, JP Morgan analysts predict spot ETH ETFs will likely be approved. The SEC's recent Wells notices to Robinhood Crypto, Consensys, and Uniswap do not pose a challenge to the agency's potential approval of a spot ETH ETF. Markets do not expect an approval by this month as implied by the significant discount to NAV by the Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETHE.
JP Morgan analysts also suggested that the SEC may face a legal challenge and eventually lose if it denies applications for spot ETH ETFs, considering the agency already approved futures-based ETH ETFs. General Partner at Van Buren Capital Scott Johnsson expressed an opposite view, stating that he would be surprised if a legal battle ensued following a potential spot ETH ETF denial. Grayscale hinted that it won't take the SEC to court this time after withdrawing a "key tool" — probably its application for futures ETH ETF.
Ethereum Layer 2s are about to set a new all-time high in terms of active addresses, with more than 5.2 million monthly active users as of May 5. This surge in user growth coincides with declining gas fees for Ethereum Layer 2s, which have been reduced more than tenfold since the Dencun upgrade in March.
Glassnode data shows that Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has underperformed in the last two years when compared to Bitcoin, with a low ETH/BTC ratio and ETH drawdown in this cycle (-44%), doubling Bitcoin's (-21%). The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) of Bitcoin crossed 0.5 and entered the euphoria phase three months before the equivalent metric for Ethereum.
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is trading with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.41 which is slightly oversold. The asset's daily price chart shows that Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is in a "Falling Wedge" pattern but a trend reversal is looming in the near to long term.
Ethereum's $3,000 Dilemma: Bullish Rejection, Bearish Break-Out?Indecisiveness persists in the intraday chart as Ethereum hovers around $2,992, an intraday support zone.
1. A bullish rejection of $2,992 with momentum could offer a scalping opportunity, targeting $3,166, $3,370, and possibly extending to $3,551.
2. Closing H4 candles below $2,992 raises the likelihood of a downside move towards $2,898 and $2,787.
3. Alternatively, a lack of momentum may result in sluggish, sideways price action between $2,992 and $3,166.
More details in signature!
ETH to Drop Further 📉; Clouds ☁️ & Rain On the Horizon 🌧️SEC postpones yet another decision on a spot Ether ETF application 🙄
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its decision regarding the application of Invesco Galaxy’s spot ETH ETF to July 5.
The US regulator had already delayed its decision regarding Van Eck’s similar application to May 23 and that of Franklin Templeton’s to June 11. Few analysts expect an approval on these three dates.
The price of Ether dropped 3.37 percent to $2,947 over the past 24 hours. ATTMO forecasts clouds and rain for the next 24 hours and 7 days, signaling a likely downside for Ethereum.
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Ethereum ETH Intraday Trade SetupAfter failing to re-claim $3,166 yesterday, we saw a decline towards $2,992 zone.
From its current location, the price can move in either direction.
A bullish move towards and break-out of $3,166 followed by a re-test of this level will offer a long scalping opportunity towards $3,370 and, possibly higher, to $3,551.
A bearish break-out of $3,354 will lead to a short-lived dip towards $2,898 and lower to $2,787.
More details in signature.
#ETH/USDT Bullish above this MA...#ETHUSDT appears to be forming a bull flag pattern.
A bullish signal will confirm if we see a close above the blue 75 EMA and a breakout from the flag.
Until then, consider this a retest of the dotted trendline.
Let's wait for the weekly candle to close for more clarity, as the 75 EMA has proven quite reliable on the daily chart!
NFA, DYOR!
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Ethereum - Don't lose your sight!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2022 Ethereum perfectly retest the previous cycle high which was roughly at the psychological $1.000 level. Here Ethereum also created bullish confirmation, indicating a potential reversal towards the upside. At the moment Ethereum is retesting the previous all time high and we could see a short term rejection away towards the downside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)