ETH/USD Main Trend Pamp/Dump Cycles. Accumulation/distributionThe time frame is 1 month. The graph is logarithmic. The main trend is almost entirely from May 2016 (the network was launched on July 30, 2015). Then the “hacking” story and a fork in ETC (initial) and ETH (more centralized).
A week later, ETH will become even more centralized and no longer a cryptocurrency (a true understanding of what a cryptocurrency is). In a year or two, there will be no cryptocurrencies left. No decentralization, complete centralization (substitution of concepts, to achieve the goal).
Coin in coinmarketcap: Ethereum (ETH)
The graph shows accumulation zones and distribution zones. These are not lows and highs. Notice how the percentage of the average of the smart money set and reset prices differs from the percentage of the maximum lows and highs that the “dumb money” is so chasing. Potential lows and highs may need to be considered, but the basic work should focus on average values of the accumulation and distribution.
Here's how this main (long-term trend) looks like on a line chart without “market noise”.
1 cycle of the secondary trend.
The accumulation zone after the distribution started at -92.69
Before the exit from the accumulation and the reversal, it reset at -69%.
It is up to you to use it or just watch from the side. You should always keep it in mind.
Linear chart (trend direction without market “noise”)
Note that the super reset of -69% before the trend reversal on the line chart is simply not visible. This is all local fear for capitulation of “weak hands”.
So at such times you can use it or watch from the sidelines if you feel you are the “weak link”.
Even larger scale between the two cycles.
cycle 2 of the secondary trend Now.
The cycle is now on a larger scale. Note that the price is now down from the high of -82%
Linear graph.
Local secondary trend work now ahead of Paris.
ETH/USD Secondary Trend (part). Pivot zones. Channel. Paris
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
ETH Secondary trend. Channel. Potential triangle. 25 12 24Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
With altcoins (overflow of profits from bitcoin, now) along with XRP this is asset #1 for pumping, the reason for this is liquidity, which is extremely necessary for large capital. The average price of 1 distribution zone is conditionally 10 thousand. These are not the maximums of the cycle.
When the price lingers in this zone and there is a massive positive news background, all L2 assets, which are now in their accumulation zones, or in retests of breakout zones, will "fly" to super pumps (this is what it is). In percentage terms, they will show an order of magnitude greater profit in their distribution zones. Remember, as a rule, such assets (low liquidity) are first pumped by an aggressive pump (to leave in parts, without regret) by a huge %, and only then is a distribution zone formed on a rollback (channel, triangle ...) (hope for a huge profit on the continuation of the pump).
This idea is a continuation of this idea (which I can't update) of a secondary trend, the goals of which have been achieved with utmost precision:
ETH/USD Secondary trend. Bullish triangle. Breakout. Target 96% 11 11 2023
It is worth noting that now in the news background: "ether is bad" , huge fake short positions for the news background. Many crypto media personalities speak negatively about the “prospects” of this very promising cryptocurrency of the “American” (Jewish) transnational financial conglomerate JPMorgan Chase (size of depository assets — $ 32.4 trillion, size of assets under administration — $ 7.7 trillion, etc.). What kind of lack of prospects can we talk about??
If they “stink” a lot to create public opinion, then there is probably an interested party in this. That is, it is worth doing everything the opposite of what they want to inspire, and as a result, tilt supply/demand in a favorable direction, which, as a rule, is always unprofitable for most market participants.
If you are an investor , then buy at any price (you can use martingale in parts, or place trigger orders for a breakthrough of important zones), and do not be interested in the opinion of the majority (meaningless market noise) and the news background (manipulation, deception). Sell in the distribution zone (time is known in advance when, 2 zones) with a huge profit, as for a liquid trading instrument.
If you are a small investor or trader , then pay attention to the L2 group of assets and ETC (big pump “stick”), and use ETH itself as an indicator of “when”.
Also, the idea shows an unlikely scenario, or rather two scenarios. Consider this in your risk management.
The idea of the main trend , published several years ago. Which, of course, is still relevant now. Everything develops organically, and extremely precisely according to plan.
ETH/USD Main trend Pump/dump cycles. Accumulation/Distribution 8 09 2022
Trend in general for clarity now.
locally this potential triangle (it doesn't exist yet) looks like this.
Timelapse of ETH's Daily ActionTimelapse of ETH's Daily Action 🎥📉" Post: "See how ETH's daily price action played out in this timelapse! 🌟
📍 Annotated with crucial support and resistance levels.
🔎 Were these levels respected or ignored?
Dive in and comment your analysis below! #ETH #Crypto #Trading"
ETH Daily Action Levels Annotations
Highlight key support and resistance zones.
Annotate consolidation areas to identify possible accumulation or distribution phases.
Mark breakout or breakdown points, especially where trends began or ended.
ETHEREUM - ETHUSD | 15M | SCALPING TIMEHello guys, I made BITSTAMP:ETHUSD analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY ETHEREUM-ETHUSD | 3,393,9 - 3,328,7
🟢TP1: 3,450,0
🟢TP2: 3,545,0
🟢TP3: 3,866,0
🔴SL: 3,026,3
Medium Risk
Stay with love guys.
BTC/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that after our previous analysis, the price surged to $108,400 before experiencing a sharp decline, correcting down to $92,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $93,800. If the price manages to stabilize above the $90,600 to $92,300 range, we could anticipate further growth for this cryptocurrency. This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Scalping ETH thesis investment Ethereum (ETH) Trading Thesis – Summary
Objective:
Take Profit (TP): $3,500
Stop Loss (SL): $3,440
Overview: Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, remains a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts. As of December 24, 2024, ETH shows strong growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased adoption.
Technical Analysis:
Take Profit at $3,500: Identified as a key resistance level based on historical data and Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Stop Loss at $3,440: Placed just below recent support to minimize losses if the price declines.
Indicators:
Moving averages (50-day and 200-day) suggest upward momentum.
RSI nearing overbought levels signals strong buying interest.
Increasing trading volumes support the current trend towards the TP target.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1, balancing potential gains and losses.
Position Sizing: Limit risk to a small percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2%) to manage exposure.
Diversification: Maintain a varied portfolio to mitigate overall risk.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Enhancements in scalability and efficiency bolster ETH’s value.
Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Increased demand from decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens sectors.
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors supports price stability and growth.
Potential Risks:
Regulatory Changes: New regulations could negatively impact ETH’s price and adoption.
Market Volatility: High volatility may trigger stop losses or limit profit potential.
Technological Delays: Setbacks in Ethereum’s development could affect investor confidence.
Conclusion: Ethereum presents a promising trading opportunity with a clear strategy to take profit at $3,500 and limit losses at $3,440. Effective risk management and ongoing monitoring of market and technical indicators are essential for capitalizing on ETH’s potential upward movement.
Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.
ETHUSDT Analysis: Blue Box SetupBy now, you’re familiar with my blue boxes , so I don’t need to explain them in detail. This blue box represents a solid demand zone where I expect potential reactions, making it an excellent area for entry.
Key Points:
Strong Demand Zone: Blue box is an ideal area for potential price reactions.
Familiar Setup: You know how I use these boxes for better trading precision.
Risk Management: Always manage risk based on the current market environment.
Confirmation Indicators: I will use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks on lower time frames for validation.
Learn With Me: If you want to master how to use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints to identify precise demand zones, just DM me. I’d be happy to guide you!
Reminder: Be aware of the market's current state and approach it with caution. Successful trading relies on meaningful levels and robust confirmations.
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! Wishing everyone success in their trades.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
The worst case scenario for Ethereum!I'm gonna make it real simple. Inverted head and shoulders is the pattern in lower time frame, therefore the price can start going up from here, breaks 4k and there will be the ult season an all that and the price can go up to 5.5K.
But
If Ethereum loses the 3K support and fails to hold 2.8K we are doomed BUT you will get the chance to buy ethereum at 1K again but then imo the price will bounce back tries to break the 4K resistance and if it does then even 6-7K will be possible.
if the worst case scenario happens alt coins won't drop that hard but many of them can form a double bottom pattern. So you might want to wait before buying and you might want to get yo $$$ ready to buy the dip.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 3,524.74
1st Support: 3,217.92
1st Resistance: 3,713.01
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Check support at important support and resistance zones
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 3265.0-3321.30.
If not, and it falls, it is possible to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to check whether it can rise around 2706.15.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 3265.0-3321.60 and rise above 3438.16.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 2895.47 to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The point to watch is what kind of movement it will show as it passes through the next volatility period of ETH, around December 27 (December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Total Market CapTotal Market Cap started a parabolic run from the beginning of 2021 after the breakout and retest in December 2020, which was the 2017 ATH level ($761B).
The breakout at the 2021 ATH level ($3.01T) in December 2024 has been co!mpleted and is being retested!
I think the countdown to the parabolic run has begun for CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH and #Altcoins
Will Ethereum reach $8500 ?Ethereum (ETH) has been a focal point in the cryptocurrency world, drawing both admiration and skepticism. As Q4 unfolds, Ethereum has shown remarkable resilience, staying on its intended path despite market fluctuations. This article explores Ethereum's journey, its current standing, and the potential for it to reach the ambitious target of $8,500.
Everyone criticizing Ethereum should take note: ETH is still on track and hasn't deviated from its course. In Q4, Ethereum was never expected to reach new all-time highs (ATH). Despite performing better than anticipated, ETH remains steadfast on its intended path. It exhibited a bearish pattern, forming higher lows and lower highs before stabilizing. It then marked a higher low, established a bear market high, broke through this high, retested it just before Q4, and began its upward trajectory.
Here's how the forecasted ETH pattern looks—believe me, we're still on track. 📈
Ethereum's chart demonstrates a clear path forward, with key indicators suggesting sustained growth. The technical analysis points towards Ethereum reaching significant levels, with the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level being a crucial milestone.
I believe $8,500 is a realistic target for Ethereum, corresponding to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. The Fibonacci extension tool is commonly used in technical analysis to predict future price movements based on past price trends. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension level suggests that the price could potentially double from its previous move. In this case, reaching $8,500 fits within the expected range of this extension level, making it a plausible target.
When ETH's price reaches the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, its market cap will be approximately $625 billion, reflecting a 155% increase. If the price continues to rise and reaches the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level, the market cap would soar to around $859 billion, marking a 214% increase. These levels are calculated based on today's price.
To all the Ethereum doubters out there: Keep talking while ETH keeps building. 📈 Your doubts fuel our progress. Watch and learn! 💪🔥
Ethereum's journey is far from over, and its resilience in the face of criticism only strengthens its position. As it continues to build and innovate, ETH is poised to reach new heights, potentially hitting the $8,500 mark and beyond.
Ethereum's path is filled with potential, and the signs are pointing towards significant growth. With the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level serving as a realistic target, $8,500 is within reach. Whether you're an investor or a skeptic, keeping an eye on Ethereum's progress is essential, as it continues to defy expectations and carve its path in the crypto world.
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market.
One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value".
Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns.
This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band.
Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks.
So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
Ethereum may do something like this#ethereum #eth price seems going to retest the breakout zone in nov. 2024. A successful retest will surely bring CRYPTOCAP:ETH price to new higher price discoveries but first #ethusd does a healthy correction, if possible. Every unhealthy pumps will not be appreciated. Not financial advice.
Ethereum Analysis – December 23, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is on Ethereum.
Weekly Chart Overview:
Let’s start by looking at the weekly chart.
The orange box, where Ethereum is currently facing resistance, has served as a resistance zone three times recently. Numerically, the last resistance saw a slight higher high, but it wasn’t a clear breakout, leading to a corrective decline.
At its current position, Ethereum continues to face resistance at the highs of 2024. Alongside the Ichimoku Cloud entry and a retest of the weekly 20 EMA, the Lagging Span is also crossing through the candles. This indicates a potential for further downside.
Historical data suggests that if Ethereum breaks above the orange box resistance at 4110, we could see an approximate 20% increase, with a breakout above 4877 potentially leading to new all-time highs.
Zoomed-in Weekly Chart:
Looking closer, the recent rebound occurred around 2112. The critical support zone is at 2067, which corresponds to the lower wick of the green box candle from the previous frame. Holding above this support is crucial.
If Ethereum drops from its current resistance zone to the 2112–2067 range, it may form a large double-top pattern. This could significantly strengthen selling pressure in the market.
In such a scenario, Ethereum may fall to the lower boundary of the next frame at 1492, a level that could mark the beginning of a prolonged bearish trend.
Daily Chart Overview:
On the daily chart, Ethereum is currently finding support near the Ichimoku Cloud. However, it has yet to enter the cloud. If it does, the next support zone would be around 3016, a level that served as support for approximately 10 days within the yellow box.
If 3016 fails as support, Ethereum is likely to retest the upward trendline. Should the trendline break to the downside, holders of long positions may need to reduce their exposure. This is because, even if the double-top pattern holds as support, we could still see up to an additional 20% correction.
Conclusion:
Based on the current chart, Ethereum is not a recommended buy at this time.
For aggressive buyers, entering after a breakout above 4110 is advisable. This is due to the historical resistance at this level, which has been tested three times. A breakout above 4110 could lead to a 20% move or more, with the potential for Ethereum to reach uncharted territory.
On the other hand, buying now simply because prices have dropped significantly is risky, given the possibility of a large double-top pattern and weakening buying pressure. It’s best to avoid buying at the current levels.
For sellers, key signals to watch for are:
Entry into the Ichimoku Cloud.
Failure to hold support at 3016.
A break below the upward trendline.
Failure to hold the 2112–2067 support zone.
Ethereum Eth usd daily analysis
Time frame 4hours
Risk rewards ratio =2 👈👌
Technical analysis 👇👇
As you can see in the chart, Ethereum has formed a double top(peak) pattern.
The distance from the top to the bottom has dropped by about 14%.
So, according to the double top pattern, we should have the same amount of drop from the bottom of the second peak. -14%again.
This Ethereum price decline has ended with a support level. (Dark blue box )
👉Which is a very important point.👈
On the other hand, according to Elliott wave counting, the 3-point correction wave has also ended and Ethereum is starting an impulse wave. ✔️
There is also news about the start of the Alt-Season, and we know that one of the factors for the start of the Alt-Season is negative sentiment towards the market.📉📉
and now most analysts and traders expect a price decline, which can be good news for buyers.👌👍
Ethereum’s Resilience Amid Justin Sun’s $143M ETH Sell-OffEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, faces a challenging period as Tron's Justin Sun continues his massive ETH sell-off. Despite these bearish signals, Ethereum has managed to hold a critical support zone, maintaining market confidence. Let’s delve into the technical and fundamental aspects of the current ETH landscape.
Justin Sun’s ETH Selling Spree: A Bearish Catalyst
Justin Sun, the founder of Tron, has been systematically reducing his Ethereum holdings. Recent blockchain analytics reveal that Sun sold 39,999 ETH (worth $143 million) via Lido Finance and EtherFi, subsequently depositing the proceeds into HTX.
Since November 10, Sun has offloaded a total of 108,919 ETH, valued at $400 million, at an average price of $3,674. With 42,904 ETH ($139 million) still in the process of unstaking, more selling pressure could loom on the horizon.
These actions have amplified concerns among investors, with Ethereum experiencing a 17% dip after failing to breach the $4,000 resistance level. Analysts predict further downside potential, with prices possibly dropping below $3,000 before any significant recovery.
Ethereum’s Technical Outlook
- Price: $3,347.81 (up 2.13% intraday)
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): 40.88, indicating weak momentum but improving from a recent low of 35.
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): Stable, suggesting buying pressure has not fully diminished.
Ethereum is currently trading in a consolidation zone, showing resilience despite external pressures. Immediate support lies near the one-month low of $3,100, a critical level for maintaining bullish sentiment.
Resistance Levels
- Key Resistance: $3,700 (short-term breakout zone).
- Ultimate Resistance: $4,000 (bullish threshold for a sustained rally).
Breaking above $3,700 could signal a bullish reversal, while a move past $4,000 would reinforce Ethereum’s upward trajectory.
Bearish Factors
- Whale Activity: Continued sell-offs by major holders like Justin Sun.
- Market Sentiment: Bearish outlook fueled by Ethereum’s inability to hold $3,500 support.
Bullish Indicators
- Resilient Buyers: Recent buyers remain in profit, offering support to the market.
- Volume Analysis: Despite low weekend trading volume, the market has shown signs of consolidation.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
Ethereum’s price action reflects a market grappling with external pressures and internal resilience. While Sun’s sell-off has intensified bearish sentiment, Ethereum has managed to stabilize above critical support zones.
Short-Term Prediction
- If selling pressure persists: Ethereum may test $3,000 support.
- If bullish momentum builds: Breaking $3,700 could lead to a retest of the $4,000 level.
Conclusion
Ethereum remains at a pivotal point. While whale sell-offs, particularly from Justin Sun, pose challenges, the technical outlook shows signs of stability and potential recovery. For traders, monitoring key levels—$3,000 for support and $3,700-$4,000 for resistance—is crucial in navigating this volatile phase.
As the crypto market matures, Ethereum’s ability to weather external pressures will define its long-term value proposition. Stay informed and prepared for both opportunities and risks ahead.
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 235The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
#ETHUSD 4HETHUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Double Top Pattern: A classic reversal pattern has formed, with the price testing a key resistance level twice and failing to break higher, signaling potential bearish pressure.
Forecast:
Sell Opportunity: The formation of the double top suggests a possible reversal, with a move to the downside expected once the price confirms a break below the neckline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Upon the break below the neckline of the double top pattern or after a retest of the neckline as resistance.
- **Risk Management:**
- **Stop Loss:** Placed above the recent high or the top of the double top pattern to manage risk.
Take Profit Zones: Target the next support levels or Fibonacci retracement zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Bias: A double top typically signals a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, with increased selling pressure expected once the neckline is broken.