ETHUSD breaking above the 4 year Falling Resistance. $8000 eyed!Ethereum / ETHUSD is attempting a bullish breakout over the Falling Resistance that is in place since the very start of the previous Bear Cycle and the November 08 2021 Top.
A 1week candle close over it, confirms the high probability of a parabolic rally breakout.
Technically based on the time period were in, the October-December rise, is almost the same as the Oct-Dec 2020 Channel Up that followed the August-September consolidation.
This targeted higher than the 5.0 Fibonacci extension.
Technically $8000 (just under the current 5.0 Fib) is a viable target if the 1week candle closes above the Falling Resistance.
Previous chart:
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Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
LDO SWING LONG IDEA - A Life-changing opportunityNarratives:
1) LDO is the strongest ETH-BETA with a massive $35B TVL. We haven't seen an ETH bull run yet, but when it happens, LDO will likely benefit the most.
2) Market Cap = FDV , meaning all tokens are already in circulation, eliminating future unlock-related sell pressure.
3) Undervalued : LDO boasts $35B TVL and a $1.8B market cap, while AAVE has 20B$ TVL and a $3.5B market cap.
4) SEC Administration Change : The current administration has delayed ETH staking approvals for ETFs. A new SEC administration may greenlight this, channeling billions of ETH ETF funds into LDO, the largest ETH liquid staking protocol. This could bring a significant influx of assets to its chain.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the Autumn 2022 EQLs (equal lows)—which I consider "max pain"—but failed to close below, showing resilience. After that, the price reversed upward, breaking the bearish trendline responsible for the bearish trend since January 2024. Following a successful retest of the trendline, we saw strong momentum.
I’ll be targeting 2024 Highs at $4 initially, with a long-term view toward ATH at $7.22.
Invalidation:
This is a 3x leverage swing trade or a spot trade, and I plan to carry it until spring 2025. I’m already in the trade. My invalidation level is a daily close below $0.91. Yes, it’s a wider stop-loss, but as I mentioned, this isn’t just a trade; it’s more of a mid-term investment. I’ll be looking to close the position around May 2025 or earlier if we reach levels close to the previous ATH.
ETH poised to break $4000. Here's why:Ethereum (ETH) price is now 19% below its all-time high, with the potential to reach $4,000 for the first time since March 2024. Key metrics, including a rising 7-day MVRV and increased whale accumulation, highlight growing bullish sentiment around ETH.
If ETH breaks through the $4,000 level, it could begin a surge toward its previous high of $4,867, though failure to sustain this rally might result in a retest of key support levels.
Ethereum price current uptrend is shown by its EMA Lines, and if it can break into the $4,000 level, it could start a new surge. Then, it could test its previous all-time high of around $4,800.
Ethereum is showing strong potential to break the $4,000 level, supported by key drivers such as record institutional inflows into Ethereum ETFs, substantial whale accumulation, and heightened interest in staking-enabled ETF products.
At the same time, rising layer 2 transaction volumes and increasing DeFi TVL are setting the stage for Ethereum challenging its old high of $4,867 in the near term.
On the other hand, if the current uptrend isn’t strong enough and the ETH price can’t break or sustain above $4,000, it could test support zones around $3,688, $3,500, and even $3,255.
Bitcoin prediction from 2 decades experienced multi-millionaireI've been daytrading for 2 decades, made myself a multi-millionaire from trades like these.
Even though my expertise is in stock market, charts are still charts.
Bitcoin chart analysis is showing possible further extension into $110,000 range then drop and slide off to $60,000's area by the end of 1st quarter 2025 as the excitement about Trump/Musk/SEC/etc hits reality.
Where we go from $60,000 we'll discuss once we're there and collect more data.
Like altseason arrived: ETH follows bullish chart patternsHello,
Like altseason arrived, Ethereum established a bullish trend in the green channel. Furthermore, the price has been in the consolidation of a symmetrical triangle (green triangle), which seemingly broke upward. The bullish channel and the symmetrical triangle indicate the optimal risk-reward ratio for a long position. If the break isn't a bull trap, ETH might continue going up until the $4500 psychological resistance, which aligns with the top of the channel. Breaking the channel upward could send ETH to $5300.
Following a bearish scenario, ETH might be rejected from the current price (top of the triangle), in which case, it might find support at $3400 - the middle of the channel.
Regards,
Ely
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Entering a Bullish Phase: Key LevelsEthereum is currently showing signs of strength as it enters a positive, bullish phase. Following a period of consolidation and recovery, ETH is gradually climbing towards a significant resistance level at $4,394, a price last seen in May 2021. This level remains a key psychological and technical barrier for ETH, and breaking it could determine the next major price movement.
Market Context: Bitcoin’s Role
The broader market outlook is also highly favorable, with Bitcoin (BTC) expected to maintain levels above $100,000 throughout December. This stability in BTC could provide the necessary momentum for Ethereum to approach its $4,394 resistance.
Potential Scenarios for ETH/USD:
1. Scenario 1: Pullback Before the Breakout
In the most likely scenario, ETH may approach $4,394 but face resistance, leading to a pullback towards the $3,300 range. This retracement would allow for consolidation before another attempt to break the key level. This scenario aligns with typical market behavior, where assets retest major resistance multiple times before a breakout.
2. Scenario 2: Breakout and New All-Time Highs
Should ETH successfully break through the $4,394 barrier, the bullish momentum could accelerate. This breakout would open the door for a sustained rally, potentially pushing ETH towards new all-time highs in the $6,000 to $6,500 range between May and July 2026. Such a move would signal a significant shift in market dynamics, fueled by broader crypto adoption and improved market sentiment.
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Technical Indicators and Key Levels:
- Support Levels:$3,300, $3,800
- Resistance Levels:$4,394, $4,800
- Target Range Post-Breakout:$6,000 – $6,500
In summary, while ETH is currently showing bullish signs, the $4,394 resistance level will be a decisive battleground. Whether ETH pulls back or breaks through, its long-term prospects look promising, especially if BTC remains strong. A successful breakout could set the stage for Ethereum’s next major rally, potentially reaching new highs by mid-2026.
So the Bull market started you said? :) Long $BTCTechnical and Fundamental look into Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has recently achieved an all-time high (ATH) of around $104,000. The current trading price is slightly below this peak, suggesting a possible consolidation or minor pullback.
The chart here indicated that Bitcoin is currently trading just above a significant resistance level at approximately $102,934.71, which could now act as a new support if the price holds above this level. There's another resistance level higher up, indicating where the price might face selling pressure if it attempts to rise further.
This pattern/idea shows support levels at around $59,022.02, which is quite substantial, suggesting that this was where buyers have historically stepped in. A break below this level could indicate a deeper correction, but as of now, the price is far above this support, indicating STRONG BULLISH SENTIENT.
For this chart's trend it shows clearly that it has been predominantly bullish, with a series of HIGHER HIGHS and HIGHER LOWS! More Bullish Sentiment! The presence of green candlesticks in recent days suggests that the market has been closing higher than it opened , indicating continued buying interest. However, the presence of some red candlesticks near the ATH might signal profit-taking or a short-term bearish sentiment.
The volume on this chart or the indicator at the bottom of the chart shows increased trading volume as Bitcoin approached its ATH, which is typical when prices reach new highs. This could mean that there is significant interest in Bitcoin at these levels, but it also suggests that any move up or down could be volatile.
The Indicators over the chart in red and green arrows indicate the potential buy or sell signals based on various indicators or patterns. If these are based on moving average crossovers, RSI divergence, or other momentum indicators, they could be suggesting entry or exit points for traders.
Conclusion:
If the price can break and close above the higher resistance level with significant volume, it might signal the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially targeting new highs.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and starts forming lower highs, it might be a sign of a potential reversal or at least a period of consolidation. Watch for any bearish divergence in momentum indicators like the RSI or MACD, which could warn of a potential downturn. For those considering entering a long position, waiting for a pullback to the current resistance-turned-support level could offer a better risk-reward ratio, as this level might now attract buyers. Given the proximity to the ATH, traders should also be cautious of overbought conditions, which might lead to a sharp correction. Setting stop-losses below key support levels would be prudent.
PLEASE REMEMBER: Trading Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin can be highly volatile, and while technical analysis can provide insights, external factors like regulatory news, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment can greatly influence price movements. Always do thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions. THIS IS NOT INTENDED AS FINANCIAL ADVICE. Rather a self help and documentation of my own journey into cryptocurrency! Let's make sure we leave nice comments and leave or talk about what is useful! But random comments are OK! :)
XAU/USD : Bullish or Bearish? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observed that gold continued its upward movement as expected yesterday, reaching the $2652 level before facing a correction. Currently, gold is trading around the $2640 level.
- Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above $2640, we can anticipate further growth with $2660 as the first target.
- Bearish Scenario: If it fails to hold above this level, a move toward $2623 is very likely.
This analysis will be updated as the situation develops!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Ethereum ETH price it's time to growGlobal wave analysis on the OKX:ETHUSDT chart - works well!
☝️The proposed purchase zone CRYPTOCAP:ETH $2250-2550 has worked out by 5+
Well, it's time for the #Ethereum price to grow!)
The local target where you can fix part of the profit is $3900
Global growth target - currently unchanged, $5950
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When is the correct time to sell Bitcoin? Hello Traders, welcome back to this market breakdown.
In this video, I explain the time cycle of Bitcoin and what a good time to sell is.
1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
Ethereum will give you a Ferrari in the futureIn the big picture, extremely BULLISH!!!!!!
!In a small picture!:
MACD crossing down is very likely.
Because macd has failed crossing, which makes the next crossing more realistic.
Crossing down means BUY when the price is in red and there is no sign of green. Support points or resistances are required
Under 3000k soon. The landing level is not known today, only time will tell.
I could be wrong, but I could be absolutely right
MoralDisciple
Healthy growth on EthereumEthereum is in an uptrend according to the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), but more importantly, the current price ($3700) is about EMA 20. Buying Ethereum at an average price has a positive risk-reward ratio. In a bearish scenario, ETH could bounce from EMA 200 ($3350) at the latest and still maintain a bullish trend. Anything below EMA 200 would have a bearish indication. If the current bullish trend persists, Ethereum eyes the $4000 psychological resistance.
ETH to 4400 by Next Weekend, Possibly ATH Within MonthETH, having broken out of the top a long rising wedge, has enough momentum to propel it through the psychologically important 4000 barrier to 4400 within the week.
This could eventually open the way for it to break ATH within the month of December.
Exciting times for ETH holders.
Ethereum has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise higher?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,726.90
1st Support: 3,544.38
1st Resistance: 3,974.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC weekly data is shifting. MASSIVE UPSIDE is waiting now! BUY!BTC has corrected healthily to -20% from its peak after reaching its parabolic ATH highs of 73k.
Now the mother of all of coins is showing some strength again. Weekly data metrics is shifting now and buyers are back again, positioning aggressively for the next RUN-UP to ATH and beyond.
From our weekly chart diagram above, you can observe that the black bear cells has faded and the white dot (longs) has literally escaped the shorts prison cell (black cell). This signal has never missed since the 15k BTC season. The batting average of this one playing out again is very very high.
This week is the best time to SEED. Get them all planted now. BTC is already up by 10% after that quick bounce from the strong major order support at 57k area. Signs of what's coming next after this week.
Spotted at 60k area.
TAYOR.
ETHEREUM Time: As Bitcoin Breaks New Highs, Is ETH Set to Shine?🚀 Ethereum: King of Alts Gears Up for the Next Rally! 🌟
📈 As Bitcoin Breaks New Highs, Is ETH Set to Shine? 💎
With Bitcoin approaching psychological resistance levels, my focus has shifted to Ethereum, the undisputed King of Alts. The ETH chart is shaping up beautifully, presenting a stronger bullish case compared to Bitcoin or other altcoins. Let’s dive into the key insights. 👇
🔑 Key Ethereum Highlights: 1️⃣ Major Breakout Levels Conquered: ETH has reclaimed critical levels, including the $2,875 zone, which was the big breakout level. This has ignited bullish momentum, propelling Ethereum higher.
2️⃣ Next Targets in Sight: With Bitcoin stealing the spotlight recently, Ethereum looks primed for a move toward $4,881 and ultimately $6,443, its previous major resistance zones.
3️⃣ Bullish Structure: Higher lows, sustained volume, and a clean breakout suggest that ETH is well-positioned for further upside. The bullish channel remains intact, and momentum is picking up.
4️⃣ Macro View: Ethereum remains a standout within the Total3 (Altcoins Excluding BTC & ETH) chart, which is facing major resistance. However, as the leader of alts, ETH has historically outperformed after Bitcoin tops.
Why I’m Bullish on ETH:
Volume Surge: Spot and futures activity is climbing steadily, reflecting growing interest.
Technical Confirmation: The upward trajectory is supported by clear breakout levels and bullish formations.
Relative Strength: ETH is showing more strength than Bitcoin or other altcoins, making it my top pick for this stage of the cycle.
Potential Scenarios: 📈 Bullish: If Ethereum clears $3,700, the path to $4,881 and beyond opens wide.
📉 Caution: A retest of $3,200 would still be healthy and offer a potential buying opportunity.
What’s Next? Ethereum is taking the stage as Bitcoin cools near resistance. As King of Alts, its leadership role in the market makes it a key asset to watch. Keep an eye on $3,700 and $4,881—breaking these levels could unleash the next leg of the rally! 🚀
📊 What’s your take on Ethereum’s trajectory? Let me know in the comments!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Example of how to trade in an altcoin bull market
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The volatility period of ETH is expected to continue until December 5th.
The point to watch is whether the price can be maintained above 3707.61 and the ATH can be renewed.
As the price rises, I think the important support and resistance area is the 3265.0-3321.30 area.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above this important support and resistance area, I think it is likely to continue the uptrend.
However, if it falls below the BW (100) and HA-High indicators, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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I think it is better to refrain from trading with a sell (SHORT) position in an altcoin rising market and trade mainly with a buy (LONG) position.
The reason is that there are many more cases where it pretends to fall and then rises.
Therefore, it is better to find a time to buy when the candle on the 1D chart is a falling candle and it shows support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
However, coins (tokens) that have updated their ATH do not have support and resistance points, so it is impossible to confirm whether they are supported.
In this case, it is recommended to buy when the candlestick on the 1D chart is a bearish candlestick, when the StochRSI indicator on the 1h chart rises below the 50 point, or when it shows support from indicators such as BW(0), HA-Low, BW(100), and HA-High.
The fact that BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are created means that a low point range has been formed, so if support is confirmed near the range made up of these indicators, it can be considered a buying period.
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The fact that BW(100) and HA-High indicators are created means that a high point range has been formed, so if it fails to break through the range made up of these indicators, it is a time for a split sale.
However, when an altcoin bull market is in progress, it is recommended to lower the proportion of split sales or wait.
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The question of which altcoin will rise is a meaningless question given the current flow of the coin market.
In an altcoin bull market, it is better to ignore most auxiliary indicators or the increase in price and trade.
If you pay attention to auxiliary indicators or the increase in price, you will miss the time to buy and buy after the price rises, which increases the possibility of failure in trading.
Therefore, as I mentioned earlier, when the candle on the 1D chart is a downward candle, you need to think about how to proceed with the purchase and focus on finding the right time to buy.
However, since it can fall again, it is better to adjust the weight with the intention of buying in installments from the beginning.
In addition, you need to set a stop loss point to reduce damage caused by a sudden drop.
This is because if it suddenly fails to turn into an upward trend and falls, you can suffer great damage.
Therefore, when buying, consider whether to buy in installments or cut your loss and find a new time to buy, and then proceed with the purchase to reduce the psychological burden.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Ethereum | Extremely Bullish but Rushing is not The WayIf the green box comes, I will skip it directly, but I don't think it will give such a good entry.
We'll be lucky even if the Reds get a retest.
Trades can be made with breakouts in low time intervals around $3800.
If the price enters a range, I will try to give you the correct places as in the previous analysis.
Previous Analysis: 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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