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Etfs

vix coming to critical level of supportweve only seen this low in uvxy 3 times, they were all this year, and they all happened with broader markets in a downtrend. all im seeing right now is buys on uvxy, and if the selloff continues with multiple sectors like xlf, xlv, spy, qqq, iwm, and especially soxl hitting new lows of the day at the same time its almost a guarantee that vix pops once again at this level on the daily targeting the upper horizontal (high 13s/low 14s), and if the bounce continues with sector rotation occuring and consolidation forming in major indices this etf is headed for the lower horizontal (high 8s/low 9s).
CBOE:UVXY
by cerealpatterns
semiconductors likely have some continued downsidesoxl is pretty much plummeting if we get a significant gap down and cant set a higher low 4hr the 15 minute trend will continue downwards until the 4hr is bullishly diverged stoch, rsi a lot of people are covering, and that may lead to some squeeze, but the over all trend is down if we close gap from either direction, and it looks like it is setting a lower high 4hr i would continue to sell semis. if we close gap from either direction and it looks like the test was sucessfuly holding some higher low around the thursday close its more bullish intermediate term but id imagine this is finding a daily lower high even if it recovers some or corrects sharply only to fall again. 22.04, 21.74, 21, 20.76, 20.22 key levels right now SOXL.
AMEX:SOXLShort
by cerealpatterns
i wouldnt try to long vix right now even if were in a bear mark volatility is doing something interesting. after a failed breakout, it has consolidated and found weekly higher lows. although this normally means were in for a huge move to the downside in broader markets i believe the timing just isnt there at the present moment. things could change overnight, but they could also change the other way just as fast, and however beat down uvxy may be right now it can always go lower next week. i dont think its unfair to stick to the 11.50 target as a rule of thumb while the s&p is showing signs that daily consolidation could lead to resuming the bounce. edit*(if we hold 11.79 closing above 13.79)edit* i will change my mind, but for now i remain bearish on vix.
CBOE:UVXYShort
by cerealpatterns
hourly picture still bullish, but not ruling out daily reversalthe hourly picture for the nasdaq is looking like weve managed to hold some support over a daily neckline. if that necklline is threatened, id imagine we are revisiting that lower level soon. if we break it- look out below as a close beneath $31 will probably dictate 29.24 or lower. if we manage to hang on to this daily uptrend and close above the 33 mark i would imagine were challenging 35. 32.97 remains where that flatlining TRAMA lies at the moment. choppy action trading in this range has been hard to swallow for a lot of swing traders who were hoping for a breakout, or trying to catch consolidation to the downisde. it has also been bearish for volatility however, and this could revive the bounce if we see a breakdown in vix soon.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by cerealpatterns
a long running trend that may changesince the top in december trama has crossed below vwma, and both have continued down together. the rare times they have diverged bullishly and rose together have been short lived. if things are going to be different this time the trend has to abruptly change. if we get a higher low compared to 27 and we break 33 i would shoot for 40 region. this rally is for profit taking unless we continue immediately over potential neckline or if we double bottom, or bounce off of 27 region, or continue immediately over 33. return to short if we close below 24.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by cerealpatterns
multiple scenarios for mondaydepending how futures market plays out tonight and if people keep buying a mondays open we cod have very different outcomes. the bull case is essentially if we see RSI, Double STOCH signal remain positive or if we hit resistance at gap close and continue lower or make a double bottom. even in the bull case we could rally for a couple weeks and then double bottom. bias cautiously bullish as there are more bull scenarios than bear. even the magenta path is a bull scenario for a few days. staying over TRAMA and causing VWMA to rise with it means strong support for bulls.
AMEX:SPXLLong
by cerealpatterns
vix still getting waveshigh 19s are due if we can hold above high 18s. were headed for that same resistance and if we break the quad top it will close the gap at 20.05 . short targets are lower horizontals if we cant hold high 18s and the middle line is what i think would be a good pivot. TRAMA is flatlining, and VWMA is wobbly but if we start to see red crossing above blue and trending up together i would look to the upside. 21 still possible, though as is mid 16s. the daily bounce hasnt happened in semiconductors, big tech or spx.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by cerealpatterns
oversold semiconductors (SOXL)if critical support provides meaningful buy volume and we close the week near the highs then semiconductors, and the broader market could exhibit a bounce here towards lower 36s. if we see another wave of selling down at these levels were probably blowing through that support on the weekly trending toward upper 16s taking the market with it as semiconductors are a lead bear. keep TRAMA from sinking and come out of oversold STOCH and we could diverge bullishly. if things head for continuation it is likely more bearish.
AMEX:SOXLShort
by cerealpatterns
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Is ARKK Seeking A bottom Near Fib Amplitude Support?Looking at this chart, one could argue the past 12+ months have erased all of the excesses of the post-COVID speculative rally. One could argue that ARKK is nearing historical support and may be attempting to establish some type of base/bottom levels. I would suggest that ARKK may attempt a "wash-out" low price over the next few weeks - where price attempts to FLUSH OUT early longs. But it seems to me ARKK is nearing strong support from 2018-19 levels and may attempt a recovery rally throughout the end of 2022 (possibly). Time will tell. May be worth looking into some CALL options on ARKK at these levels?
AMEX:ARKKLong
by BradMatheny
URNM- URANIUM ETF BULLISH- GREAT SWING OR LONG TERM HOLD!I've had a position in URNM- AMEX:URNM Uranium for about 13 weeks and now and I'm really excited at how well this etf is doing. You can swing trade and possibly long term hold for a portfolio, since Uranium is the future need for energy in power plants and nuclear submarines and other naval ships. Find out all the details on my video technical analysis here! Give me a like and a subscribe and follow this trade which I will be updating. Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:URNM
AMEX:URNMLong
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
VOO VANGUARD S&P500 ETF- IS IT GOOD FOR A LONG TERM HOLD? VOO AMEX:VOO is showing promise. Markets have very slowly begun to correct since the Russian Invasion into Ukraine Feb 24th, 2022. Since then, you see some recover on this chart. While things are still uncertain with the overall health of the economy and markets the S&P is gaining some slow momentum. However is VOO a good long term hold ? Well, I'm gonna be opening a position with VOO for my portfolio and increase with dollar cost average new positions to protect me from any volatility. Hope you enjoy this TA and don't forget to like and subscribe and show your support. Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:VOO
AMEX:VOOLong
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst