Engulfing Candle
DJI/ SPX - expect near term volatilityWith FOMC uncertainty coming up this week, and the indices hitting into near term trendline resistence, some volatility will not be surprising in the next few days.
Among the 3 indices, DJI has been the strongest of late.
On the monthly timeframe, we can see a few rather bullish signs:
1. a "tweezer bottoms"
2. bullish engulfing candlestick
3. bullish divergence between price and RSI playing out. However, divergences usually translate into just a short term reversal (lasting 1-3 candlesticks) and may not be a longer term trend reversal. Still, when seen on a monthly chart, this could mean 1-3 months of "upside").
A pullback at this junction is not unexpected but what is important is to watch for the amount of pullback. Any pullback that within 50% fibonacci retracement of it's recent strong upswing AB is within "acceptable" limits.
However, anything is possible. Let's see how it will play out this week especially after FOMC this Wednesday.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
XAUUSD Short term bearishAs i see in the chart, the was a bullish leg before the triangle breakout and i drew another leg excactly the same height as the last one. because last candle was a doji shaped and latest candle is closing like a pin bar and we are far away from Moving Average, I think there might be a short term bearish trend on Gold , unless today's candle doesn't close as a pin bar. or 1 other think that cancels this scenario is that tommorow's candle closes above high of last 3 candle and form an Engulfing Candle.
USDCAD I Structure broken - next moveWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**USDCAD - Listen to video!
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Tug of War Among Central BanksThere is a tug of war situation among the central banks to hike interest rates. What is the bad and the good that will come out from this?
i. Last week of October, European Central Bank officials announced another massive 75 basis point hike, increasing interest rates at the fastest pace in the history of the euro currency.
ii. This week, the Federal Reserve is expected to increase rates by 75 basis points for the fourth time in a row.
iii. The Bank of England could join the club on Thursday.
Content:
. The Interest Rate race has just started, why?
. The impact on different currencies
. It may not be all bad news, why?
With higher interest rates, it attracts investors to buy its currency, in this case the USD.
Currency is always a pair, when USD strengthens, the other side weakens.
When a currency gets weaker, it is very bad news for inflation because they will have to pay more on their imports.
Therefore in order to counter inflation, one of the best measures is to hike rate
Expect more volatility in the currencies market, meaning currencies will take its turn to move.
And if you are a trader, you should welcome volatility. Because with volatility, there are opportunities.
GBP Futures
0.0001 = $6.25
0.001 = $62.50
0.01 = $625
0.1 = $6,250
1.1000 to 1.2000 = $6,250
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
MSFT- found intermediate supportMSFT gapped down into intermediate support @ 220 today (after another round of "bad" CPI report that spooked the markets) but immediately reversed to form a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart (and a potential pin bar on weekly chart).
Bullish divergence can be seen on both the weekly and daily charts which gave more conviction to this current support @ 220 (medium term resistence turned support)
Granted that a bounce from an bullish divergence can be just a short term counter trend (in a bear market), this support at 220 is still significant unless it is breached to the downside.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
REC LTD - BULLISH ENGULFING 📊 Script: RECLTD (REC LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES / NIFTY MIDCAP 50
📊 Sector: Financial Services
📊 Industry: Finance Institution
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading towards upper band of Bollinger band (BB).
📈 Already crossover in MACD .
📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Average.
📈 Double candlestick pattern BULLISH ENGULFING seen which indicate Bullishness in stock.
📈 Right now RSI is around 70.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 105.45
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 114/117
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 100
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
PERSTIGE - BULLISH ENGULFING 📊 Script: PRESTIGE (PRESTIGE ESTATES PROJECTS LIMITED)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY REALTY / NIFTY MIDCAP 100
📊 Sector: Realty
📊 Industry: Residential Commercial Projects
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at middle band of BB and taking support of middle band which is SMA20.
📈 Already crossover in MACD.
📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Double candlestick pattern BULLISH ENGULFING seen which indicate Bullishness in stock.
📈 Right now RSI is around 56.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 455
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 517
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 428
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Bullish Engulfing in Focus Before FedThe US 10-year Treasury yield left behind a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart this Friday.
This is as the bond tested a rising range of support from August.
A turn higher from here could open the door to revisiting the October high of 4.33.
Otherwise, breaking lower exposes the 50-day Simple Moving Average, which could reinstate the upside focus.
All eyes next week turn to the Fed, which is expected to deliver a 75-basis point rate hike. The focus will rather be on their language going forward as markets increasingly expect moderation.
TVC:US10Y
SPX - this rally could have legsDespite that bullish engulfing candle with strong volume on 13 Oct, the market continued to climb a wall of worry for the next 5 days. However last Friday's strong close is a "follow through" day that added to my conviction that this rally could last a fair bit.
On the Monthly Chart (not shown here):
A potential "bullish piercing candle" (monthly ) will be formed if by the end of this month we have a close above 3762. So let's see!
On the weekly chart:
1. SPX had rallied after testing the first major support @ 3500 on 13 October (last major support is around 3200, may not get there)
2. we see bullish divergence playing out
On the daily chart:
if SPX can close above it's immediate resistence @3800 (a mini inverse H&S neckline and also the 50% fib retracement of the recent XY down swing, then it could attempt to rally (minor pullbacks not withstandng) towards 4100 (inverse H&S target, incidentally 4000 - 4100 zone is critical as it also where the major downward trendline resistance is. The bears and bulls will be having their last battle here.
Could this be just another bear rally (albeit a strong one) or could the market have bottomed out at it's most recent low of 3491? I guess we will never know for sure except on hindsight.
The market seem to be resisting much lower levels than 3500 (at the worst case we could have a double dip back towards 3500 within the next few months although I feel the chance of market going lower than that is diminishing. Still protective stop loss is must.
p/s Fed starting to sound less hawkish in the coming days could be the ultimate signal for the bulls.
definition of "follow through day" here: www.investors.com
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Q's (QQQ) Look Right for a...POP!Q's (QQQ) Look Right for a...POP!
I spy a falling wedge and a higher low on the RSI indicator!!! Q's look ripe for a pop! It'll be nice if we open above 275.7 on Monday (Oct. 24, 2022).
Also, the 5MA crossed up the 10MA on the daily and is approaching the 20MA.
Therefore, my bias on QQQ is bullish.
Peace, Love & Abundance,
MrALtrades00
CHFJPY to fallOn weekly timeframe, CHFJPY has reached an overbought zone (RSI), an intersection between upper channel and horizontal support.
On lower timeframe, we've seen a big rejection recently, and then a correction upward : here we reach the 80~88% fib levels of the last rejection (D1), with a bearish engulfing pattern yesterday. This behavior can be a potential sell signal.
If we follow correlation to compare currencies, we find more confirmation : USDJPY has reached very high levels too fast, becoming overextended, and JPY will probably start a correction soon, meanwhile USDCHF is retesting a daily resistance for the fourth time, giving bullish signals, not yet an overextended move.
Goodluck,
Joe.
The SPY Looks Like It Could Soon See $420-$425Rigtt now the SPX is trading inside a Descending Boradening wedge at a Previous Zone of Weekly Congestion and has Bullishly Engulfed the Weekly lows and held above said lows.
So long as we can continue to hold these levels we should eventually see the top of the channel and previous Support/ Resistance level of $420-$425 and (if we are to aim for Full Measured Moves we'd expect to see $478.50 but for now lets just target $420-$425 then move forward from there); However any serious price action below this Congestion Zone would likely result in us fastly approaching the $200s, so to be safe i will Cut this Bullish Trade loose if we Break and Close Below the 200 Week Simple Moving Average.