Oil Long 4HThis trade idea is based solely on Price Action. I observed that oil has broken the previous neckline, and I expect a pullback to the golden zone of the Fibonacci retracement for the previous leg. Before entering the trade, I'm looking for confirmation on a lower time frame, such as the 30-minute chart. An ideal confirmation would form a 'W' pattern, preferably with a higher low in the second leg.
69.20-69 is the entry zone with almost 50 pips SL
Energy Commodities
Scenario on light crude oil cl1! 13.12.24If we can maintain the main monthly level, which is also support for the price of 71.66-72.44, then it is likely that the market will come for levels around 65, but if the market were to break through this level, then there is a possible scenario that the price could go higher and I would take the first tp somewhere around 75, but there are other big levels above that and the price could even reach 80.
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 70.28 area.
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WTI Oil H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 70.49 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 69.42 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 72.65 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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USOILPrevious analysis on November 13, 2024, it was seen that the price rebounded, tested the 71.40 level and could not break through. The price then came down to test the support zone 67.92-66.93 again. If the price can still stand above the 66.93 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will adjust up. Consider buying the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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WTICOUSD , high time frame
Hello traders, I would like to discuss West Texas oil. There is a critical zone on the chart, as anticipated. Oil is currently in a bullish trend on the higher timeframes. Presently, the price is in OB on the 4-hour chart, and during the Asian session, there are indications of a potential decrease to $69 before targeting the $75 zone.
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If you require further adjustments or have specific areas you wish to focus on, please feel free to let me know!
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Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 74.500
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#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures: Neutral again. Last week we got a bull surprise and market closed at previous resistance. Upside will probably be limited and market could not close above 72.3 for 2 months now. I do not expect it to change that all of a sudden. The volume is also low af and therefore I expect more sideways between 67 - 71. 2024 will likely close near 69.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls are not doing enough but bears are also barely making new lows. Market is mostly two sided and stuck inside an 8$ range for 2 months. Don’t over analyze it.
comment: I won’t make this longer than it needs to be and nothing has changed for the past 10 weeks. We are inside a clear trading range 66 - 72 and you can not expect that range to break over the next 3 weeks. Almost anything can happen with the markets but the most reasonable expectation is a continuation.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 66 - 72
bull case: If bulls can close the gap to 72.56 I’d be very surprised. 71.5 is likely still bigger resistance and thus most bulls will exit longs above 71 on any decent weakness. Daily close above 72 would change that a bit but not too much.
Invalidation is below 66.
bear case: Upper third of the trading range is where bears are favored again but they need to show some selling pressure before you should think about shorting this. If you would short this now, would you put your stop at 71.5? That’s really tight and the risk the market prints those couple of ticks is big. Next best stop would be 72.8. In any case, I wait for selling pressure before I short.
Invalidation is above 71.6.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral 68 - 70 and I doubt we make lower lows below 66. Even if bears push below, downside is likely limited. Can’t change much of last weeks short term outlook, since it’s still valid. Bears have targets below 66 but until they get a daily close below it, we continue sideways.
→ Last Sunday we traded 67.2 and now we are at 71.29. Range is still holding. Outlook was ok.
short term: Neutral 68 - 71.6. Above 71.6. we could see 72.2 but probably not higher than 72.8. Bears are favored at the upper third of this range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : None
chart update: Nothing worth mentioning. Again.
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USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
USOIL
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USOIL
Entry - 71.02
Stop - 71.82
Take - 69.48
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 71.095.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 70.000 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USOUSD Oil Long bets. Moving up slowly but surely. Daily TF.
The intraday chart around the 1hr and 2hr is a tad hectic with double / triple top, so the daily chart here has a triple bottom for structure support and a head'n' shoulders pattern which I dont think has triggered quite yet.
This trade I recommended on Monday for a long position and these price levels are a bit of a bargain.
If you wanted to buy in I would be buying the closing candle at 69.20
1 HR chart below. Price is just a nudge under 69 now
Black gold continues its decline!Oil prices are falling for several reasons:
• Saudi Arabia has decided to lower oil prices for buyers in the Asian market.
• A strong dollar continues to pressure black gold.
The drop in oil prices below $70 per barrel is likely being restrained by OPEC+ policies aimed at controlling supply volumes. The organization has decided to postpone the planned January 2025 increase in oil production to April 2025.
Traders dealing with Brent crude oil show the most pessimistic sentiment in recent months after OPEC+ countries decided to delay the resumption of oil production halted since 2022. At best, this postponement may only slow the price decline amid seasonal demand reduction in the first quarter. With the holidays approaching, market volatility is also decreasing, as traders exercise caution and avoid making aggressive bets on sharp price movements.
Morgan Stanley and HSBC have revised their forecasts for oil oversupply, expecting Brent crude oil prices to reach $70 per barrel by 2025. Bank of America analysts predict that the average price of Brent will be $65 per barrel in the coming years.
According to a survey conducted by the law firm Haynes Boone LLP, banks expect WTI crude oil prices to drop to $60 per barrel by 2027.
Trade #BRENT and #WTI crude oil with FreshForex and maximize your profits with leverage of 1:2000 and tight spreads.
This allows you to manage positions efficiently, minimize costs, and capitalize on price fluctuations for potential gains.
The latest crude oil operation suggestionsOverall, the EIA inventory data released last night was -507.3 before and -142.5 after, while the oil price barely rose by 10 points. The idea in the early trading is to determine the strength based on the high point of 70.5 last night. It is recommended to short on the rebound. Crude oil strategy: short on the high point when the rebound reaches 70, with the target at 69.3-68.6.
CL - Crude Oil confirmation and unwritten potentialHi guys, we are following up with probably one of our favourite assets to participate in. You guessed it right it's CL. Currently the Crude Oil is sitting in a very specific range , which has been traded since late August , until the end of October where we saw a big spike and got out of boundaries due to the escalation in Iran and Israel, of which after the cooling off we got back into the range of 73.00 as a strong resistance line , and 67.00 as a strong support. This range has made a lot of traders stay away from CL, but I do believe that there is potential to be caught.
Current analysis and entry :
Entry today at a level of 68.90 , with two targets of take profit :
Target 1: 71.52
Target 2: 72.92
Now this is the bold move if you don't want to miss out on the current opportunity and your Risk Tolerance is on the higher end.
If you want to be more protective and your Risk Tolerance is on the lower side, you can get a Pending Order at the level of 66.61 , and then enter 3 follow up targets
Target 1: 68.50
Target 2: 71.05
Target 3: 72.45
P.S. My current opinion is to go with a current entry because the missing out of opportunity is too high ,hence we are seeing more tensions in Israel&Gaza conflict, additionally the tightening of the situation in Ukraine&Russia adds more Fundamental Value, towards a swing on an upside of the Crude Oil.
Do let me know in the comments below or in my community what is your thought process and opinion about our favourite Black Gold!
Happy Trading!
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 70.58.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 72.27 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI OIL Major bullish break-out happened. Expect rally to $76.WTI Oil (USOIL) broke yesterday above the 1-month Lower Highs trend-line, following the bullish EIA report. This is a major bullish break-out as the last time the price broke above a similar Lower Highs trend-line was on October 01, with the resulting rally rising above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Even the 4H RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical, with both starting on a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows and then a nearly oversold RSI with the price on the Support Zone was what initiated the rebound that broke the Lower Highs.
Our Target is again the 0.786 Fib at $76.00.
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USOIL WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS📊 USOIL Weekly Update
Technical View:
Not much has changed on the charts. Price remains within the expected range, waiting for a catalyst to break out.
Fundamental Highlights:
Geopolitics: TVC:UKOIL Brent hit ~$71, WTI at ~$67, driven by instability following the ousting of Syria's President.
Saudi Aramco: January crude prices for Asia slashed to early 2021 lows due to weak Chinese demand.
OPEC+: Delayed output hikes to April 2025; cuts extended through 2026.
U.S. Supply: Increased oil & gas rig activity adds pressure on prices.
Natural Gas: Futures rebounded 5% to $3.147 after last week’s losses.
🔑 Key Levels ( FX:USOIL WTI):
Bullish: Close above 21-period SMA ($72.37) targets 50-period SMA ($73.98).
Bearish: Close below $72.00 may see a drop toward ~$70.63.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Keep alerts set for key levels; patience is key as we await clearer directional moves.
💬 Let’s discuss more in comment below!
Happy Trading,
The NFX Team™ 💚
(Earlier shared this post but got taken down due to some off-platform mention (violation) - still getting used to the TV rules :) , reposted for reference purpose.)