NG1: Will We See a Rebound or a Breakout?🔍 Analyzing NG1: We are approaching a critical support level that could determine our next move. Option 1: A rebound from this level could present a strong buying opportunity, indicating a potential uptrend. Option 2: If we break below this support, the next level could act as a key pivot point, prompting a reevaluation of our strategy. I’m closely monitoring for long entry opportunities to capitalize on any bullish reversals. Let's stay sharp!
Energy Commodities
Uranium Long Analysis - Cup and Handle, Elliot wave analysisUranium appears to have finished it's larger, intermediate degree correction.
Additionally, uranium has broken out of what seems to be a massive cup and handle pattern.
Expected price within the next decade is likely to exceed 200 dollars/pound.
Expect some more consolidation before a large move higher.
Watch video for more details.
WTI Crude Oil: Navigating Market Waves with Technical PrecisionH ello,
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil is a major benchmark for oil prices in the U.S. It's widely used as a reference price for oil trading and is a key indicator of global oil market trends.
Chart Explanation
Moving Averages
5-day Moving Average: $74.80
20-day Moving Average: $73.50
50-day Moving Average: $72.00
200-day Moving Average: $70.00
The price is currently above the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65 (Neutral to Bullish)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): 2.0 (Bullish)
Stochastic Oscillator: 70 (Overbought)
Chart Patterns
Candlestick Patterns: Recent patterns show a mix of bullish engulfing and doji, suggesting indecision in the market but with a slight bullish bias.
Support Levels: $72.00, $70.00
Resistance Levels: $78.00, $80.00
Analysis of Sentiments
At present, sentiment on WTI Crude Oil is rather neutral. The sentiment from the technical indicators is ‘buy’, but there is a little bit of energy demand concern as US consumer sentiment has fallen in recent weeks. This calls for a mixed sentiment in which there is hope of price rises but also provides for fears of drop in demand.
News Sentiment
Information from the latest news has been provoking nervy WTI Crude Oil sentiments. The volatility and the love-hate relationship with the Iran issue have fueled wild price speculations and tensions in the Middle East. Commentators are careful in their assessments arguing in these present price levels that there are wear and tear global political forces, however, all expect a way out that will either break prices up into summits or down into bottoms.
Conclusion
In the current prices of WTI Crude Oil, one is able to note that there is a steep bullish movement in the short run. Supported by the key indicators, an uptrend of the market is forecasted. Nonetheless, the stock has neared its peak levels and therefore caution should be taken in regard to possible corrections. The price areas close given as $72.00 and $70.00 can present purchasing chances, if any, while selling pressures, if any, at the price boundaries given as $78.00 and $80.00 will be significant to watch.
Regards,
Ely
USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
USOIL
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USOIL
Entry Point - 75.44
Stop Loss - 77.07
Take Profit - 72.31
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USOIL (WTI) → bullish setuphello guys.
Trendline Break: The price has broken through a downward-sloping trendline, which is a potential signal for a trend reversal or continuation of the upward move.
Order Block Area: There is a highlighted horizontal zone (yellow) around the 70.30 level, which may act as a significant resistance or supply area. Traders are likely watching for a test or break of this zone.
QML Pattern (Quasimodo): The yellow circle highlights a QML pattern where the price reverses from a prior support level, suggesting a potentially bullish setup.
Upward Target: The projected arrow suggests that if the price can sustain above the broken trendline, it may attempt to reach the 70.30 resistance level, representing a potential price target.
Volume Consideration: While not displayed, monitoring volume increases as the price moves toward the target zone could validate the strength of the upward move.
Support Zone: A key support area appears around the 67.50 level, as shown by the horizontal blue line. If the price reverses, it could test this level again.
Overall, a bullish setup appears in place with key resistance around 70.30, but any failure to break that zone could result in a pullback to support around 67.50.
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USOIL Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 7,527.3.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 7,913.5. level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USOIL BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on USOIL right now from the resistance line above with the target of 71.99 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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XLE AT A INTERESTING PRICE WHEN LOOKING AT THE PASTDoes this mean anything?
Yes and no.
you need more to go on than just this to project the move, however, if you assume middle trend is where this price wants to go to stabilize, and you see we are at a major spot when it comes to horizontal support.
I really can't tell yet where it goes.
The upside percentage is far less than the potential downside percentage.
Upside is favored, but again, I can't really tell on this one to say anything other than, it's at a horizontal mark that has been historically important.
WTI breaks outOil prices have been edging higher from their earlier lows. Understandably, traders do not want to be caught holding short bets on oil heading into the long weekend. The potential for Israel to strike Iran could see oil prices gap higher at the Asian open next week. There’s also the potential that China’s finance minister will announce substantive fiscal support for the ailing economy. This could ease demand concerns.
Meanwhile, oil traders will also look forward to the release of the monthly OPEC and IEA reports on Monday and Tuesday. Bearish oil speculators will be watching for further signs of weakness in oil demand, while the bulls will probably jump on anything constructive for oil prices. Let’s see what these groups will post, but with the focus being mainly on the Middle East situation, I don’t expect to see prices move very much on the back of these monthly oil reports.
WTI has just broken its bearish trend line observed on 1 hour time frame. The new short-term support now is this trend line at around $75.30. From here, WTI could rise to take out liquidity resting above recent highs of $78.30, and possibly even reach $80.00. Let's see if it will be able to hold the breakout now.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst for FOREX.com
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Confirmed Bullish Reversal
WTI Crude Oil looks bullish from both daily/intraday perspectives.
On a daily time frame, I see a confirmed breakout of a resistance line
of a wide horizontal parallel channel and a trend violation and reversal.
On a 4H time frame, I see a retest of a recently broken resistance of the channel
with a consequent strong bullish movement and change of character CHoCH.
I believe that the market will continue growing.
Next resistance - 77.0
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Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Target Additional GainsMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Target Additional Gains
WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $78.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended gains above the $72.40 and $73.50 resistance levels.
- There was a move above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $72.75 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $71.15 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $72.40 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77.89 swing high to the $71.16 low. Besides, there was a move above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $72.75.
The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $75.30 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $77.89 swing high to the $71.16 low.
The RSI is now near the 60 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $76.30. The next major resistance is near the $77.90 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $79.50 level or even $80.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $73.50 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $72.40 zone, below which the price could test the $71.15 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $70.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $68.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Brent crude: Buying into the stormAny trade you take in oil right now is probably going to make you a quick win or loss .
Oil has easily been the most volatile market this week - it's pretty obvious why
1) Hurricanes in the US disrupting supply
2) War in the Middle East
For us, the trend is higher since breaking through $76 / bbl. And the latest fractal forming a higher low helped confirm this idea.
This uptrend has not been properly established with 2 higher highs, which offers bigger possible upside but also a greater chance of never getting going.
You can see the price is trapped between the 50 SMA and 200 SMA.
We see a chance for a favourable 2:1 risk reward by trading the pullback from yesterday's bullish engulfing candlestick up to this week's high around 81.50.
What do you think? Please share your ideas in a comment
Energy vs Tech : Analyzing Sector Performance and Market TrendsIntroduction:
The comparison between the energy sector (XLE) and the technology sector (XLK) provides valuable insights into current market trends. As the largest sector in the S&P 500, XLK often serves as a barometer for broader market strength. Conversely, when XLE outperforms XLK, it may signal caution, as XLE's smaller size limits its impact on the overall index.
Analysis:
Sector Comparison: XLK's performance is crucial in indicating market health. When XLK outperforms, it generally suggests a robust market outlook. On the other hand, if XLE starts to outperform XLK, this may indicate potential weakness in broader market conditions.
Inflationary Pressures: This ratio between XLE and XLK also reflects inflationary trends. A strong performance from XLE relative to XLK may signal rising inflationary pressures, which investors should closely monitor.
Charting the Pattern: The energy sector has formed an inverted saucer pattern. A breakout from this pattern could signify a positive upward trend and possibly a return to inflation.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Monitor the XLE/XLK ratio for a potential breakout confirmation.
Stop Loss: Consider setting a stop loss below the recent support level identified on the chart.
Target Price: Set a target based on the measured move from the breakout point of the inverted saucer pattern.
Conclusion:
The comparative performance of XLE and XLK offers essential insights into market dynamics and inflationary pressures. Traders should keep an eye on the potential breakout from the inverted saucer pattern in XLE, as it may indicate a shift in market trends. What are your thoughts on this analysis? Share your insights in the comments!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the XLE/XLK ratio and the inverted saucer pattern)
#Energy #Technology #MarketTrends #Inflation #XLE #XLK
US oil creating bullish momentum on 4H
Not stop entry
Wait for little consolidation, wicks or bullish momentum candle at entry
SL are below from golden ratio and take less risk by putting SL below the momentum candle
Actually we miss the trade but mark alert maybe market retest and you get the trade
2024-10-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - oiltl;dr
oil - 297 points given to you yesterday. Hope you made some. 76 could be resistance but I can see this printing 78 again tomorrow. Either way, bad place to buy right now. Need better pullback or a buy near the 1h 20ema or bull trend line. I got nothing for the bears here either. They made big bucks and did not fight this much.
comment : Closed the given swing long for around 260. I hope you also made some. Bulls are in control again and I doubt bears want to fight this big time before 77 or higher.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 71 - 80
bull case: At 75.55 I don’t know how deep the pullback can get. Lowest should be around 74. There is a bull trend line and the 1h 20ema is around 75. Above targets are 77/78 and if bulls get wild again, we will print 80 soon. After such wild moves up and down, it’s more reasonable to not expect more extremes and maybe somewhat more contracting prices and sideways movement before the impulse.
Invalidation is below 74.
bear case: They gave up above 74.5 and their next target is to keep the market below 77 and turn more neutral again. I honestly don’t have decent arguments for the bears. They made big points on the pullback and now bulls try again. I would not look for shorts in this.
Invalidation is above 76.5.
short term: Bullish for 77 or higher. Neutral below 74.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Gave you the swing long yesterday at 73.28. That.
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE)Oil prices are still up & buyers are holding strongly! On the smaller TF we saw price dip a little lower in the past 4 days. For those who aren't in buy's already, you should have used this dip to get into Oil at a cheaper price. Bare in mind prices are still dirt cheap right now, so take advantage before it's too late.
GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
WTI CRUDE OIL: Turned bullish again after the 1D MA50 rebound.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.281, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 33.404) as even though it breached through the 1D MA50 yesterday intraday, it managed to close the day over it and extend today with a green candle. It was not ideal that the rejection on Tuesday took place on the 1D MA200 but yesterday's 1D MA50 rebound has restored the bullish sentiment. We turn bullish again (TP = 80.00) all the way to the one year LH trendline and the 0.786 Fib.
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Holding WTI buys. H4. 10.10.2024🛢 Holding WTI buys
On oil in a private channel gave a zone for buying at 72.20.
I myself bought a little higher at 72.50,
but the accuracy is small, but the result is already there.
I will hold the buy until the take profit at 80 with intermediate
fixation of 50% at 78. If there will be another escalation of the conflict
between Israel and Lebanon on the weekend, as well as natural cataclysms
in the USA, it will be a positive signal for oil, as it will prevent the delivery
of oil products. So buy hold and squeeze with private channel subscribers
with it profit to the fullest.
BLACKBULL:WTI
USOIL Rallies, Tensions Rise, Could Price Soar More??Here I have TVC:USOIL on the Daily Chart!
Starting with Technical, we can see Price has formed a Double Bottom at a Support Area that's kept Price afloat for quite some years now, but was last visited and acted as Support for Price back in the Spring of 2023!
Price has Broke the Confirmation of Pattern @ $72.36 and is now Breaking the Local Falling Resistance from prior July & August 2024 Highs. Regardless, Price Action has Broken Structure and created Higher Highs and Lows, confirming Uptrend, starting with the Higher Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1!
- Currently we want to see this Bullish Rally continue Breaking Above the Falling Resistance and staying above the ( $71 - $72 ) Range that Price has been interacting with Signaling Bulls in fact are in control, then for a Test of the Break of Confirmation of Pattern and Test of the Break of Local Falling Resistance!
* Once successful, we will see Price rise to the next Falling Resistance created from the Highs of Sept. 2023 & Apr. 2024!
- Massive Bullish Volume enters on the 2nd Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1
- Price on RSI is Above 50 with the Break of the Confirmation of Pattern
Now Fundamental, the biggest factor that seems to be at play for TVC:USOIL is all the Geo-political confrontation stirring up. Not only is the Russia/Ukraine war still ongoing, the tensions between Israel/Iran are seeing massive implications across the board!
- Oct. 1 being the beginning of the Iran missile attacks on Israel www.tradingview.com
- Now worries arise that Iran's Oil Facilities may be in danger as a possible Retaliatory Israeli Strike Target! With Iran eyeing Israel's Energy Infrastructure, Power Plants, Refineries and Gas Fields!
www.tradingview.com
* Oct. 7th is the Year Anniversary to the Israel/Hamas conflict and suspicions arise that we could be looking at things intensifying further!
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USOIL is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 71.85.
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