(Update) !!! Bitcoin Analysis : Bull or Bear ? (READ)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Currently, it can be said that Bitcoin has completed its fourth corrective wave and from now on, the price can be expected to rise to the top of the triangle.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Elliotwaveanalysis
BTC IS GOING TO ALL TIME HIGH LADIES AND GENTLEMEN ! BTC ended up in a complex WXY correction. Initially what may have seemed like a FLAT ended up being WXY. No matter how much the MM plays with the market and no matter what news hits the screen, algos always run their course guys.
We are in the early formation of wave 3, which will make history. True we may retrace a bit more to tap the lower levels but this will sling shot BTC to the ATH ! Remember the deeper the retracement of wave 2, the higher will be wave 3, a slingshot - - get it ;). Mega hidden bullish divergence on the weekly also playing out well.
Invalidation of this idea is at the low of Wave Y. WorD of advice guys, avoid over leverage and practice risk management fells. DCA is the name of the game. When Bitcoin hits ATH, all ALTS will pop like fireworks hence DCA and Spot Buy is the name of the game, especially for all the young bucks and inspiring traders out there.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Bitcoin - Technical AnalysisDear Analysts and Traders,
Looking at the Bitcoin price chart, I notice a variety of structures described by Technical Analysis. My attention is particularly drawn to elements related to the Elliott and Wyckoff methodologies. The market appears chaotic yet orderly at the same time.
I must mention that I am not someone with formal education in this field. I am self-taught, placing a strong emphasis on using Technical Analysis as the main component of my decision-making process. This stems from my belief that although the chart is difficult to read, it largely allows for the interpretation of the hidden intentions of "smart money." I want to stress that the following words reflect only my personal point of view, which may not be correct, and that this publication is by no means investment or educational advice as understood by any law regulating such matters. I simply intend to ramble about topics I don’t fully understand.
Background
Bitcoin's price is in a long-term upward trend. Over the past year, there has been a strong upward trend within a broad sideways structure. Today, the price is near the upper boundary of this multi-year structure, and at the same time, at the lower limit of a smaller structure.
Technical Analysis
In my considerations, I will use elements of the Elliott, Wyckoff, and VSA methodologies.
I begin by applying the key elements of these methodologies to the price chart from recent months. Starting with Elliott's five-wave approach, I outline the trend that has brought the price to these levels, marking it as (12345). Next, I highlight the three-wave corrective patterns with a white (ABC), creating a complex correction structure.
I add events consistent with the Wyckoff method to the chart. Due to the complex nature of the studied structure, I decide to mark processes of varying scales. I do this with verbal descriptions in red and green, supplemented by horizontal lines indicating support and resistance. The structure described in red is the dominant one. I analyze the volume dynamics, marking them with dashed lines and a red loop.
Additionally, I pay attention to candlesticks, especially in the context of VSA and their specific meaning in key areas, such as extremes or events related to the methodologies used.
Interpretation and Thoughts
Without a doubt, Bitcoin’s price structure is both intriguing and complex. Looking at the most basic elements of the chart, I see strength, and at the peaks, I don't notice setups like Trap UpMove or Upthrust with volumes significantly deviating from the average. Instead, there are numerous Shakeout events, often followed by local volume peaks in its declining trend. This is different from the setup at the point I marked as Phase C. According to Wyckoff’s method, this is where the largest volume since the halt of the uptrend has appeared. The Green Upthrust is particularly interesting. As part of a smaller structure, which I believe to be accumulative, it indicates No Demand. Of course, this is a sign of weakness, but what matters to me is the background, where significant potential distribution is evident, with signs of weakness seen through multiple breaches of the lower part of the trading range. I could treat this situation as Phase C, but of a distribution phase. However, I believe there is no overwhelming supply here, and in the actions of the Composite Man, I would expect an attempt to lead the crowd to the highest possible regions, trap them, and guide them to the inevitable. Here, the rhetoric is different—the market appears weak, but the area around Preliminary Supply has been strongly defended by the bulls.
From an Elliott perspective, I see a complex correction, and I believe it is a triple three, consisting of a flat correction, a three, and a zigzag. The end of this series of corrections, in my opinion, begins Phase C of the highest-order accumulation in this area of the chart. Supporting the thesis of an accumulation process is the volume, which follows a characteristic pattern: huge volumes at the halt, followed by a steady decline in Phase B, particularly during the descent from the peak of the Red Upthrust. The test of Phase C is abrupt, and the price once again forms a smaller structure. Here, I expect a test to appear, especially on a higher timeframe, confirming No Supply. For now, despite the chart’s grim appearance, I see more of a transfer of assets from the crowd rather than an attempt to push the price significantly lower.
The Bitcoin price chart presents a beautiful structure from a Technical Analysis perspective. I believe there is much more to be uncovered. I think my reflections on these price movements provide a basis to claim that an accumulation process is underway. Soon, confirmation of the lack of selling pressure will likely emerge—if I am interpreting the market correctly. The smaller Green Structure is a kind of retest that could evolve into a Turning Point.
Soon, the market will reveal whether my assumptions are correct and make clearer that which allows for easy analysis... after the fact!
Thank you all for taking the time to read my thoughts. I wish you successful analyses and winning positions!
CatTheTrader
BTC is about to start an upward movement towards $100,000According to the chart, it seems that Bitcoin has completed a flat correction pattern. Two high-probability support areas consisting of overlapping different Fibonacci percentages are marked with green areas on the chart. This flat pattern will likely end in one of these areas. Given that the price has entered the first support zone, any price increase above the end of wave iv confirms the start of the third bullish wave of Bitcoin. I expect the start of a powerful uptrend in the coming days and even hours.
TSLA cybertruckin' it to $243-$258 price range - 4-5 Elliot WaveNASDAQ:TSLA drawing a 4th to 5th Elliot Wave potentially all the way to the $243-$258 price range
Moving averages consolidating around that area too. I track the 20, 50, 100, and 200, but mostly the 50 and 200 for confirmation, and trendlines, but mostly the Elliot Wave when I see it straight out of Ralph Nelson Elliots playbook..
Invest smart, invest hard.
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Roaring Puppy 🐶 out.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Elliott Wave Analysis of Infosys MonthlyElliott Wave Analysis Overview:
1. Primary Degree Wave 1 (Completed in March 2000):
Price Level: 218
The first primary degree wave, which marked the beginning of a larger uptrend, concluded at the price level of 218.
2. Primary Degree Wave 2 (Completed in September 2001):
Price Level: 33
The corrective wave 2 retraced the gains of wave 1, with the price dropping to 33 before setting the stage for the next uptrend.
3. Intermediate Degree Wave 1 (Completed in January 2002):
Price Level: 76
This wave, part of the larger primary degree uptrend, reached a high of 76.
4. Intermediate Degree Wave 2 (Completed in April 2003):
Price Level: 36
The second intermediate degree wave provided a correction, retracing the advance of wave 1 and concluding at a price of 36.
5. Intermediate Degree Wave 3 (Completed in December 2021):
Price Level: 1953
Wave 3, characterized by its strong momentum, concluded at 1953, marking a significant uptrend in the stock's price.
6. Intermediate Degree Wave 4 (Completed in April 2023):
Price Level: 1185
The corrective wave 4 retraced some of the gains from wave 3, with the price level dropping to 1185.
7. Current Wave Analysis:
Wave 5 of Intermediate Degree:
The ongoing wave 5 of the intermediate degree is in progress.
Target Price for Wave 5: 2380
This wave is expected to complete the intermediate degree cycle and also mark the conclusion of wave 3 at the primary degree.
Summary:
Infosys has undergone a series of significant Elliott Wave patterns since the completion of its primary degree wave 1 in March 2000. The analysis suggests that the ongoing intermediate degree wave 5 could potentially reach a target price of 2380. This target also aligns with the conclusion of the primary degree wave 3. Investors should monitor the price action closely to confirm the completion of wave 5 and assess the potential implications for future waves.
Note: As with any technical analysis, this interpretation is subject to change based on new market data and evolving conditions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical price data and Elliott Wave principles. Market conditions and price movements can be highly unpredictable. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BITCOIN: Elliott Wave & ChannelGreetings, everyone.😉
I would like to present a scenario for your consideration, grounded in "Elliott Wave Theory" .
✔️ Wave initiated from the 15K level: Classified as a "Double Zigzag"
✔️ Current wave in development: Y-c-3
✔️ Projected upward range: 93K ~ 101K
The rationale behind this analysis is as follows:
Zigzag patterns typically move within a parallel channel.
The first zigzag wave, which started from the 15K level, adhered precisely to this parallel channel.
As a result, the likelihood of a complex correction occurring is considerably high.
Based on these observations, I have constructed this particular scenario. It is an illustrative representation of potential market behavior, grounded in established technical principles. Wishing you all the best of luck.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
PTTGC| Wave Analysis - Ending Diagonal Pattern - Doubled BULL DIA possible ending diagonal pattern scenario - final 5-wave extension confirmation - 161.8% - 200% of 1-wave downtrend target at 27 and 22 baht zone
RSI weekly doubled bullish divergence indicator supporting 5-wave downtrend status
Long Entry: breakout falling wedge/ending diagonal pattern 33-36 baht zone.
Always trade with affordable risk / respect your stop
Good Luck
USOIL : Weekly Technical AnalysisHi Traders!
Crude oil prices declined on Tuesday due to demand concerns driven by weak economic growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer.
Brent crude fell 1% to US$76.77 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude lost 0.1% to US$73.50/b at last look early Tuesday. Demand concerns offset impacts of the production and export halt at Libya due to a political dispute, Reuters said in a Tuesday report.
China's purchasing managers' index hit a six-month low in August and new home prices grew in the month at their weakest pace this year.
Meanwhile, Libya's National Oil Corp declared force majeure at its El Feel oil field from Sept. 2. Total production in the country had dropped to just over 591,000 barrels per day (b/d) as of Aug. 28 from nearly 959,000 b/d on Aug. 26, Reuters reported, citing NOC.
However, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is reportedly set to proceed with its planned output boost in October regardless of demand concerns, Reuters reported, citing unnamed industry sources.
From a technical point of view, the break of the support (left wing) should confirm our bearish harmonic structure and subsequently push the price around $55. If OPEC confirms an increase in production, this element could support our idea. What do you think?
WORLDCOIN will breakout soon?WLD 1-day timeframe analysis (re-count)
WLD is now -88% from its all time high and is very concerning, its C wave indeed overlap with Wave 2 of the previous impulsive wave, this overlap does not violate any Elliott Wave rules, as long as the wave counts and degrees are correctly applied.
𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐧 𝐓𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐞 𝐏𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐬:
(We are now forming a triangle again in the final impulsive wave of the correction)
In the case of a triangle (ABCDE):
𝐖𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐄 can be shorter, and this is sometimes loosely referred to as "truncated," though it's not a formal term within Elliott Wave
theory.
𝐖𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐄 does not necessarily have to reach the trendline drawn from the ends of Waves A and C. It can fall short, creating what might be perceived as a "truncated" appearance.
The invalidation level is indicated in the chart below. If it materializes, the potential reversal zone could range from $1.34 to $1.19. Please note, this is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Bitcoin Dominance Ending diagonal ALTSEASONBitcoin ending diagonal can lead into altseason,
• Ending diagonal is usually characterized by overlapping wave 1 and 4 and also by the wedge shape. However, overlap between wave 1 and 4 is not a condition and it may or may not happen
• The subdivision of an ending diagonal is either 3-3-3-3-3 or 5-3-5-3-5.
NVIDIA to $180Overview
It's a good mindset to be skeptical about a bull market that doesn't seem like it should exist. The GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has declined for a second consecutive quarter to a 24 month low and the Civilian Unemployment Rate is the highest it's been since Nov 2021. This leads me to believe that the current rally is being mostly fueled by two factors surrounding artificial intelligence: hype and revenue. NASDAQ:NVDA is the leading A.I. developer and hasn't experienced a decrease in quarterly revenue since November 2022.
When faced with the unknown -- which in this case would be the direction of the stock market -- people cling to what they know. I believe this will present itself in more clearly defined trading patterns and price-swing predictability.
Technicals
NVDA is setting up a pattern that resembles the 5 Elliott Impulse Waves with each wave taking between 3-4 months to develop. If accurate, the trough of the 4th wave could find the share price in the proximity of $100-115.
I utilized Fibonacci levels against the low of the 2nd wave to the high of the 3rd wave. In addition to helping find a support level for the 4th wave, the uptrend Fibonacci tool also provided a projected price target near $180. I compared the 1.618 (161.8%) micro-Fibonacci retracement to the 1.618 macro-Fibonacci retracement, which consumes the entirety of the already existing patterns.
I took the difference of $18.19 between the projected 1.618 Fib levels then created a low and high range where I believe the 5th wave will peak. I ended my projection at this point, however, it is worth noting that impulse waves are followed by correction waves which serve in the opposite trending direction.
BITCOIN POWER !!!!How to Check Bitcoin's Current Price
Cryptocurrency Exchanges: Check prices on major exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, or Bitfinex.
Financial Websites: Use financial websites such as CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, or Yahoo Finance.
Mobile Apps: Utilize financial or cryptocurrency apps like Blockfolio, Delta, or CryptoCompare.
Insights on Bitcoin’s Price
Based on fundamental factors and current trends, here are some general insights:
Technical Analysis
Price Charts: Examine Bitcoin's price charts over various timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly) to identify trends and price patterns. Indicators such as Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and support/resistance levels can provide insights into current trends.
Price Patterns: Watch for technical patterns like “head and shoulders,” “double top/bottom,” and divergence signals, which may help predict future price movements.
Economic Factors and News
Market News: News related to regulations, acceptance by major institutions, and global events can significantly impact Bitcoin’s price. For instance, discussions about monetary policy or security breaches can cause notable price volatility.
Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment also plays a crucial role. Optimism or concern within the investment community can lead to substantial price fluctuations.
Long-Term Trends and Fundamental Analysis
Mining and Supply: Bitcoin has a capped supply of 21 million BTC, and the new supply entering the market decreases over time (halving). This can influence long-term price trends.
Acceptance and Use Cases: Increasing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legal payment method and technological advancements like the Bitcoin Lightning Network can boost demand and impact price.
Global Economic Conditions
Inflation and Monetary Policy: Bitcoin is often seen as “digital gold” and can act as a hedge against inflation. Monetary policies and global economic conditions can affect Bitcoin’s attractiveness as an investment asset.
Conclusion
To get an accurate assessment of Bitcoin’s price at any given moment, check real-time data sources and apply technical analysis tools. Consider all fundamental factors and market news to make informed investment decisions. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investing in Bitcoin should be done cautiously and strategically.
EURUSD - Catch Wave 5 According to Elliot wave theories, Impulsive phase is made up of 5 waves. We are currently in the 4th wave and looking to catch the final wave.
Trade Idea:
-Watch the rejection of our buy zone.
-Look for any reversal pattern or model like trendline break or break of structure
Will update later once we reach our area if interest.
BITCOIN - Catch Wave Y In our last analysis, we have observed a WXY correction that is still in play. Price made a nice bounce off channel making a running flat.
Can we buy from here?
TOO Risky..
What we want to see?
BITCOIN 1H - Wait for the break of structure, 50 EMA and trendline. Entry will be at the retest
Good Luck and Trade Safe!
Nvidia still working on Minor B retracementWith earnings out and traders not getting the normal reward of new 52 week highs, we continue to subdivide lower in a primary circle wave 4 that will more than likely not bottom until next year, possibly longer. A primary wave 4 will consist of an intermediate ABC, and each intermediate label will consist of a minor ABC. We're still working on minor B...therefore, it's important that followers of my work be informed we've only just begun the primary wave 4 pattern.
In the short term, we will be in this general area for a while as it appears now we're working on a flat for Intermediate (A).
#AUDUSD beginning of a bearish moveIt seems that the price has reached its peak, completing a 5-wave bullish impulsive wave in a higher degree. As a result, we could anticipate at least an ABC bearish corrective move to the downside.
A signal to take a sell position or close previous long positions could be when the price breaks below a lower timeframe low, indicating a shift in market structure to the downside.
BTC : Spot the DIFFERENCE - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENTYesterday, I made a very comprehensive update on why BTC likely has a hard drop coming - the only problem is it published the video on the BTC.D chart 🥴 So, you've likely missed it and I will repeat it here today because it's a VERY clear signal.
Altcoin dump happened BETWEEN the first turquoise and the purple vertical line, from halfway onwards:
Up until this point BTC did correct, but only around -27%. (BTC has currently corrected -33%)
The price THEN went on to drop another -20% before bottoming out at point 4 on the Elliot Wave Theory:
RECAP: What happened AFTER the 27% drop that led to another hard drop, ending at -50%? The BTC.D started INCREASING whilst BTC price DECREASED and TOTAL3 DECREASED .
Now look at the chart again, again at point 3 of Elliot Wave Theory (the second turquoise vertical line). In other words - we're still waiting to reach point 4.
The in-depth explanation here:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT
BTC's situation+next targets and expected movements.BINANCE:BTCUSDT
The situation you see seems that Bitcoin has completed its fourth downward wave and now it is time to break the ascending triangle and complete its 5th wave.
Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating around 60k and has not been able to break through the 67K
level. This suggests that it may continue to fluctuate within this range and requires closer examination.
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!