Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible)
Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE).
Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend.
Possible Wave Counts:
Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend.
Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend.
Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend.
Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1).
Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliotwaveanalysis
Deeper Lows Ahead Before Reversal in SILVER ? Elliott WavesThe chart suggests a potential downward trend for Silver to complete wave (C) Blue of wave ((4)) Black and then wave Uptrend ((5)) Black.
Elliott Wave Structure:
The chart appears to be in a corrective wave structure, likely a Zigzag.
The current position seems to be within a corrective wave ((4)) Black in which wave (A) & (B) are completed and now we are unfolding wave (C) Blue of ((4)) Black.
Inside wave (C) we had completed wave 1 & 2 and now we are unfolding wave 3 Red in wave (C), post wave 3, we have to unfold wave 4 & 5 Red to finish wave (C) Blue of wave ((4)) Black.
Potential Scenarios:
Downside: If the downward trend continues, the price may reach Fib extension level where wave (C) equals with wave (A) and some times may goes towards 1.236 Fibonacci extension level.
Post completion wave ((4)) Black, we may see Reversal towards new Highs to finish wave ((5)) which generally goes beyond wave ((3)) High.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years!
In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall.
So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :)
As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision.
I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows.
The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle.
This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse.
What are your thoughts?
Or do we have to wait for longer?Here we assume that XRP won't go after the ATH just yet. We will have to see if #Bitcoin chills out for a moment and starts either distributing or slightly correcting to $98-100K regions. We can then assume the corrective wave (primary W4) will be deeper or a more complex variant (here presumed an expanded flat). The flat correction would allow for consolidation and a potential RSI reset, possibly forming a bullish divergence to signal a reversal which is typical between waves 3 and 5.
A clear break of the lower trendline and failure to hold $1.97 would validate this scenario. The invalidation for this scenario will be taking out the recently set high at $2.9. Given the corrective nature of expanded flats, completion of this structure could extend into early 2025, aligning with broader market uncertainties and potential shifts in macro sentiment.
XAU/USD 14.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello traders,
after we broke my last wave 4, I reinterpreted my chart view. Essentially, my second plan is now in effect. For now, we have a big (a)(b)(c) setup, within which we see a 12345 count. Currently, we are in waves 1 to 2. Wave 1 is structured as an abc correction, which itself follows an abc structure. Within the corrective wave b to c, we can also count a 12345 wave setup.
Take profit for the sellers would align with the blue Fibonacci extension levels. The 100% extension (the first target) doesn't look very promising to me. It is near the 61% (orange) Fibonacci level but feels too far away. We might observe some bullish momentum there, but likely not enough.
The 161% Fibonacci extension (blue), however, aligns almost exactly with the 78% Fibonacci level. If the price reaches this depth, we will likely see many traders closing their sell positions and others opening buy positions. This could generate enough momentum to create a new minor wave 1, which could then evolve into a 12345 setup for our (orange) wave (3).
This is one potential scenario, but we need to observe what happens next week. If we see an impulsive move to the upside from another level, I will look for a new wave 1 and then search for higher highs.
Wishing you the best of luck!
Can we set a new ATH before 2025?This scenario presents a classic Ending Diagonal structure for Primary Wave (5), where XRP has likely completed Wave (4) near $1.90 and is now advancing upward to set new ATH. After entering price discovery and everybody FOMOs in, a significant portion of HODLers will start taking profits which will slow down the momentum and eventually leads to the formation of a bearish divergence marking the end of the impulse.
The first major resistance is the current high at $2.9 then the 2017's ATH at $3.31, from which we can expect a smaller degree correction.
For this scenario to unfold, we will need a steady momentum. Then we can expect it to set a new ATH before the end of year. Personally, my targets for this would be somewhere between $4 and $7 by late Jan to early Feb 2025, given the current pace and Trump's inauguration (and maybe SEC settlement?).
XAU/USD 17.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
For the upcoming week, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests higher prices. Three days ago, I shared my long-term chart projection. Now, I’ve broken it down into the minor timeframes to refine the best entry points for my strategy.
If you're curious about the current wave we're in, feel free to check out my previous post:
Currently, I anticipate the formation of the green Wave 1 to 2 over the next few days, with Wave 2 potentially reaching its bottom soon. We're observing a significant ABC correction. Within the larger Wave B to C, we’ve formed another perfect AB correction, which now appears to consist of a probable 1-2-3-4-5 wave structure.
Today, the smaller Wave 3 hit our Fibonacci extension levels perfectly, as shown in the chart. At the moment, we’re experiencing a pullback in Wave 4, which I hope will lead to the completion of Wave 5 tomorrow. This would mark the end of the correction for the green Wave 1 to 2.
A smart entry point would be around the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which also serves as a take-profit level at the 100% Fibonacci extension of the seller. This zone will be very volatile. If we gather enough momentum to establish a new Wave 1, we can definitely expect higher prices.
Stay focused on the 2630 level, and good luck!
If you like my idea, I’d really appreciate some likes and feedback
US10Y ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 19 DEC, 2024©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M.
The entire ((2))-navy most recent completed as an (A)(B)(C)-orange Zigzag, and the ((3))-navy is now retracing to push higher.
It is subdividing into a (1)(2)-orange, and they have completed, since the high of 4.126%, the (3)-orange is unfolding to push lower, targeting the high of 5.163%
Ash | 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTCHi traders! 👋 This is Ash, let’s dive straight into today’s analysis! 📊🚀
📌 Wave analysis and our near-term view on Bitcoin
We believe we are nearing the end of Wave 1 of Intermediate Wave (3) (in yellow). A dip could be on the horizon in the near future - potentially toward $60k.
~$60k = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
📌 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTC (even at $100k)!
1. Elliott Wave Analysis
We believe we are only on Wave 1 of the 3rd Intermediate Wave. This time could be different~! 😅
2. Halving Cycle Analysis
Historically, the upward trend lasted about 1 year 4 months after each Halving event. Since the last Halving was on April 19, 2024, this timeframe points to ~ August 2025. So, we’re still about 8 months away from a correction! 😌
3. Institutional Buying and Government Recognition
Major institutions are buying, and many governments (including the incoming Trump administration) are beginning to embrace BTC as a form of reserve asset. Bullish! 📈
4. Hyman Minsky Model
All financial systems progress through stages of increasing leverage and speculation (aka, a bubble). But… we don’t think we are there yet. Institutions have only just started buying, with limited participation from retail (i.e., public). BTC has plenty more room to run! 🚀
With this said, always remember to DYOR and protect your capital.
(Note: DYOR = Do Your Own Research)
📌 Alternative “sub” Scenario: Highly Unlikely
The following scenario is highly unlikely, but “if” BCT is nearing the end of Wave (1) (in yellow), the ensuing correction (Wave (2)) could be quite severe - potentially to ~ $40k or even lower..
For those looking to buy at the current level: be aware that, despite a very low probability, a drop to $40k is possible. Please ask yourself whether you can stomach this fall before going long.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that boost button and follow me! 🚀🙌
See you soon with more updates! 🔥
VIRTUAL - Short Setup with 30% PotentialWe are currently observing a completed 5-wave structure and the emergence of wave A, which found support around $2.5. Now, price action is forming wave B, which aligns with a resistance area marked by the Fib 0.618 retracement and the daily level.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: For a riskier entry, you can enter now and ladder your position up to the Fib 0.618 and 0.718 levels. A stop loss should be placed above the 0.786 Fib for protection.
Head and Shoulders Projection: Using the bar pattern and the length of the left shoulder, we estimate that wave C will form over the next 2-3 days, confirming the head and shoulders setup.
Take Profit Target:
Low at $2.3266 – First target for securing profits.
Overall Target: The 0.618 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure at $2.1002.
Risk-Reward (R:R):
Potential for 3:1 and 5:1 trades, offering a gain of 20% - 30%.
Additional Notes:
If dOpen is lost with volume confirmation, this provides an opportunity to add to the short position.
With the holiday season approaching, this short setup allows for some time off the screen while still capitalizing on market movements.
This setup offers an excellent blend of risk and reward, with options for both aggressive and conservative short entries. Happy trading.
Virtuals Protocol: +16,850% Surge Nearing Its End?Virtuals Protocol has experienced an astronomical +16,850% surge in price over the past 164 days, marking a parabolic advance that appears to be nearing exhaustion. Price action suggests that the final 5th wave of this bullish cycle may be completing, raising the question: Is Virtuals Protocol set for a correction, or is there still upside potential?
Key Observations:
1.) End of the 5th Wave:
The Elliott Wave count indicates that the asset is likely completing the final 5th wave of a large bullish cycle.
Parabolic moves of this magnitude typically end with a sharp correction as profit-taking accelerates.
2.) Weekly RSI Overbought:
The RSI on the weekly timeframe is at 95, signaling extreme overbought conditions.
Such elevated RSI levels are unsustainable and often precede corrections to reset market momentum.
3.) 6 Consecutive Bullish Weekly Candles:
A string of 6 green weekly candles suggests strong bullish momentum but also hints at exhaustion as buyers may struggle to sustain such momentum.
4.) Fibonacci Target and Weekly Open Confluence:
Using a Fibonacci retracement from the current wave, the 0.618 level aligns perfectly with the Weekly Open (wOpen) at $2.711.
This confluence zone serves as a strong short-term take-profit target for short sellers or a potential re-entry point for bulls looking for a correction.
Outlook:
Bearish Scenario: The completion of the 5th wave and the extreme overbought RSI suggest a correction is imminent. A retrace towards the 0.618 Fib level ($2.711) is a highly probable scenario.
Bullish Continuation: For further upside, the price must consolidate and find fresh buying volume to support continuation beyond the current highs.
Conclusion:
Virtuals Protocol is flashing clear signs of exhaustion, with extreme weekly RSI levels and a completed Elliott Wave cycle. Traders should watch the $2.711 zone closely as a potential correction target, with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and Weekly Open providing strong confluence.
XRP – UpdateXRPUSDT is exhibiting a clear Elliott Wave structure on the 1H timeframe. The price has recently completed the ABC correction near a major Demand Zone at $1.95–$1.82 and has begun a new impulsive wave sequence. The structure shows Wave 2 in progress, with a projected target for Wave 5 near $3.51.
The market appears to still be in Wave 2 of a new impulsive cycle.
Wave 2 corrections typically retrace to key Fibonacci levels (50%-78.6%) before reversing into Wave 3.
By overlaying a ghost of the previous Elliott Wave, the current wave 1 aligns well, and the projected Wave 5 target could extend to around $3.51.
Once Wave 2 confirms, expect Wave 3 to push strongly toward $3.2 based on previous wave "ghost" projections.
Look for confirmation signals (bullish price action, RSI divergence) before entering long positions.
Possible Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $2.5310 (Breakout).
Stop Loss: Below $2.2568 (Bottom of Wave 2).
Take Profit: $3.51 (Projected Wave 5 target).
Position size: 1-3% of your capital
"Patience pays. Wait for the pullback, not the hype."
“The four most dangerous words in investing are: 'This time it's different.'” – Sir John Templeton
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and seek professional advice before trading.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Update; Price Action & Elliott Wave AnalysisETHUSDT is currently trading inside a strong daily supply zone near the $4,000 level. This level has shown significant rejection in the past, as seen earlier this year. Using Elliott Wave Theory, ETH appears to be in an impulsive wave 3 on the daily timeframe.
Current Wave in Progress
we are currently in Wave 3 of the Elliott Wave structure.
A break above $4,096 could signal a continuation of Wave 3
By overlaying a ghost of the previous Elliott Wave, the current wave aligns well, and the projected Wave 5 target could extend to around $6,400.
Supply & Demand Zones
Supply Zone (Potential Rejection): $4,000–$4,096
If ETH fails to break above, we may see Wave 4 retracing back to the nearest demand zone.
($3,152–$3,018) RBD.
Possible Trade Setups:
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Entry: $4,100 (Break above the supply zone and recent highs).
Stop Loss: $3,950 (Below supply zone).
Take Profit: $6,400 (Projected Wave 5 target).
Risk-Reward: ~1:6 (depending on execution).
Rejection Scenario (Wave 4 Pullback):
Entry: Around $3,152 (Demand zone).
Stop Loss: $3,000 (Below demand zone).
Take Profit 1: $4,096 (Re-test of supply zone).
Risk-Reward: ~1:3.
Take Profit 2: $6,400 (Projected Wave 5 target).
Risk-Reward: ~1:15.
"Be patient and wait for confirmation; the market rewards discipline, not impulsive actions."
"Always use a stop loss to manage risk."
"The market moves in cycles, and history often rhymes."
"Let profits run, but cut losses quickly." – Jesse Livermore
Trade Safe!
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before trading. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
$AMGN observationThis is just my observation, not advice.
Technical:
1. Price touched the 200 SMA.
2. Price is corrected to 50% correction and slightly pumped after reaching the supportive zone.
3. Price reached the volume price of FRVP around 270$.
4. The correction nature of the latest candles in the blue box is obvious.
5. In the daily and 4H charts, the stock is almost in the oversold zone.
6. A significant divergence is observable on the daily chart.
Fundamental:
1. P/E ratio: 34.4x (Not undervalued)
2. In November 2024, Amgen's Phase 2 study of MariTide showed a 20% average weight loss over 52 weeks in obese patients without diabetes. While promising, it fell short of analysts' 23–25% expectations, raising concerns about its competitiveness against treatments like Eli Lilly's Zepbound and Novo Nordisk's Wegovy.
3. On November 26th, after MariTide phase 2 announcement, the price was mixed but could be considered to have moved up impulsively.
4. On 5th December, Amgen announced to invest 1B for expansion.
5. NASDAQ:AMGN launched Pavblu as a rival of NASDAQ:REGN 's Eylea.
6. On December 7th, NASDAQ:AMGN out significant result for Blinatumomab.
7. Based on reports, NASDAQ:AMGN raises quarterly dividend 5.8%.
8. Analyst sentiments: 14 buy, 15 hold, 3 sell.
Scenarios:
We are in the correction with two main scenarios:
1. ABC correction has been completed and impulsive waves have been started so we should look for entry.
2. A correction wave has been completed, and we are now in the B wave correction. In this case, we should see another price drop on wave C. After then, we can look for long on around 78% correction and trendline.
DASH After 7 Years of Stagnation: Powerful C Wave Breakout BeginHi guys! 🌟
Today, we have an exciting analysis of DASH. After a long and exhausting 7-year correction, it seems that DASH is beginning a powerful upward movement in the form of Wave C.
🔑 Wave A started in 2014 at $0.20 and reached its all-time high of $1625 in December 2017. Then, Wave B began a correction, with the price dropping to $19, which occurred in August 2024. This 7-year correction is a 50% retracement from the all-time high, making it a golden opportunity for a discounted entry at this level. This correction indicates a return to half of the all-time high, providing a perfect entry point.
📊 At the end of Wave B, a descending wedge pattern formed, signaling the end of the correction and the beginning of a new upward trend. After breaking the $40 level and pulling back to this level, a confirmation for market entry was made.
🚀 Wave C is now starting from the $19 low in August 2024 and has the potential to push DASH to new heights. Two major resistances are in front of us:
Resistance at $75: A break above this level could start a risky entry into the market.
Descending trendline resistance: This line is formed from the all-time highs of $1625 in December 2017 and $477 in May 2021. A break of this trendline provides a stronger confirmation for entry and more upward movement.
🔮 Targets:
🎯 $400 (430% profit)
🎯 $1700 (2100% profit)
DASH is on the verge of a massive breakout! 🚀
Render Network RENDER Long: EWT Analysis & Cycle Peak Targets+ Possible overextended Wave 5 count now?
Trading within Wave (3) of Wave V impulse.
Any major peaks in RENDER have extended as high as the following fib extensions...
The target is the peaks of the parallel channel, confluence with the fib extensions targets:
- 1.414
- 1.618
Last Rally for Cycle Wave V (five) topping around Nov/Dec 2025 being a blow off top.
XAU/USD 12.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
Today, we’re taking a closer look at gold. As expected, gold is moving down in an ABC structure (yellow) within our larger orange wave 4. From here, we can anticipate either a 12345 structure or, if the price moves sideways, another ABC structure leading up to wave 5.
Wave 4 has likely reached its bottom, though there is still a possibility of a further decline to the 61% Fibonacci level. However, I consider this scenario unlikely. Overall, we are once again looking for higher prices in the near future.
XAG/USD 12.12.2024FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
After this bearish calculated move to the downside, we have now identified our wave 4 bottom. We expect higher prices in the coming days or weeks, likely forming either a 12345 setup or an ABC pattern from wave (4) to (5). Time will tell us what unfolds.